Non-Partisan Becomes Largest Voting Bloc Surpassing Democratic Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – August 2, 2023

Voters registered to vote as Non-Partisan surpassed the number of voters registered in the Democratic Party in July becoming the largest group of active registered voters in Nevada. Non-Partisan was the only group to register voter share gains in all demographics except for a minute (one one-hundredth of a percent) gain by the Independent American Party in Washoe and among voters 55 years of age and older.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,5210.25%31.69%-0.15%
R1,9220.35%29.02%-0.10%
NP9,1981.54%31.86%0.26%
IAP6740.82%4.37%0.00%
LIB1320.81%0.87%0.00%
Other-17-0.04%2.19%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.29%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1140.24%34.07%-0.10%
R1,0540.31%25.20%-0.06%
NP6,8391.52%33.34%0.32%
IAP4170.72%4.23%0.01%
LIB710.68%0.76%0.00%
Other-41-0.12%2.40%-0.02%
Total not D or R  40.73%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2430.25%31.08%-0.10%
R2890.29%32.57%-0.09%
NP1,0371.19%28.57%0.18%
IAP1190.84%4.62%0.01%
LIB290.81%1.16%0.00%
Other160.26%2.00%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.35%0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1640.43%17.60%-0.27%
R5790.56%48.00%-0.68%
NP1,3222.28%27.27%0.08%
IAP1381.31%4.90%-0.03%
LIB321.38%1.08%-0.01%
Other80.32%1.15%-0.02%
Total not D or R  34.41%0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D950.06%29.69%-0.23%
R2860.32%16.83%-0.09%
NP3,8831.64%45.19%0.36%
IAP1600.71%4.25%-0.01%
LIB470.68%1.31%0.00%
Other-77-0.53%2.73%-0.04%
Total not D or R  53.49%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8480.32%33.96%-0.09%
R1,1490.39%38.56%-0.08%
NP2,2781.39%21.44%0.17%
IAP2700.83%4.26%0.01%
LIB290.94%0.40%0.00%
Other200.19%1.38%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.48%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP013
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP1200
IAP5106
LIB2415
Other1713
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4110
Republican4020
NP0420
IAP82311
LIB91122
Other34  17

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in Ads 8,9,15,16,29,35, and 41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1212
Republican1212
NP0150
IAP2112
LIB636
Other745

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 14 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.40 percent.

In last month’s report I asked if the Democratic Party would lose its status as the top voter bloc in July. We have the answer. The other question, will the Democratic party fall below 30 percent voter share before next year’s state primary in June remains.

Non-Partisan Less Than One-Quarter of One Percent From Overtaking Democratic As Top Voter Group

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – July 4, 2023

Did the Nevada Legislature’s regular and two special sessions have an impact on voter registration? Difficult to say. However, the June voter registration numbers could allow for a reasonable assumption. Non-Partisan voter share gained almost one-half of one percent on Democratic voter share and is now less than one-quarter of one percent (0.24%) away from over-taking the Democratic Party as the leading group of active voters in the state.

Except in the rural counties, Non-Partisan was the only group to gain share. In the rurals, all parties gained, however, Non-Partisan led the way more than doubling the Republican gain. 

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-779-0.13%31.84%-0.16%
R2780.05%29.12%-0.09%
NP7,3861.25%31.60%0.28%
IAP3850.47%4.37%0.00%
LIB40.02%0.86%0.00%
Other-302-0.72%2.20%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.04%0.26%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,113-0.24%34.18%-0.21%
R-758-0.22%25.26%-0.15%
NP5,0411.13%33.02%0.25%
IAP1000.17%4.22%-0.01%
LIB-14-0.13%0.76%0.00%
Other-296-0.89%2.41%-0.03%
Total not D or R  40.42%0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2130.22%31.17%-0.10%
R3270.33%32.66%-0.07%
NP9681.12%28.39%0.16%
IAP1421.01%4.59%0.01%
LIB50.14%1.17%0.00%
Other-18-0.29%2.02%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.17%0.16

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1210.32%17.87%0.02%
R7090.69%48.68%0.24%
NP1,3772.43%27.19%0.60%
IAP1431.37%4.94%0.06%
LIB130.56%1.09%0.00%
Other120.48%1.17%0.00%
Total not D or R  34.39%0.66%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-954-0.60%29.92%-0.26%
R-231-0.26%16.91%-0.09%
NP2,8091.20%44.83%0.41%
IAP100.04%4.25%-0.01%
LIB-23-0.33%1.31%-0.01%
Other-200-1.35%2.77%-0.05%
Total not D or R  53.17%0.34%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3010.12%34.05%-0.11%
R5930.20%38.64%-0.10%
NP2,3331.45%21.27%0.21%
IAP2700.83%4.25%0.02%
LIB110.36%0.40%0.00%
Other-48-0.45%1.38%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.30%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP121
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2010
NP0210
IAP8103
LIB9102
Other2010
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP1410
IAP19185
LIB161115
Other36  42

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in Ads 8,9,15,16,29,35, and 41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1311
Republican1410
NP1140
IAP582
LIB654
Other735

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 14 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.06 percent.

If the trend continues; being a multi-year trend there is no reason to believe it won’t, will the Democratic Party relinquish its voter share lead this month? Will the party fall below 30 percent voter share before next year’s state primary in June?

Non-Partisan Continue To Close Gap On Democratic Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 5, 2023

Both the Democratic and Republican Party continued their voter share decline in May with Non-Partisan getting closer to over-taking the Democratic Party as the group with the greatest voter share. Voter roll maintenance in Humboldt, Lincoln, and Nye County helped the major parties in those counties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-216-0.04%32.00%-0.01%
R-2,889-0.52%29.22%-0.15%
NP3,4180.58%31.33%0.18%
IAP440.05%4.36%0.00%
LIB-53-0.32%0.87%0.00%
Other-374-0.89%2.23%-0.02%
Total not D or R  38.79%0.16%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1780.25%34.38%-0.16%
R8340.24%25.41%-0.12%
NP7,1941.64%32.77%0.30%
IAP5470.96%4.23%0.01%
LIB530.51%0.77%0.00%
Other-46-0.14%2.44%-0.02%
Total not D or R  40.21%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2050.21%31.27%-0.12%
R2430.24%32.73%-0.12%
NP1,2411.46%28.23%0.24%
IAP1150.83%4.59%0.01%
LIB230.65%1.17%0.00%
Other-2-0.03%2.02%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.00%0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,599-4.03%17.84%0.21%
R-3,966-3.70%48.43%0.75%
NP-5,017-8.13%26.59%-0.85%
IAP-618-5.61%4.88%-0.02%
LIB-129-5.28%1.08%0.00%
Other-326-11.58%1.17%-0.08%
Total not D or R  33.72%-0.95%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-293-0.18%30.18%-0.06%
R-1,042-1.15%17.00%-0.20%
NP1,5600.67%44.42%0.29%
IAP140.06%4.26%0.00%
LIB-49-0.70%1.32%-0.01%
Other-164-1.09%2.82%-0.03%
Total not D or R  52.82%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-19-0.01%34.17%0.01%
R-885-0.30%38.74%-0.10%
NP6490.40%21.06%0.09%
IAP170.05%4.23%0.00%
LIB-19-0.61%0.40%0.00%
Other-87-0.81%1.40%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.09%0.08%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican400
NP130
IAP121
LIB130
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1920
Republican1920
NP2190
IAP5106
LIB6312
Other2100
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,9,10, and 11

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3741
Republican3660
NP3390
IAP9249
LIB14820
Other38  22

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 28 (66.67%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in Ads 8,9,15,16,29,35, and 41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1041
Republican951
NP4101
IAP753
LIB753
Other1122

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 10 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 30.73 percent (decrease of 0.82% due to list maintenance in Humboldt, Lincoln, and Nye county.

The legislative session must end tonight by midnight. How will voters view the results and will that have any impact of voter registration trends?

Non-Partisan Voter Share Less Than One Percent From Overtaking Democratic Party

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – May 3, 2023

Less than one percent. With release of the April voter registration numbers, that is the difference between Democratic Party and Non-Partisan voter share. Less than one percent from Non-Partisan becoming the largest group of active registered voters in the state. 

NOTE: Elko County performed voter roll maintenance in April resulting in the decline of voters reflected in the below tables.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1450.02%32.01%0.00%
R-3,390-0.61%29.37%-0.19%
NP4,0020.69%31.14%0.20%
IAP-5-0.01%4.36%0.00%
LIB-55-0.34%0.87%0.00%
Other-210-0.49%2.25%-0.01%
Total not D or R  38.62%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,2590.27%34.54%-0.17%
R9350.27%25.53%-0.13%
NP7,5311.75%32.47%0.31%
IAP5400.96%4.22%0.01%
LIB730.71%0.77%0.00%
Other-2-0.01%2.46%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.92%0.30%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3040.32%31.39%-0.09%
R2810.28%32.85%-0.10%
NP1,0711.27%27.99%0.19%
IAP900.65%4.57%0.00%
LIB300.85%1.17%0.00%
Other160.26%2.03%-0.01%
Total not D or R  35.76%0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,418-3.45%17.63%0.27%
R-4,606-4.12%47.69%0.40%
NP-4,600-6.94%27.45%-0.59%
IAP-635-5.45%4.90%-0.03%
LIB-158-6.08%1.09%-0.01%
Other-224-7.37%1.25%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.68%-0.66%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-209-0.13%30.24%0.00%
R-1,681-1.82%17.20%-0.30%
NP1,4580.63%44.13%0.34%
IAP-128-0.57%4.26%-0.02%
LIB-65-0.92%1.33%-0.01%
Other-87-0.58%2.85%-0.01%
Total not D or R  52.56%0.30%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2380.09%34.15%-0.03%
R-349-0.12%38.84%-0.11%
NP1,3990.88%20.97%0.15%
IAP820.25%4.23%0.00%
LIB-1-0.03%0.41%0.00%
Other-32-0.30%1.41%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.01%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican400
NP130
IAP121
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2010
Republican1920
NP1200
IAP6105
LIB4314
Other1911
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4011
Republican4110
NP3390
IAP13209
LIB141018
Other36  33

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 28 (66.67%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1140
Republican870
NP591
IAP1032
LIB636
Other1005

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 9 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.55 percent (decrease of 1.74% due to Elko list maintenance with a range 22.98 to 39.79)

Voters not registered to vote as either Democratic or Republican continue to be the largest segment of voters in the state and in Clark and Washoe Counties. Non-Partisan continue to lead among voters between the ages 18 to 34; over 52% not Democratic or Republican. With less than one percent separating Democratic and Non-Partisan voter share statewide, the looming question; when will Non-Partisan become the leading group of voters?

Nevada Gains Active Voters; Non-Major Party Voter Share Increases Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – April 4, 2023

As the number of active registered voters increased by almost 15,000 in March, the combined share of voters registered as Non-Partisan or in a minor party increased its lead as the largest group of voters across the state. At the end of March, just under 40 percent of voters in the state and in Clark County fell into the group. In Washoe County it’s 35 percent and among voters 18 to 34 years of age the number is over 52 percent.  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,8890.32%32.01%-0.15%
R1,5710.28%29.56%-0.15%
NP10,6541.87%30.94%0.32%
IAP6960.86%4.36%0.00%
LIB1180.72%0.87%0.00%
Other-13-0.03%2.26%-0.02%
Total not D or R  38.43%0.30%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,6890.36%34.72%-0.18%
R1,1540.34%25.66%-0.14%
NP8,3781.98%32.16%0.35%
IAP4980.89%4.21%0.00%
LIB700.69%0.77%0.00%
Other190.06%2.48%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.62%0.33%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2010.21%31.47%-0.11%
R2050.21%32.95%-0.12%
NP1,1561.39%27.80%0.23%
IAP1140.83%4.57%0.01%
LIB240.69%1.16%0.00%
Other-10-0.16%2.04%-0.01%
Total not D or R  35.58%0.23

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-10.00%17.36%-0.11%
R2120.19%47.29%-0.19%
NP1,1201.72%28.04%0.31%
IAP840.73%4.93%0.01%
LIB240.93%1.10%0.00%
Other-22-0.72%1.28%-0.02%
Total not D or R  35.35%0.30%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2990.19%30.24%-0.27%
R2400.26%17.50%-0.14%
NP4,8272.14%43.79%0.46%
IAP1870.84%4.28%-0.01%
LIB460.66%1.34%-0.01%
Other-33-0.22%2.86%-0.04%
Total not D or R  52.27%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8960.34%34.18%-0.10%
R1,0010.34%38.95%-0.11%
NP2,5591.64%20.82%0.21%
IAP2680.84%4.22%0.01%
LIB190.62%0.41%0.00%
Other100.09%1.41%-0.01%
Total not D or R  26.87%0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP121
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP498
LIB2217
Other2100
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 14 (66.67%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP0420
IAP121010
LIB81024
Other40  02

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 28 (66.67%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1320
Republican1140
NP3120
IAP645
LIB267
Other1104

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 12 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 33.29 percent ( increase of 0.19% with a range 24.07 to 39.54)

We are now at the half-way point of the Nevada legislative session. On April 14th we will know the first group of bills that will not advance. As the session proceeds to Sin Die (adjournment) on June 5th, the question is how will the session be viewed by voters and how will that impact voter registration.

Non Major Party Voters Now Largest Segment in Two-Thirds of State Legislative Districts

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 1, 2023

With the increase of active voters registered as Non-Partisan in February, the segment of active voters not registered to vote in either the Democratic or Republican Party is now the largest group of voters in two-thirds (66.67 percent) of all state legislative districts. That segment remains the largest bloc statewide, in Clark and Washoe county, and is now just under 52 percent among voters 18 – 34  years of age.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,2530.21%32.16%-0.13%
R1,0270.19%29.71%-0.13%
NP8,4811.51%30.61%0.27%
IAP6240.77%4.36%0.01%
LIB1030.64%0.87%0.00%
Other-20-0.05%2.28%-0.02%
Total not D or R  38.13%0.26%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3170.29%34.90%-0.15%
R9110.27%25.80%-0.12%
NP6,8461.65%31.81%0.29%
IAP4610.83%4.21%0.00%
LIB750.74%0.77%0.00%
Other-15-0.05%2.50%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.30%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-41-0.04%31.58%-0.09%
R200.02%33.06%-0.07%
NP6770.82%27.57%0.16%
IAP620.45%4.56%0.01%
LIB80.23%1.16%0.00%
Other-4-0.06%2.05%-0.01%
Total not D or R  35.35%0.16

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-23-0.06%17.47%-0.10%
R960.09%47.48%-0.19%
NP9581.49%27.73%0.27%
IAP1010.88%4.92%0.02%
LIB200.78%1.10%0.00%
Other-1-0.03%1.30%-0.01%
Total not D or R  35.05%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1670.11%30.50%-0.21%
R620.07%17.64%-0.13%
NP3,8131.72%43.33%0.39%
IAP1390.63%4.29%-0.01%
LIB230.33%1.34%-0.01%
Other-47-0.31%2.90%-0.03%
Total not D or R  51.86%0.34%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5280.20%34.28%-0.09%
R6680.23%39.06%-0.09%
NP2,0051.30%20.61%0.17%
IAP2310.73%4.21%0.01%
LIB351.15%0.41%0.00%
Other-1-0.01%1.42%-0.01%
Total not D or R  26.66%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP031
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP4116
LIB3315
Other2001
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 14 (66.67%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP0420
IAP10239
LIB11922
Other37  23

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (66.67%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1311
Republican1410
NP0150
IAP483
LIB2310
Other717

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 14 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 33.10 percent (range 23.67 to 39.87)

On March 4, 2023, the Nevada Democratic Party will hold its state party leadership election. There has been a lot of media attention given to the friction between the current leadership and the challenging slate. I have to pose the question; could the result of the election have an impact on voter share in the coming month?  

Voter Roll Maintenance Benefits GOP

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – February 2, 2023

Voter rolls underwent routine maintenance in January with the resulting changes benefiting the Republican Party with Non-Partisan benefiting in the rural counties and among younger voters. However, the overall status of voter share did not change with those not registered in either the Democratic or Republican Party (registered as Non-Partisan or in a minor party) still being the largest segment statewide, in Clark and Washoe counties, and among voters 18 to 34 years of age with Non-Partisan being the largest in that group. Only among voters 55 years of age and older is this voter share percentage under 30 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-19,404-3.14%32.30%-0.10%
R-12,954-2.29%29.84%0.17%
NP-16,863-2.91%30.35%-0.02%
IAP-2,299-2.77%4.35%0.00%
LIB-616-3.67%0.87%-0.01%
Other-2,196-4.91%2.29%-0.05%
Total not D or R  37.87%-0.08%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-15,083-3.16%35.05%-0.06%
R-8,617-2.46%25.92%0.15%
NP-13,366-3.12%31.53%-0.03%
IAP-1,661-2.91%4.21%0.00%
LIB-432-4.09%0.77%-0.01%
Other-1,730-4.95%2.52%-0.05%
Total not D or R  39.03%-0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,988-4.02%31.67%0.01%
R-3,853-3.73%33.14%0.12%
NP-3,698-4.30%27.42%-0.07%
IAP-584-4.10%4.55%0.00%
LIB-180-4.91%1.16%-0.01%
Other-419-6.34%2.06%-0.05%
Total not D or R  35.19%-0.13

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-333-0.80%17.56%-0.09%
R-484-0.43%47.67%-0.06%
NP2010.31%27.46%0.17%
IAP-54-0.47%4.90%-0.01%
LIB-4-0.16%1.09%0.00%
Other-47-1.51%1.31%-0.02%
Total not D or R  34.76%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,787-4.67%30.71%-0.16%
R-3,810-3.98%17.77%0.03%
NP-8,557-3.71%42.94%0.21%
IAP-979-4.22%4.30%0.00%
LIB-326-4.46%1.35%0.00%
Other-1,044-6.44%2.93%-0.07%
Total not D or R  51.52%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-5,251-1.98%34.37%-0.09%
R-4,777-1.59%39.15%0.05%
NP-2,316-1.48%20.44%0.05%
IAP-460-1.43%4.20%0.01%
LIB-54-1.74%0.40%0.00%
Other-397-3.55%1.43%-0.03%
Total not D or R  26.48%0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican040
NP220
IAP130
LIB301
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1272
Republican4170
NP10110
IAP7122
LIB1227
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 13 (61.90%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic23181
Republican10320
NP20220
IAP18177
LIB25611
Other41  01

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 25 (59.53%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic951
Republican1140
NP3120
IAP1140
LIB366
Other429

As I write this the start of the legislative session is four days away. Will the status of voter registration be on the minds of legislators opening up more collaboration or will they stick to party lines on the important issues facing the state? We will know very soon.

Non-Partisan and Minor Party Growth Ends 2022 on Familiar Ground

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 31, 2022

With December voter registration numbers, voters registered as Non-Partisan or in minor parties closed out 2022 not only expanding their lead with an average growth of almost two percent over the year; Non-Partisan voter share growth averaged over two and one-half percent, but elected a new governor, lieutenant governor, and controller.  

In addition to the three races mentioned above, voters not affiliated with either the Democratic or Republican Party impacted the margin of victory of many other races. NOTE: A breakout is included with this report.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D6320.10%32.39%-0.12%-1.54%
R4040.07%29.67%-0.12%-0.21%
NP7,5141.32%30.37%0.25%2.69%
IAP6720.82%4.35%0.01%-0.14%
LIB500.30%0.88%0.00%-0.07%
Other-174-0.39%2.34%-0.02%-0.73%
Total not D or R  37.94%0.24%1.75%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D5630.12%35.11%-0.16%-1.71%
R3650.10%25.77%-0.12%-0.22%
NP6,3141.49%31.56%0.29%2.93%
IAP5160.91%4.20%0.01%-0.13%
LIB540.51%0.78%0.00%-0.06%
Other-138-0.39%2.57%-0.02%-0.81%
Total not D or R  39.12%0.28%1.93%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D1870.19%31.66%-0.03%-0.90%
R2030.20%33.02%-0.03%0.19%
NP4210.49%27.48%0.05%1.49%
IAP1230.87%4.55%0.03%-0.07%
LIB50.14%1.17%0.00%-0.09%
Other-13-0.20%2.11%-0.01%-0.63%
Total not D or R  35.32%0.070.71%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D-118-0.28%17.65%-0.09%-1.48%
R-164-0.15%47.73%-0.17%-0.57%
NP7791.23%27.29%0.27%2.77%
IAP330.29%4.91%0.00%-0.30%
LIB-9-0.35%1.09%-0.01%-0.04%
Other-23-0.73%1.32%-0.01%-0.39%
Total not D or R  34.62%0.25%2.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D340.02%30.88%-0.18%-2.31%
R410.04%17.73%-0.10%-0.80%
NP3,1811.40%42.74%0.33%4.55%
IAP1220.53%4.30%0.00%-0.18%
LIB40.05%1.35%-0.01%-0.15%
Other-122-0.75%3.00%-0.04%-1.11%
Total not D or R  51.39%0.28%3.11%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D1830.07%34.46%-0.09%-1.10%
R2600.09%39.10%-0.10%0.29%
NP1,8851.22%20.39%0.18%1.43%
IAP2800.88%4.19%0.02%-0.15%
LIB130.42%0.40%0.00%-0.03%
Other-10-0.09%1.46%-0.01%-3.89%
Total not D or R  26.44%0.19%0.81%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP040
LIB004
Other310

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2010
Republican2010
NP1200
IAP1182
LIB5313
Other2001

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 13 (61.90%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4020
Republican4110
NP2400
IAP23010
LIB12822
Other35  43

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 25 (59.53%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1140
Republican1320
NP2130
IAP780
LIB663
Other1014

As we head into the legislative session, it is important to note that in sixty percent of legislative districts, voters registered as neither Democratic nor Republican is the largest voting bloc. Are legislators aware of this and how will that awareness, or lack thereof, affect the legislative process?

Impact of Non-Major Party Voters on 2022 General Election

Column Definition:

Percent – Percent of vote received

Party – Political Party of candidate

Reg % Party voter share

Diff Reg – Difference in voter share of major party candidates

Diff Vote to Reg – Difference of vote received to party voter share

Margin of Win – Percent of vote received, winner to second place candidate

Diff Margin of Win to Diff Ref – Comparison of margin of win to difference in voter share

Impact of non-major party voters can be deducted by comparing difference in voter share to margin of win. Example, Republican Party voter share is almost three percent lower than Democratic Party share yet Joe Lombardo won the race for governor by one and one-half percent.

Governor
PercentPartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
BRIDGES, ED0.97%IAP4.31%-3.34%
DAVIS, BRANDON1.46%LP0.88%0.58%
LOMBARDO, JOE48.81%R29.84%-2.82%18.97%1.51%4.33%
SISOLAK, STEVE47.30%D32.66%14.64%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES1.46%
Lieutenant Governor
ANTHONY, STAVROS49.41%R29.84%-2.82%19.57%3.66%6.48%
CANO BURKHEAD, ELIZABETH “LISA”45.75%D32.66%13.09%
DELAP, JOHN “TREY”0.78%NP29.87%-29.09%
HOGE, WILLIAM0.83%IAP4.31%-3.48%
TACHIQUIN, JAVI “TRUJILLO”1.13%LP0.88%0.25%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES2.09%
State Controller
MATTHEWS, ANDY50.06%R29.84%-2.82%20.22%4.13%6.95%
PROFETA, JED W.1.52%LP0.88%0.64%
SPIEGEL, ELLEN45.93%D32.66%13.27%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES2.48%
United States Senator
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
PERCENT
CORTEZ MASTO, CATHERINE48.81%D32.66%2.82%16.15%0.77%-2.05%
LAXALT, ADAM PAUL48.04%R29.84%18.20%
LINDEMANN, BARRY0.79%NP29.87%-29.08%
RUBINSON, BARRY0.51%IAP4.31%-3.80%
SCOTT, NEIL0.63%LP0.88%-0.25%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES1.22%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 1
CAVANAUGH, KEN2.47%LP0.78%1.69%
ROBERTSON, MARK45.96%R25.67%20.29%
TITUS, DINA51.57%D35.60%9.93%15.97%5.61%-4.32%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 2
AMODEI, MARK E.59.73%R39.02%12.58%20.71%21.93%9.35%
BABER, DARRYL1.12%LP1.15%-0.03%
BEST, RUSSELL1.35%IAP4.63%-3.28%
KRAUSE, ELIZABETH MERCEDES37.80%D26.44%11.36%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 3
BECKER, APRIL48.02%R27.51%20.51%
LEE, SUSIE51.98%D33.37%5.86%18.61%3.96%-1.90%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 4
HORSFORD, STEVEN A.52.42%D35.88%9.62%16.54%4.84%-4.78%
PETERS, SAM47.58%R26.26%21.32%
State Races
Secretary of State
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
AGUILAR, FRANCISCO “CISCO”48.95%
CRANE, ROSS0.87%LP0.88%-0.01%
HANSEN, JANINE1.72%IAP4.31%-2.59%
MARCHANT, JIM46.67%R29.84%16.83%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES1.79%
State Treasurer
CONINE, ZACH47.70%D32.66%2.82%15.04%1.70%-1.12%
ELLIOTT, BRYAN1.59%LP0.88%0.71%
FIORE, MICHELE46.00%R29.84%16.16%
HENDRICKSON, MARGARET1.94%IAP4.31%-2.37%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES2.77%
Attorney General
CHATTAH, SIGAL44.36%R29.84%14.52%
FORD, AARON D.52.25%D32.66%2.82%19.59%7.89%5.07%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES3.39%
State Senate, District 2
FLORES, EDGAR69.93%D44.02%31.64%25.91%39.86%8.22%
HENDERSON, LEO30.07%R12.38%17.69%
State Senate, District 8
LOOP, MARILYN DONDERO50.72%D32.72%2.94%18.00%1.44%-1.50%
PAULOS, JOEY49.28%R29.78%19.50%
State Senate, District 9
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
BROWN, TINA46.55%R
SCHEIBLE, MELANIE53.45%D34.71%9.95%18.74%6.90%-3.05%
State Senate, District 10
CUNNINGHAM, CHRIS3.64%LP0.87%2.77%
DONATE, FABIAN55.54%D36.99%16.84%18.55%14.72%-2.12%
GRAVIET, PHILIP40.82%R20.15%20.67%
State Senate, District 12
ARRINGTON, CHERLYN47.53%R27.59%19.94%
PAZINA, JULIE ANN52.47%D33.33%5.74%19.14%4.94%-0.80%
State Senate, District 13
BUEHLER, MATTHEW R.38.43%R23.25%15.18%
DALY, RICHARD “SKIP”61.57%D36.79%13.54%24.78%23.14%9.60%
State Senate, District 14
HANSEN, IRA100.00%R43.09%56.91%
State Senate, District 16
KRASNER, LISA60.35%R40.52%13.73%19.83%20.70%6.97%
SIMS, AARON39.65%D26.79%12.86%
State Senate, District 17
TITUS, ROBIN L.100.00%R49.02%50.98%
State Senate, District 20
FOUTZ, BRENT35.59%D24.79%10.80%
MILLS, BRANDON2.72%LP0.71%2.01%
STONE, JEFF61.69%R41.28%16.49%20.41%26.10%9.61%
State Senate, District 21
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
LARSEN, APRIL44.21%R
OHRENSCHALL, JAMES55.79%D40.30%19.62%15.49%11.58%-8.04%
State Assembly, District 1
BRINKLEY, GARLAND LEE42.60%R25.86%16.74%
MCATEE-MACRAE, PATRICK “MAC”2.58%NP28.40%-25.82%
MONROE-MORENO, DANIELE54.82%D38.44%12.58%16.38%12.22%-0.36%
State Assembly, District 2
BEDNARZ, JASON1.38%LP0.77%0.61%
CHRISTENSON, NICK44.28%D30.99%13.29%
KASAMA, HEIDI54.34%R32.72%1.73%21.62%10.06%8.33%
State Assembly, District 3
LEMACK, JOSHUA44.67%R23.94%20.73%
TORRES, SELENA ELIZABETH55.33%D37.79%13.85%17.54%10.66%-3.19%
State Assembly, District 4
BURNS, DARBY LEE37.38%LP0.88%36.50%
MCARTHUR, RICHARD62.62%R32.55%31.67%30.07%25.24%-6.43%
State Assembly, District 5
MILLER, BRITTNEY52.88%D34.63%8.11%18.25%7.39%-0.72%
MORGAN, RONALD1.64%LP0.76%0.88%
QUINN, KELLY45.49%R26.53%18.96%
State Assembly, District 6
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
RIOS, KATHRYN “KAT”18.57%R
SUMMERS-ARMSTRONG, SHONDRA81.43%D51.40%42.42%30.03%62.86%20.44%
State Assembly, District 7
MILLER, CAMERON HOMER “C.H.”63.45%D44.38%26.68%19.07%26.90%0.22%
PALMER, ANTHONY “TONY”36.55%R17.70%18.85%
State Assembly, District 8
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
LOGAN, JENANN44.07%R
NGUYEN, DUY55.93%D33.93%10.54%22.00%11.86%1.32%
State Assembly, District 9
FLEMING, RYAN PATRICK46.79%R26.34%20.45%
YEAGER, STEVE53.21%D32.95%6.61%20.26%6.42%-0.19%
State Assembly, District 10
HERNANDEZ, SANDIE “GISELA”41.81%R21.61%20.20%
NGUYEN, ROCHELLE58.19%D38.98%17.37%19.21%16.38%-0.99%
State Assembly, District 11
DURAN, BEATRICE “BEA”73.35%D44.54%33.19%28.81%46.70%13.51%
KRATTIGER, ERIC26.65%R11.35%15.30%
State Assembly, District 12
CARTER, II, MAX E.50.94%D38.01%12.98%12.93%1.88%-11.10%
LARSEN, FLEMMING49.06%R25.03%24.03%
State Assembly, District 13
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
HIBBETTS, BRIANR7.54%
RUCKER, WILL44.45%D30.42%14.03%
State Assembly, District 14
MOSCA, ERICA66.00%D43.05%27.58%22.95%32.00%4.42%
STAMPER, SHAWN34.00%R15.47%18.53%
State Assembly, District 15
BANG, STEVEN D.37.47%R16.41%21.06%
WATTS, HOWARD62.53%D38.21%21.80%24.32%25.06%3.26%
State Assembly, District 16
GONZALEZ, CECELIA53.86%D35.92%12.49%17.94%7.72%-4.77%
HOLDER, JESSE “JAKE”46.14%R23.43%22.71%
State Assembly, District 17
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
PAWLEY, III, EUGENE MICHAELR
THOMAS, CLARA “CLAIRE”65.52%D41.67%23.93%23.85%31.04%7.11%
State Assembly, District 18
CONSIDINE, VENICIA60.37%D39.51%19.89%20.86%20.74%0.85%
DECORTE, CHRISTINE39.63%R19.62%20.01%
State Assembly, District 19
YUREK, THADDEUS “TOBY”100.00%R42.78%57.22%
State Assembly, District 20
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
LAROW, JOSIAH L.LP
ORENTLICHER, DAVID59.44%D39.92%20.44%19.52%21.71%1.27%
VAUGHAN, STAN37.73%R19.48%18.25%
State Assembly, District 21
MARZOLA, ELAINE52.41%D33.39%4.69%19.02%4.82%0.13%
PETRICK, JON S.47.59%R28.70%18.89%
State Assembly, District 22
HARDY, MELISSA58.54%R34.21%4.99%24.33%17.08%12.09%
RAMOS, RICK41.46%D29.22%12.24%
State Assembly, District 23
BRICKFIELD, ELIZABETH39.60%D26.64%12.96%
GALLANT, DANIELLE58.87%R39.92%13.28%18.95%19.27%5.99%
MANLEY, MERCY1.53%LP0.72%0.81%
State Assembly, District 24
KING, DORZELL34.09%R20.84%13.25%
PETERS, SARAH65.91%D37.88%17.03%28.03%31.82%14.79%
State Assembly, District 25
KUMAR, SAM46.10%R32.74%13.36%
LA RUE HATCH, SELENA53.90%D35.17%2.43%18.73%7.80%5.37%
State Assembly, District 26
DELONG, RICH71.71%R40.02%12.47%31.69%43.42%30.95%
MITCHELL, REED28.29%D27.55%0.74%
State Assembly, District 27
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
ORTIZ, CARMEN L.R
TAYLOR, ANGELA58.21%D35.92%10.44%22.29%16.42%5.98%
State Assembly, District 28
BROWN, CLINT32.58%R13.39%19.19%
D’SILVA, REUBEN67.42%D43.51%30.12%23.91%34.84%4.72%
State Assembly, District 29
COHEN, LESLEY ELIZABETH53.14%D33.72%6.63%19.42%6.28%-0.35%
KNIGHTLY, RHONDA46.86%R27.09%19.77%
State Assembly, District 30
ANDERSON, NATHA C.55.21%D35.71%10.07%19.50%13.77%3.70%
MCGEEIN, GARRETT3.36%LP1.14%2.22%
RODRIGUEZ-ELKINS, RICCI41.44%R25.64%15.80%
State Assembly, District 31
DICKMAN, JILL100.00%R40.27%59.73%
State Assembly, District 32
HANSEN, ALEXIS M.100.00%R46.23%53.77%
State Assembly, District 33
GARRARD, JOHN “DOC”19.13%D13.04%6.09%
GURR, BERT80.87%R52.52%39.48%28.35%61.74%22.26%
State Assembly, District 34
BILBRAY-AXELROD, SHANNON56.12%D37.56%13.38%18.56%12.24%-1.14%
BUTLER, STACY43.88%R24.17%19.71%
State Assembly, District 35
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
GORELOW, MICHELLE48.93%D
JONES, TIFFANY47.41%R28.03%19.38%
ROBINSON, MINDY3.66%LP0.84%2.82%
\
State Assembly, District 36
HAFEN, II, GREGORY T.100.00%R40.29%59.71%
State Assembly, District 37
BACKUS, SHEA50.49%D34.08%2.96%16.41%2.57%-0.39%
DEAVILLE, JACOB47.92%R31.11%16.81%
TEDOFF, MARC1.60%LP0.82%0.78%
State Assembly, District 38
KOENIG, GREGORY S.100.00%R47.24%52.76%
State Assembly, District 39
GRAY, KEN70.17%R50.52%31.54%19.65%40.34%8.80%
NOBLE, JANICE E.29.83%D18.98%10.85%
State Assembly, District 40
MCDANIEL, SHANNON C.37.96%D25.96%12.00%
O’NEILL, PHILIP “PK”58.81%R41.06%15.11%17.75%20.85%5.74%
TOLL, SAM3.23%LP1.22%2.01%
State Assembly, District 41
BODINE, PAUL46.07%R26.47%19.60%
JAUREGUI, SANDRA51.77%D33.28%6.81%18.49%5.70%-1.11%
MCNAMARA, SEAN2.16%LP0.87%1.29%
State Assembly, District 42
BROWN-MAY, TRACY56.65%D36.56%13.46%20.09%13.30%-0.16%
FACEY, EDWARD “EDDIE”43.35%R23.10%20.25%

Voters Split Tickets and Continue to Leave Major Parties in November

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 5, 2022

The general election last month brought Nevada a split government; three of the six Constitutional offices going to both the Democratic (treasurer, attorney general, secretary of state) and Republican Party (governor, lieutenant governor, comptroller) and the Democratic Party maintaining a super-majority in the assembly and a majority in the senate. Besides splitting their tickets, voters also continued to prefer to register to vote as members of neither major party.

Statewide, Non-Partisan voter share surpassed 30 percent increasing its lead over the GOP and just two (2) percent behind Democratic voter share. Among younger voters, Non-Partisan registration out-paces Democratic registration by 11 percent and Republican registration by 25 percent. In the rural counties, Non-Partisan registration is 10 percent higher than Democratic and is just four (4) percent behind Democratic share in both Clark and Washoe County. Voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican increased their lead as the largest bloc statewide, in Clark and Washoe County, and among voters 18 to 34 years of age.

The combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continued its dominance to where it is now the top voter share in over 50 percent of the state legislative districts (11 of 21 state senate; 52.38% and 24 of 42 state assembly; 57.14%)

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D11,3011.87%32.51%-0.15%
R11,9212.15%29.79%-0.05%
NP17,4923.16%30.12%0.24%
IAP2,3822.98%4.33%0.03%
LIB4212.58%0.88%0.00%
Other-371-0.82%2.36%-0.08%
Total not D or R  37.70%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8,7381.87%35.27%-0.21%
R8,6172.53%25.89%0.02%
NP13,3463.26%31.27%0.24%
IAP1,8593.40%4.19%0.04%
LIB2742.67%0.78%0.00%
Other-363-1.02%2.60%-0.09%
Total not D or R  38.84%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,2962.38%31.69%-0.08%
R2,2192.20%33.05%-0.14%
NP2,9543.57%27.43%0.25%
IAP3742.72%4.53%0.00%
LIB1022.86%1.17%0.00%
Other210.32%2.12%-0.05%
Total not D or R  35.25%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2670.65%17.74%-0.09%
R1,0850.98%47.91%-0.09%
NP1,1921.92%27.01%0.20%
IAP1491.31%4.91%0.01%
LIB451.78%1.10%0.01%
Other-29-0.92%1.34%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.36%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,2012.59%31.06%-0.12%
R3,1503.41%17.83%0.08%
NP7,3093.32%42.40%0.14%
IAP7713.46%4.30%0.02%
LIB1792.51%1.36%-0.01%
Other-150-0.91%3.04%-0.12%
Total not D or R  51.11%0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,0871.18%34.55%-0.16%
R4,2431.43%39.20%-0.08%
NP4,3312.88%20.22%0.24%
IAP7062.26%4.17%0.03%
LIB511.68%0.40%0.00%
Other-31-0.28%1.46%-0.03%
Total not D or R  26.25%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican112
NP040
IAP040
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1191
NP0210
IAP1173
LIB4710
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 11 (52.38%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican22191
NP0420
IAP5334
LIB101715
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 23 (54.76%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1041
Republican1050
NP1140
IAP591
LIB375
Other1212

How did registration trends impact the election outcome? I’ll be writing about that as soon as the secretary of state posts the final turnout data.

As Early Voting Begins Non-Partisan Overtakes GOP in Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 3, 2022

As I write this the two weeks of early voting ends tomorrow and election day is five days away. While Non-Partisan voter share has exceed that of the Republican Party among voters 18 to 34 years of age for quite some time and more recently in Clark County, October voter registration now puts GOP voter share below Non-Partisan statewide for the first time.

The combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continued its dominance to where it is now the top voter share in over 50 percent of the state legislative districts (11 of 21 state senate; 52.38% and 23 of 42 state assembly; 54.76%)

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D12,6372.13%32.66%-0.21%
R10,4391.92%29.84%-0.25%
NP22,9374.32%29.87%0.44%
IAP1,9402.49%4.31%-0.01%
LIB4332.72%0.88%0.00%
Other-56-0.12%2.44%-0.07%
Total not D or R  37.50%0.36%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8,7041.90%35.47%-0.21%
R5,9851.79%25.88%-0.18%
NP16,4404.19%31.03%0.50%
IAP1,1202.09%4.15%-0.02%
LIB2212.20%0.78%0.00%
Other-223-0.62%2.69%-0.08%
Total not D or R  38.65%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3723.62%31.77%-0.08%
R2,8132.87%33.19%-0.32%
NP4,2135.37%27.18%0.39%
IAP6144.67%4.52%0.03%
LIB1574.61%1.17%0.01%
Other1662.58%2.17%-0.03%
Total not D or R  35.04%0.39%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5611.38%17.83%-0.26%
R1,6411.50%48.00%-0.65%
NP2,2843.82%26.82%0.24%
IAP2061.85%4.90%-0.05%
LIB552.23%1.09%-0.01%
Other10.03%1.37%-0.04%
Total not D or R  34.17%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,9641.22%31.17%-0.03%
R1,1131.22%17.76%-0.02%
NP3,6671.69%42.26%0.15%
IAP2391.08%4.28%-0.01%
LIB761.08%1.37%0.00%
Other-258-1.54%3.16%-0.09%
Total not D or R  51.07%0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,1371.21%34.71%-0.04%
R3,7111.27%39.28%-0.03%
NP2,5041.69%19.97%0.07%
IAP5511.80%4.14%0.02%
LIB501.67%0.40%0.00%
Other140.12%1.49%-0.02%
Total not D or R  26.01%0.07%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP211
LIB112
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP1254
LIB867
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 11 (52.38%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4011
NP0420
IAP191112
LIB151314
Other41  01

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 23 (54.76%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican1410
NP1140
IAP744
LIB753
Other1032

How this translate into election results is anybody’s guess. Jon Ralston, CEO of the Nevada Independent, breaks down turnout here.