February Voter Registration Shows Two Very Interesting Numbers

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 3, 2024

The voter registration numbers for February 2024 held two very interesting numbers. In CD2 the voter share of those not registered to either the Republican or Democratic Party, 37.48%, is only 0.37% behind the Republican share of 37.85% and in the assembly, Non-Partisan voter share became the largest bloc in 17 districts (over 40%), an increase of six from January.

With an increase of just over 4,000 active registered voters over January, it appears likely that many of those who changed party affiliation to vote in the presidential preference primary changed back to Non-Partisan

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,935-0.66%30.56%-0.27%
R-465-0.08%28.87%-0.09%
NP8,8971.40%33.35%0.39%
IAP1470.17%4.35%0.00%
LIB-30-0.18%0.84%0.00%
Other-445-1.12%2.03%-0.03%
Total not D or R  40.57%0.36%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3690.30%33.05%-0.14%
R3,0350.87%25.13%0.04%
NP5,9861.25%34.72%0.18%
IAP-75-0.13%4.17%-0.04%
LIB-26-0.25%0.73%-0.01%
Other-364-1.17%2.21%-0.04%
Total not D or R  41.82%0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-5,388-5.54%29.48%-0.99%
R-4,462-4.31%31.81%-0.64%
NP2,1452.29%30.76%1.40%
IAP1491.00%4.83%0.16%
LIB80.22%1.17%0.03%
Other-43-0.70%1.95%0.03%
Total not D or R  38.71%1.62

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D840.22%16.90%-0.10%
R9620.89%47.63%0.04%
NP7661.18%28.59%0.11%
IAP730.67%4.80%-0.01%
LIB-12-0.50%1.03%-0.01%
Other-38-1.56%1.04%-0.03%
Total not D or R  35.46%0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,134-1.39%27.89%-0.51%
R-316-0.35%16.58%-0.13%
NP4,7611.87%47.59%0.68%
IAP1500.66%4.23%0.01%
LIB-20-0.29%1.24%-0.01%
Other-155-1.14%2.47%-0.04%
Total not D or R  55.53%0.64%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,312-0.73%29.39%-0.26%
R-242-0.15%27.29%-0.08%
NP2,6501.27%35.04%0.38%
IAP350.13%4.62%0.00%
LIB120.19%1.06%0.00%
Other-165-1.04%2.60%-0.03%
Total not D or R  43.32%0.35%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-487-0.19%33.30%-0.10%
R990.03%38.56%-0.03%
NP1,4920.86%22.23%0.16%
IAP-37-0.11%4.23%-0.01%
LIB-22-0.70%0.40%0.00%
Other-123-1.20%1.28%-0.02%
Total not D or R  28.13%0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican130
NP040
IAP310
LIB211
Other310
Not D or R040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican6150
NP1200
IAP1650
LIB1146
Other1830
Not D or R1200

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 2,5,7,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4110
Republican16251
NP3390
IAP3282
LIB18717
Other34  80
Not D or R5370

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 32 (76.19%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in 17 districts (40.48%) ADs 5,8,9,11,15,16,18,20,21,24,27,28,29,30,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican780
NP690
IAP771
LIB753
Other1032
Not D or R3120

Combined NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City

Average non-major party voter share counties is now 32.52 percent, an increase of 0.05%.

With candidates filing for state and local races this month, it will be interesting to see if the campaigns can generate enough interest to cause a shift leading up to the June primary.