Did Voters Who Got Denied Partisan Ballots Spark Increase In Major Party Voter Share?

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

The secretary of state released the voter registration statistics for June and they raise interesting questions. Did voters who were registered Non-Partisan get surprised when they were denied partisan ballots when they went to vote in the primary? While it doesn’t matter for the general election, were voters excited about some of the partisan races and want to make certain they can vote in future primaries? The increases in Democratic Party voter share and decreases in Non-Partisan voter share across the demographics leads me to believe the answer to both questions is “yes”.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 8,623 1.56 38.46 0.09
R 5,830 1.19 33.96 -0.04
NP 3,502 1.14 21.19 -0.04
IAP 1,092 0.88 4.43 -0.02
LIB 219 1.53 0.99 0.00
Other 306 2.20 0.97 0.01
Total not D or R     27.58 -0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 8,038 1.92 42.14 0.09
R 4,953 1.67 29.76 -0.01
NP 3,056 1.39 22.07 -0.07
IAP 1,003 1.26 4.15 -0.02
LIB 180 2.01 0.90 0.00
Other 300 3.14 0.97 0.01
Total not D or R     28.09 -0.08

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 409 0.45 35.18 0.02
R 261 0.27 37.42 -0.04
NP 284 0.54 20.31 0.03
IAP 47 0.25 4.52 -0.01
LIB 14 0.42 1.28 0.00
Other 4 0.12 1.29 0.00
Total not D or R     27.40 0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 176 0.40 23.24 -0.03
R 616 0.63 51.67 0.05
NP 162 0.49 17.67 -0.01
IAP 42 0.14 5.76 -0.02
LIB 25 1.21 1.10 0.01
Other 2 0.19 0.56 0.00
Total not D or R     25.09 -0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,277 2.30 38.44 0.13
R 1,290 1.46 23.59 -0.11
NP 2,110 1.89 30.06 -0.02
IAP 600 1.90 4.62 0.00
LIB 150 2.31 1.75 0.01
Other 123 2.15 1.54 0.00
Total not D or R     37.97 -0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,841 1.19 39.02 0.06
R 3,004 1.19 41.17 0.06
NP 359 0.40 14.64 -0.09
IAP 178 0.25 4.15 -0.03
LIB -1 -0.04 0.45 0.00
Other 115 3.38 0.57 0.01
Total not D or R     19.81 -0.11

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 0 4 0
Republican 3 1 0
Non-Partisan 3 0 1
IAP 0 1 3
LIB 0 2 2
Other 0 2 2

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 7 14 0
Republican 12 8 1
Non-Partisan 15 6 0
IAP 14 3 4
LIB 5 7 9
Other 3 11 7

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from May.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 13 28 1
Republican 21 19 2
Non-Partisan 26 13 3
IAP 29 8 5
LIB 8 16 18
Other 6 23 13

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from May.

It will be interesting to see if this trend continues or if the trend returns to normal; major parties losing voter share while Non-Partisan and minor parties increase. It also raises the often-heard question, why should membership in a private organization be required to vote in any election?