Post-Election Voter Registration Mirrors Election Results

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

 Given the Democratic Party dominance in the general election, it is not surprising to see November 2018 voter registration mirror the election results; Democratic and Non-Partisan gains and GOP loses.

Except for the rural counties. The Democratic Party gained voter share while the Republican Party experienced significant loses. This trend shows not only in tracked demographics but also across state congressional and legislative districts. And while the number of active registered voters in Nevada increased by 25,000, the Republican Party saw a much lower rate of growth than either the Democratic Party or Non-Partisan.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 10,975 1.83 38.41 0.09
R 6,068 1.16 33.37 -0.15
NP 6,297 1.84 21.96 0.05
IAP 1,727 1.77 4.34 0.01
LIB 310 1.99 1.00 0.00
Other 220 1.55 0.91 0.00
Total not D or R     28.21 0.06

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 9,883 2.16 41.98 0.09
R 4,757 1.48 29.22 -0.13
NP 5,195 2.08 22.89 0.03
IAP 1365 2.12 4.09 0.01
LIB 242 2.42 0.92 0.00
Other 176 1.79 0.90 0.00
Total not D or R     28.80 0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 835 0.88 35.14 0.01
R 537 0.54 36.93 -0.11
NP 684 1.21 21.04 0.08
IAP 209 1.14 4.40 0.01
LIB 43 1.28 1.26 0.01
Other 31 0.94 1.23 0.00
Total not D or R     27.93 0.10

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 257 0.57 22.85 -0.06
R 774 0.76 51.77 -0.03
NP 418 1.18 18.04 0.07
IAP 115 1.03 5.66 0.01
LIB 25 1.12 1.13 0.00
Other 13 1.21 0.55 0.00
Total not D or R     25.38 0.08

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,807 2.32 38.68 0.13
R 1,403 1.44 22.74 -0.12
NP 2,551 1.93 30.97 -0.01
IAP 604 2.08 4.50 0.01
LIB 126 1.72 1.72 0.00
Other 79 1.33 1.39 -0.01
Total not D or R     38.58 -0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,249 1.30 38.77 0.03
R 2,776 1.04 41.25 -0.08
NP 1,415 1.47 14.91 0.04
IAP 496 1.52 4.09 0.01
LIB 47 1.65 0.44 0.00
Other 47 1.37 0.53 0.00
Total not D or R     19.98 0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 0 4 0
Republican 4 0 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 4 0
LIB 0 4 0
Other 0 0 4

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 5 15 1
Republican 21 0 0
Non-Partisan 4 15 2
IAP 3 11 7
LIB 1 9 11
Other 4 2 15

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 11 28 3
Republican 40 1 1
Non-Partisan 10 32 0
IAP 10 22 10
LIB 5 17 20
Other 11 12 19

In 33 districts (7857%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Non-Partisan voters are now 22 percent of active registered voters with 28 percent not registered as either Democratic or Republican. In the largest voting bloc, Baby Boomers, 20 percent are not affiliated with either major party, 15 percent Non-Partisan and among those between the ages of 18 and 34, these number are 39 percent and 31 percent respectfully. Only five percent separate the Democratic and Republican Party statewide and in what was once a solid GOP county, Washoe, less than two percent separate the two major parties; 28 percent are not affiliated with either party with 21 percent Non-Partisan.

Nevada voters just approved automatic voter registration. Now whenever an eligible person does business at the Department of Motor Vehicles they will be automatically registered to vote or if they are already registered their registration will be updated (if needed) unless they specifically say “no”. Because of the way the process is written, the number of Non-Partisan voters is expected to rise significantly. Only time will tell but will Non-Partisans become the largest segment of voters by 2020?