By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 5, 2022
The general election last month brought Nevada a split government; three of the six Constitutional offices going to both the Democratic (treasurer, attorney general, secretary of state) and Republican Party (governor, lieutenant governor, comptroller) and the Democratic Party maintaining a super-majority in the assembly and a majority in the senate. Besides splitting their tickets, voters also continued to prefer to register to vote as members of neither major party.
Statewide, Non-Partisan voter share surpassed 30 percent increasing its lead over the GOP and just two (2) percent behind Democratic voter share. Among younger voters, Non-Partisan registration out-paces Democratic registration by 11 percent and Republican registration by 25 percent. In the rural counties, Non-Partisan registration is 10 percent higher than Democratic and is just four (4) percent behind Democratic share in both Clark and Washoe County. Voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican increased their lead as the largest bloc statewide, in Clark and Washoe County, and among voters 18 to 34 years of age.
The combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continued its dominance to where it is now the top voter share in over 50 percent of the state legislative districts (11 of 21 state senate; 52.38% and 24 of 42 state assembly; 57.14%)
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 11,301 | 1.87% | 32.51% | -0.15% |
| R | 11,921 | 2.15% | 29.79% | -0.05% |
| NP | 17,492 | 3.16% | 30.12% | 0.24% |
| IAP | 2,382 | 2.98% | 4.33% | 0.03% |
| LIB | 421 | 2.58% | 0.88% | 0.00% |
| Other | -371 | -0.82% | 2.36% | -0.08% |
| Total not D or R | 37.70% | 0.19% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 8,738 | 1.87% | 35.27% | -0.21% |
| R | 8,617 | 2.53% | 25.89% | 0.02% |
| NP | 13,346 | 3.26% | 31.27% | 0.24% |
| IAP | 1,859 | 3.40% | 4.19% | 0.04% |
| LIB | 274 | 2.67% | 0.78% | 0.00% |
| Other | -363 | -1.02% | 2.60% | -0.09% |
| Total not D or R | 38.84% | 0.19% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,296 | 2.38% | 31.69% | -0.08% |
| R | 2,219 | 2.20% | 33.05% | -0.14% |
| NP | 2,954 | 3.57% | 27.43% | 0.25% |
| IAP | 374 | 2.72% | 4.53% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 102 | 2.86% | 1.17% | 0.00% |
| Other | 21 | 0.32% | 2.12% | -0.05% |
| Total not D or R | 35.25% | 0.20% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 267 | 0.65% | 17.74% | -0.09% |
| R | 1,085 | 0.98% | 47.91% | -0.09% |
| NP | 1,192 | 1.92% | 27.01% | 0.20% |
| IAP | 149 | 1.31% | 4.91% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 45 | 1.78% | 1.10% | 0.01% |
| Other | -29 | -0.92% | 1.34% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 34.36% | 0.19% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 4,201 | 2.59% | 31.06% | -0.12% |
| R | 3,150 | 3.41% | 17.83% | 0.08% |
| NP | 7,309 | 3.32% | 42.40% | 0.14% |
| IAP | 771 | 3.46% | 4.30% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 179 | 2.51% | 1.36% | -0.01% |
| Other | -150 | -0.91% | 3.04% | -0.12% |
| Total not D or R | 51.11% | 0.03% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 3,087 | 1.18% | 34.55% | -0.16% |
| R | 4,243 | 1.43% | 39.20% | -0.08% |
| NP | 4,331 | 2.88% | 20.22% | 0.24% |
| IAP | 706 | 2.26% | 4.17% | 0.03% |
| LIB | 51 | 1.68% | 0.40% | 0.00% |
| Other | -31 | -0.28% | 1.46% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 26.25% | 0.25% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| LIB | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Other | 4 | 0 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 11 | 9 | 1 |
| NP | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| IAP | 1 | 17 | 3 |
| LIB | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| Other | 21 | 0 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 11 (52.38%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 22 | 19 | 1 |
| NP | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| IAP | 5 | 33 | 4 |
| LIB | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| Other | 42 | 0 | 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 23 (54.76%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| Republican | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| NP | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| IAP | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| LIB | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Other | 12 | 1 | 2 |
How did registration trends impact the election outcome? I’ll be writing about that as soon as the secretary of state posts the final turnout data.