Nevada Democratic Party Continues Voter Share Gains as GOP Drops

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

For the second month running, the Nevada Democratic Party has increased voter share while Republican Party share declines and Non-Partisan gains slow. This pattern is apparent in both voter share and rate of growth. While I believe it’s too early to declare a new trend, I think November numbers show growing interest in the upcoming Democratic presidential caucus.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 4,204 0.71% 38.28% 0.05%
R 1,990 0.38% 33.31% -0.06%
NP 2,079 0.60% 22.13% 0.01%
IAP 595 0.86% 4.45% 0.01%
LIB 127 0.81% 1.02% 0.00%
Other -26 -0.20% 0.82% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.41% 0.01

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,607 0.80% 41.94% 0.04%
R 1,628 0.52% 29.13% -0.06%
NP 1,796 0.72% 23.00% 0.00%
IAP 529 1.17% 4.21% 0.02%
LIB 104 1.05% 0.92% 0.00%
Other -6 -0.07% 0.80% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.93% 0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 672 0.69% 35.14% 0.05%
R 388 0.38% 36.47% -0.06%
NP 378 0.63% 21.46% 0.02%
IAP 83 0.66% 4.51% 0.00%
LIB 33 0.92% 1.29% 0.00%
Other -9 -0.28% 1.13% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.38% 0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -75 -0.17% 22.61% -0.01%
R -26 -0.03% 51.82% 0.05%
NP -95 -0.26% 18.24% -0.03%
IAP -17 -0.15% 5.66% 0.00%
LIB -10 -0.44% 1.14% 0.00%
Other -11 -1.04% 0.53% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.57% -0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,431 0.89% 39.10% 0.13%
R 70 0.08% 22.21% -0.11%
NP 587 0.46% 31.12% -0.03%
IAP 168 0.88% 4.63% 0.02%
LIB 54 0.76% 1.73% 0.00%
Other -35 -0.70% 1.20% -0.02%
Total not D or R     38.69% -0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,766 0.70% 38.39% 0.02%
R 1,597 0.59% 41.34% -0.03%
NP 678 0.68% 15.13% 0.00%
IAP 222 0.81% 4.18% 0.01%
LIB 31 1.03% 0.46% 0.00%
Other 18 0.54% 0.51% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.27% 0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 0 4 0
Republican 4 0 0
Non-Partisan 1 2 1
IAP 0 2 2
LIB 0 1 3
Other 3 0 1

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 4 17 0
Republican 18 2 1
Non-Partisan 6 13 2
IAP 2 13 6
LIB 3 8 10
Other 9 0 12

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 10 31 1
Republican 38 3 1
Non-Partisan 20 20 2
IAP 8 29 5
LIB 9 17 16
Other 22 2 18

In 35 districts (83%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Most monthly changes in voter share are in the low hundredths of a percent. Democratic Party gains of almost one-quarter of one percent with corresponding Republican loses over the past two months can not be ignored. We’ll look at annual changes next month.