By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – October 4, 2023
At the end of September, Non-Partisan voters now lead the Democratic Party by a full percentage point, increasing the difference by a full one-half of one percent in one month. The Non-Partisan lead over Republican voter share is just under four percent.
Non-Partisan also is the largest group in Clark County and among voters 18 to 34 and 35 to 54 years of age. In Washoe County, the combined share of Non-Partisan and minor party leads both major parties. Among voters 55 years of age and older, Non-Partisan, while not ahead of either major party, continues to grow.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,488 | 0.25% | 31.40% | -0.15% |
| R | 1,554 | 0.28% | 28.80% | -0.13% |
| NP | 10,371 | 1.69% | 32.43% | 0.30% |
| IAP | 633 | 0.76% | 4.37% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 74 | 0.45% | 0.86% | 0.00% |
| Other | -15 | -0.04% | 2.15% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 39.81% | 0.28% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,172 | 0.25% | 33.75% | -0.18% |
| R | 984 | 0.29% | 24.99% | -0.13% |
| NP | 8,323 | 1.80% | 33.93% | 0.34% |
| IAP | 423 | 0.73% | 4.22% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 48 | 0.46% | 0.76% | 0.00% |
| Other | -28 | -0.09% | 2.35% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 41.26% | 0.32% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 337 | 0.35% | 30.87% | -0.08% |
| R | 358 | 0.35% | 32.38% | -0.09% |
| NP | 1,035 | 1.15% | 28.95% | 0.15% |
| IAP | 162 | 1.12% | 4.65% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 17 | 0.47% | 1.16% | 0.00% |
| Other | 23 | 0.37% | 1.99% | 0.00% |
| Total not D or R | 36.75% | 0.17 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -21 | -0.05% | 17.36% | -0.11% |
| R | 212 | 0.20% | 47.62% | -0.17% |
| NP | 1,013 | 1.67% | 27.92% | 0.30% |
| IAP | 48 | 0.45% | 4.89% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 9 | 0.38% | 1.07% | 0.00% |
| Other | -10 | -0.40% | 1.13% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 35.02% | 0.28% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 535 | 0.34% | 29.22% | -0.23% |
| R | 407 | 0.46% | 16.62% | -0.11% |
| NP | 4,852 | 2.00% | 46.00% | 0.40% |
| IAP | 148 | 0.66% | 4.21% | -0.02% |
| LIB | 21 | 0.30% | 1.29% | -0.01% |
| Other | -27 | -0.19% | 2.66% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 54.15% | 0.34% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
35 – 54 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 391 | 0.22% | 30.25% | -0.16% |
| R | 380 | 0.23% | 27.29% | -0.14% |
| NP | 3,288 | 1.64% | 34.03% | 0.30% |
| IAP | 243 | 0.88% | 4.64% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 27 | 0.42% | 1.07% | 0.00% |
| Other | 21 | 0.13% | 2.71% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 42.45% | 0.29% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 561 | 0.21% | 33.78% | -0.09% |
| R | 768 | 0.26% | 38.36% | -0.09% |
| NP | 2,235 | 1.33% | 21.83% | 0.18% |
| IAP | 244 | 0.74% | 4.27% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 26 | 0.83% | 0.41% | 0.00% |
| Other | -4 | -0.04% | 1.36% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 27.87% | 0.18% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LIB | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Other | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 4 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| IAP | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| LIB | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| Other | 19 | 0 | 2 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 21 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in SDs 5,8,9,10,11,12
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 41 | 0 | 1 |
| NP | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| IAP | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| LIB | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| Other | 35 | 1 | 6 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 42 | 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,21,,29,35,41, and 42
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| IAP | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| LIB | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Other | 10 | 2 | 3 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 15 | 0 |
The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in all 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.76 percent.
With the debate over the presidential caucus in the Republican Party and recent events in Congress, the question is how will these events impact voter registration trends, if at all.