By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 3, 2024
The voter registration numbers for February 2024 held two very interesting numbers. In CD2 the voter share of those not registered to either the Republican or Democratic Party, 37.48%, is only 0.37% behind the Republican share of 37.85% and in the assembly, Non-Partisan voter share became the largest bloc in 17 districts (over 40%), an increase of six from January.
With an increase of just over 4,000 active registered voters over January, it appears likely that many of those who changed party affiliation to vote in the presidential preference primary changed back to Non-Partisan
State-Wide
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -3,935 | -0.66% | 30.56% | -0.27% |
R | -465 | -0.08% | 28.87% | -0.09% |
NP | 8,897 | 1.40% | 33.35% | 0.39% |
IAP | 147 | 0.17% | 4.35% | 0.00% |
LIB | -30 | -0.18% | 0.84% | 0.00% |
Other | -445 | -1.12% | 2.03% | -0.03% |
Total not D or R | 40.57% | 0.36% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 1,369 | 0.30% | 33.05% | -0.14% |
R | 3,035 | 0.87% | 25.13% | 0.04% |
NP | 5,986 | 1.25% | 34.72% | 0.18% |
IAP | -75 | -0.13% | 4.17% | -0.04% |
LIB | -26 | -0.25% | 0.73% | -0.01% |
Other | -364 | -1.17% | 2.21% | -0.04% |
Total not D or R | 41.82% | 0.09% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -5,388 | -5.54% | 29.48% | -0.99% |
R | -4,462 | -4.31% | 31.81% | -0.64% |
NP | 2,145 | 2.29% | 30.76% | 1.40% |
IAP | 149 | 1.00% | 4.83% | 0.16% |
LIB | 8 | 0.22% | 1.17% | 0.03% |
Other | -43 | -0.70% | 1.95% | 0.03% |
Total not D or R | 38.71% | 1.62 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 84 | 0.22% | 16.90% | -0.10% |
R | 962 | 0.89% | 47.63% | 0.04% |
NP | 766 | 1.18% | 28.59% | 0.11% |
IAP | 73 | 0.67% | 4.80% | -0.01% |
LIB | -12 | -0.50% | 1.03% | -0.01% |
Other | -38 | -1.56% | 1.04% | -0.03% |
Total not D or R | 35.46% | 0.06% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -2,134 | -1.39% | 27.89% | -0.51% |
R | -316 | -0.35% | 16.58% | -0.13% |
NP | 4,761 | 1.87% | 47.59% | 0.68% |
IAP | 150 | 0.66% | 4.23% | 0.01% |
LIB | -20 | -0.29% | 1.24% | -0.01% |
Other | -155 | -1.14% | 2.47% | -0.04% |
Total not D or R | 55.53% | 0.64% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
35 – 54 Year Old
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -1,312 | -0.73% | 29.39% | -0.26% |
R | -242 | -0.15% | 27.29% | -0.08% |
NP | 2,650 | 1.27% | 35.04% | 0.38% |
IAP | 35 | 0.13% | 4.62% | 0.00% |
LIB | 12 | 0.19% | 1.06% | 0.00% |
Other | -165 | -1.04% | 2.60% | -0.03% |
Total not D or R | 43.32% | 0.35% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -487 | -0.19% | 33.30% | -0.10% |
R | 99 | 0.03% | 38.56% | -0.03% |
NP | 1,492 | 0.86% | 22.23% | 0.16% |
IAP | -37 | -0.11% | 4.23% | -0.01% |
LIB | -22 | -0.70% | 0.40% | 0.00% |
Other | -123 | -1.20% | 1.28% | -0.02% |
Total not D or R | 28.13% | 0.13% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 1 | 3 | 0 |
NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
IAP | 3 | 1 | 0 |
LIB | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Other | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Not D or R | 0 | 4 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in CD1 and CD3.
State Senate Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 6 | 15 | 0 |
NP | 1 | 20 | 0 |
IAP | 16 | 5 | 0 |
LIB | 11 | 4 | 6 |
Other | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Not D or R | 1 | 20 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in SDs 2,5,7,8,9,10,11,12
State Assembly Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Republican | 16 | 25 | 1 |
NP | 3 | 39 | 0 |
IAP | 32 | 8 | 2 |
LIB | 18 | 7 | 17 |
Other | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Not D or R | 5 | 37 | 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 32 (76.19%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in 17 districts (40.48%) ADs 5,8,9,11,15,16,18,20,21,24,27,28,29,30,35,41, and 42
Rural Counties
Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
Democratic | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Republican | 7 | 8 | 0 |
NP | 6 | 9 | 0 |
IAP | 7 | 7 | 1 |
LIB | 7 | 5 | 3 |
Other | 10 | 3 | 2 |
Not D or R | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Combined NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City
Average non-major party voter share counties is now 32.52 percent, an increase of 0.05%.
With candidates filing for state and local races this month, it will be interesting to see if the campaigns can generate enough interest to cause a shift leading up to the June primary.