By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 2, 2023
The percentage of voters not affiliating with either major party topped 40 percent in October as Non-Partisan increased its lead as the voting bloc with the largest number of voters.
Non-Partisan remains largest group in the state, in Clark County and among voters 18 to 34 and 35 to 54 years of age. In Washoe County, the combined share of Non-Partisan and minor party leads both major parties. Among voters 55 years of age and older, Non-Partisan, while not ahead of either major party, continues to grow.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 115 | 0.02% | 31.23% | -0.16% |
| R | 723 | 0.13% | 28.68% | -0.12% |
| NP | 8,869 | 1.43% | 32.72% | 0.29% |
| IAP | 659 | 0.79% | 4.38% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 87 | 0.53% | 0.86% | 0.00% |
| Other | -121 | -0.29% | 2.13% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 40.09% | 0.28% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -63 | -0.01% | 33.58% | -0.17% |
| R | 31 | 0.01% | 24.87% | -0.12% |
| NP | 6,503 | 1.38% | 34.24% | 0.30% |
| IAP | 391 | 0.67% | 4.23% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 42 | 0.40% | 0.76% | 0.00% |
| Other | -108 | -0.33% | 2.33% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 41.55% | 0.29% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 65 | 0.07% | 30.73% | -0.14% |
| R | 207 | 0.20% | 32.28% | -0.10% |
| NP | 1,198 | 1.32% | 29.19% | 0.23% |
| IAP | 134 | 0.92% | 4.67% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 22 | 0.61% | 1.16% | 0.00% |
| Other | -6 | -0.10% | 1.98% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 36.99% | 0.24 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 113 | 0.29% | 17.26% | -0.10% |
| R | 485 | 0.46% | 47.43% | -0.19% |
| NP | 1,168 | 1.90% | 28.21% | 0.28% |
| IAP | 134 | 1.24% | 4.91% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 23 | 0.97% | 1.08% | 0.00% |
| Other | -7 | -0.28% | 1.12% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 35.31% | 0.29% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -62 | -0.04% | 28.99% | -0.24% |
| R | 223 | 0.25% | 16.54% | -0.09% |
| NP | 3,883 | 1.57% | 46.36% | 0.36% |
| IAP | 179 | 0.79% | 4.21% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 42 | 0.61% | 1.29% | 0.00% |
| Other | -71 | -0.50% | 2.62% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 54.48% | 0.33% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
35 – 54 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 86 | 0.05% | 30.09% | -0.16% |
| R | 214 | 0.13% | 27.17% | -0.12% |
| NP | 2,900 | 1.42% | 34.32% | 0.29% |
| IAP | 221 | 0.79% | 4.65% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 19 | 0.30% | 1.06% | 0.00% |
| Other | 3 | 0.02% | 2.70% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 42.73% | 0.29% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 87 | 0.03% | 33.67% | -0.10% |
| R | 282 | 0.09% | 38.26% | -0.09% |
| NP | 2,072 | 1.22% | 22.02% | 0.19% |
| IAP | 259 | 0.78% | 4.29% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 26 | 0.82% | 0.41% | 0.00% |
| Other | -57 | -0.54% | 1.35% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 28.06% | 0.20% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| LIB | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Other | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 4 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| IAP | 5 | 14 | 2 |
| LIB | 1 | 3 | 17 |
| Other | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 21 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in SDs 5,8,9,10,11,12
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| IAP | 8 | 26 | 8 |
| LIB | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| Other | 37 | 1 | 4 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 42 | 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,21,,29,35,41, and 42
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| IAP | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| LIB | 7 | 6 | 2 |
| Other | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| Not D or R | 1 | 14 | 0 |
The average voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in the 15 rural counties is now 32.32 percent.
Both the Democratic and Republican Party continue to experience internal friction according to recent reports. We are one year away from the general election, three months from the presidential primary / caucus and seven months from the state primary. What will voter share look like as we get closer?