Doug Goodman – Page 8

September 1, 2020September 1, 2020

Democratic Party Loses Voter Share Across the Board; Non-Partisan and Minor Parties Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

For the second consecutive month, the Democratic Party in August lost substantial voter share across all tracked demographics and in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts. The Republican Party fared slightly better losing share at a lower rate while recording slight increases in Clark County and among voters 18 to 24 years of age. Non-Partisan experienced gains comparable to Democratic loses. The big surprise was the gain by the smaller minor parties; double digit increases in raw number of voters and gain in voter share in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts.

Non-Partisan voters now top 23 percent statewide while voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican close in on 30 percent (just under 40 percent for voters 18 to 34 years of age). Also remember, it is an accepted assumption that more than one-half of those registered in the Independent American Party (IAP) are really Non-Partisans who thought they were registering as independents not in a highly conservative party.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	9,274	1.47%	38.02%	-0.29%
R	11,441	2.13%	32.58%	-0.03%
NP	11,746	3.10%	23.19%	0.19%
IAP	1,933	2.68%	4.40%	0.02%
LIB	320	1.99%	0.97%	0.00%
Other	2,132	17.70%	0.84%	0.11%
Total not D or R			29.40%	0.32

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	7,998	1.65%	41.45%	-0.34%
R	8,386	2.54%	28.53%	0.02%
NP	8,873	3.20%	24.09%	0.17%
IAP	1,471	3.04%	4.20%	0.02%
LIB	221	2.15%	0.88%	0.00%
Other	1,720	20.93%	0.84%	0.13%
Total not D or R			30.01%	0.32

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,191	1.18%	35.52%	-0.26%
R	1,683	1.67%	35.74%	-0.09%
NP	1,849	3.03%	21.96%	0.24%
IAP	334	2.68%	4.47%	0.03%
LIB	70	2.00%	1.24%	0.00%
Other	262	9.26%	1.08%	0.07%
Total not D or R			28.75%	0.34

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	85	0.18%	21.99%	-0.26%
R	1,372	1.30%	51.20%	-0.03%
NP	1,024	2.54%	19.73%	0.23%
IAP	128	1.14%	5.41%	-0.01%
LIB	29	1.25%	1.12%	0.00%
Other	150	14.99%	0.55%	0.07%
Total not D or R			26.81%	0.29

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,074	1.76%	39.14%	-0.41%
R	2,834	3.03%	21.20%	0.04%
NP	4,790	3.38%	32.22%	0.17%
IAP	667	3.29%	4.60%	0.02%
LIB	186	2.57%	1.64%	0.00%
Other	944	20.93%	1.20%	0.18%
Total not D or R			39.66%	0.37

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,341	1.26%	38.18%	-0.14%
R	4,288	1.51%	40.99%	-0.05%
NP	2,619	2.42%	15.76%	0.12%
IAP	604	2.13%	4.12%	0.02%
LIB	33	1.10%	0.43%	0.00%
Other	468	14.67%	0.52%	0.06%
Total not D or R			20.83%	0.20

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	2	1	1
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	0	4	0
LIB	1	0	3
Other	0	4	0

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	21	0	0
Republican	11	9	1
Non-Partisan	0	21	0
IAP	3	18	0
LIB	9	5	7
Other	0	21	0

In 19 districts (90.48%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a gain of one over July

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	42	0	0
Republican	23	18	1
Non-Partisan	1	41	0
IAP	5	33	4
LIB	17	14	11
Other	0	42	0

In 37 districts (88.10%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over July and two from June.

With early voting starting in just over six weeks, what this will mean for candidates will be worth watching.

August 4, 2020August 4, 2020

Did Bernie Supporters Leave the Democratic Party

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Did Bernie Sanders supporters follow through on their threat to leave the Democratic Party? That question has to be asked given that in July, according to numbers released by the Nevada secretary of state, Democratic Party voter share dropped across all demographics, in all Congressional districts, and in all state legislative districts. At the same time, the share of voters registered as Non-Partisan increased in the same groups, the only difference being in one state assembly district.

The Democratic Party was not alone. The Republican Party also saw a drop in voter share across all demographics; Congressional districts and state legislative districts, but not as severe. Minor parties also saw a slight increase in voter share. The shift in July also returned the Republican Party’s lead in Washoe County, if only by 138 voters; 0.05% in voter share.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	5,718	0.92%	38.31%	-0.24%
R	6,580	1.24%	32.61%	-0.10%
NP	10,992	2.99%	22.99%	0.32%
IAP	1,126	1.59%	4.38%	0.00%
LIB	446	2.86%	0.98%	0.01%
Other	271	2.30%	0.73%	0.01%
Total not D or R			29.08%	0.34

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,586	0.54%	41.79%	-0.28%
R	3,664	1.12%	28.51%	-0.03%
NP	6,774	2.51%	23.92%	0.30%
IAP	612	1.28%	4.18%	0.00%
LIB	198	1.97%	0.89%	0.01%
Other	49	0.60%	0.71%	0.00%
Total not D or R			29.70%	0.31

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	4,184	4.34%	35.77%	-0.31%
R	4,433	4.60%	35.82%	-0.22%
NP	4,143	7.28%	21.72%	0.41%
IAP	741	6.32%	4.43%	0.04%
LIB	279	8.68%	1.24%	0.04%
Other	236	9.10%	1.01%	0.04%
Total not D or R			28.41%	0.53

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-1,052	-2.24%	22.25%	-0.21%
R	-1,517	-1.41%	51.23%	-0.05%
NP	75	0.19%	19.50%	0.29%
IAP	-227	-1.99%	5.42%	-0.04%
LIB	-31	-1.32%	1.12%	0.00%
Other	-14	-1.38%	0.48%	0.00%
Total not D or R			26.52%	0.25

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,508	1.46%	39.55%	-0.36%
R	1,760	1.92%	21.16%	-0.09%
NP	5,009	3.67%	32.05%	0.40%
IAP	555	2.82%	4.58%	0.02%
LIB	282	4.05%	1.64%	0.03%
Other	121	2.76%	1.02%	0.00%
Total not D or R			39.29%	0.45

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,361	0.52%	38.32%	-0.14%
R	2,212	0.78%	41.04%	-0.04%
NP	2,263	2.13%	15.64%	0.19%
IAP	241	0.86%	4.10%	0.00%
LIB	1	0.03%	0.43%	0.00%
Other	43	1.37%	0.46%	0.00%
Total not D or R			20.63%	0.19

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	4	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	0	1	3
LIB	0	2	2
Other	1	1	2

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	21	0	0
Republican	14	6	1
Non-Partisan	0	21	0
IAP	8	10	3
LIB	3	14	4
Other	8	6	7

In 18 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	42	0	0
Republican	31	10	1
Non-Partisan	1	41	0
IAP	16	20	6
LIB	8	26	8
Other	16	15	11

In 36 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over June.

If Bernie Sanders supporters did decide to leave the party, it should show in the August numbers.

July 7, 2020July 7, 2020

2020 Primary Election – Record-Breaking Turnout

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

What impact did voters automatically receiving their ballot in the mail have on their decision to vote? Only a statewide poll of voters will give us that answer.

What we do know is that over 98 percent of ballots were returned by mail or drop-off. More importantly is the fact that voter participation (turnout) was unprecedented.

State-Wide Turnout

Year	% Turnout	increase vs 2016	% increase vs 2016	increase vs 2018	% increase vs 2018
2020	30.16%	11.62%	62.68%	7.29%	31.82%
2016	18.54%
2018	22.91%

2020 Turnout by County

	Total	Democratic	Republican	Other
Average	38.76%	41.00%	45.82%	21.97%
High	50.25% Humboldt	49.25% Douglas	59.09% Humboldt	30.47% Humboldt
Low	27.76 Clark	32.01% Clark	33.32% Clark	15.25% Clark

NOTE: Republican Party exceeded 50% turnout in Douglas, Humboldt, Lander, Storey, and White Pine Counties

Percent of Ballots Cast

Year	Democratic	Republican	Other
2020	43.40%	40.16%	15.81%
2016	42.81%	48.13%	9.05%
2018	44.47%	43.55%	11.99%

In 2020 races where we could track turnout:

Congressional

Race	# Contests	Avg	High	Low
Congressional	8	35.56%	40.81% CD2 – R	24.39% CD1 – R
State Senate	3	29.11%	32.52% SD18 – D	24.45% SD11 – R
State Assembly	26	31.24%	43.37% AD40 – D	19.35% AD14 – D
Judicial	24	24.51%	30.35% Dist 2 Dept 11	23.06% Dist 8 Fam Div Y

These percentages show similar increases to the statewide totals.

Will the general election show a similar increase in turnout or a return to normal; 75 – 80 percent? How will the voting method; continue all mail ballots or return to normal in-person voting impact turnout? We’ll know in four months.

July 2, 2020July 2, 2020

Washoe Does Maintenance; Voter Share Changes Mixed, Impact of Same-Day Registration

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Was hoping to see the impact of same-day registration with the release of June voter registration numbers, but Washoe County was able to do their routine voter roll maintenance. This caused the overall number of active registered voters to decline leaving changes to voter share mixed.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-3,378	-0.54%	38.55%	0.03%
R	-4,393	-0.82%	32.71%	-0.07%
NP	-1,067	-0.29%	22.67%	0.07%
IAP	-406	-0.57%	4.38%	0.00%
LIB	-252	-1.59%	0.96%	-0.01%
Other	-426	-3.49%	0.73%	-0.02%
Total not D or R			28.74%	0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	4,803	1.01%	42.07%	-0.05%
R	2,754	0.85%	28.54%	-0.08%
NP	4,282	1.61%	23.62%	0.11%
IAP	721	1.53%	4.18%	0.02%
LIB	145	1.46%	0.88%	0.00%
Other	64	0.79%	0.71%	0.00%
Total not D or R			29.39%	0.13

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-8,303	-7.93%	36.08%	0.16%
R	-7,734	-7.44%	36.04%	0.35%
NP	-6,157	-9.76%	21.31%	-0.34%
IAP	-1,194	-9.24%	4.39%	-0.04%
LIB	-423	-11.62%	1.20%	-0.04%
Other	-495	-16.03%	0.97%	-0.09%
Total not D or R			27.39%	-0.51

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	122	0.26%	22.45%	-0.12%
R	587	0.55%	51.27%	-0.12%
NP	808	2.05%	19.21%	0.24%
IAP	67	0.59%	5.46%	-0.01%
LIB	26	1.12%	1.12%	0.00%
Other	5	0.50%	0.48%	0.00%
Total not D or R			26.27%	0.23

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-1,224	-0.71%	39.91%	0.15%
R	-1,997	-2.13%	21.25%	-0.23%
NP	-992	-0.72%	31.65%	0.11%
IAP	-128	-0.65%	4.56%	0.02%
LIB	-143	-2.01%	1.61%	-0.02%
Other	-209	-4.55%	1.02%	-0.04%
Total not D or R			38.84%	0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-1,162	-0.44%	38.47%	-0.01%
R	-1,327	-0.47%	41.09%	-0.02%
NP	-115	-0.11%	15.45%	0.05%
IAP	-171	-0.60%	4.10%	-0.01%
LIB	-38	-1.25%	0.44%	0.00%
Other	-88	-2.72%	0.46%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			20.44%	0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	3	1	0
Non-Partisan	1	3	0
IAP	1	3	0
LIB	1	1	2
Other	1	0	3

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	16	4	1
Republican	17	4	0
Non-Partisan	4	17	0
IAP	6	13	2
LIB	8	6	7
Other	10	1	10

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	31	8	3
Republican	36	6	0
Non-Partisan	7	35	0
IAP	13	22	7
LIB	15	14	13
Other	23	7	12

In 35 districts (83.33%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

We may have to wait to see the impact of same-day voter registration until the August numbers are released as list maintenance is due to be performed by the remining 16 counties this month. In addition to this, how many voters who maintained party affiliation or affiliated with a party to vote in the primary will change to Non-Partisan as the partisan divisiveness appears to be growing?

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

GOP Posts Voter Share Gains in Lead-Up to Primary

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Given what has happened in recent months, voter registration numbers for May show something different. The Republican Party not only posted voter share gains across all tracked demographics; the Democratic Party and Non-Partisan lost share while minor parties held even, they also led in rate of raw voter increase

. Given that May is the lead-up month to the state and local primary election, is this an indication of interest in some of the legislative races? As of June 1^st, the Republican Party also leads in turnout, 19 percent to 17 percent. Or, to play devil’s advocate, could some strategic voting be happening?

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,354	0.38%	38.52%	-0.04%
R	3,870	0.73%	32.78%	0.08%
NP	1,389	0.38%	22.60%	-0.03%
IAP	296	0.42%	4.38%	0.00%
LIB	52	0.33%	0.97%	0.00%
Other	3	0.02%	0.75%	0.00%
Total not D or R			28.70%	-0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,231	0.47%	42.12%	-0.04%
R	2,504	0.78%	28.62%	0.06%
NP	1,326	0.50%	23.51%	-0.02%
IAP	299	0.64%	4.16%	0.00%
LIB	41	0.42%	0.88%	0.00%
Other	16	0.20%	0.72%	0.00%
Total not D or R			29.26%	-0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	143	0.14%	35.92%	-0.03%
R	344	0.33%	35.69%	0.04%
NP	113	0.18%	21.65%	-0.01%
IAP	16	0.12%	4.43%	0.00%
LIB	11	0.30%	1.25%	0.00%
Other	-3	-0.10%	1.06%	0.00%
Total not D or R			28.39%	-0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-20	-0.04%	22.57%	-0.11%
R	1,022	0.97%	51.39%	0.26%
NP	-50	-0.13%	18.97%	-0.11%
IAP	-19	-0.17%	5.47%	-0.03%
LIB	0	0.00%	1.11%	0.00%
Other	-10	-0.98%	0.49%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			26.04%	-0.15

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	321	0.19%	39.76%	-0.06%
R	664	0.71%	21.48%	0.08%
NP	343	0.25%	31.53%	-0.02%
IAP	76	0.38%	4.54%	0.00%
LIB	5	0.07%	1.63%	0.00%
Other	1	0.02%	1.05%	0.00%
Total not D or R			38.76%	-0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,287	0.49%	38.47%	-0.03%
R	2,101	0.75%	41.11%	0.08%
NP	342	0.32%	15.40%	-0.04%
IAP	83	0.29%	4.10%	-0.01%
LIB	7	0.23%	0.44%	0.00%
Other	-10	-0.31%	0.47%	0.00%
Total not D or R			20.42%	-0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	0	4	0
Non-Partisan	3	0	1
IAP	1	1	2
LIB	0	0	4
Other	1	0	3

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	19	2	0
Republican	1	18	2
Non-Partisan	15	4	2
IAP	6	7	8
LIB	7	5	9
Other	9	2	10

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	35	6	1
Republican	6	34	2
Non-Partisan	25	11	6
IAP	14	21	7
LIB	17	10	15
Other	17	3	22

We are into the final week of early voting. Indications are that use of same-day registration is light and probably won’t impact voter share in June. What will be interesting to see is the turnout by party and whether the favorites win or there are some dark-horse surprises.

May 1, 2020May 1, 2020

Voter Share Changes Return To Normal Ranges But With Democratic Share Loses

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

April voter registration numbers for April showed a major reversal for the Democratic Party with voter share loses across all tracked demographics (except Washoe County) and in a majority of Congressional, State Senate, and State Assembly districts. While shifts in voter share returned to normal ranges, it is significant given gains over the past few months. Conversely the Republican Party only lost voter share in Washoe County while Non-Partisan only lost share in the rural counties. In legislative districts, loses and gains were evenly divided for the GOP with Non-Partisan seeing significant gains. What is also of interest is voter share gains by the Independent American Party almost mirror those for Non-Partisan raising the recurring question of how many of those voters meant to register as Non-Partisan.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,303	0.37%	38.57%	-0.04%
R	2,512	0.48%	32.71%	0.00%
NP	2,126	0.58%	22.62%	0.03%
IAP	453	0.64%	4.38%	0.01%
LIB	55	0.35%	0.97%	0.00%
Other	94	0.78%	0.75%	0.00%
Total not D or R			28.73%	0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	9,500	2.05%	42.16%	-0.05%
R	2,713	0.86%	28.56%	0.00%
NP	4,130	1.60%	23.52%	0.04%
IAP	512	1.12%	4.16%	0.01%
LIB	35	0.36%	0.88%	0.00%
Other	-18	-0.22%	0.72%	0.00%
Total not D or R			29.27%	0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	336	0.32%	35.95%	0.01%
R	190	0.18%	35.65%	-0.04%
NP	260	0.41%	21.65%	0.02%
IAP	53	0.41%	4.44%	0.01%
LIB	16	0.44%	1.25%	0.00%
Other	12	0.39%	1.06%	0.00%
Total not D or R			28.40%	0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-73	-0.16%	22.68%	-0.08%
R	527	0.50%	51.13%	0.16%
NP	-82	-0.21%	19.08%	-0.07%
IAP	-2	-0.02%	5.50%	-0.01%
LIB	6	0.26%	1.12%	0.00%
Other	3	0.29%	0.49%	0.00%
Total not D or R			26.19%	-0.08

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	367	0.21%	39.81%	-0.05%
R	361	0.39%	21.40%	0.01%
NP	540	0.39%	31.56%	0.02%
IAP	137	0.70%	4.54%	0.02%
LIB	10	0.14%	1.63%	0.00%
Other	17	0.37%	1.06%	0.00%
Total not D or R			38.79%	0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,263	0.48%	38.50%	-0.02%
R	1,612	0.58%	41.03%	0.01%
NP	615	0.58%	15.44%	0.01%
IAP	186	0.66%	38.50%	-0.02%
LIB	7	0.23%	41.03%	0.01%
Other	23	0.71%	15.44%	0.01%
Total not D or R			20.47%	0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	0	1	3
Non-Partisan	1	3	0
IAP	0	3	1
LIB	0	0	4
Other	0	1	3

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	19	1	1
Republican	8	10	3
Non-Partisan	2	17	2
IAP	2	13	6
LIB	4	1	16
Other	1	7	13

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	35	5	2
Republican	19	19	4
Non-Partisan	7	31	4
IAP	10	25	7
LIB	12	9	21
Other	6	13	23

With the current personal interaction restrictions due to the Covid-19 virus, campaigns have had to drastically change their campaigning techniques. This includes their voter registration techniques. With close of normal registration for the primary election two week away, this could be having an impact. We’ll know more after same-day registration numbers are known.

April 2, 2020April 2, 2020

Democratic Party Posts Significant Voter Share Gains; GOP Similar Loses

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

The Nevada secretary of state has released voter registration numbers for March and the state Democratic Party has to be happy. At the same time the state Republican Party has to be hoping this is not the start of a new trend.

Normal changes in voter share are usually in the hundredths of one percent. Changes of a tenth of one percent are not common. However, in March, Democratic Party voter share gains averaged almost three-tenths of one percent while Republican loses averaged just under two-tenths of one percent.

Washoe County now has more Democratic voters than Republican for the first time in a decade and the party continues to pick up voter share in the rural counties and among older voters. Similar gains and loses were recorded in Congressional and state senate and assembly districts. Non-Partisan voter share is also showing a decline.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	12,039	1.97%	38.60%	0.26%
R	3,467	0.66%	32.70%	-0.20%
NP	4,444	1.23%	22.60%	-0.01%
IAP	452	0.64%	4.37%	-0.03%
LIB	6	0.04%	0.98%	-0.01%
Other	-93	-0.76%	0.75%	-0.02%
Total not D or R			28.70%	-0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	9,500	2.05%	42.22%	0.22%
R	2,713	0.86%	28.56%	-0.19%
NP	4,130	1.60%	23.48%	0.02%
IAP	512	1.12%	4.15%	-0.02%
LIB	35	0.36%	0.88%	-0.01%
Other	-18	-0.22%	0.72%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			29.22%	-0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,624	1.58%	35.94%	0.33%
R	274	0.27%	35.69%	-0.14%
NP	55	0.09%	21.63%	-0.12%
IAP	1	0.01%	4.43%	-0.03%
LIB	-21	-0.58%	1.25%	-0.02%
Other	-54	-1.72%	1.06%	-0.03%
Total not D or R			28.37%	-0.20

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	915	1.99%	22.76%	0.27%
R	480	0.46%	50.96%	-0.15%
NP	259	0.66%	19.15%	-0.02%
IAP	-61	-0.53%	5.51%	-0.07%
LIB	-8	-0.35%	1.12%	-0.01%
Other	-21	-2.02%	0.49%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			26.27%	-0.11

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	4,891	2.91%	39.86%	0.41%
R	672	0.73%	21.39%	-0.24%
NP	2,088	1.55%	31.54%	-0.09%
IAP	245	1.27%	4.52%	-0.03%
LIB	-8	-0.11%	1.64%	-0.03%
Other	-32	-0.69%	1.06%	-0.03%
Total not D or R			38.76%	-0.18

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,794	1.47%	38.52%	0.19%
R	1,979	0.71%	41.01%	-0.11%
NP	821	0.79%	15.43%	-0.03%
IAP	32	0.11%	4.11%	-0.04%
LIB	-6	-0.20%	0.45%	-0.01%
Other	-47	-1.44%	0.47%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			20.46%	-0.09

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	0	4	0
Republican	4	0	0
Non-Partisan	1	2	1
IAP	3	0	1
LIB	4	0	0
Other	4	0	0

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	1	19	1
Republican	21	0	0
Non-Partisan	11	8	2
IAP	17	3	1
LIB	18	0	3
Other	17	0	4

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	2	40	0
Republican	42	0	0
Non-Partisan	22	17	3
IAP	33	8	1
LIB	27	1	14
Other	32	0	10

The secretary of state has announced the June 2020 primary election will be conducted by mail because of the COVID – 19 virus pandemic. Each county will maintain at least one in-person voting location during both early voting and on election day to accommodate same-day voter registration and handle any issues a voter may have with their mail ballot. The secretary of state’s office and various groups are active in encouraging voters to verify their registration especially their mailing address and signature. Since the primary includes no major state races; U.S. Senator or state office, it is normally a low turnout election. Whether the convenience of being able to vote by mail will increase registration leading up to the primary is unknown. We also don’t know the impact on voter registration the closure of all Department of Motor Vehicle offices because of the virus will have on Non-Partisan registration due to automatic voter registration nor how that will impact same-day voter registrations. April and the normal close of voter registration in mid-May for the election should provide some answers.

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

271 Races, 671 Candidates, No Ranked Choice Voting? – Opinion

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

On May 23, 2020, in less than ten weeks, voters in Nevada will start casting ballots in the 2020 primary election. Overall, they will be voting in 271 races, deciding between 671 candidates.

Since there are no major state-wide offices on the ballot; U.S. senator, governor, lieutenant governor, secretary of state, attorney general, treasurer, controller, turnout will most likely be less than 20 percent. Very few voters will be selecting the candidates to advance to a high turnout general election or in some cases, deciding the winner of the office. In races with more than three candidates, the winner or winners (where more than one candidate advances) will more than likely advance with a small plurality of the vote with more voters casting ballots for other candidates.

In all elections, Nevada determines the winner(s) using the first past the post (FPTP) method. The candidate with the most votes wins. In races where there are more than two candidates, this can mean the winning candidate(s) receive as low as 20 to 25 percent of the vote. In a low turnout election, this could translate into less than 10 percent of the voters eligible to vote.

The Nevada Democratic Party just used and validated a better way. During the early voting period of the presidential caucus, voters ranked the candidates in order of preference. In a very informal poll, over 90 percent of those responding found the process easy and over 80% liked being able to vote this way. Media has also commented positively on the use of ranked choice voting (RCV) in the caucus.

In addition to allowing voter to express their preference among all candidates in all elections when there are more than two candidates, RCV results in a winner with a majority or at the very least a large plurality of the votes. When more than one winner is required in a given race, RCV provides winners whose vote tally cannot be exceeded by other candidates.

271 races, 671 candidates.

Of the 271 races being contested in the June primaries, 32.1 percent (87 races) will most likely have the winner receiving a small plurality of the votes cast. There will be more votes cast against the winner than for. This is no way for a democracy to work.

Partisan races where RCV would benefit:

CD1 Democratic and Republican primary

CD2 Democratic primary

CD3 Democratic and Republican primary

CD4 Democratic and Republican primary

AD2 Democratic and Republican primary

AD5 Republican primary

AD16 Democratic primary

AD18 Democratic primary

AD31 Republican primary

AD37 Republican primary

AD40 Democratic and Republican primary

Clark County Commission A Democratic primary

Clark County Commission C Democratic primary

Clark County Commission D Democratic primary

Storey County Commission 1Republican primary

Nye County Commission 1 Democratic primary

Nye County Commission 3 Democratic primary

Nonpartisan races where RCV would benefit:

State Board of Education 1

State Board of Education 3

Board of Regents 2

Board of Regents 3

Board of Regents 5

Board of Regents 10

Clark County School District A

Clark County School District B

Clark County School District C

Clark County School District E

Washoe County School District A

Washoe County School District D

Washoe County School District At Large

Churchill County School Board

Nye County School Board VI

Reno City Council 1

Reno City Council 3

Reno City Council 5

Reno City Council At Large

Sparks City Council 1

Sparks City Council 3

Carson City Mayor

Carson Supervisor 2

Carson Supervisor 4

Crescent Valley Town Board

Amargosa Town Board

Incline Village GID

Palomino GID

Gardnerville GID

Indian Hills GID

Round Hill GID

Skyland GID

Topaz GID

Verdi TV District

Moapa Water District Longdale

Moapa Water District Overton

Laughlin Town Board

Tahoe Douglas Fire District

Minden Sanitation

There are also 94 judicial races. Of those 26 have three or more candidates (85 candidates).

There are several ways in which Nevada could implement RCV:

In any primary contest with more than two candidates with a single winner
Multi-winner RCV if using top-two, top-three, top-four primary
In any general election race with more than two candidates including races the result of a top-three or top-four primary
Give county and city governments to authority to implement RCV by ordinance
Forego publicly funded primaries and hold only a general election using RCV. This was proposed in our Greater Choice Greater Voice initiative.
For presidential primaries either winner take all or multi-winner

The 2021 Nevada legislative session can fix the state’s elections making them truly representative of not only the voters of Nevada but also allowing candidates and elected officials to be comfortable in knowing they truly have a mandate of those they represent.

March 3, 2020March 3, 2020

Democratic Party Gains Voter Share Despite Voter Registration Maintenance

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

It may be another month before we know the impact of same-day voter registration during early caucus voting and on caucus day, however, if the February voter registration numbers are any indication, voters wanted to participate.

February was a routine voter roll maintenance month. Normally, with very minor exception, raw numbers and voter share percentages decline across the board. Not this time.

Statewide, in Clark and Washoe counties, in the rurals, and among voters 18 to 34 and over 55 years of age, the Republican Party, Non-Partisan, the American Independent Party, the Libertarian Party, and other minor parties all lost voter share (Non-Partisan gained share in the rurals) while the Democratic Party recorded sizeable gains across the board. Since the processing of same-day caucus registration reportedly is still underway, we have to assume most of the Democratic gain is due to voters registering or changing party affiliation before the caucus so they could participate in the process.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	444	0.07%	38.34%	0.20%
R	-2,989	-0.57%	32.90%	-0.04%
NP	-2,401	-0.66%	22.61%	-0.05%
IAP	-1,195	-1.68%	4.40%	-0.05%
LIB	-467	-2.88%	0.99%	-0.02%
Other	-724	-5.60%	0.77%	-0.04%
Total not D or R			28.76%	-0.16

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-3,145	-0.68%	42.00%	0.25%
R	-4,494	-1.40%	28.75%	-0.04%
NP	-4,158	-1.58%	23.47%	-0.07%
IAP	-1,300	-2.76%	4.16%	-0.06%
LIB	-452	-4.41%	0.89%	-0.03%
Other	-686	-7.87%	0.73%	-0.05%
Total not D or R			29.25%	-0.21

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,755	2.76%	35.61%	0.48%
R	514	0.50%	35.83%	-0.31%
NP	590	0.95%	21.75%	-0.09%
IAP	18	0.14%	4.46%	-0.04%
LIB	-17	-0.47%	1.26%	-0.02%
Other	-21	-0.67%	1.09%	-0.02%
Total not D or R			28.56%	-0.17

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	834	1.84%	22.48%	0.08%
R	991	0.96%	51.12%	-0.28%
NP	1,167	3.06%	19.17%	0.29%
IAP	49	0.43%	5.58%	-0.06%
LIB	2	0.09%	1.13%	-0.02%
Other	-17	-1.61%	0.51%	-0.02%
Total not D or R			26.39%	0.19

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,046	0.63%	39.45%	0.51%
R	-1,306	-1.40%	21.62%	-0.16%
NP	-1,520	-1.12%	31.63%	-0.14%
IAP	-505	-2.54%	4.55%	-0.09%
LIB	-258	-3.50%	1.67%	-0.05%
Other	-347	-7.00%	1.08%	-0.07%
Total not D or R			38.93%	-0.35

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	15	0.01%	38.34%	0.08%
R	-610	-0.22%	41.12%	-0.01%
NP	-188	-0.18%	15.46%	0.00%
IAP	-332	-1.17%	4.15%	-0.04%
LIB	-82	-2.63%	0.45%	-0.01%
Other	-126	-3.71%	0.48%	-0.02%
Total not D or R			20.54%	-0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	0	4	0
Republican	2	2	0
Non-Partisan	3	1	0
IAP	4	0	0
LIB	4	0	0
Other	4	0	0

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	0	21	0
Republican	17	3	1
Non-Partisan	14	6	1
IAP	20	0	1
LIB	20	0	1
Other	21	0	0

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	2	40	0
Republican	35	6	1
Non-Partisan	24	18	0
IAP	39	1	2
LIB	38	0	4
Other	38	1	3

In 34 districts (80.95%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a decrease of two.

The end of March numbers should provide the total impact of the Democratic Party’s registration efforts leading up to the caucus, including same day registration. They will also give us another look at the impact of automatic voter registration. We’re also less than three months from the start of early voting for the state and local primaries and the implementation of same-day registration for all elections.

February 6, 2020February 6, 2020

Automatic Voter Registration; Non-Partisan Registration Skyrockets

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

With the start of the new year, automatic voter registration (AVR) in Nevada became effective. In what was probably a surprise to no one, the change brought with it a dramatic increase in new voter registrations as well as a surge in voters registered as Non-Partisan.

During January 2020, over 27,000 new voters were added to the active rolls. The percent of growth, usually not exceeding one or two percent across demographics and party saw Non-Partisan exceed four percent in most areas. The even more important number, voter share saw changes which are normally in the hundredths of a percent range exceed one-half of one percent. The increase in Non-Partisan voter share was staggering. The statewide increase of 0.5% was more than double the total increase for 2019. The increase among voters 18 to 34 years of age, 0.66% exceeded the yearly increase for 2018. The district-level changes were equally high with both major parties losing voter share in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts except two senate and assembly districts where the Democratic Party gained slightly while Non-Partisan gained roughly one-half a percent in all districts.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	7,912	1.31%	38.14%	-0.16%
R	3,972	0.76%	32.94%	-0.32%
NP	13,996	4.01%	22.65%	0.50%
IAP	1,020	1.45%	4.45%	-0.01%
LIB	203	1.27%	1.01%	0.00%
Other	46	0.36%	0.81%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			28.92%	0.48

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	6,516	1.42%	41.75%	-0.20%
R	2,869	0.90%	28.79%	-0.29%
NP	10,554	4.19%	23.54%	0.51%
IAP	803	1.73%	4.23%	-0.01%
LIB	129	1.27%	0.92%	-0.01%
Other	34	0.39%	0.78%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			29.47%	0.48

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,015	1.03%	35.13%	-0.04%
R	370	0.36%	36.13%	-0.28%
NP	1,700	2.82%	21.84%	0.36%
IAP	123	0.97%	4.50%	-0.02%
LIB	26	0.72%	1.28%	-0.01%
Other	3	0.10%	1.11%	-0.01%
Total not D or R			28.74%	0.32

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	381	0.85%	22.41%	-0.15%
R	733	0.71%	51.39%	-0.42%
NP	1,742	4.79%	18.88%	0.59%
IAP	123	1.09%	5.64%	-0.02%
LIB	48	2.12%	1.15%	0.01%
Other	9	0.86%	0.52%	0.00%
Total not D or R			26.19%	0.58

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	3,239	1.98%	38.94%	-0.22%
R	795	0.86%	21.78%	-0.37%
NP	6,184	4.76%	31.77%	0.66%
IAP	412	2.12%	4.64%	-0.02%
LIB	94	1.29%	1.72%	-0.02%
Other	-3	-0.06%	1.16%	-0.03%
Total not D or R			39.28%	0.59

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	2,383	0.93%	38.26%	-0.11%
R	2,063	0.75%	41.13%	-0.20%
NP	3,348	3.31%	15.46%	0.31%
IAP	324	1.16%	4.19%	0.00%
LIB	43	1.40%	0.46%	0.00%
Other	29	0.86%	0.50%	0.00%
Total not D or R			20.61%	0.31

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	4	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
IAP	4	0	0
LIB	2	0	2
Other	4	0	0

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	19	2	0
Republican	21	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	21	0
IAP	14	4	3
LIB	10	3	8
Other	15	1	5

In 17 districts (80.95%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	40	2	0
Republican	42	0	0
Non-Partisan	0	42	0
IAP	29	8	5
LIB	20	9	13
Other	26	2	14

There can be no question of the impact of AVR. The question of how many voters registered as Non-Partisan intentionally and how many were the result of the default still remains. That question may be partially answered, depending on turnout, by the number of same-day registrations at the Democratic Party presidential caucus this month and the statewide primary election in June. February numbers will give us another indication.