Non-Partisan Increases Voter Share Lead Over Democratic Party

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – September 2, 2023

NOTE: This report now includes figures for Generation X, those between the age of 35 and 54. Similar to the 18 to 34 age group, Non-Partisan is the largest bloc in this group.

Active registered voters in Nevada continued to abandon the two major political parties in August with Non-Partisan expanding its lead over the Democratic Party to over one-half of one percent (0.57%), an increase of 0.4 percent in one month. Growth of voters now registered to vote as Non-Partisan continues across the board.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-936-0.16%31.55%-0.14%
R-89-0.02%28.93%-0.09%
NP6,7771.12%32.12%0.26%
IAP2080.25%4.37%0.00%
LIB-21-0.13%0.86%0.00%
Other-317-0.76%2.17%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.52%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,175-0.25%33.93%-0.14%
R-699-0.20%25.11%-0.09%
NP4,2880.94%33.60%0.26%
IAP420.07%4.23%0.00%
LIB-32-0.31%0.76%0.00%
Other-353-1.07%2.37%-0.03%
Total not D or R  40.95%0.23%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2370.25%30.95%-0.12%
R3110.31%32.46%-0.11%
NP1,2941.46%28.80%0.23%
IAP1080.75%4.62%0.01%
LIB70.19%1.16%-0.01%
Other350.57%2.00%0.00%
Total not D or R  36.58%0.23

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D20.01%17.47%-0.12%
R2990.29%47.79%-0.20%
NP1,1952.01%27.62%0.35%
IAP580.54%4.90%-0.01%
LIB40.17%1.08%-0.01%
Other10.04%1.14%-0.01%
Total not D or R  34.74%0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,140-0.72%29.45%-0.24%
R-428-0.48%16.73%-0.09%
NP2,3550.98%45.60%0.40%
IAP-70-0.31%4.23%-0.02%
LIB-53-0.76%1.30%-0.01%
Other-218-1.50%2.69%-0.04%
Total not D or R  53.82%0.33%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-297-0.16%30.41%-0.13%
R-138-0.08%27.43%-0.10%
NP2,0531.03%33.73%0.25%
IAP840.31%4.63%0.00%
LIB260.41%1.07%0.00%
Other-78-0.48%2.73%-0.02%
Total not D or R  42.16%0.23%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5040.19%33.87%-0.09%
R4790.16%38.45%-0.11%
NP2,3641.43%21.65%0.21%
IAP1930.59%4.26%0.01%
LIB60.19%0.40%0.00%
Other-21-0.20%1.37%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.68%0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP202
LIB202
Other301

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP876
LIB9210
Other1812
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4101
NP0420
IAP171510
LIB17520
Other36  15

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,21,27,29,35,41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1320
Republican1500
NP0150
IAP861
LIB834
Other726

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in all 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.76 percent.

As we head into the 2024 election cycle it will be interesting to see how recent events impact these number over the next few months.