By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
In the 18 days of voter registration in October before the close of registration for the general election, it has become clear, those voters registered as Non-Partisan will most likely control the outcome of most partisan races.
According to the numbers from the secretary of state’s office for the 18 days covered by the report, Non-Partisan registration out-paced the major parties in both rate of growth and change in voter share. This was true state-wide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, among those 18 to 34 years of age, and those 55 years of age and older. The only exceptions, Democratic voter share among those 18 to 34 years of age and Republican voter share of those 55 and older increased slightly.
State-Wide
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 15,891 | 2.73 | 38.32 | -0.01 |
R | 10,726 | 2.09 | 33.52 | -0.22 |
NP | 13,614 | 4.15 | 21.91 | 0.29 |
IAP | 1,659 | 2.07 | 4.33 | -0.03 |
LIB | 355 | 2.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
Other | -67 | -0.47 | 0.91 | -0.03 |
Total not D or R | 28.15 | 0.23 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Clark County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 13,356 | 3.00 | 41.89 | -0.03 |
R | 7,336 | 2.34 | 29.36 | -0.21 |
NP | 10,674 | 4.46 | 22.86 | 0.30 |
IAP | 1,276 | 2.58 | 4.08 | -0.02 |
LIB | 259 | 2.66 | 0.91 | 0.00 |
Other | -107 | -1.08 | 0.90 | -0.04 |
Total not D or R | 28.75 | 0.24 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Washoe County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 1,919 | 2.07 | 35.12 | -0.04 |
R | 1,631 | 1.66 | 37.05 | -0.19 |
NP | 2,046 | 3.76 | 20.96 | 0.32 |
IAP | 186 | 1.02 | 4.39 | -0.05 |
LIB | 42 | 1.26 | 1.25 | -0.01 |
Other | 27 | 0.83 | 1.23 | -0.02 |
Total not D or R | 27.83 | 0.24 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Rural Counties
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 616 | 1.38 | 22.91 | -0.09 |
R | 1,759 | 1.75 | 51.80 | -0.02 |
NP | 894 | 2.58 | 17.97 | 0.14 |
IAP | 130 | 1.18 | 5.65 | -0.03 |
LIB | 54 | 2.49 | 1.13 | 0.01 |
Other | 13 | 1.23 | 0.54 | 0.00 |
Total not D or R | 25.29 | 0.12 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
18 – 34 Year Old
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 8,541 | 5.49 | 38.55 | 0.15 |
R | 3,359 | 3.57 | 22.86 | -0.33 |
NP | 7,698 | 6.20 | 30.98 | 0.32 |
IAP | 1,005 | 4.02 | 4.50 | -0.05 |
LIB | 240 | 3.39 | 1.72 | -0.03 |
Other | 24 | 0.41 | 1.39 | -0.06 |
Total not D or R | 38.59 | 0.18 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
55+
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 3,325 | 1.34 | 38.74 | -0.09 |
R | 4,308 | 1.64 | 41.33 | 0.03 |
NP | 2,209 | 2.35 | 14.88 | 0.11 |
IAP | 192 | 0.59 | 4.08 | -0.02 |
LIB | 16 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 0.00 |
Other | -91 | -2.58 | 0.53 | -0.02 |
Total not D or R | 19.93 | 0.07 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Non-Partisan | 0 | 4 | 0 |
IAP | 4 | 0 | 0 |
LIB | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Other | 4 | 0 | 0 |
CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Republican | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Non-Partisan | 0 | 21 | 0 |
IAP | 18 | 2 | 1 |
LIB | 11 | 5 | 5 |
Other | 19 | 0 | 2 |
In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties..
State Assembly Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 33 | 8 | 1 |
Republican | 39 | 2 | 1 |
Non-Partisan | 0 | 42 | 0 |
IAP | 31 | 7 | 4 |
LIB | 21 | 9 | 12 |
Other | 37 | 3 | 2 |
In 33 districts (78.57%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This was the second consecutive month of a one district increase
Early voting has started. With a record number of eligible Nevadans registered to vote and with nearly 30 percent not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party (nearly 40 percent among younger voters), many races will be determined by not only the overall turnout but how the Non-Partisan and minor party voters cast their ballots.