Non-Partisans Will Determine the Winners

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

In the 18 days of voter registration in October before the close of registration for the general election, it has become clear, those voters registered as Non-Partisan will most likely control the outcome of most partisan races.

According to the numbers from the secretary of state’s office for the 18 days covered by the report, Non-Partisan registration out-paced the major parties in both rate of growth and change in voter share. This was true state-wide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, among those 18 to 34 years of age, and those 55 years of age and older. The only exceptions, Democratic voter share among those 18 to 34 years of age and Republican voter share of those 55 and older increased slightly.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 15,891 2.73 38.32 -0.01
R 10,726 2.09 33.52 -0.22
NP 13,614 4.15 21.91 0.29
IAP 1,659 2.07 4.33 -0.03
LIB 355 2.33 1.00 0.00
Other -67 -0.47 0.91 -0.03
Total not D or R 28.15 0.23

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 13,356 3.00 41.89 -0.03
R 7,336 2.34 29.36 -0.21
NP 10,674 4.46 22.86 0.30
IAP 1,276 2.58 4.08 -0.02
LIB 259 2.66 0.91 0.00
Other -107 -1.08 0.90 -0.04
Total not D or R 28.75 0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,919 2.07 35.12 -0.04
R 1,631 1.66 37.05 -0.19
NP 2,046 3.76 20.96 0.32
IAP 186 1.02 4.39 -0.05
LIB 42 1.26 1.25 -0.01
Other 27 0.83 1.23 -0.02
Total not D or R 27.83 0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 616 1.38 22.91 -0.09
R 1,759 1.75 51.80 -0.02
NP 894 2.58 17.97 0.14
IAP 130 1.18 5.65 -0.03
LIB 54 2.49 1.13 0.01
Other 13 1.23 0.54 0.00
Total not D or R 25.29 0.12

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 8,541 5.49 38.55 0.15
R 3,359 3.57 22.86 -0.33
NP 7,698 6.20 30.98 0.32
IAP 1,005 4.02 4.50 -0.05
LIB 240 3.39 1.72 -0.03
Other 24 0.41 1.39 -0.06
Total not D or R 38.59 0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,325 1.34 38.74 -0.09
R 4,308 1.64 41.33 0.03
NP 2,209 2.35 14.88 0.11
IAP 192 0.59 4.08 -0.02
LIB 16 0.57 0.44 0.00
Other -91 -2.58 0.53 -0.02
Total not D or R 19.93 0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

 

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 3 1 0
Republican 4 0 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 4 0 0
LIB 0 0 4
Other 4 0 0

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 13 3 0
Republican 21 0 0
Non-Partisan 0 21 0
IAP 18 2 1
LIB 11 5 5
Other 19 0 2

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties..

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 33 8 1
Republican 39 2 1
Non-Partisan 0 42 0
IAP 31 7 4
LIB 21 9 12
Other 37 3 2

In 33 districts (78.57%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This was the second consecutive month of a one district increase

Early voting has started. With a record number of eligible Nevadans registered to vote and with nearly 30 percent not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party (nearly 40 percent among younger voters), many races will be determined by not only the overall turnout but how the Non-Partisan and minor party voters cast their ballots.