Root Cause (Root What?) – OPINION

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – February 7, 2024

Root cause and root cause analysis. I strongly believe these two terms are unknown to many elected officials and our population as a whole. Why else do legislative bodies revisit the same issues over and over again, never really solving anything?

Whether the issue has either a national or local impact, whether it’s border security, gun violence, school choice, voting rights, taxes, or anything else that impact our communities, it appears lawmakers can only think of going to the cabinet and getting a band aid. While the band aid stops the bleeding momentarily, it doesn’t prevent us from getting cut again, bleeding, and needing another band aid. Maybe this is because fixing the immediate is gratifying, giving a sense of accomplishment. Maybe it’s because the belief is this is how you solve a problem. Either way, nothing is ever truly fixed.

Most people want problems resolved so the likelihood of them recurring is non-existent or at least minimal. Accomplishing this is not easy. It can take time. There are courses that teach the steps, that’s how difficult and confusing it can be. But the rewards are often worth the time.

Perhaps a total mind-set change is needed. It’s not uncommon for elected officials to have a background as a lawyer. Lawyers, by the very nature of their work, are not focused on a permanent solution. Each case is a new problem requiring its own solution. They want, in fact, need the problem to occur often as their livelihood depends on it. Could that be part of the problem?

On the other hand, think about the issues facing our communities. Wouldn’t it be nice to find a real solution for the many issues facing our children? How good would it be if we could find a permanent fix to affordable housing and homelessness? How about taxes? Our immigration system, and the gun debate?

Think of root cause as the roots of a tree. Without its root structure, a tree does not survive. If there is no root cause, is there a real problem or just a symptom of a deeper issue? Root cause is what gives an issue life. It is the cause from which all other symptoms develop. Solve for the root cause and the likelihood of the problem coming back is virtually non-existent.

Root cause analysis is the process used to find the root cause. There are different methods; asking “why” until you can’t.

            Schools are failing our children. Why?

            Because we’re not teaching the right things. Why?

            Because teachers are not teaching. Why?

            Because the students don’t listen. Why?

Maybe the first question should be what do we expect from our educational system.

            There’s too much gun violence. Why?

            Because guns are too available. Why?

            Because people have mental health issues. Why?

Maybe the first question should be what has changed in society to make using a gun the default option to solve a personal dispute.

The list can go on and on.

On immigration perhaps starting with why do people sneak across our borders or overstay their visas would help us find a real solution.

If elected officials understood root cause and root cause analysis, perhaps we, their constituents, our cities, counties, state, and nation would be better served. What if the approval authority; mayor, governor, president, required a root cause analysis and a statement on how the legislation solves the problem accompany the bill to have it considered for signature. No root cause, veto. Of course, this may mean each bill would have to address only a single subject, no bills including related or unrelated topics. I touched on that before.

Assuming this happens, elected officials have to be willing to collaborate on proposing and passing legislation to implement solutions. This means leaving what has become the status quo of talking points and party loyalty behind in favor of doing what is best for those who they represent. This means the system that drives behavior has to change.

Nevadans have a unique opportunity this November to make such a change. A change that shakes up the status quo and provides elected officials the incentive to collaborate and solve problems in order to get elected or reelected rather than just appeal to a narrow so-called party base. The results are proven. Voters just need to pass Question 3 on the November 2024 ballot.

Republican Presidential Caucus Likely Cause of GOP Voter Share Increase

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – February 2, 2024

The Republican Party Presidential Caucus, with a January deadline to change party registration to participate, is the likely cause of an across the board increase in party voter share in last month. Democratic party voter share, despite the upcoming Democratic Party Presidential Preference Primary, fell along with Non-Partisan and minor party, the likely source of voters switching.

Not withstanding the Republican gains and Non-Partisan loses, Non-Partisan remains the largest bloc of voters state-wide, in Clark County, and among voters 18 to 54 years of age. Vote share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican remains the largest group in Washoe County.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,7570.30%30.83%-0.05%
R6,7491.22%28.96%0.21%
NP1,0490.16%32.96%-0.10%
IAP-176-0.21%4.35%-0.03%
LIB-66-0.40%0.84%-0.01%
Other-257-0.64%2.06%-0.02%
Total not D or R  40.21%-0.16%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,5570.34%33.19%-0.05%
R4,3531.27%25.09%0.19%
NP9760.20%34.53%-0.10%
IAP-66-0.11%4.20%-0.02%
LIB-37-0.36%0.74%-0.01%
Other-148-0.47%2.25%-0.02%
Total not D or R  41.73%-0.15%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1030.11%30.46%-0.03%
R9670.94%32.45%0.23%
NP-233-0.25%29.35%-0.14%
IAP-53-0.35%4.67%-0.03%
LIB-16-0.44%1.14%-0.01%
Other-71-1.15%1.92%-0.03%
Total not D or R  37.09%-0.21

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D970.25%17.00%-0.09%
R1,4291.34%47.59%0.27%
NP3060.47%28.49%-0.08%
IAP-57-0.52%4.81%-0.06%
LIB-13-0.54%1.04%-0.01%
Other-38-1.54%1.07%-0.02%
Total not D or R  35.40%-0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2230.15%28.40%-0.10%
R1,3351.50%16.71%0.17%
NP1,1360.45%46.91%-0.02%
IAP890.39%4.22%0.00%
LIB-30-0.44%1.25%-0.01%
Other-96-0.70%2.51%-0.03%
Total not D or R  54.89%-0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4790.27%29.65%-0.07%
R2,0841.28%27.37%0.21%
NP6370.31%34.66%-0.07%
IAP-24-0.09%4.63%-0.03%
LIB-15-0.23%1.05%-0.01%
Other-50-0.31%2.63%-0.02%
Total not D or R  42.97%-0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,0840.41%33.40%-0.01%
R3,3541.12%38.59%0.26%
NP-662-0.38%22.07%-0.18%
IAP-234-0.70%4.24%-0.05%
LIB-20-0.63%0.40%0.00%
Other-104-1.01%1.30%-0.02%
Total not D or R  28.00%-0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican040
NP400
IAP400
LIB301
Other400
Not D or R400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican0210
NP1722
IAP1812
LIB1209
Other2100
Not D or R2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 2,5,7,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3732
Republican1410
NP3741
IAP3624
LIB22119
Other40  11
Not D or R3831

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 31 (73.81%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,18,21,29,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican3120
NP5100
IAP1500
LIB1410
Other1311
Not D or R960

The average voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican

Combine NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City

Party increased in the 15 rural counties is now 32.47 percent.

The questions now becomes will the Republican gains hold leading up to the general election in November (not the normal trend) and will the Democratic Party pick up any voter share with same day registration at the primary.

Annual Voter Share Change Shows Significant Major Party Loses; Non-Partisan Gains

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – January 4, 2024

With December voter registration numbers, it’s time to include the annual change in voter share. As expected, 2023 was not a good year for either major party as both lost what I consider a significant share while voters showed their apparent displeasure as evidenced by Non-Partisan and combined non-major party totals.  Among voters 18 to 34 years of age, the increase was over four percent (4.20% NP, 3.57% combined)

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change
D2,1240.36%30.88%-0.15%-1.51%
R4,4090.80%28.74%-0.01%-0.93%
NP9,1211.45%33.07%0.20%2.70%
IAP5380.64%4.38%-0.01%0.03%
LIB430.26%0.85%0.00%-0.03%
Other-29-0.07%2.08%-0.02%-0.27%
Total not D or R  40.38%0.17%2.44%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change
D1,9040.42%33.23%-0.17%-1.87%
R3,0060.88%24.89%-0.01%-0.88%
NP7,3181.56%34.63%0.21%3.07%
IAP4060.70%4.23%-0.01%0.02%
LIB670.65%0.75%0.00%-0.03%
Other170.05%2.27%-0.02%-0.30%
Total not D or R  41.87%0.18%2.76%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change
D920.09%30.50%-0.12%-1.16%
R4930.48%32.22%0.00%-0.80%
NP9170.99%29.49%0.14%2.01%
IAP1180.80%4.70%0.01%0.15%
LIB-10-0.27%1.15%-0.01%-0.02%
Other-31-0.50%1.95%-0.02%-0.16%
Total not D or R  37.28%0.121.97%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change
D1280.33%17.09%-0.09%-0.56%
R9100.86%47.32%0.00%-0.41%
NP8861.39%28.57%0.15%1.28%
IAP140.13%4.87%-0.04%-0.04%
LIB-14-0.58%1.06%-0.02%-0.03%
Other-15-0.60%1.09%-0.02%-0.23%
Total not D or R  35.59%0.07%0.97%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change
D3550.23%28.50%-0.23%-2.38%
R8821.00%16.54%-0.01%-1.19%
NP4,1181.66%46.94%0.29%4.20%
IAP2120.94%4.22%0.00%-0.08%
LIB-1-0.01%1.26%-0.01%-0.09%
Other-60-0.44%2.54%-0.04%-0.46%
Total not D or R  54.96%0.24%3.57%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change
D6140.34%29.73%-0.15%-1.38%
R1,0010.62%27.17%-0.06%-1.14%
NP3,0651.49%34.73%0.22%2.71%
IAP2430.88%4.65%0.00%0.05%
LIB600.95%1.06%0.00%-0.01%
Other600.38%2.66%-0.01%-0.23%
Total not D or R  43.10%0.21%2.52%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2022 – 2023 Voter Share Change
D1,1260.43%33.41%-0.09%-1.05%
R2,4940.84%38.34%0.05%-0.77%
NP1,8631.08%22.25%0.08%1.86%
IAP780.23%4.28%-0.02%0.09%
LIB-16-0.50%0.40%0.00%0.00%
Other-37-0.36%1.32%-0.01%-0.14%
Total not D or R  28.25%0.05%1.81%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican400
NP040
IAP400
LIB212
Other400
Not D or R040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2010
Republican1155
NP0210
IAP1254
LIB7113
Other2100
Not D or R1200

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 2,5,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican21165
NP0420
IAP27114
LIB19419
Other37  14
Not D or R0420

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 31 (73.81%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. This is an increase of one(1) over October 2023

NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,18,21,29,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1140
Republican780
NP3120
IAP1131
LIB1023
Other735
Not D or R492

The average voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican

Combine NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City

Party increased in the 15 rural counties is now 32.52 percent.

The Republican Party remained flat across all categories. Could this interest in the presidential contest? The January numbers could provide more insight as will turnout for the caucus and preference primary.

Voter Roll Maintenance Still Has Non-Partisan Voter Share Increasing

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 5, 2023

November saw counties perform voter roll maintenance, however, that did not change the normal trajectory; an increase in the percentage of voters registered as Non-Partisan and a decrease in share of the major parties. (Note, the GOP actually had a slight gain)

Non-Partisan remains largest group in the state, in Clark County and among voters 18 to 34 and 35 to 54 years of age. In Washoe County, the combined share of Non-Partisan and minor party leads both major parties. Among voters 55 years of age and older, Non-Partisan, while not ahead of either major party, continues to grow.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-10,487-1.74%31.03%-0.20%
R-4,693-0.85%28.75%0.08%
NP-4,072-0.65%32.87%0.15%
IAP-759-0.90%4.39%0.01%
LIB-255-1.54%0.86%0.00%
Other-1,093-2.66%2.10%-0.03%
Total not D or R  40.21%0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-10,702-2.29%33.40%-0.18%
R-5,585-1.61%24.90%0.04%
NP-5,976-1.25%34.41%0.18%
IAP-968-1.64%4.24%0.01%
LIB-280-2.66%0.75%-0.01%
Other-1,072-3.31%2.29%-0.04%
Total not D or R  41.69%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1200.12%30.62%-0.11%
R3230.32%32.22%-0.05%
NP9591.04%29.35%0.16%
IAP1310.89%4.69%0.02%
LIB140.38%1.16%0.00%
Other-11-0.18%1.97%-0.01%
Total not D or R  37.16%0.17

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D950.25%17.18%-0.09%
R5690.54%47.32%-0.10%
NP9451.51%28.41%0.21%
IAP780.71%4.91%0.00%
LIB110.46%1.07%0.00%
Other-10-0.40%1.11%-0.01%
Total not D or R  35.50%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-4,083-2.60%28.72%-0.26%
R-1,457-1.62%16.55%0.01%
NP-2,742-1.09%46.65%0.29%
IAP-333-1.46%4.22%0.01%
LIB-158-2.27%1.28%-0.01%
Other-489-3.44%2.58%-0.05%
Total not D or R  54.73%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,644-2.01%29.88%-0.22%
R-1,766-1.08%27.23%0.06%
NP-1,530-0.74%34.51%0.19%
IAP-351-1.25%4.65%0.00%
LIB-86-1.34%1.06%0.00%
Other-394-2.42%2.67%-0.03%
Total not D or R  42.89%0.16%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,759-1.05%33.50%-0.17%
R-1,464-0.49%38.29%0.02%
NP2250.13%22.17%0.15%
IAP-78-0.23%4.30%0.01%
LIB-12-0.38%0.41%0.00%
Other-207-1.96%1.33%-0.02%
Total not D or R  28.21%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican130
NP040
IAP022
LIB004
Other400
Not D or R040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2010
NP0210
IAP3162
LIB1128
Other2010
Not D or R0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4110
Republican19212
NP0420
IAP121911
LIB25710
Other38  13
Not D or R0420

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 30 (71.43%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. This is an increase of one(1) over October 2023

NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,21,29,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1212
Republican1311
NP1131
IAP753
LIB645
Other627
Not D or R1140

The average voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in the 15 rural counties is now 32.31 percent.

With two (2) months remaining for voters to register or change their registration before the presidential primaries; the Democratic Party will allow same-day registration, it will be interesting to see if the voter share numbers reflect interest in the primary process. Likewise, what will voter share changes look like leading up to the June state primary election.

Combined Non-Partisan and minor party Voter Share Tops 40 Percent As Non-Partisan Expands Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 2, 2023

The percentage of voters not affiliating with either major party topped 40 percent in October as Non-Partisan increased its lead as the voting bloc with the largest number of voters.

Non-Partisan remains largest group in the state, in Clark County and among voters 18 to 34 and 35 to 54 years of age. In Washoe County, the combined share of Non-Partisan and minor party leads both major parties. Among voters 55 years of age and older, Non-Partisan, while not ahead of either major party, continues to grow.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1150.02%31.23%-0.16%
R7230.13%28.68%-0.12%
NP8,8691.43%32.72%0.29%
IAP6590.79%4.38%0.01%
LIB870.53%0.86%0.00%
Other-121-0.29%2.13%-0.02%
Total not D or R  40.09%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-63-0.01%33.58%-0.17%
R310.01%24.87%-0.12%
NP6,5031.38%34.24%0.30%
IAP3910.67%4.23%0.01%
LIB420.40%0.76%0.00%
Other-108-0.33%2.33%-0.02%
Total not D or R  41.55%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D650.07%30.73%-0.14%
R2070.20%32.28%-0.10%
NP1,1981.32%29.19%0.23%
IAP1340.92%4.67%0.02%
LIB220.61%1.16%0.00%
Other-6-0.10%1.98%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.99%0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1130.29%17.26%-0.10%
R4850.46%47.43%-0.19%
NP1,1681.90%28.21%0.28%
IAP1341.24%4.91%0.02%
LIB230.97%1.08%0.00%
Other-7-0.28%1.12%-0.01%
Total not D or R  35.31%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-62-0.04%28.99%-0.24%
R2230.25%16.54%-0.09%
NP3,8831.57%46.36%0.36%
IAP1790.79%4.21%0.00%
LIB420.61%1.29%0.00%
Other-71-0.50%2.62%-0.03%
Total not D or R  54.48%0.33%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D860.05%30.09%-0.16%
R2140.13%27.17%-0.12%
NP2,9001.42%34.32%0.29%
IAP2210.79%4.65%0.01%
LIB190.30%1.06%0.00%
Other30.02%2.70%-0.01%
Total not D or R  42.73%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D870.03%33.67%-0.10%
R2820.09%38.26%-0.09%
NP2,0721.22%22.02%0.19%
IAP2590.78%4.29%0.02%
LIB260.82%0.41%0.00%
Other-57-0.54%1.35%-0.01%
Total not D or R  28.06%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP031
LIB004
Other400
Not D or R040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP5142
LIB1317
Other2100
Not D or R0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4110
NP0420
IAP8268
LIB101220
Other37  14
Not D or R0420

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,21,,29,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican1410
NP0150
IAP591
LIB762
Other1221
Not D or R1140

The average voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in the 15 rural counties is now 32.32 percent.

Both the Democratic and Republican Party continue to experience internal friction according to recent reports. We are one year away from the general election, three months from the presidential primary / caucus and seven months from the state primary. What will voter share look like as we get closer?

Voters Continue to expand Non-Partisan Voter Share Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – October 4, 2023

At the end of September, Non-Partisan voters now lead the Democratic Party by a full percentage point, increasing the difference by a full one-half of one percent in one month. The Non-Partisan lead over Republican voter share is just under four percent.

Non-Partisan also is the largest group in Clark County and among voters 18 to 34 and 35 to 54 years of age. In Washoe County, the combined share of Non-Partisan and minor party leads both major parties. Among voters 55 years of age and older, Non-Partisan, while not ahead of either major party, continues to grow.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,4880.25%31.40%-0.15%
R1,5540.28%28.80%-0.13%
NP10,3711.69%32.43%0.30%
IAP6330.76%4.37%0.00%
LIB740.45%0.86%0.00%
Other-15-0.04%2.15%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.81%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1720.25%33.75%-0.18%
R9840.29%24.99%-0.13%
NP8,3231.80%33.93%0.34%
IAP4230.73%4.22%0.00%
LIB480.46%0.76%0.00%
Other-28-0.09%2.35%-0.02%
Total not D or R  41.26%0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3370.35%30.87%-0.08%
R3580.35%32.38%-0.09%
NP1,0351.15%28.95%0.15%
IAP1621.12%4.65%0.02%
LIB170.47%1.16%0.00%
Other230.37%1.99%0.00%
Total not D or R  36.75%0.17

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-21-0.05%17.36%-0.11%
R2120.20%47.62%-0.17%
NP1,0131.67%27.92%0.30%
IAP480.45%4.89%-0.01%
LIB90.38%1.07%0.00%
Other-10-0.40%1.13%-0.01%
Total not D or R  35.02%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5350.34%29.22%-0.23%
R4070.46%16.62%-0.11%
NP4,8522.00%46.00%0.40%
IAP1480.66%4.21%-0.02%
LIB210.30%1.29%-0.01%
Other-27-0.19%2.66%-0.03%
Total not D or R  54.15%0.34%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3910.22%30.25%-0.16%
R3800.23%27.29%-0.14%
NP3,2881.64%34.03%0.30%
IAP2430.88%4.64%0.01%
LIB270.42%1.07%0.00%
Other210.13%2.71%-0.02%
Total not D or R  42.45%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5610.21%33.78%-0.09%
R7680.26%38.36%-0.09%
NP2,2351.33%21.83%0.18%
IAP2440.74%4.27%0.01%
LIB260.83%0.41%0.00%
Other-4-0.04%1.36%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.87%0.18%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP112
LIB103
Other310
Not D or R040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP696
LIB5016
Other1902
Not D or R0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4101
NP0420
IAP151611
LIB14721
Other35  16
Not D or R0420

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,21,,29,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican1320
NP0150
IAP663
LIB447
Other1023
Not D or R0150

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in all 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.76 percent.

With the debate over the presidential caucus in the Republican Party and recent events in Congress, the question is how will these events impact voter registration trends, if at all.

Non-Partisan Increases Voter Share Lead Over Democratic Party

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – September 2, 2023

NOTE: This report now includes figures for Generation X, those between the age of 35 and 54. Similar to the 18 to 34 age group, Non-Partisan is the largest bloc in this group.

Active registered voters in Nevada continued to abandon the two major political parties in August with Non-Partisan expanding its lead over the Democratic Party to over one-half of one percent (0.57%), an increase of 0.4 percent in one month. Growth of voters now registered to vote as Non-Partisan continues across the board.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-936-0.16%31.55%-0.14%
R-89-0.02%28.93%-0.09%
NP6,7771.12%32.12%0.26%
IAP2080.25%4.37%0.00%
LIB-21-0.13%0.86%0.00%
Other-317-0.76%2.17%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.52%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,175-0.25%33.93%-0.14%
R-699-0.20%25.11%-0.09%
NP4,2880.94%33.60%0.26%
IAP420.07%4.23%0.00%
LIB-32-0.31%0.76%0.00%
Other-353-1.07%2.37%-0.03%
Total not D or R  40.95%0.23%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2370.25%30.95%-0.12%
R3110.31%32.46%-0.11%
NP1,2941.46%28.80%0.23%
IAP1080.75%4.62%0.01%
LIB70.19%1.16%-0.01%
Other350.57%2.00%0.00%
Total not D or R  36.58%0.23

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D20.01%17.47%-0.12%
R2990.29%47.79%-0.20%
NP1,1952.01%27.62%0.35%
IAP580.54%4.90%-0.01%
LIB40.17%1.08%-0.01%
Other10.04%1.14%-0.01%
Total not D or R  34.74%0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,140-0.72%29.45%-0.24%
R-428-0.48%16.73%-0.09%
NP2,3550.98%45.60%0.40%
IAP-70-0.31%4.23%-0.02%
LIB-53-0.76%1.30%-0.01%
Other-218-1.50%2.69%-0.04%
Total not D or R  53.82%0.33%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-297-0.16%30.41%-0.13%
R-138-0.08%27.43%-0.10%
NP2,0531.03%33.73%0.25%
IAP840.31%4.63%0.00%
LIB260.41%1.07%0.00%
Other-78-0.48%2.73%-0.02%
Total not D or R  42.16%0.23%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5040.19%33.87%-0.09%
R4790.16%38.45%-0.11%
NP2,3641.43%21.65%0.21%
IAP1930.59%4.26%0.01%
LIB60.19%0.40%0.00%
Other-21-0.20%1.37%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.68%0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP202
LIB202
Other301

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP876
LIB9210
Other1812
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,8,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4101
NP0420
IAP171510
LIB17520
Other36  15

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in ADs 5,8,9,15,16,21,27,29,35,41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1320
Republican1500
NP0150
IAP861
LIB834
Other726

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in all 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.76 percent.

As we head into the 2024 election cycle it will be interesting to see how recent events impact these number over the next few months.

I’ve Mentioned the Trend – Here Are the Numbers From 2000 – 2022

Voter Registration Trend: 2000 – 2022

YearDRNPOTotal not D or RChange NPChange not D or R
200041.641.614.02.816.8  
200141.741.414.02.916.90.00.1
200240.841.614.63.017.60.60.7
200340.341.315.33.118.40.70.8
200440.240.415.14.319.4-0.21.0
200540.141.014.54.418.9-0.6-0.5
200640.139.415.45.120.50.91.6
200740.540.014.45.119.5-1.0-1.0
200844.035.515.35.220.50.91.0
200943.436.015.35.320.60.00.1
201042.236.315.85.721.50.50.9
201141.536.815.95.821.70.10.2
201242.134.417.56.023.51.61.8
201341.434.917.66.123.70.10.2
201439.734.619.36.425.71.72.0
201539.334.719.66.426.00.30.3
201639.135.119.66.325.90.0-0.1
201738.733.521.36.527.81.71.9
201838.433.421.96.328.20.60.4
201938.333.322.26.328.50.30.3
202036.632.424.16.931.01.92.5
202133.929.927.78.536.23.65.2
202232.429.730.47.637.92.71.7
        
Net-9.2-11.916.44.821.1  

Non-Partisan Becomes Largest Voting Bloc Surpassing Democratic Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – August 2, 2023

Voters registered to vote as Non-Partisan surpassed the number of voters registered in the Democratic Party in July becoming the largest group of active registered voters in Nevada. Non-Partisan was the only group to register voter share gains in all demographics except for a minute (one one-hundredth of a percent) gain by the Independent American Party in Washoe and among voters 55 years of age and older.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,5210.25%31.69%-0.15%
R1,9220.35%29.02%-0.10%
NP9,1981.54%31.86%0.26%
IAP6740.82%4.37%0.00%
LIB1320.81%0.87%0.00%
Other-17-0.04%2.19%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.29%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1140.24%34.07%-0.10%
R1,0540.31%25.20%-0.06%
NP6,8391.52%33.34%0.32%
IAP4170.72%4.23%0.01%
LIB710.68%0.76%0.00%
Other-41-0.12%2.40%-0.02%
Total not D or R  40.73%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2430.25%31.08%-0.10%
R2890.29%32.57%-0.09%
NP1,0371.19%28.57%0.18%
IAP1190.84%4.62%0.01%
LIB290.81%1.16%0.00%
Other160.26%2.00%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.35%0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1640.43%17.60%-0.27%
R5790.56%48.00%-0.68%
NP1,3222.28%27.27%0.08%
IAP1381.31%4.90%-0.03%
LIB321.38%1.08%-0.01%
Other80.32%1.15%-0.02%
Total not D or R  34.41%0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D950.06%29.69%-0.23%
R2860.32%16.83%-0.09%
NP3,8831.64%45.19%0.36%
IAP1600.71%4.25%-0.01%
LIB470.68%1.31%0.00%
Other-77-0.53%2.73%-0.04%
Total not D or R  53.49%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8480.32%33.96%-0.09%
R1,1490.39%38.56%-0.08%
NP2,2781.39%21.44%0.17%
IAP2700.83%4.26%0.01%
LIB290.94%0.40%0.00%
Other200.19%1.38%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.48%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP013
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP1200
IAP5106
LIB2415
Other1713
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4110
Republican4020
NP0420
IAP82311
LIB91122
Other34  17

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in Ads 8,9,15,16,29,35, and 41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1212
Republican1212
NP0150
IAP2112
LIB636
Other745

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 14 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.40 percent.

In last month’s report I asked if the Democratic Party would lose its status as the top voter bloc in July. We have the answer. The other question, will the Democratic party fall below 30 percent voter share before next year’s state primary in June remains.

What If – Making the Nevada Legislature and Governing Nevada More Efficient – OPINION

What if:

  1. Voters repealed NRS241.016 2(a) the legislature’s exemption from open meeting law.
  • Legislature chamber rules could not be suspended.
  • The Legislative Counsel Bureau (LCB) was required to evaluate each bill draft request (BDR) for duplication then required to notify the legislators involved to reconcile their bills. One bill per topic. A legislator could co-sponsor. Sponsors of duplicate bills would have to provide a reason in writing to the governor justifying duplication.
  • Single subject rule applied to legislation. No omnibus bills.
  • Legislation must actually solve a problem, have a formal problem statement / root cause analysis, and a statement of how the legislation solves the root cause.
  • All meetings started on time and floor sessions were moved to 6:00 PM (last item of the day) as the public does not have input.
  • Bills to conduct a study had to include a statement clearly describing what the potential problem being investigated is and why the study is necessary.
  • Bills honoring people, naming a building, naming a state animal, plant, etc could not be heard until action on all other bills is completed.
  • All bills had to be submitted per statute timeline and emergency bills had to be approved by both the majority and minority leaders of both chambers.
  1. Every bill had to include how the bill would be implemented, how and who was responsible for implementation, and a specific date by which implementation must be complete.
  1. Bills had to be written with enough specifics so legislative intent was clear and not open to different judicial interpretations.
  1. The governor made meeting these standards a criteria for signing or vetoing bills.

The 120-day legislative session is actually 89 days when legislators are in the building. There must be a real discussion about either lengthening the session or going to annual sessions.

The public must demand that legislators collaborate on problems facing the state. They must make this apparent with their votes.

What if?