With Early Voting Only Weeks Away Major Parties Continue to Lose Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – May 4, 2022

With early voting for the 2022 primary election just weeks away, both the Democratic and Republican Party as well as the minor parties lost voter share in April while Non-Partisan share gains showed no signs of abating. The combined voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican continues to be the leading segment of voters statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties while Non-Partisan continues as the leading group among voters 18 to 34 years of age topping 40 percent.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,429	0.58%	33.21%	-0.17%
R	4,212	0.79%	29.76%	-0.09%
NP	11,295	2.22%	28.84%	0.32%
IAP	682	0.86%	4.44%	-0.01%
LIB	140	0.85%	0.92%	0.00%
Other	-146	-0.29%	2.82%	-0.04%
Total not D or R			37.02%	0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,370	0.74%	36.09%	-0.19%
R	2,915	0.90%	25.77%	-0.09%
NP	8,909	2.41%	29.90%	0.33%
IAP	674	1.26%	4.29%	0.00%
LIB	124	1.22%	0.81%	0.00%
Other	-70	-0.18%	3.15%	-0.05%
Total not D or R			38.14%	0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	179	0.18%	32.19%	-0.14%
R	548	0.54%	32.86%	-0.03%
NP	1,197	1.46%	26.74%	0.22%
IAP	44	0.31%	4.60%	-0.01%
LIB	4	0.11%	1.22%	-0.01%
Other	-59	-0.78%	2.40%	-0.03%
Total not D or R			34.95%	0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-120	-0.28%	18.58%	-0.20%
R	749	0.70%	47.80%	-0.04%
NP	1,189	2.07%	25.83%	0.32%
IAP	-36	-0.31%	5.10%	-0.06%
LIB	12	0.47%	1.13%	0.00%
Other	-17	-0.48%	1.56%	-0.02%
Total not D or R			33.62%	0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	994	0.62%	31.99%	-0.26%
R	696	0.77%	18.07%	-0.12%
NP	5,268	2.67%	40.32%	0.48%
IAP	247	1.13%	4.41%	-0.01%
LIB	72	0.99%	1.46%	-0.01%
Other	-109	-0.57%	3.75%	-0.08%
Total not D or R			49.94%	0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,319	0.51%	35.09%	-0.12%
R	2,271	0.80%	38.77%	-0.02%
NP	2,405	1.68%	19.69%	0.16%
IAP	187	0.59%	4.30%	-0.01%
LIB	9	0.29%	0.43%	0.00%
Other	-14	-0.11%	1.73%	-0.02%
Total not D or R			26.15%	0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	4	0	0
NP	0	4	0
IAP	2	0	2
LIB	1	0	3
Other	4	0	0

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	21	0	0
Republican	20	1	0
NP	0	21	0
IAP	13	6	1
LIB	9	2	10
Other	21	0	0

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	42	0	0
Republican	36	5	1
NP	0	42	0
IAP	20	13	9
LIB	13	12	17
Other	42	0	0

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party	# Counties Lose Voter Share	# Counties Gain Voter Share	# Counties No Change
Democratic	15	0	0
Republican	7	8	0
NP	2	13	0
IAP	14	1	0
LIB	6	6	3
Other	12	2	1

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Older voters, those over 55 years of age appear to remain loyal to the major parties. However, those who have abandoned those two parties now comprise over 25 percent of those in this age group.

Nevadans will start going to the polls in just over three (3) weeks to cast votes in the primary election. Since a voter must be registered in one of the two major parties to vote in most of the races, will the major parties pick up share leading up to the election or will voters continue to reject the parties despite not being able to vote the full primary ballot?