March is one of the months the secretary of state’s office performs routine maintenance of the voter rolls. Usually both the number of voters and the percent of voter share in each category falls. Not this time. While the number of voters declined in all but Washoe County, the Republican Party came out the winner in voter share gaining 0.58 percent.
Whether this gain is the luck of the draw, an indication of an on-going successful voter registration drive, or a combination of the two, it cannot be ignored. How this will look come November is one question. Another question is if this is the result of voter registration efforts, where along the partisan spectrum do these new Republican voters fall and how will it impact the result of the primary election?
State-Wide
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -27,501 | -4.82 | 38.34 | -0.22 |
R | -12,931 | -2.60 | 34.17 | 0.58 |
NP | -17,443 | -5.52 | 21.08 | -0.28 |
Other | -5,232 | -5.46 | 6.41 | -0.08 |
Total not D or R | 27.49 | -0.36 |
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -3.89/0.02%; Lib -3.89/0.00%; other 5 parties -13.26/–0.10%
Clark County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -27,953 | -6.40 | 42.06 | -0.09 |
R | -13,127 | -4.31 | 29.96 | 0.59 |
NP | -17,923 | -7.74 | 21.98 | -0.37 |
Other | -5,317 | -8.36 | 6.00 | -0.14 |
Total not D or R | 27.98 | -0.51 |
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -6.11/0.00% Lib -6.43/0.00%; other 5 parties -18.31/-0.14%
Washoe County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 714 | 0.81 | 35.17 | 0.03 |
R | 476 | 0.50 | 37.57 | -0.09 |
NP | 537 | 1.06 | 20.13 | 0.07 |
Other | 119 | 0.66 | 7.14 | -0.01 |
Total not D or R | 27.27 | 0.06 |
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.77/0.00%; Lib 1.19/0.01%; other 5 parties -0.21 / -0.01%
Rural Counties
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -262 | -0.59 | 23.52 | -0.06 |
R | 109 | 0.11 | 51.44 | 0.23 |
NP | -57 | -0.17 | 17.73 | 0.03 |
Other | -34 | -0.24 | 7.51 | 0.01 |
Total not D or R | 25.24 | 0.04 |
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -0.11/0.01%; Lib -0.77/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.54/0.00%
18 – 34 Year Old
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -11,033 | -7.43 | 38.21 | -0.17 |
R | -4,073 | -4.50 | 24.01 | 0.63 |
NP | -9,583 | -8.19 | 29.86 | -0.38 |
Other | -2,488 | -8.03 | 7.92 | -0.09 |
Total not D or R | 37.78 | -0.47 |
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -5.69/0.07%; Lib -5.03/0.04%; other 5 parties -16.96/–0.19%
55+
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -7,129 | -2.93 | 38.99 | -0.21 |
R | -4,243 | -1.68 | 41.04 | 0.30 |
NP | -2,509 | -2.73 | 14.76 | -0.05 |
Other | -1,019 | -3.12 | 5.22 | -0.04 |
Total not D or R | 19.98 | -0.09 |
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP -2.48/0.00%; Lib -2.47/0.00%; other 5 parties -8.41/-0.04%
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Republican | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Non-Partisan | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Other | 3 | 0 | 1 |
CD 1and CD 2 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. CD 4 dropped out of this range.
State Senate Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 12 | 7 | 2 |
Republican | 4 | 17 | 0 |
Non-Partisan | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Other | 17 | 3 | 1 |
In 15 districts (71.14%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a decrease of one from February.
State Assembly Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 21 | 20 | 1 |
Republican | 11 | 31 | 0 |
Non-Partisan | 29 | 11 | 2 |
Other | 35 | 5 | 2 |
In 32 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one from February.
The months leading up to the primary election will be interesting. Will the GOP trend continue, and will it translate to primary election turnout and the candidates nominated? More important is what happens between the primary and general election.