GOP Loses Voter Share in April; First Time in Six Months

For the first time in six months, voter share for the Republican Party in Nevada declined. According to the data released by the secretary of state’s office the loss was across the board; state-wide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, and among voters between the ages of 18 to 34 and 55 and over. Conversely, voter share of Non-Partisan increased in those same demographics. Non-Partisan also gained voter share in all 21 state senate districts and 38 of the 42 state assembly districts.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 5,330 0.98 38.38 0.03
R 2.785 0.58 34.06 -0.11
NP 3,796 1.27 21.16 0.08
IAP 832 0.92 4.45 0.00
Lib 202 1.45 0.99 0.01
Other 64 0.46 0.97 0.00
Total not D or R     27.57 0.09

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 4,632 1.13 42.09 0.03
R 1,991 0.68 29.85 -0.11
NP 3,046 1.43 22.06 0.08
IAP 725 1.24 4.16 0.01
Lib 160 1.86 0.89 0.01
Other 60 0.64 0.96 0.00
Total not D or R     28.07 0.10

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 601 0.67 35.17 0.01
R 435 0.46 37.50 -0.07
NP 560 1.10 20.22 0.09
IAP 54 0.30 4.53 -0.02
Lib 23 0.71 1.27 0.00
Other -3 -0.09 1.31 -0.01
Total not D or R     27.33 0.06

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 97 0.22 23.49 -0.04
R -30 -0.03 51.24 -0.21
NP 190 0.57 17.76 0.03
IAP 53 0.37 5.83 -0.01
Lib 19 0.92 1.10 0.01
Other 7 0.63 0.58 0.00
Total not D or R     25.27 0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,277 1.66 38.31 0.10
R 589 0.68 23.84 -0.17
NP 1,811 1.69 29.95 0.08
IAP 367 1.29 4.61 0.00
Lib 109 1.74 1.74 0.01
Other 17 0.30 1.56 -0.02
Total not D or R     37.86 0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,577 0.67 38.98 -0.01
R 1,598 0.64 41.02 -0.02
NP 819 0.92 14.79 0.03
IAP 201 0.64 4.20 0.00
Lib 12 0.43 0.45 0.00
Other 6 0.18 0.56 0.00
Total not D or R     20.01 0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 0 3 1
Republican 4 0 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
Other 1 1 2

CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 5 14 2
Republican 19 1 1
Non-Partisan 0 21 0
Other 7 10 4

In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. There was no change from March.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 21 17 4
Republican 36 6 0
Non-Partisan 2 38 2
Other 13 21 8

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a decrease of one from March.

We are six weeks away from the primary election. In spite of this Non-Partisan is showing increase in voter share. There are seven races, four Democratic and three Republican that will be decided in the primary as only one party has candidates. An average of over 50 percent of voters in those districts will have no say in who represents them.

2 Replies to “GOP Loses Voter Share in April; First Time in Six Months”

  1. It’s interesting to see the numbers declining in the demographic group of “55+”. I would think this would be the most stalwart of partisan voters.

    Let’s just hope the changes don’t stop there, but continue at the voting booth, reflecting the same dissatisfaction.

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