By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 3, 2022
The percentage of voters not registered to vote in either the Democratic or Republican Party expanded its lead in February, according to the numbers from the secretary of state. That group continues to be the largest block of voters statewide and in both Clark and Washoe county. Among voters 18 to 34 years of age, those registered as Non-Partisan remain the largest group and when combined with those registered in a minor party is nearing 50 percent.
Looking at Congressional and legislative districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican leads in two of the four Congressional districts, eight of the 21 state senate districts and 17 of the 42 state assembly districts.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 856 | 0.14% | 33.65% | -0.17% |
| R | 1,456 | 0.26% | 29.71% | -0.11% |
| NP | 9,296 | 1.80% | 28.28% | 0.32% |
| IAP | 456 | 0.55% | 4.48% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 105 | 0.60% | 0.94% | 0.00% |
| Other | -443 | -0.80% | 2.94% | -0.04% |
| Total not D or R | 36.64% | 0.28% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 839 | 0.17% | 36.45% | -0.20% |
| R | 1,207 | 0.35% | 25.82% | -0.09% |
| NP | 7,098 | 1.87% | 29.28% | 0.33% |
| IAP | 376 | 0.66% | 4.33% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 70 | 0.63% | 0.84% | 0.00% |
| Other | -254 | -0.58% | 3.28% | -0.04% |
| Total not D or R | 37.73% | 0.28% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 145 | 0.15% | 32.47% | -0.14% |
| R | 304 | 0.30% | 32.95% | -0.09% |
| NP | 1,296 | 1.63% | 26.27% | 0.27% |
| IAP | 90 | 0.64% | 4.62% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 16 | 0.42% | 1.23% | 0.00% |
| Other | -96 | -1.25% | 2.47% | -0.05% |
| Total not D or R | 34.58% | 0.27% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -128 | -0.30% | 18.89% | -0.11% |
| R | -55 | -0.05% | 47.99% | -0.16% |
| NP | 902 | 1.61% | 25.20% | 0.33% |
| IAP | -10 | -0.09% | 5.18% | -0.02% |
| LIB | 19 | 0.74% | 1.14% | 0.01% |
| Other | -93 | -2.49% | 1.61% | -0.05% |
| Total not D or R | 33.12% | 0.27% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 31 | 0.02% | 32.72% | -0.27% |
| R | 114 | 0.12% | 18.23% | -0.13% |
| NP | 4,226 | 2.11% | 39.16% | 0.49% |
| IAP | 128 | 0.55% | 4.45% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 31 | 0.40% | 1.48% | -0.01% |
| Other | -192 | -0.92% | 3.96% | -0.07% |
| Total not D or R | 49.05% | 0.40% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 431 | 0.16% | 35.37% | -0.11% |
| R | 846 | 0.29% | 38.71% | -0.07% |
| NP | 2,216 | 1.55% | 19.38% | 0.21% |
| IAP | 167 | 0.52% | 4.34% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 12 | 0.37% | 0.43% | 0.00% |
| Other | -158 | -1.17% | 1.78% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 25.93% | 0.18% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Republican | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| LIB | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| Republican | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| NP | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| IAP | 10 | 9 | 2 |
| LIB | 9 | 10 | 2 |
| Other | 15 | 5 | 1 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| Republican | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| NP | 6 | 35 | 1 |
| IAP | 22 | 18 | 2 |
| LIB | 17 | 17 | 8 |
| Other | 32 | 9 | 1 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 10 | 5 | |
| NP | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| IAP | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| LIB | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Other | 12 | 0 | 3 |
Jon Ralston and the Nevada Independent look at the number of voters changing parties. While the numbers are interesting; more Democratic voters changing to Republican, they may become more meaningful as we get closer to the primary. Are voters changing parties in hopes to sway the nomination to a candidate least likely to win the general election? We’ll also be watching the voter share trend. Will the major parties gain voter share in the months leading up to June or during same-day registration or will fewer voters be eligible to vote since Nevada’s primary elections are closed to non-party members?