GOP Posts Voter Share Gains; Unaffiliated Tops 50 Percent Among Younger Voters in Month Leading Up to Primary

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 2, 2022

Two notable changes in the May voter registration numbers. Republican Party voter share registered gains across the board and among voters 18 to 34 years of age, voter share of those not registered in either major party topped 50 percent. Non-Partisan voter share gained except among voters 55 years of age and older, holding basically even in Washoe County. Conversely, the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share in all sectors as do the minor parties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,5870.60%33.13%-0.08%
R6,9821.30%29.90%0.13%
NP5,2571.01%28.89%0.04%
IAP-14-0.02%4.40%-0.04%
LIB40.02%0.92%-0.01%
Other-413-0.81%2.77%-0.05%
Total not D or R  36.98%-0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3430.73%36.00%-0.08%
R4,7801.46%25.90%0.13%
NP4,2391.12%29.94%0.05%
IAP800.15%4.25%-0.03%
LIB100.10%0.81%-0.01%
Other-285-0.71%3.09%-0.05%
Total not D or R  38.09%-0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1880.19%32.14%-0.05%
R7910.77%33.00%0.14%
NP2340.28%26.73%-0.01%
IAP-84-0.59%4.56%-0.04%
LIB-6-0.16%1.21%-0.01%
Other-81-1.09%2.36%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.86%-0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D560.13%18.42%-0.15%
R1,4111.30%47.96%0.16%
NP7841.34%25.93%0.09%
IAP-10-0.09%5.05%-0.05%
LIB00.00%1.12%-0.01%
Other-47-1.33%1.53%-0.04%
Total not D or R  33.62%-0.01%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1060.69%31.86%-0.13%
R1,0731.18%18.09%0.02%
NP3,2421.60%40.53%0.20%
IAP1550.70%4.39%-0.02%
LIB170.23%1.44%-0.01%
Other-102-0.54%3.69%-0.06%
Total not D or R  50.06%0.11%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1820.46%35.02%-0.07%
R3,8841.36%39.04%0.27%
NP1550.11%19.59%-0.11%
IAP-237-0.75%4.24%-0.06%
LIB-22-0.70%0.42%-0.01%
Other-179-1.40%1.69%-0.04%
Total not D or R  25.94%-0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican040
NP040
IAP400
LIB220
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican0210
NP7140
IAP1920
LIB1218
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3912
Republican2382
NP17232
IAP3543
LIB24810
Other41  10

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican3120
NP5100
IAP1320
LIB825
Other1410

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

The gain in Republican Party voter share raises a question. Do voters want to see a competitive general election or is there a desire to ensure GOP candidates nominated are the weakest against Democratic opponents?