By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 3, 2022
As I write this the two weeks of early voting ends tomorrow and election day is five days away. While Non-Partisan voter share has exceed that of the Republican Party among voters 18 to 34 years of age for quite some time and more recently in Clark County, October voter registration now puts GOP voter share below Non-Partisan statewide for the first time.
The combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continued its dominance to where it is now the top voter share in over 50 percent of the state legislative districts (11 of 21 state senate; 52.38% and 23 of 42 state assembly; 54.76%)
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 12,637 | 2.13% | 32.66% | -0.21% |
| R | 10,439 | 1.92% | 29.84% | -0.25% |
| NP | 22,937 | 4.32% | 29.87% | 0.44% |
| IAP | 1,940 | 2.49% | 4.31% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 433 | 2.72% | 0.88% | 0.00% |
| Other | -56 | -0.12% | 2.44% | -0.07% |
| Total not D or R | 37.50% | 0.36% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 8,704 | 1.90% | 35.47% | -0.21% |
| R | 5,985 | 1.79% | 25.88% | -0.18% |
| NP | 16,440 | 4.19% | 31.03% | 0.50% |
| IAP | 1,120 | 2.09% | 4.15% | -0.02% |
| LIB | 221 | 2.20% | 0.78% | 0.00% |
| Other | -223 | -0.62% | 2.69% | -0.08% |
| Total not D or R | 38.65% | 0.40% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 3,372 | 3.62% | 31.77% | -0.08% |
| R | 2,813 | 2.87% | 33.19% | -0.32% |
| NP | 4,213 | 5.37% | 27.18% | 0.39% |
| IAP | 614 | 4.67% | 4.52% | 0.03% |
| LIB | 157 | 4.61% | 1.17% | 0.01% |
| Other | 166 | 2.58% | 2.17% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 35.04% | 0.39% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 561 | 1.38% | 17.83% | -0.26% |
| R | 1,641 | 1.50% | 48.00% | -0.65% |
| NP | 2,284 | 3.82% | 26.82% | 0.24% |
| IAP | 206 | 1.85% | 4.90% | -0.05% |
| LIB | 55 | 2.23% | 1.09% | -0.01% |
| Other | 1 | 0.03% | 1.37% | -0.04% |
| Total not D or R | 34.17% | 0.14% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,964 | 1.22% | 31.17% | -0.03% |
| R | 1,113 | 1.22% | 17.76% | -0.02% |
| NP | 3,667 | 1.69% | 42.26% | 0.15% |
| IAP | 239 | 1.08% | 4.28% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 76 | 1.08% | 1.37% | 0.00% |
| Other | -258 | -1.54% | 3.16% | -0.09% |
| Total not D or R | 51.07% | 0.05% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 3,137 | 1.21% | 34.71% | -0.04% |
| R | 3,711 | 1.27% | 39.28% | -0.03% |
| NP | 2,504 | 1.69% | 19.97% | 0.07% |
| IAP | 551 | 1.80% | 4.14% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 50 | 1.67% | 0.40% | 0.00% |
| Other | 14 | 0.12% | 1.49% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 26.01% | 0.07% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| LIB | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Other | 4 | 0 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| IAP | 12 | 5 | 4 |
| LIB | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| Other | 21 | 0 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 11 (52.38%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 40 | 1 | 1 |
| NP | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| IAP | 19 | 11 | 12 |
| LIB | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| Other | 41 | 0 | 1 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 23 (54.76%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| Republican | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| NP | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| IAP | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| LIB | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Other | 10 | 3 | 2 |
How this translate into election results is anybody’s guess. Jon Ralston, CEO of the Nevada Independent, breaks down turnout here.