SB 499 Strikes Again – Why We Need Final Five Voting

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 21, 2022

The primary election is over (results will be certified on June 24th) and once again we have partisan races in closed primaries determining the overall winner of the office. SB 499 strikes again.

SB 499 changed the way elections for partisan offices where only one major party fields candidates, no minor party or Non-Partisan candidates running for the position. Prior to this bill, if this condition presented itself the following applies:

  • If only two candidates were running both would automatically advance (no primary election) to the general election so all voters could make their choice known.
  • If three or more candidates were running the top two finishers in the primary would advance to the general election, again so all voters could cast a ballot.

Under SB 499, a primary is held and the winner of the primary advances to the general election unopposed. Since Nevada conducts closed primaries, only the members of the party of the candidates vote. Since primary election turnout is significantly lower than the general election, this means a small fraction of the party and an even smaller fraction of the district is determining the winner.

Since SB 499 became effective for the 2016 election, 12 state legislative races were determined in the closed primaries. This cycle we add four (4) more. If you add in county partisan races, the total is more than doubled.

DistrictParty% Party TurnoutWinner % of turnoutWinner % of party registrationWinner % of total district registration
SD 17Republican48.75%51.64%25.17%12.3%
AD 19Republican44.75%42.10%18.84%8.0%
AD 36Republican44.79%51.92%23.26%9.46%
AD 38Republican44.55%57.09%25.43%12.01%

I would think it will be difficult for any of these winners; they will be officially elected in November as long as they each receive at least one (1) vote, to claim they represent their constituents. Perhaps claiming they represent the majority of their party members who voted in the primary is sufficient. (Note in two of the races the winner did not receive the majority)

The state legislature has twice refused to reverse this change, returning to the process that allowed all voters in the district to have their voices heard and vote counted, in 2017 and again in 2019.

In all likelihood there will be a ballot initiative on the general election ballot in November 2022 that will correct this and provide all voters, regardless of party, the choice to vote for any candidate, regardless of political party in the primary and then have a louder voice in the general  election by allowing voters to vote for the five candidates for any office in order of their preference for each candidate.

GOP Posts Voter Share Gains; Unaffiliated Tops 50 Percent Among Younger Voters in Month Leading Up to Primary

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 2, 2022

Two notable changes in the May voter registration numbers. Republican Party voter share registered gains across the board and among voters 18 to 34 years of age, voter share of those not registered in either major party topped 50 percent. Non-Partisan voter share gained except among voters 55 years of age and older, holding basically even in Washoe County. Conversely, the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share in all sectors as do the minor parties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,5870.60%33.13%-0.08%
R6,9821.30%29.90%0.13%
NP5,2571.01%28.89%0.04%
IAP-14-0.02%4.40%-0.04%
LIB40.02%0.92%-0.01%
Other-413-0.81%2.77%-0.05%
Total not D or R  36.98%-0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3430.73%36.00%-0.08%
R4,7801.46%25.90%0.13%
NP4,2391.12%29.94%0.05%
IAP800.15%4.25%-0.03%
LIB100.10%0.81%-0.01%
Other-285-0.71%3.09%-0.05%
Total not D or R  38.09%-0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1880.19%32.14%-0.05%
R7910.77%33.00%0.14%
NP2340.28%26.73%-0.01%
IAP-84-0.59%4.56%-0.04%
LIB-6-0.16%1.21%-0.01%
Other-81-1.09%2.36%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.86%-0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D560.13%18.42%-0.15%
R1,4111.30%47.96%0.16%
NP7841.34%25.93%0.09%
IAP-10-0.09%5.05%-0.05%
LIB00.00%1.12%-0.01%
Other-47-1.33%1.53%-0.04%
Total not D or R  33.62%-0.01%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1060.69%31.86%-0.13%
R1,0731.18%18.09%0.02%
NP3,2421.60%40.53%0.20%
IAP1550.70%4.39%-0.02%
LIB170.23%1.44%-0.01%
Other-102-0.54%3.69%-0.06%
Total not D or R  50.06%0.11%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1820.46%35.02%-0.07%
R3,8841.36%39.04%0.27%
NP1550.11%19.59%-0.11%
IAP-237-0.75%4.24%-0.06%
LIB-22-0.70%0.42%-0.01%
Other-179-1.40%1.69%-0.04%
Total not D or R  25.94%-0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican040
NP040
IAP400
LIB220
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican0210
NP7140
IAP1920
LIB1218
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3912
Republican2382
NP17232
IAP3543
LIB24810
Other41  10

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican3120
NP5100
IAP1320
LIB825
Other1410

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

The gain in Republican Party voter share raises a question. Do voters want to see a competitive general election or is there a desire to ensure GOP candidates nominated are the weakest against Democratic opponents?

With Early Voting Only Weeks Away Major Parties Continue to Lose Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – May 4, 2022

With early voting for the 2022 primary election just weeks away, both the Democratic and Republican Party as well as the minor parties lost voter share in April while Non-Partisan share gains showed no signs of abating. The combined voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican continues to be the leading segment of voters statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties while Non-Partisan continues as the leading group among voters 18 to 34 years of age topping 40 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,4290.58%33.21%-0.17%
R4,2120.79%29.76%-0.09%
NP11,2952.22%28.84%0.32%
IAP6820.86%4.44%-0.01%
LIB1400.85%0.92%0.00%
Other-146-0.29%2.82%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.02%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3700.74%36.09%-0.19%
R2,9150.90%25.77%-0.09%
NP8,9092.41%29.90%0.33%
IAP6741.26%4.29%0.00%
LIB1241.22%0.81%0.00%
Other-70-0.18%3.15%-0.05%
Total not D or R  38.14%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1790.18%32.19%-0.14%
R5480.54%32.86%-0.03%
NP1,1971.46%26.74%0.22%
IAP440.31%4.60%-0.01%
LIB40.11%1.22%-0.01%
Other-59-0.78%2.40%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.95%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-120-0.28%18.58%-0.20%
R7490.70%47.80%-0.04%
NP1,1892.07%25.83%0.32%
IAP-36-0.31%5.10%-0.06%
LIB120.47%1.13%0.00%
Other-17-0.48%1.56%-0.02%
Total not D or R  33.62%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D9940.62%31.99%-0.26%
R6960.77%18.07%-0.12%
NP5,2682.67%40.32%0.48%
IAP2471.13%4.41%-0.01%
LIB720.99%1.46%-0.01%
Other-109-0.57%3.75%-0.08%
Total not D or R  49.94%0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3190.51%35.09%-0.12%
R2,2710.80%38.77%-0.02%
NP2,4051.68%19.69%0.16%
IAP1870.59%4.30%-0.01%
LIB90.29%0.43%0.00%
Other-14-0.11%1.73%-0.02%
Total not D or R  26.15%0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP202
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2010
NP0210
IAP1361
LIB9210
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican3651
NP0420
IAP20139
LIB131217
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican780
NP2130
IAP1410
LIB663
Other1221

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Older voters, those over 55 years of age appear to remain loyal to the major parties. However, those who have abandoned those two parties now comprise over 25 percent of those in this age group.

Nevadans will start going to the polls in just over three (3) weeks to cast votes in the primary election. Since a voter must be registered in one of the two major parties to vote in most of the races, will the major parties pick up share leading up to the election or will voters continue to reject the parties despite not being able to vote the full primary ballot?

Despite Voter Roll Maintenance Non-Partisan Continues Voter Share Gains

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – April 3, 2022

March was a voter roll maintenance month. With the normal decline of active registered voters and corresponding decline in voter share, Non-Partisan share seems immune, increasing share across all tracked demographics. The Republican Party also gained share statewide, in Clark county, and among voters 55 years of age and older.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-28,709-4.59%33.39%-0.26%
R-18,604-3.37%29.85%0.15%
NP-15,939-3.03%28.53%0.24%
IAP-3,743-4.50%4.45%-0.03%
LIB-939-5.38%0.93%-0.01%
Other-3,612-6.61%2.86%-0.08%
Total not D or R  36.76%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-28,151-5.84%36.28%-0.17%
R-17,825-5.22%25.87%0.05%
NP-17,376-4.49%29.56%0.28%
IAP-3,655-6.38%4.29%-0.05%
LIB-905-8.16%0.81%-0.02%
Other-3,451-7.95%3.19%-0.09%
Total not D or R  37.85%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-82-0.08%32.33%-0.14%
R1320.13%32.88%-0.07%
NP1,0531.30%26.52%0.25%
IAP350.25%4.61%0.00%
LIB-8-0.21%1.22%-0.01%
Other-84-1.11%2.43%-0.04%
Total not D or R  34.79%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-476-1.11%18.78%-0.11%
R-911-0.84%47.85%-0.14%
NP3840.67%25.51%0.31%
IAP-123-1.05%5.16%-0.03%
LIB-26-1.01%1.13%-0.01%
Other-77-2.12%1.58%-0.03%
Total not D or R  33.38%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-11,113-6.50%32.25%-0.47%
R-5,088-5.34%18.19%-0.04%
NP-7,144-3.49%39.84%0.68%
IAP-1,328-5.71%4.42%-0.03%
LIB-490-6.33%1.46%-0.02%
Other-1,724-8.33%3.83%-0.13%
Total not D or R  49.56%0.50%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,916-2.98%35.20%-0.17%
R-6,744-2.32%38.79%0.08%
NP-2,550-1.75%19.53%0.15%
IAP-1,018-3.13%4.31%-0.03%
LIB-115-3.54%0.43%0.00%
Other-570-4.28%1.74%-0.03%
Total not D or R  26.01%0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP310
IAP400
LIB400
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1380
NP0210
IAP1911
LIB1920
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4011
Republican23190
NP0420
IAP3633
LIB3516
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In two (50%) congressional, eight (38.1%) state senate, and 17 (40.48%) state assembly districts, the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1401
Republican1140
NP2130
IAP1050
LIB735
Other1212

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Jon Ralston, CEO of the Nevada Independent continues to track the number of voters changing parties. In March, once again, more Democratic voters changed to Republican or Non-Partisan than their Republican counterparts. Also, among Non-Partisans changing party registration to a political party, more chose the Republican Party than the Democratic Party. How this trend, should it continue, impacts the results of the primary will be interesting to see.

Voters Not Registered As Democratic or Republican Increase Voter Share Lead in February

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 3, 2022

The percentage of voters not registered to vote in either the Democratic or Republican Party expanded its lead in February, according to the numbers from the secretary of state.  That group continues to be the largest block of voters statewide and in both Clark and Washoe county. Among voters 18 to 34 years of age, those registered as Non-Partisan remain the largest group and when combined with those registered in a minor party is nearing 50 percent.

Looking at Congressional and legislative districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican leads in two of the four Congressional districts, eight of the 21 state senate districts and 17 of the 42 state assembly districts.  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8560.14%33.65%-0.17%
R1,4560.26%29.71%-0.11%
NP9,2961.80%28.28%0.32%
IAP4560.55%4.48%0.00%
LIB1050.60%0.94%0.00%
Other-443-0.80%2.94%-0.04%
Total not D or R  36.64%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8390.17%36.45%-0.20%
R1,2070.35%25.82%-0.09%
NP7,0981.87%29.28%0.33%
IAP3760.66%4.33%0.00%
LIB700.63%0.84%0.00%
Other-254-0.58%3.28%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.73%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1450.15%32.47%-0.14%
R3040.30%32.95%-0.09%
NP1,2961.63%26.27%0.27%
IAP900.64%4.62%0.00%
LIB160.42%1.23%0.00%
Other-96-1.25%2.47%-0.05%
Total not D or R  34.58%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-128-0.30%18.89%-0.11%
R-55-0.05%47.99%-0.16%
NP9021.61%25.20%0.33%
IAP-10-0.09%5.18%-0.02%
LIB190.74%1.14%0.01%
Other-93-2.49%1.61%-0.05%
Total not D or R  33.12%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D310.02%32.72%-0.27%
R1140.12%18.23%-0.13%
NP4,2262.11%39.16%0.49%
IAP1280.55%4.45%-0.01%
LIB310.40%1.48%-0.01%
Other-192-0.92%3.96%-0.07%
Total not D or R  49.05%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4310.16%35.37%-0.11%
R8460.29%38.71%-0.07%
NP2,2161.55%19.38%0.21%
IAP1670.52%4.34%0.00%
LIB120.37%0.43%0.00%
Other-158-1.17%1.78%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.93%0.18%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2111
Republican310
NP040
IAP211
LIB013
Other211

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1470
Republican1560
NP1200
IAP1092
LIB9102
Other1551

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic27150
Republican27150
NP6351
IAP22182
LIB17178
Other32  91

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican105 
NP2130
IAP1032
LIB555
Other1203

Jon Ralston and the Nevada Independent look at the number of voters changing parties. While the numbers are interesting; more Democratic voters changing to Republican, they may become more meaningful as we get closer to the primary. Are voters changing parties in hopes to sway the nomination to a candidate least likely to win the general election? We’ll also be watching the voter share trend. Will the major parties gain voter share in the months leading up to June or during same-day registration or will fewer voters be eligible to vote since Nevada’s primary elections are closed to non-party members?    

2022 Starts With Non-Partisan Increasing Voter Share Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – February 5, 2022

As we start the election year of 2022, voter registration numbers for January, in spite of being a voter roll maintenance month, showed no change in the pattern of Non-Partisan voter share expanding its lead. Thanks to Nevada Independent CEO Jon Ralston, we also have a picture of movement between the major parties and Non-Partisan.  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,321-0.53%33.81%-0.12%
R-2,068-0.37%29.82%-0.06%
NP4,3910.86%27.96%0.28%
IAP-240-0.29%4.49%-0.01%
LIB-153-0.87%0.94%-0.01%
Other-1,715-3.02%2.98%-0.09%
Total not D or R  36.37%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6120.13%36.64%-0.17%
R9960.29%25.91%-0.08%
NP6,4561.73%28.95%0.32%
IAP3170.56%4.33%0.00%
LIB660.60%0.84%0.00%
Other-564-1.28%3.32%-0.06%
Total not D or R  37.45%0.26%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,926-3.78%32.60%0.05%
R-3,447-3.29%33.04%0.21%
NP-3,237-3.90%26.00%0.00%
IAP-609-4.13%4.62%-0.01%
LIB-238-5.93%1.23%-0.03%
Other-1,037-11.87%2.51%-0.23%
Total not D or R  34.36%-0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7-0.02%19.00%-0.13%
R3830.35%48.15%-0.15%
NP1,1722.13%24.87%0.36%
IAP520.44%5.20%-0.01%
LIB190.75%1.13%0.00%
Other-114-2.97%1.65%-0.06%
Total not D or R  32.85%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,036-1.18%32.99%-0.20%
R-1,452-1.50%18.36%-0.18%
NP1,4100.71%38.67%0.49%
IAP-190-0.81%4.46%-0.01%
LIB-115-1.47%1.49%-0.01%
Other-554-2.58%4.03%-0.08%
Total not D or R  48.65%0.39%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-420-0.16%35.48%-0.08%
R-34-0.01%38.78%-0.03%
NP1,6691.18%19.17%0.21%
IAP270.08%4.34%0.00%
LIB20.06%0.43%0.00%
Other-695-4.90%1.81%-0.09%
Total not D or R  25.75%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican310
NP130
IAP112
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1821
Republican1650
NP2190
IAP1065
LIB867
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3570
Republican3741
NP4380
IAP21147
LIB161313
Other38  40

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

New district maps are in place. Any pending challenge must be resolved before candidate filing begins on March 7, 2022. The questions remains: Will voter share of the Democratic and Republican Party increase in the run-up to the June primary? To what extent ill voters decide to use same-day registration?

2021 – Non-Partisan and Minor Parties Register Significant Voter Share Growth While Major Parties Record Loses

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – January5, 2021

2021 witnessed significant voter share growth for Non-Partisan and minor parties while both the Democratic and Republican Party saw similar noteworthy loses. For the month of December 2021, the numbers continue to show the same trend. It is important to note that as in November, the voter share of those listed as “other” once again saw very minor declines. 

The perception is that the increase in Non-Partisan voters is almost totally due to automatic voter registration and the Department of Motor Vehicles. However, the secretary of state’s office reports the percent of new voter registrations defaulting to Non-Partisan is only 59 percent.

Another interesting fact is the number of major party voters changing parties or registering as Non-Partisan. Jon Ralston of the Nevada Independent tracks that movement here.

The Nevada legislature approved new district maps and the governor approved them in November. While a lawsuit has been filed challenging the maps, they are in effect until a judge rules otherwise. The by-district numbers for December appear to reflect the impact of the redrawn districts.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D1,6140.26%33.94%-0.18%-2.70%
R2,2930.42%29.88%-0.11%-2.47%
NP10,3672.07%27.68%0.35%3.59%
IAP6360.77%4.49%0.00%-0.02%
LIB1170.67%0.95%0.00%-0.03%
Other-709-1.23%3.07%-0.06%1.63%
Total not D or R  36.19%0.29%5.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D1,5000.31%36.82%-0.20%-3.11%
R1,5900.47%25.99%-0.10%-2.47%
NP7,9382.17%28.63%0.37%3.73%
IAP4600.82%4.34%0.00%0.00%
LIB930.86%0.84%0.00%-0.03%
Other-461-1.03%3.39%-0.06%1.89%
Total not D or R  37.19%029%5.58%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D1090.11%32.56%-0.13%-1.97%
R2890.28%32.83%-0.08%-2.11%
NP1,2261.50%25.99%0.25%2.86%
IAP1160.79%4.63%0.01%0.06%
LIB-1-0.02%1.26%-0.01%-0.02%
Other-120-1.36%2.74%-0.05%1.18%
Total not D or R  34.61%0.20%4.07%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D50.01%19.13%-0.13%-1.86%
R4140.38%48.30%-0.16%-2.39%
NP1,2032.24%24.51%0.37%3.67%
IAP600.52%5.21%-0.01%-0.20%
LIB251.00%1.13%0.00%-0.01%
Other-128-3.22%1.71%-0.07%0.79%
Total not D or R  32.57%0.29%4.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Change 2020 – 2021 by county

CountyDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
Carson City-1.86%-2.88%3.98%-0.05%-0.01%0.83%4.75%
Churchill-1.56%-1.97%3.10%-0.29%-0.03%0.75%3.53%
Douglas-1.30%-2.41%2.78%0.01%0.07%0.86%3.72%
Elko-1.27%-2.10%2.90%-0.07%-0.12%0.66%3.37%
Esmeralda-2.99%-4.89%8.77%-0.91%0.08%-0.06%7.88%
Eureka-0.46%-2.60%3.49%-0.64%-0.07%0.28%3.06%
Humboldt-0.66%-1.69%1.79%-0.01%-0.05%0.62%2.35%
lander-1.45%-2.14%3.32%-0.30%0.11%0.45%3.58%
Lincoln-2.49%0.58%1.69%-0.83%0.01%1.04%1.91%
Lyon-2.11%-3.08%4.53%-0.21%-0.02%0.89%5.19%
Mineral-2.79%-2.57%5.78%-0.68%-0.02%0.28%5.36%
Nye-3.24%-1.86%4.74%-0.49%-0.07%0.92%5.10%
Pershing-1.31%-2.62%3.59%-0.11%0.07%0.38%3.93%
Storey-1.52%-1.82%2.63%-0.23%0.15%0.78%3.34%
White Pine-1.98%-2.62%4.39%-0.26%0.02%0.45%4.60%

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D2540.15%33.19%-0.26%-4.31%
R2310.24%18.53%-0.13%-2.88%
NP4,4182.27%38.19%0.50%5.39%
IAP1490.64%4.47%-0.01%-0.25%
LIB440.57%1.50%-0.01%-0.12%
Other-224-1.03%4.12%-0.08%2.18%
Total not D or R  48.28%0.40%7.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change  
D6390.24%35.56%-0.12%-1.68%
R1,0090.35%38.81%-0.06%-1.97%
NP2,3131.69%18.96%0.23%2.52%
IAP2560.80%4.34%0.01%0.14%
LIB80.25%0.43%0.00%0.00%
Other-85-0.58%1.90%-0.05%4.44%
Total not D or R  25.63%0.19%3.65%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic220
Republican220
NP130
IAP220
LIB211
Other220

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Change 2020 – 2021

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
1-8.32%3.57%2.94%0.23%-0.03%1.60%4.75%
2-1.85%-2.20%3.04%0.00%-0.02%1.04%4.06%
3-0.68%-4.99%3.80%-0.13%-0.04%2.04%5.67%
4-2.14%-3.81%4.28%-0.11%-0.03%1.80%5.95%

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1470
Republican1470
NP3180
IAP8121
LIB885
Other1650

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Change 2020 – 2021

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
1-3.53%-2.33%3.83%-0.07%0.03%2.07%5.86%
2-6.79%-0.55%5.44%-0.09%-0.01%2.00%7.33%
3-6.46%1.49%3.24%-0.01%-0.01%1.76%4.97%
4-5.48%-0.55%4.21%-0.06%-0.05%1.93%6.03%
5-4.21%-0.71%3.11%0.08%-0.06%1.79%4.92%
6-1.92%-3.54%3.58%0.07%0.00%1.81%5.46%
7-2.18%-3.90%4.44%-0.16%-0.08%1.88%6.09%
8-1.77%-4.32%3.98%0.11%-0.06%2.07%6.09%
9-0.08%-4.91%3.17%-0.21%-0.10%2.12%4.98%
10-7.66%1.08%5.01%-0.20%-0.05%1.83%6.59%
11-7.72%1.81%3.47%0.26%0.02%2.15%5.91%
123.60%-11.17%5.37%-0.17%0.10%2.26%7.57%
13-3.10%-1.84%3.75%-0.01%-0.05%1.26%4.94%
14-1.62%-2.27%2.84%-0.03%0.02%1.06%3.89%
15-1.65%-2.12%2.55%0.04%-0.03%1.20%3.77%
16-1.51%-2.50%2.98%0.09%-0.01%0.94%4.01%
17-1.64%-2.63%3.54%-0.13%0.02%0.85%4.27%
18-1.60%-3.07%2.84%0.10%-0.04%1.77%4.67%
19-2.12%-2.56%3.86%-0.23%-0.06%1.11%4.68%
20-9.60%7.98%0.72%0.39%-0.16%0.67%1.62%
21-2.95%-2.91%3.98%0.08%-0.02%3.48%5.87%

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic28131
Republican23190
NP9321
IAP15225
LIB15198
Other32  100

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Change 2020 – 2021

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
1-2.92%-1.67%2.79%0.01%0.05%1.73%4.58%
2-0.98%-4.46%3.43%0.15%-0.06%1.92%5.44%
3-6.38%1.27%3.23%0.13%-0.02%1.77%5.11%
4-2.03%-1.92%2.24%0.06%-0.06%1.71%3.95%
5-2.10%-5.07%4.90%0.00%-0.06%2.33%7.17%
6-5.58%-0.62%4.43%-0.18%-0.04%1.98%6.20%
7-5.72%-0.18%4.01%0.06%-0.05%1.88%5.90%
8-4.69%-1.38%3.86%-0.03%0.01%2.24%6.08%
9-2.83%-2.85%3.73%-0.09%-0.02%2.07%5.68%
10-6.53%1.50%3.35%-0.11%-0.01%1.80%5.03%
11-6.84%-0.77%5.60%0.13%-0.06%1.94%7.61%
12-1.61%-3.60%3.60%-0.06%-0.09%1.76%5.21%
13-0.17%-5.33%3.61%0.04%-0.01%1.87%5.50%
14-5.39%-1.24%4.34%0.30%0.09%1.89%6.62%
15-7.64%-2.99%8.27%0.05%0.16%2.16%10.63%
16-7.54%4.93%1.81%-0.46%-0.23%1.49%2.61%
17-4.79%-1.80%4.37%-0.03%0.00%2.25%6.59%
18-3.38%-2.81%4.46%-0.15%-0.09%1.96%6.18%
19-7.63%4.30%2.27%0.12%-0.01%0.96%3.34%
20-0.71%-4.78%3.97%-0.16%-0.05%1.73%5.48%
21-3.11%-2.10%3.43%0.13%-0.05%1.69%5.20%
22-1.54%-3.72%3.37%0.05%0.02%1.82%5.26%
23-0.66%-1.76%2.63%0.31%-0.05%-0.48%2.42%
24-3.57%-1.46%4.02%-0.05%-0.07%1.13%5.04%
25-1.24%-2.22%2.21%0.15%0.01%1.09%3.46%
26-1.37%-2.28%2.48%0.16%-0.02%1.03%3.65%
27-2.17%-1.98%2.97%-0.09%-0.07%1.34%4.15%
28-6.71%-0.31%5.28%-0.35%0.04%2.05%7.03%
29-1.36%-5.04%4.50%-0.11%-0.01%2.02%6.39%
30-2.63%-2.25%3.51%0.02%-0.03%1.38%4.87%
31-1.80%-2.37%2.81%0.00%0.03%1.33%4.16%
32-1.47%-2.09%2.86%-0.06%0.01%0.75%3.56%
33-1.46%-1.74%2.87%-0.22%-0.10%0.65%3.20%
34-3.28%-1.93%3.43%-0.12%-0.03%1.93%5.22%
35-3.01%-1.78%2.48%0.19%-0.05%2.18%4.79%
36-2.04%-3.81%4.63%-0.22%-0.04%1.47%5.85%
37-0.51%-5.39%3.90%0.21%0.04%1.75%5.90%
38-1.85%-2.91%4.19%-0.23%-0.04%0.85%4.76%
39-1.51%-2.42%3.04%-0.04%0.07%0.85%3.92%
40-1.70%-2.75%3.60%0.01%0.01%0.84%4.45%
41-2.80%-3.22%3.68%0.04%-0.07%2.37%6.02%
42-5.11%-0.39%3.52%0.00%-0.10%2.07%5.49%

As we begin an election year, it will be interesting to see if interest in the closed primaries cause voters to register accordingly and switch back before the general election in November.

November Voter Registration Continues Trend As GOP Drops Below Thirty Percent

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 1, 2021

Voters continued to shun both the Democratic and Republican Party with both major parties once again losing voter share in November (the GOP fell below thirty percent), with the combined voter share of those registered as Non-Partisan and “other” remaining the largest segment of active voters.  However, November’s increase was solely accountable to Non-Partisan as the “other” category experienced a small decline in voter share across all tracked demographics.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3510.22%34.11%-0.16%
R1,6180.29%29.99%-0.12%
NP9,1151.85%27.33%0.31%
IAP6290.77%4.49%0.00%
LIB1230.71%0.95%0.00%
Other-342-0.59%3.13%-0.04%
Total not D or R  35.90%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3650.29%37.02%-0.18%
R1,2770.38%26.09%-0.10%
NP6,9961.95%28.26%0.32%
IAP5280.95%4.34%0.01%
LIB760.70%0.84%0.00%
Other-192-0.43%3.45%-0.04%
Total not D or R  36.89%029%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2060.20%32.69%-0.14%
R4050.39%32.90%-0.08%
NP1,2761.59%25.74%0.24%
IAP1250.86%4.61%0.01%
LIB421.06%1.27%0.01%
Other-86-0.96%2.79%-0.04%
Total not D or R  34.41%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-220-0.51%19.26%-0.14%
R-64-0.06%48.46%-0.13%
NP8431.59%24.15%0.33%
IAP-24-0.21%5.22%-0.02%
LIB50.20%1.13%0.00%
Other-64-1.59%1.78%-0.03%
Total not D or R  32.28%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2000.12%33.45%-0.26%
R2280.24%18.66%-0.12%
NP4,1002.15%37.69%0.46%
IAP1680.73%4.49%-0.01%
LIB590.76%1.51%0.00%
Other-182-0.83%4.20%-0.07%
Total not D or R  47.88%0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6390.24%35.68%-0.11%
R1,0090.35%38.87%-0.08%
NP2,3131.69%18.73%0.21%
IAP2560.80%4.33%0.01%
LIB80.25%0.44%0.00%
Other-85-0.58%1.95%-0.02%
Total not D or R  25.45%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP022
LIB013
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP4107
LIB5412
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP0420
IAP81816
LIB131019
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Opponents of the new district maps approved by the legislature highlighted the growing number of Non-Partisan voters during discussion, stressing that these voters will not be properly represented under the revised boundaries. While the maps were approved and signed by Governor Sisolak, their fate will lie in the court.

Rank Choice Voting is Good for Business – OPINION

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 4, 2021

Rank Choice Voting (RCV) is good for business and community economic development.  

Business thrives when owners can plan in advance for growth, or downturn. Lack of planning can cause disruption, loss of sales, and even the loss of the business itself. Our current political climate of hyper-partisanship does not allow business to plan as owners have no idea what regulations, taxes, or other events will be in place from one day to the next. As stated in the Harvard Business Review, the current political environment is the biggest impediment to economic growth in the nation. A follow-up report also states that if politics were a business, it would be failing.

If a business is fortunate enough to be able to grow, owners are looking to expand. This expansion often has the business looking to expand to other states where policies are business-friendly, and their employees can enjoy the best quality of life. In Nevada, both the LVGEA (Las Vegas Global Economic Alliance) and EDAWN (Economic Development Authority of Western Nevada) function with the purpose of attracting businesses to locate in the state.

In 2014 I posed the following question to the executive director of both organizations. Would the existence of a less toxic political environment be considered a plus? Given an overwhelming majority of Americans want their elected officials to solve the issues they face, collaborate on solutions (the word compromise is usually used but I prefer the word collaborate because there is a difference), and not refuse to even talk to one another, would a location whose political process fostered such action be preferred? Both answered “very possibly”.

Is RCV good for business? RCV:

  • Allows elected officials to work together without the fear of being “primaried”
  • Reduces attack ads due to the need for second or third choice votes
  • Allows voters to vote their conscience without fear that they are wasting their vote and that their vote counts
  • Expands opportunity for candidates from marginalized and / or under-represented populations
  • Because it fosters collaboration, allows businesses to plan with more certainty.
  • Provides employees, as voters, a sense that they are the focus of their elected officials, not a necessary inconvenience.

The economic impacts of RCV are not normally part of the conversation. Maybe they should be.

Redistricting is Upon Us With Non-Major Party Voters Expanding Their Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 2, 2021

Before the end of this month, the governor will call the Nevada legislature into special session to draw and approve new Congressional and state legislative districts. The looming question is how will lawmakers factor in the largest share of voters, those not registered in either the Democratic or Republican Party. Party affiliation of voters is not a formal requirement and the legality of considering the party affiliation when drawing district lines has questioned. The United States Supreme Court has left that decision to the states.

October voter registration continued to see the decline of the major party and a continued surge in the number of Non-Partisan and minor party voters. The only demographic where the voter share of non-major party voters is less than 30 percent is among voters 55 years of age and older.

To provide a better look at the challenge being faced by the legislature, a by-district voter share analysis is included below.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,9790.32%34.27%-0.20%
R1,5140.28%30.10%-0.19%
NP9,7572.02%27.01%0.30%
IAP6940.86%4.49%0.00%
LIB1130.66%0.95%0.00%
Other2,1293.82%3.17%0.09%
Total not D or R  35.62%0.39%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,8090.38%37.20%-0.23%
R1,1310.34%26.20%-0.17%
NP7,3572.09%27.94%0.30%
IAP5250.95%4.33%0.00%
LIB880.82%0.84%0.00%
Other1,7223.99%3.49%0.10%
Total not D or R  36.60%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2990.29%32.83%-0.16%
R3360.32%32.98%-0.15%
NP1,3611.72%25.49%0.24%
IAP1340.93%4.60%0.01%
LIB180.46%1.26%0.00%
Other2953.41%2.83%0.07%
Total not D or R  34.19%0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-129-0.30%19.40%-0.16%
R470.04%48.59%-0.22%
NP1,0392.00%23.82%0.35%
IAP350.30%5.24%-0.01%
LIB70.28%1.13%0.00%
Other1122.85%1.82%0.04%
Total not D or R  32.01%0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4170.24%33.71%-0.32%
R830.09%18.79%-0.21%
NP4,4492.39%37.23%0.44%
IAP1870.82%4.49%-0.02%
LIB270.35%1.51%-0.01%
Other8043.82%4.27%0.11%
Total not D or R  47.50%0.52%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,0400.40%35.80%-0.13%
R1,1890.42%38.95%-0.13%
NP2,4021.79%18.52%0.19%
IAP3151.00%4.32%0.01%
LIB351.10%0.44%0.00%
Other5023.57%1.98%0.05%
Total not D or R  25.25%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

With new district maps only weeks away, I am including the full by-district voter share breakout. Since one goal of redistricting is to keep districts “safe” also listed is the number of districts where either the Democratic or Republican Party has a majority (50%) along with the number of districts where the voter share is five percent or less and ten percent or less.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP103
LIB004
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBOtherTotal Not D or R
142.64%19.08%29.67%4.00%0.82%3.79%38.28%
228.13%38.47%24.92%4.78%1.24%2.46%33.40%
332.63%30.69%27.76%4.64%0.88%3.39%36.68%
436.52%28.73%26.37%4.36%0.81%3.21%34.75%
Majority District0      
5%1      
10%1      

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP1056
LIB6213
Other0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBOtherTotal Not D or R
142.35%22.05%27.10%4.03%0.77%3.70%35.60%
248.46%11.65%31.68%3.55%0.67%4.00%39.90%
342.40%19.88%29.08%3.95%0.84%3.85%37.72%
450.85%13.36%27.89%3.45%0.61%3.84%35.79%
534.60%29.44%27.16%4.67%0.93%3.21%35.96%
636.79%29.45%25.46%4.33%0.83%3.13%33.75%
740.18%21.76%29.14%4.21%0.91%3.80%38.06%
833.69%30.90%26.73%4.52%0.89%3.27%35.41%
934.05%27.02%29.73%4.44%0.87%3.90%38.93%
1042.35%17.45%31.17%4.32%0.96%3.74%40.19%
1138.26%22.25%30.54%4.13%0.83%3.99%39.49%
1227.60%38.13%25.91%5.05%0.80%2.50%34.27%
1338.63%23.44%28.88%4.54%1.30%3.22%37.94%
1426.03%41.42%24.16%4.74%1.20%2.45%32.55%
1534.00%32.74%24.69%4.54%1.23%2.81%33.26%
1628.37%39.02%24.24%4.85%1.26%2.28%32.62%
1718.68%49.67%23.42%5.19%1.22%1.84%31.65%
1831.34%34.61%25.36%4.73%0.95%3.01%34.05%
1919.34%47.37%24.71%5.26%0.99%2.33%33.28%
2032.20%31.03%27.71%4.69%0.89%3.48%36.77%
2141.09%22.66%28.16%3.81%0.67%3.61%36.25%
Majority District1
5%5
10%2

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP0420
IAP18186
LIB14820
Other1  410

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBOtherTotal Not D or R
140.47%24.85%26.15%4.25%0.78%3.50%34.68%
231.52%33.40%26.42%4.67%0.87%3.11%35.08%
343.00%19.62%28.94%3.88%0.85%3.71%37.38%
432.86%32.19%26.00%4.70%0.98%3.26%34.95%
536.19%28.02%27.08%4.35%0.90%3.45%35.79%
653.99%9.24%28.75%3.34%0.60%4.07%36.77%
748.32%16.68%27.21%3.53%0.61%3.65%35.00%
837.06%23.26%30.69%4.17%0.83%3.99%39.68%
934.68%26.50%29.62%4.39%0.86%3.95%38.82%
1041.76%20.16%29.22%4.02%0.84%4.00%38.08%
1148.74%11.11%31.94%3.67%0.71%3.83%40.15%
1238.05%26.84%27.05%3.92%0.68%3.46%35.11%
1329.62%37.35%24.62%4.76%0.92%2.73%33.03%
1446.03%15.86%29.96%3.63%0.67%3.85%38.11%
1544.29%17.84%29.39%4.23%0.84%3.40%37.87%
1640.31%17.05%33.04%4.42%1.08%4.10%42.64%
1744.27%19.20%28.06%3.81%0.76%3.90%36.53%
1840.83%20.38%29.98%4.12%0.85%3.84%38.79%
1928.45%36.04%27.28%4.80%0.75%2.67%35.51%
2039.49%23.23%28.24%4.31%0.97%3.77%37.28%
2135.20%28.88%27.06%4.75%0.90%3.22%35.92%
2230.26%35.11%26.00%4.82%0.84%2.97%34.63%
2326.94%39.74%24.86%5.24%0.84%2.38%33.32%
2441.15%19.80%30.10%4.38%1.36%3.21%39.04%
2531.88%37.16%22.75%4.49%1.16%2.57%30.96%
2629.26%37.96%24.37%4.66%1.27%2.49%32.78%
2736.64%27.25%27.09%4.59%1.32%3.11%36.11%
2848.20%12.14%31.44%3.45%0.63%4.15%39.67%
2934.10%29.91%27.24%4.60%0.95%3.20%36.00%
3036.26%26.84%27.74%4.68%1.24%3.23%36.90%
3131.08%34.92%25.02%4.80%1.29%2.89%34.01%
3220.20%48.93%23.17%4.68%1.09%1.94%30.87%
3314.07%54.51%23.87%5.03%0.99%1.52%31.41%
3438.89%25.29%27.12%4.25%0.93%3.51%35.82%
3533.46%27.51%29.82%4.48%0.88%3.85%39.03%
3622.76%42.75%25.25%5.40%0.99%2.85%34.49%
3734.93%33.15%23.98%4.40%0.74%2.79%31.92%
3816.41%48.80%26.01%5.59%1.27%1.92%34.80%
3920.54%50.39%21.29%4.85%1.17%1.76%29.08%
4027.26%40.33%24.07%5.08%1.24%2.01%32.41%
4134.11%27.01%29.40%4.56%0.95%3.97%38.88%
4239.86%20.91%30.33%4.09%0.82%3.99%39.23%
Majority District3
5%6
10%4

Adding to the challenge faced by legislators is that by the time of the general election in November of next year, the gap between those not affiliated with either of the major parties will most likely be significantly larger, placing the outcome of potentially many races in the hands of those voters. We should know the answers very soon.