By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
Given what has happened in recent months, voter registration numbers for May show something different. The Republican Party not only posted voter share gains across all tracked demographics; the Democratic Party and Non-Partisan lost share while minor parties held even, they also led in rate of raw voter increase
. Given that May is the lead-up month to the state and local primary election, is this an indication of interest in some of the legislative races? As of June 1st, the Republican Party also leads in turnout, 19 percent to 17 percent. Or, to play devil’s advocate, could some strategic voting be happening?
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,354 | 0.38% | 38.52% | -0.04% |
| R | 3,870 | 0.73% | 32.78% | 0.08% |
| NP | 1,389 | 0.38% | 22.60% | -0.03% |
| IAP | 296 | 0.42% | 4.38% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 52 | 0.33% | 0.97% | 0.00% |
| Other | 3 | 0.02% | 0.75% | 0.00% |
| Total not D or R | 28.70% | -0.03 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,231 | 0.47% | 42.12% | -0.04% |
| R | 2,504 | 0.78% | 28.62% | 0.06% |
| NP | 1,326 | 0.50% | 23.51% | -0.02% |
| IAP | 299 | 0.64% | 4.16% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 41 | 0.42% | 0.88% | 0.00% |
| Other | 16 | 0.20% | 0.72% | 0.00% |
| Total not D or R | 29.26% | -0.02 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 143 | 0.14% | 35.92% | -0.03% |
| R | 344 | 0.33% | 35.69% | 0.04% |
| NP | 113 | 0.18% | 21.65% | -0.01% |
| IAP | 16 | 0.12% | 4.43% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 11 | 0.30% | 1.25% | 0.00% |
| Other | -3 | -0.10% | 1.06% | 0.00% |
| Total not D or R | 28.39% | -0.01 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Rural Counties
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -20 | -0.04% | 22.57% | -0.11% |
| R | 1,022 | 0.97% | 51.39% | 0.26% |
| NP | -50 | -0.13% | 18.97% | -0.11% |
| IAP | -19 | -0.17% | 5.47% | -0.03% |
| LIB | 0 | 0.00% | 1.11% | 0.00% |
| Other | -10 | -0.98% | 0.49% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 26.04% | -0.15 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 321 | 0.19% | 39.76% | -0.06% |
| R | 664 | 0.71% | 21.48% | 0.08% |
| NP | 343 | 0.25% | 31.53% | -0.02% |
| IAP | 76 | 0.38% | 4.54% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 5 | 0.07% | 1.63% | 0.00% |
| Other | 1 | 0.02% | 1.05% | 0.00% |
| Total not D or R | 38.76% | -0.02 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,287 | 0.49% | 38.47% | -0.03% |
| R | 2,101 | 0.75% | 41.11% | 0.08% |
| NP | 342 | 0.32% | 15.40% | -0.04% |
| IAP | 83 | 0.29% | 4.10% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 7 | 0.23% | 0.44% | 0.00% |
| Other | -10 | -0.31% | 0.47% | 0.00% |
| Total not D or R | 20.42% | -0.05 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Non-Partisan | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| IAP | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LIB | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Other | 1 | 0 | 3 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| Republican | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Non-Partisan | 15 | 4 | 2 |
| IAP | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| LIB | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| Other | 9 | 2 | 10 |
In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 35 | 6 | 1 |
| Republican | 6 | 34 | 2 |
| Non-Partisan | 25 | 11 | 6 |
| IAP | 14 | 21 | 7 |
| LIB | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| Other | 17 | 3 | 22 |
In 35 districts (83.33%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
We are into the final week of early voting. Indications are that use of same-day registration is light and probably won’t impact voter share in June. What will be interesting to see is the turnout by party and whether the favorites win or there are some dark-horse surprises.