Non-Partisan Becomes Largest Voting Bloc Surpassing Democratic Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – August 2, 2023

Voters registered to vote as Non-Partisan surpassed the number of voters registered in the Democratic Party in July becoming the largest group of active registered voters in Nevada. Non-Partisan was the only group to register voter share gains in all demographics except for a minute (one one-hundredth of a percent) gain by the Independent American Party in Washoe and among voters 55 years of age and older.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,5210.25%31.69%-0.15%
R1,9220.35%29.02%-0.10%
NP9,1981.54%31.86%0.26%
IAP6740.82%4.37%0.00%
LIB1320.81%0.87%0.00%
Other-17-0.04%2.19%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.29%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1140.24%34.07%-0.10%
R1,0540.31%25.20%-0.06%
NP6,8391.52%33.34%0.32%
IAP4170.72%4.23%0.01%
LIB710.68%0.76%0.00%
Other-41-0.12%2.40%-0.02%
Total not D or R  40.73%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2430.25%31.08%-0.10%
R2890.29%32.57%-0.09%
NP1,0371.19%28.57%0.18%
IAP1190.84%4.62%0.01%
LIB290.81%1.16%0.00%
Other160.26%2.00%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.35%0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1640.43%17.60%-0.27%
R5790.56%48.00%-0.68%
NP1,3222.28%27.27%0.08%
IAP1381.31%4.90%-0.03%
LIB321.38%1.08%-0.01%
Other80.32%1.15%-0.02%
Total not D or R  34.41%0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D950.06%29.69%-0.23%
R2860.32%16.83%-0.09%
NP3,8831.64%45.19%0.36%
IAP1600.71%4.25%-0.01%
LIB470.68%1.31%0.00%
Other-77-0.53%2.73%-0.04%
Total not D or R  53.49%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8480.32%33.96%-0.09%
R1,1490.39%38.56%-0.08%
NP2,2781.39%21.44%0.17%
IAP2700.83%4.26%0.01%
LIB290.94%0.40%0.00%
Other200.19%1.38%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.48%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP013
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP1200
IAP5106
LIB2415
Other1713
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4110
Republican4020
NP0420
IAP82311
LIB91122
Other34  17

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in Ads 8,9,15,16,29,35, and 41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1212
Republican1212
NP0150
IAP2112
LIB636
Other745

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 14 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.40 percent.

In last month’s report I asked if the Democratic Party would lose its status as the top voter bloc in July. We have the answer. The other question, will the Democratic party fall below 30 percent voter share before next year’s state primary in June remains.