By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – January 4, 2024
With December voter registration numbers, it’s time to include the annual change in voter share. As expected, 2023 was not a good year for either major party as both lost what I consider a significant share while voters showed their apparent displeasure as evidenced by Non-Partisan and combined non-major party totals. Among voters 18 to 34 years of age, the increase was over four percent (4.20% NP, 3.57% combined)
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change |
| D | 2,124 | 0.36% | 30.88% | -0.15% | -1.51% |
| R | 4,409 | 0.80% | 28.74% | -0.01% | -0.93% |
| NP | 9,121 | 1.45% | 33.07% | 0.20% | 2.70% |
| IAP | 538 | 0.64% | 4.38% | -0.01% | 0.03% |
| LIB | 43 | 0.26% | 0.85% | 0.00% | -0.03% |
| Other | -29 | -0.07% | 2.08% | -0.02% | -0.27% |
| Total not D or R | 40.38% | 0.17% | 2.44% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change |
| D | 1,904 | 0.42% | 33.23% | -0.17% | -1.87% |
| R | 3,006 | 0.88% | 24.89% | -0.01% | -0.88% |
| NP | 7,318 | 1.56% | 34.63% | 0.21% | 3.07% |
| IAP | 406 | 0.70% | 4.23% | -0.01% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 67 | 0.65% | 0.75% | 0.00% | -0.03% |
| Other | 17 | 0.05% | 2.27% | -0.02% | -0.30% |
| Total not D or R | 41.87% | 0.18% | 2.76% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change |
| D | 92 | 0.09% | 30.50% | -0.12% | -1.16% |
| R | 493 | 0.48% | 32.22% | 0.00% | -0.80% |
| NP | 917 | 0.99% | 29.49% | 0.14% | 2.01% |
| IAP | 118 | 0.80% | 4.70% | 0.01% | 0.15% |
| LIB | -10 | -0.27% | 1.15% | -0.01% | -0.02% |
| Other | -31 | -0.50% | 1.95% | -0.02% | -0.16% |
| Total not D or R | 37.28% | 0.12 | 1.97% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change |
| D | 128 | 0.33% | 17.09% | -0.09% | -0.56% |
| R | 910 | 0.86% | 47.32% | 0.00% | -0.41% |
| NP | 886 | 1.39% | 28.57% | 0.15% | 1.28% |
| IAP | 14 | 0.13% | 4.87% | -0.04% | -0.04% |
| LIB | -14 | -0.58% | 1.06% | -0.02% | -0.03% |
| Other | -15 | -0.60% | 1.09% | -0.02% | -0.23% |
| Total not D or R | 35.59% | 0.07% | 0.97% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change |
| D | 355 | 0.23% | 28.50% | -0.23% | -2.38% |
| R | 882 | 1.00% | 16.54% | -0.01% | -1.19% |
| NP | 4,118 | 1.66% | 46.94% | 0.29% | 4.20% |
| IAP | 212 | 0.94% | 4.22% | 0.00% | -0.08% |
| LIB | -1 | -0.01% | 1.26% | -0.01% | -0.09% |
| Other | -60 | -0.44% | 2.54% | -0.04% | -0.46% |
| Total not D or R | 54.96% | 0.24% | 3.57% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
35 – 54 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change |
| D | 614 | 0.34% | 29.73% | -0.15% | -1.38% |
| R | 1,001 | 0.62% | 27.17% | -0.06% | -1.14% |
| NP | 3,065 | 1.49% | 34.73% | 0.22% | 2.71% |
| IAP | 243 | 0.88% | 4.65% | 0.00% | 0.05% |
| LIB | 60 | 0.95% | 1.06% | 0.00% | -0.01% |
| Other | 60 | 0.38% | 2.66% | -0.01% | -0.23% |
| Total not D or R | 43.10% | 0.21% | 2.52% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change |
| D | 1,126 | 0.43% | 33.41% | -0.09% | -1.05% |
| R | 2,494 | 0.84% | 38.34% | 0.05% | -0.77% |
| NP | 1,863 | 1.08% | 22.25% | 0.08% | 1.86% |
| IAP | 78 | 0.23% | 4.28% | -0.02% | 0.09% |
| LIB | -16 | -0.50% | 0.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Other | -37 | -0.36% | 1.32% | -0.01% | -0.14% |
| Total not D or R | 28.25% | 0.05% | 1.81% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| LIB | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Other | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 4 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| Republican | 11 | 5 | 5 |
| NP | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| IAP | 12 | 5 | 4 |
| LIB | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| Other | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 1 | 20 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in SDs 2,5,8,9,10,11,12
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 21 | 16 | 5 |
| NP | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| IAP | 27 | 11 | 4 |
| LIB | 19 | 4 | 19 |
| Other | 37 | 1 | 4 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 42 | 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 31 (73.81%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. This is an increase of one(1) over October 2023
NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,18,21,29,35,41, and 42
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| Republican | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| NP | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| IAP | 11 | 3 | 1 |
| LIB | 10 | 2 | 3 |
| Other | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| Not D or R | 4 | 9 | 2 |
The average voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican
Combine NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City
Party increased in the 15 rural counties is now 32.52 percent.
The Republican Party remained flat across all categories. Could this interest in the presidential contest? The January numbers could provide more insight as will turnout for the caucus and preference primary.