November Voter Registration Numbers Not Smiling On The Democratic Party

November voter registration data is out and it does not look good for the Democratic Party. Across all demographics; state-wide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, among voters 18 – 34 years of age and those 55 and over, the party lost voter share while Non-Partisan gained in all but Washoe County where it was unchanged. Minor party registration did almost as well losing share only in Washoe County, gaining in the rural counties and remaining even in the other areas. The Democratic Party also lost voter share in all 21 state senate districts and 41 of the 42 state assembly districts. In assembly district 40 (37,231 active registered voters) the party lost 990 voters while Non-Partisan gained 1,000.

The growth in voter share of the Republican Party is worth noting. Until August, the GOP was suffering similar loss of voter share as the Democratic Party. The party seems to have, at least temporarily, reversed that trend gaining voter share each of the past four months. We will see if this new trend continues.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,563 0.28 38.76 -0.08
R 2,686 0.55 33.51 0.02
NP 2,403 0.78 21.25 0.06
Other 419 0.45 6.49 0.00
Total not D or R 27.74 0.06

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.49/0.00%; Lib 1.08/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.28/-0.01%

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,458 0.34 42.38 -0.10
R 1,968 0.66 29.25 0.02
NP 2,120 0.94 22.23 0.08
Other 364 0.58 6.14 0.00
Total not D or R 28.37 -0.08

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.62/0.00%  Lib 1.44/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.19/-0.01%

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 104 0.12 35.21 -0.05
R 406 0.43 37.63 0.07
NP 118 0.24 20.01 0.00
Other -4 -0.02 7.14 -0.02
Total not D or R 27.15 -0.02

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.10/-0.01%; Lib 0.16/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.58 / -0.01%

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1 0.00 23.73 -0.07
R 312 0.33 51.26 0.02
NP 165 0.51 17.53 0.04
Other 59 0.42 7.48 0.01
Total not D or R 25.01 0.05

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.41/0.01%; Lib 0.90/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.28/0.00%

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 106 0.07 38.63 -0.14
R 671 0.76 23.15 0.07
NP 773 0.68 30.17 0.07
Other 119 0.39 8.06 0.00
Total not D or R 38.23 0.07

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access. Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.21/-0.01%; Lib 1.11/0.01%; other 5 parties 0.17/0.00%

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 917 0.38 39.37 -0.06
R 1,413 0.57 40.68 0.01
NP 729 0.82 14.72 0.04
Other 213 0.67 5.24 0.01
Total not D or R 19.96 0.05

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access. Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.74/0.01%; Lib -0.66/0.00%; other 5 parties 0.16/0.00%

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 4 0 0
Republican 0 4 0
Non-Partisan 0 0 0
Other 2 0 2

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 21 0 0
Republican 5 15 1
Non-Partisan 1 19 1
Other 10 6 5

In 15 districts (71.43%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This number is unchanged from October.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 41 0 1
Republican 9 28 5
Non-Partisan 4 38 0
Other 16 17 9

In 32 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one (AD 40).

Except for the segment of voters 55 years of age and older, well over a quarter of voters are not affiliated with either major political party. Among those 18 – 34 years of age, the number is rapidly approaching 40 percent. For government to function for all citizens, this voluntary disengagement must be addressed. Nevadans for Election Reform provides the means.