Category: Voter Registration Trends

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

In the 18 days of voter registration in October before the close of registration for the general election, it has become clear, those voters registered as Non-Partisan will most likely control the outcome of most partisan races.

According to the numbers from the secretary of state’s office for the 18 days covered by the report, Non-Partisan registration out-paced the major parties in both rate of growth and change in voter share. This was true state-wide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, among those 18 to 34 years of age, and those 55 years of age and older. The only exceptions, Democratic voter share among those 18 to 34 years of age and Republican voter share of those 55 and older increased slightly.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	15,891	2.73	38.32	-0.01
R	10,726	2.09	33.52	-0.22
NP	13,614	4.15	21.91	0.29
IAP	1,659	2.07	4.33	-0.03
LIB	355	2.33	1.00	0.00
Other	-67	-0.47	0.91	-0.03
Total not D or R			28.15	0.23

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	13,356	3.00	41.89	-0.03
R	7,336	2.34	29.36	-0.21
NP	10,674	4.46	22.86	0.30
IAP	1,276	2.58	4.08	-0.02
LIB	259	2.66	0.91	0.00
Other	-107	-1.08	0.90	-0.04
Total not D or R			28.75	0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,919	2.07	35.12	-0.04
R	1,631	1.66	37.05	-0.19
NP	2,046	3.76	20.96	0.32
IAP	186	1.02	4.39	-0.05
LIB	42	1.26	1.25	-0.01
Other	27	0.83	1.23	-0.02
Total not D or R			27.83	0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	616	1.38	22.91	-0.09
R	1,759	1.75	51.80	-0.02
NP	894	2.58	17.97	0.14
IAP	130	1.18	5.65	-0.03
LIB	54	2.49	1.13	0.01
Other	13	1.23	0.54	0.00
Total not D or R			25.29	0.12

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	8,541	5.49	38.55	0.15
R	3,359	3.57	22.86	-0.33
NP	7,698	6.20	30.98	0.32
IAP	1,005	4.02	4.50	-0.05
LIB	240	3.39	1.72	-0.03
Other	24	0.41	1.39	-0.06
Total not D or R			38.59	0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,325	1.34	38.74	-0.09
R	4,308	1.64	41.33	0.03
NP	2,209	2.35	14.88	0.11
IAP	192	0.59	4.08	-0.02
LIB	16	0.57	0.44	0.00
Other	-91	-2.58	0.53	-0.02
Total not D or R			19.93	0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

 

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	3	1	0
Republican	4	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	4	0	0
LIB	0	0	4
Other	4	0	0

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	13	3	0
Republican	21	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	21	0
IAP	18	2	1
LIB	11	5	5
Other	19	0	2

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties..

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	33	8	1
Republican	39	2	1
Non-Partisan	0	42	0
IAP	31	7	4
LIB	21	9	12
Other	37	3	2

In 33 districts (78.57%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This was the second consecutive month of a one district increase

Early voting has started. With a record number of eligible Nevadans registered to vote and with nearly 30 percent not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party (nearly 40 percent among younger voters), many races will be determined by not only the overall turnout but how the Non-Partisan and minor party voters cast their ballots.

 

 

 

 

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

 The voter registration numbers for September 2018 are clear. With a record number of Nevadans now registered to vote, they are abandoning both the Democratic and Republican Party.

Monthly changes in voter share above one-tenth of one percent are big, Changes of one-quarter of one percent are huge. That’s what is happening. Also as is par for the course, the rate of growth of Non-Partisan voters outpaces that of any political party.

The trend is across all demographics; state-wide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, among those 18 to 34 years of age, and those 55 years of age and older. Changes in congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts also show this continuing trend. Among those 18 to 34 years of age the percentage of Non-Partisan exceeds the percentage of those registered GOP by almost 8 percent and the percentage not affiliated with either major party now exceeds the percent registered as Democratic.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	8,547	1.49	38.33	-0.07
R	6,908	1.37	33.74	-0.10
NP	8,655	2.71	21.62	0.22
IAP	931	0.93	4.36	-0.03
LIB	278	1.86	1.00	0.00
Other	41	0.29	0.94	-0.01
Total not D or R			27.93	0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	6,514	1.49	41.92	-0.09
R	4,361	1.41	29.57	-0.09
NP	6,388	2.74	22.56	0.23
IAP	578	0.92	4.10	-0.03
LIB	192	2.01	0.92	0.00
Other	-9	-0.09	0.94	-0.02
Total not D or R			28.52	0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,608	1.77	35.17	-0.05
R	1,471	1.52	37.24	-0.15
NP	1,651	3.13	20.65	0.24
IAP	230	1.15	4.44	-0.03
LIB	47	1.43	1.26	-0.01
Other	50	1.55	1.24	0.00
Total not D or R			27.66	0.20

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	425	0.96	23.00	-0.05
R	1,076	1.08	51.82	-0.04
NP	616	1.81	17.84	0.11
IAP	84	0.59	5.68	-0.02
LIB	39	1.83	1.12	0.01
Other	0	0.00	0.55	-0.01
Total not D or R			25.19	0.09

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	4,102	2.71	38.40	-0.07
R	2,051	2.23	23.19	-0.15
NP	4,725	3.95	30.66	0.31
IAP	536	1.61	4.54	-0.06
LIB	193	2.80	1.75	0.00
Other	51	0.87	1.46	-0.03
Total not D or R			38.41	0.22

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,309	0.94	38.83	-0.07
R	3,012	1.16	41.31	0.01
NP	1,602	1.73	14.76	0.09
IAP	195	0.69	4.10	-0.02
LIB	14	0.50	0.44	0.00
Other	2	0.06	0.55	-0.01
Total not D or R			19.86	0.06

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	4	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	4	0	0
LIB	0	1	3
Other	4	0	0

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. CD 4 returned to this status; 75 percent of the districts.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	20	0	1
Republican	19	2	0
Non-Partisan	0	21	0
IAP	19	1	1
LIB	5	8	8
Other	17	1	3

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was an increase of one from August.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	38	2	2
Republican	26	16	0
Non-Partisan	1	40	1
IAP	26	12	4
LIB	11	23	8
Other	36	3	3

In 32 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This was an increase of one from August. Also, AD 3 changed to where the percentage of Non-Partisan voters now exceeds the percentage registered as Republican.

In two weeks, October 16^th, voter registration for the general election closes. It is clear, both the Democratic and Republican Party are losing voter interest. Fewer new voters or voters changing party affiliation are choosing a major political party, instead shunning political parties altogether. Non-Partisan turnout and how they vote will decide several races.

 

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

 With less than two months before the close of voter registration for the general election, it is becoming apparent neither the Democratic nor Republican Party control the outcome. That honor belongs to those voters registered as Non-Partisan.

An analysis of the voter registration numbers for August 2018 show both major parties losing significant voter share while Non-Partisan registered corresponding gains. The rate of growth for Non-Partisan also over-shadows that of the major parties with the Libertarian Party also showing large growth.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	9,513	1.69	38.40	-0.05
R	7,535	1.51	33.84	-0.10
NP	8,398	2.70	21.40	0.18
IAP	1,272	1.40	4.39	-0.02
LIB	360	2.47	1.00	0.01
Other	7	0.05	0.95	-0.02
Total not D or R			27.74	0.15

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	8.876	2.07	42.01	-0.10
R	5,959	1.96	29.66	-0.10
NP	7,469	3.31	22.33	0.22
IAP	1,171	2.00	4.13	-0.02
LIB	308	3.33	0.91	0.01
Other	15	0.15	0.95	-0.02
Total not D or R			28.32	0.19

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	682	0.76	35.22	-0.05
R	846	0.88	37.38	0.00
NP	672	1.29	20.40	0.08
IAP	91	0.52	4.48	-0.02
LIB	29	0.89	1.27	0.00
Other	2	0.06	1.25	-0.01
Total not D or R			27.40	0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-45	-0.10	23.05	-0.14
R	730	0.74	51.86	0.12
NP	257	0.76	17.72	0.05
IAP	-3	-0.03	5.71	-0.03
LIB	23	1.09	1.11	0.01
Other	-10	-0.93	0.55	0.00
Total not D or R			25.09	0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	4,663	3.18	38.47	0.03
R	2,039	2.27	23.34	-0.19
NP	4,435	3.85	30.35	0.22
IAP	728	2.67	4.60	-0.02
LIB	236	3.54	1.75	0.01
Other	21	0.36	1.49	-0.04
Total not D or R			38.19	0.17

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,243	0.92	38.90	-0.09
R	3,394	1.32	41.29	0.06
NP	1,388	1.52	14.68	0.05
IAP	238	0.80	4.12	-0.01
LIB	34	1.22	0.45	0.00
Other	-2	-0.06	0.56	-0.01
Total not D or R			19.81	0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	3	1	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	3	1	0
LIB	0	4	0
Other	4	0	0

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	20	1	0
Republican	14	7	0
Non-Partisan	1	20	0
IAP	14	6	1
LIB	2	10	9
Other	18	0	3

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from June.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	38	2	2
Republican	26	16	0
Non-Partisan	1	40	1
IAP	26	12	4
LIB	11	23	8
Other	36	3	3

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from June.

Monthly changes in excess of one-tenth of one percent (0.10) are significant. Changes of nearly one-quarter of one percent (0.25) are rare. Yet we see type of swings in several places through the tracked demographics. If this trend continues through to the close of voter registration in October, the outcome of key races should be interesting.

 

 

 

 

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Voter registration statistics for July show the trend returning; Non-Partisan gaining voter share while the major parties lose, substantiating my belief last month that major party increases, especially in the Democratic Party, were the result of voter shock of not being able to vote in some major races in the primary because of minor party or Non-Partisan voter registration. Exceptions to the trend: Democratic gain in Washoe County and GOP gain among in the rural counties and with  voters 55 years of age and older.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,057	0.37	38.45	0.00
R	1,610	0.32	33.95	-0.02
NP	1,678	0.54	21.22	0.04
IAP	101	0.06	4.41	-0.01
LIB	69	0.48	0.99	0.00
Other	-4	-0.03	0.97	0.00
Total not D or R			27.59	0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,958	0.61	42.11	-0.03
R	1,958	0.65	29.75	-0.01
NP	1,961	0.88	22.11	0.04
IAP	425	0.48	4.15	-0.01
LIB	120	1.32	0.91	0.01
Other	102	1.04	0.97	0.00
Total not D or R			28.14	0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-710	-0.78	35.27	0.09
R	-1,087	-1.12	37.39	-0.03
NP	-505	-0.96	20.32	0.01
IAP	-365	-1.58	4.49	-0.03
LIB	-68	-2.05	1.27	-0.01
Other	-112	-3.36	1.26	-0.03
Total not D or R			27.34	-0.06

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	169	0.38	23.18	-0.05
R	739	0.75	51.74	0.07
NP	222	0.66	17.68	0.01
IAP	41	0.16	5.74	-0.03
LIB	17	0.81	1.11	0.00
Other	6	0.56	0.56	0.00
Total not D or R			25.09	-0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,067	0.72	38.45	0.01
R	382	0.43	23.53	-0.06
NP	1,066	0.93	30.13	0.07
IAP	138	0.63	4.62	0.00
LIB	21	0.32	1.74	-0.01
Other	6	0.10	1.53	-0.01
Total not D or R			38.02	0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	518	0.21	38.99	-0.02
R	1,063	0.42	41.23	0.06
NP	133	0.15	14.63	-0.02
IAP	-47	-0.19	4.14	-0.02
LIB	-1	-0.04	0.45	0.00
Other	2	0.06	0.57	0.00
Total not D or R			19.79	-0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	1	3	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	3	0	1
LIB	1	2	1
Other	1	1	2

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	15	4	2
Republican	6	13	2
Non-Partisan	3	17	1
IAP	16	3	2
LIB	5	10	6
Other	8	9	4

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from June.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	29	10	3
Republican	19	22	1
Non-Partisan	7	33	2
IAP	27	10	5
LIB	10	20	12
Other	19	16	7

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from June.

Going into July, the question was would the major party share gains of June continue. Given the intense voter registration efforts currently being conducted by the parties and candidates, it was possible. The fact the growth does not appear to be continuing reinforces the idea that voters may not share the parties’ visions or current paths and are more comfortable not affiliating with any political party. This also highlights the need for change in how we conduct our elections so the growing number of voter not affiliated with either the Democratic or Republican Party are equally represented.

 

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

The secretary of state released the voter registration statistics for June and they raise interesting questions. Did voters who were registered Non-Partisan get surprised when they were denied partisan ballots when they went to vote in the primary? While it doesn’t matter for the general election, were voters excited about some of the partisan races and want to make certain they can vote in future primaries? The increases in Democratic Party voter share and decreases in Non-Partisan voter share across the demographics leads me to believe the answer to both questions is “yes”.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	8,623	1.56	38.46	0.09
R	5,830	1.19	33.96	-0.04
NP	3,502	1.14	21.19	-0.04
IAP	1,092	0.88	4.43	-0.02
LIB	219	1.53	0.99	0.00
Other	306	2.20	0.97	0.01
Total not D or R			27.58	-0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	8,038	1.92	42.14	0.09
R	4,953	1.67	29.76	-0.01
NP	3,056	1.39	22.07	-0.07
IAP	1,003	1.26	4.15	-0.02
LIB	180	2.01	0.90	0.00
Other	300	3.14	0.97	0.01
Total not D or R			28.09	-0.08

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	409	0.45	35.18	0.02
R	261	0.27	37.42	-0.04
NP	284	0.54	20.31	0.03
IAP	47	0.25	4.52	-0.01
LIB	14	0.42	1.28	0.00
Other	4	0.12	1.29	0.00
Total not D or R			27.40	0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	176	0.40	23.24	-0.03
R	616	0.63	51.67	0.05
NP	162	0.49	17.67	-0.01
IAP	42	0.14	5.76	-0.02
LIB	25	1.21	1.10	0.01
Other	2	0.19	0.56	0.00
Total not D or R			25.09	-0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,277	2.30	38.44	0.13
R	1,290	1.46	23.59	-0.11
NP	2,110	1.89	30.06	-0.02
IAP	600	1.90	4.62	0.00
LIB	150	2.31	1.75	0.01
Other	123	2.15	1.54	0.00
Total not D or R			37.97	-0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,841	1.19	39.02	0.06
R	3,004	1.19	41.17	0.06
NP	359	0.40	14.64	-0.09
IAP	178	0.25	4.15	-0.03
LIB	-1	-0.04	0.45	0.00
Other	115	3.38	0.57	0.01
Total not D or R			19.81	-0.11

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	0	4	0
Republican	3	1	0
Non-Partisan	3	0	1
IAP	0	1	3
LIB	0	2	2
Other	0	2	2

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	7	14	0
Republican	12	8	1
Non-Partisan	15	6	0
IAP	14	3	4
LIB	5	7	9
Other	3	11	7

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from May.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	13	28	1
Republican	21	19	2
Non-Partisan	26	13	3
IAP	29	8	5
LIB	8	16	18
Other	6	23	13

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from May.

It will be interesting to see if this trend continues or if the trend returns to normal; major parties losing voter share while Non-Partisan and minor parties increase. It also raises the often-heard question, why should membership in a private organization be required to vote in any election?

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Early voting has started for the primary elections but voter registration for May, leading up to the election, showed both the Democratic and Republican Party lose voter share. For the Democratic Party the only bright spot was among those 18 to 34 years of age when voter share stayed flat. The GOP fared slightly better picking up share in the rural counties and among those 55 and older. This corresponds to the only areas where Non-Partisan registration lost voter share. The Independent American Party gained share in Clark County and among those 18 to 34, but some of that gain was most likely voters who meant to register as “independent” (Non-Partisan). The Libertarian Party did slightly better, gaining share in both Clark and Washoe County, losing slightly state-wide, and remaining flat elsewhere. These trends also show across state senate and assembly districts.  While all registration groups gained raw number of voters (except in the rural counties), Non-Partisan and minor parties grew at a greater percentage.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	5,631	1.03	38.37	-0.01
R	4,359	0.90	34.01	-0.05
NP	4,124	1.37	21.22	0.07
IAP	920	1.07	4.45	0.00
LIB	218	1.55	0.99	0.00
Other	21	0.15	0.97	-0.01
Total not D or R			27.63	0.06

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	5,620	1.36	42.06	-0.03
R	3,486	1.19	29.78	-0.07
NP	3,902	1.80	22.14	0.08
IAP	1,029	1.85	4.17	0.02
LIB	176	2.01	0.90	0.01
Other	99	1.05	0.96	0.00
Total not D or R			28.17	0.11

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	665	0.74	35.16	-0.02
R	683	0.71	37.47	-0.03
NP	571	1.10	20.28	0.06
IAP	102	0.66	4.53	-0.01
LIB	56	1.73	1.28	0.01
Other	-31	-0.92	1.29	-0.02
Total not D or R			27.38	0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-654	-1.47	23.27	-0.22
R	190	0.20	51.61	0.38
NP	-349	-1.04	17.68	-0.09
IAP	-211	-1.36	5.78	-0.05
LIB	-14	-0.67	1.10	0.00
Other	-47	-4.23	0.56	-0.02
Total not D or R			25.12	-0.16

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,749	1.97	38.31	0.00
R	1,232	1.42	23.71	-0.13
NP	2,623	2.40	30.08	0.13
IAP	550	2.31	4.63	0.02
LIB	131	2.06	1.74	0.00
Other	31	0.55	1.54	-0.02
Total not D or R			37.99	0.13

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,364	0.57	38.96	-0.02
R	2,100	0.84	41.11	0.09
NP	241	0.92	14.74	-0.05
IAP	81	0.36	4.19	-0.01
LIB	6	0.22	0.45	0.00
Other	-18	-0.53	0.55	-0.01
Total not D or R			19.93	-0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	2	2	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	1	1	2
LIB	0	2	2
Other	3	0	1

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	17	4	0
Republican	15	5	1
Non-Partisan	3	18	0
IAP	10	10	1
LIB	2	9	10
Other	14	3	4

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from April.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	32	9	1
Republican	25	16	1
Non-Partisan	6	35	1
IAP	17	21	4
LIB	9	20	13
Other	29	5	8

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a decrease of one from March.

Since Nevada has closed primary elections, both the Democratic and Republican Parties stress that unless you register to vote as a party member you will not be able to vote in the key nominating races. This usually leads to slight increases in voter share the month before the primary election. The fact that this did not happen in May could be a further indicator that voters are tired of the hyper-partisan political environment and are resigned to “settling between the lesser of two evils” in November

For the first time in six months, voter share for the Republican Party in Nevada declined. According to the data released by the secretary of state’s office the loss was across the board; state-wide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, and among voters between the ages of 18 to 34 and 55 and over. Conversely, voter share of Non-Partisan increased in those same demographics. Non-Partisan also gained voter share in all 21 state senate districts and 38 of the 42 state assembly districts.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	5,330	0.98	38.38	0.03
R	2.785	0.58	34.06	-0.11
NP	3,796	1.27	21.16	0.08
IAP	832	0.92	4.45	0.00
Lib	202	1.45	0.99	0.01
Other	64	0.46	0.97	0.00
Total not D or R			27.57	0.09

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	4,632	1.13	42.09	0.03
R	1,991	0.68	29.85	-0.11
NP	3,046	1.43	22.06	0.08
IAP	725	1.24	4.16	0.01
Lib	160	1.86	0.89	0.01
Other	60	0.64	0.96	0.00
Total not D or R			28.07	0.10

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	601	0.67	35.17	0.01
R	435	0.46	37.50	-0.07
NP	560	1.10	20.22	0.09
IAP	54	0.30	4.53	-0.02
Lib	23	0.71	1.27	0.00
Other	-3	-0.09	1.31	-0.01
Total not D or R			27.33	0.06

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	97	0.22	23.49	-0.04
R	-30	-0.03	51.24	-0.21
NP	190	0.57	17.76	0.03
IAP	53	0.37	5.83	-0.01
Lib	19	0.92	1.10	0.01
Other	7	0.63	0.58	0.00
Total not D or R			25.27	0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,277	1.66	38.31	0.10
R	589	0.68	23.84	-0.17
NP	1,811	1.69	29.95	0.08
IAP	367	1.29	4.61	0.00
Lib	109	1.74	1.74	0.01
Other	17	0.30	1.56	-0.02
Total not D or R			37.86	0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,577	0.67	38.98	-0.01
R	1,598	0.64	41.02	-0.02
NP	819	0.92	14.79	0.03
IAP	201	0.64	4.20	0.00
Lib	12	0.43	0.45	0.00
Other	6	0.18	0.56	0.00
Total not D or R			20.01	0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	0	3	1
Republican	4	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
Other	1	1	2

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	5	14	2
Republican	19	1	1
Non-Partisan	0	21	0
Other	7	10	4

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from March.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	21	17	4
Republican	36	6	0
Non-Partisan	2	38	2
Other	13	21	8

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a decrease of one from March.

We are six weeks away from the primary election. In spite of this Non-Partisan is showing increase in voter share. There are seven races, four Democratic and three Republican that will be decided in the primary as only one party has candidates. An average of over 50 percent of voters in those districts will have no say in who represents them.

March is one of the months the secretary of state’s office performs routine maintenance of the voter rolls. Usually both the number of voters and the percent of voter share in each category falls. Not this time. While the number of voters declined in all but Washoe County, the Republican Party came out the winner in voter share gaining 0.58 percent.

Whether this gain is the luck of the draw, an indication of an on-going successful voter registration drive, or a combination of the two, it cannot be ignored. How this will look come November is one question. Another question is if this is the result of voter registration efforts, where along the partisan spectrum do these new Republican voters fall and how will it impact the result of the primary election?

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-27,501	-4.82	38.34	-0.22
R	-12,931	-2.60	34.17	0.58
NP	-17,443	-5.52	21.08	-0.28
Other	-5,232	-5.46	6.41	-0.08
Total not D or R			27.49	-0.36

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -3.89/0.02%; Lib -3.89/0.00%; other 5 parties -13.26/–0.10%

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-27,953	-6.40	42.06	-0.09
R	-13,127	-4.31	29.96	0.59
NP	-17,923	-7.74	21.98	-0.37
Other	-5,317	-8.36	6.00	-0.14
Total not D or R			27.98	-0.51

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -6.11/0.00%  Lib -6.43/0.00%; other 5 parties -18.31/-0.14%

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	714	0.81	35.17	0.03
R	476	0.50	37.57	-0.09
NP	537	1.06	20.13	0.07
Other	119	0.66	7.14	-0.01
Total not D or R			27.27	0.06

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.77/0.00%; Lib 1.19/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.21 / -0.01%

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-262	-0.59	23.52	-0.06
R	109	0.11	51.44	0.23
NP	-57	-0.17	17.73	0.03
Other	-34	-0.24	7.51	0.01
Total not D or R			25.24	0.04

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -0.11/0.01%; Lib -0.77/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.54/0.00%

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-11,033	-7.43	38.21	-0.17
R	-4,073	-4.50	24.01	0.63
NP	-9,583	-8.19	29.86	-0.38
Other	-2,488	-8.03	7.92	-0.09
Total not D or R			37.78	-0.47

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -5.69/0.07%; Lib -5.03/0.04%; other 5 parties -16.96/–0.19%

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-7,129	-2.93	38.99	-0.21
R	-4,243	-1.68	41.04	0.30
NP	-2,509	-2.73	14.76	-0.05
Other	-1,019	-3.12	5.22	-0.04
Total not D or R			19.98	-0.09

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -2.48/0.00%; Lib -2.47/0.00%; other 5 parties -8.41/-0.04%

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	2	2	0
Republican	1	3	0
Non-Partisan	3	1	0
Other	3	0	1

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. CD 4 dropped out of this range.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	12	7	2
Republican	4	17	0
Non-Partisan	16	5	0
Other	17	3	1

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a decrease of one from February.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	21	20	1
Republican	11	31	0
Non-Partisan	29	11	2
Other	35	5	2

In 32 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one from February.

The months leading up to the primary election will be interesting. Will the GOP trend continue, and will it translate to primary election turnout and the candidates nominated? More important is what happens between the primary and general election.

The voter registration numbers for February 2018 are out.

For the past few months the national Republican Party has been aggressive in targeting Nevada to increase voter registration in the party. Using an extensive data-driven process, the effort is paying off. Whether this will result in increased GOP turnout in the primary election and votes for GOP candidates in November will have to be seen. However, with the Democratic Party continuing to lose voter share across all tracked demographics, the GOP must feel energized.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,316	0.41	38.57	-0.09
R	4,239	0.86	33.59	0.07
NP	2,310	0.74	21.36	0.02
Other	580	0.61	6.49	0.00
Total not D or R			27.85	0.02

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.66/0.00%; Lib 0.94/0.00%; other 5 parties 0.11/-0.01%

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,249	0.29	42.15	-0.08
R	2,270	0.75	29.37	0.08
NP	1,165	0.51	22.35	0.01
Other	199	0.31	6.14	-0.01
Total not D or R			28.49	0.00

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.36/0.00%  Lib 0.72/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.18/-0.01%

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	175	0.20	35.14	-0.01
R	209	0.22	37.66	0.00
NP	143	0.28	20.06	0.01
Other	228	1.28	7.14	0.07
Total not D or R			27.20	0.08

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.23/0.00%; Lib 0.31/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.09 / 0.00%

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	892	2.03	23.58	-0.03
R	1,760	1.85	51.21	-0.16
NP	1,002	3.08	17.70	0.16
Other	348	2.51	7.51	0.03
Total not D or R			25.21	0.19

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 2.30/0.01%; Lib 2.87/0.01%; other 5 parties 3.94/0.01%

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	581	0.39	38.38	-0.14
R	1,255	1.41	23.37	0.15
NP	867	0.75	30.24	0.00
Other	201	0.65	8.01	-0.01
Total not D or R			38.25	-0.01

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.89/0.01%; Lib 0.78/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.07/-0.01%

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,016	0.42	39.20	-0.08
R	1885	0.75	40.74	0.06
NP	671	0.73	14.81	0.02
Other	207	0.64	5.26	0.01
Total not D or R			20.07	0.03

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.64/0.00%; Lib 0.89/0.00%; other 5 parties 0.40/0.00%

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	1	3	0
Non-Partisan	1	3	0
Other	2	1	1

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	19	2	0
Republican	2	18	1
Non-Partisan	4	12	5
Other	9	9	3

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	37	4	1
Republican	5	36	1
Non-Partisan	10	26	6
Other	23	13	1

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

As we are now three months away from the primary election that will determine the choices all voters must select from in November, the composition and size of the primary election turnout will be critical. If the new Republican voters turn out, will they be more moderate than the current Republican base? If the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share, how will that impact the progressive candidates?

Candidate filing opens on March 6^th. Most candidates have already announced. Several races have multiple candidates. Even with the GOP posting voter share gains, nearly one-third of voters are not affiliated with either major party. Only a small number of voters are choosing the candidates for all voters with many then settling for the lesser of two evils in general election. What would the results be if all voters had a choice of all candidates in November?

The new year has begun and for voter registration trends, the direction is the same; Non-Partisan leading the pack in voter share growth and the Democratic Party unable to stem the tide of losing. The GOP’s ground game still appears to be working as the party gained voter share most notably among voters 18 to 34 years of age. And while the Democratic Party is losing voter share in all Congressional districts, 20 of 21 State Senate districts, and 36 of the 42 State Assembly districts, Non-Partisan, the Republican Party, and the minor parties are gaining in those important chambers.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,863	0.33	38.66	-0.05
R	2,516	0.51	33.51	0.01
NP	2,010	0.65	21.34	0.04
Other	472	0.50	6.49	0.00
Total not D or R			27.83	0.04

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.56/0.00%; Lib 0.97/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.16/-0.01%

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,565	0.36	42.22	-0.08
R	2,069	0.69	29.29	0.04
NP	1,641	0.72	22.34	0.04
Other	344	0.55	6.15	0.00
Total not D or R			28.49	0.04

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.62/0.00%  Lib 0.98/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.08/-0.01%

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	306	0.35	35.15	-0.01
R	291	0.31	37.66	-0.02
NP	266	0.53	20.05	0.03
Other	-120	-0.67	7.07	-0.07
Total not D or R			27.12	-0.04

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.54/0.01%; Lib 0.92/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.44 / -0.01%

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-8	-0.02	23.61	-0.04
R	156	0.16	51.37	0.00
NP	103	0.32	17.54	0.03
Other	53	0.38	7.48	0.02
Total not D or R			25.02	0.05

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.33/0.01%; Lib 1.00/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.19/0.00%

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	402	0.27	38.52	-0.08
R	665	0.75	23.22	0.06
NP	626	0.54	30.25	0.02
Other	123	0.40	8.02	-0.01
Total not D or R			38.27	0.01

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.44/0.00%; Lib 1.01/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.28/-0.01%

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	877	0.36	39.27	-0.04
R	1,290	0.52	40.68	0.02
NP	546	0.60	14.79	0.02
Other	200	0.62	5.25	0.01
Total not D or R			20.04	0.03

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.60/0.01%; Lib 1.33/0.00%; other 5 parties 0.22/0.00%

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	1	3	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
Other	0	1	3

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	20	1	0
Republican	7	12	2
Non-Partisan	2	18	1
Other	6	9	6

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one over December, 2017

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	36	5	1
Republican	13	29	0
Non-Partisan	2	38	2
Other	23	14	5

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is the same as December, 2017.

Our representative form of government may be in jeopardy. With nearly 30 percent of voters (40 percent among voters 18 – 34 years of age) not registered to vote in one of the two major political parties, under 15 percent of registered voters will select who the remaining 85 percent have to settle, most times the lesser of two evils, and chose between in November. Government is not representative under this process.

Nevadans for Election Reform has a better idea. We can and must make our governing institutions truly representative.