By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
For the second consecutive month, the Democratic Party in August lost substantial voter share across all tracked demographics and in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts. The Republican Party fared slightly better losing share at a lower rate while recording slight increases in Clark County and among voters 18 to 24 years of age. Non-Partisan experienced gains comparable to Democratic loses. The big surprise was the gain by the smaller minor parties; double digit increases in raw number of voters and gain in voter share in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts.
Non-Partisan voters now top 23 percent statewide while voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican close in on 30 percent (just under 40 percent for voters 18 to 34 years of age). Also remember, it is an accepted assumption that more than one-half of those registered in the Independent American Party (IAP) are really Non-Partisans who thought they were registering as independents not in a highly conservative party.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 9,274 | 1.47% | 38.02% | -0.29% |
| R | 11,441 | 2.13% | 32.58% | -0.03% |
| NP | 11,746 | 3.10% | 23.19% | 0.19% |
| IAP | 1,933 | 2.68% | 4.40% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 320 | 1.99% | 0.97% | 0.00% |
| Other | 2,132 | 17.70% | 0.84% | 0.11% |
| Total not D or R | 29.40% | 0.32 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 7,998 | 1.65% | 41.45% | -0.34% |
| R | 8,386 | 2.54% | 28.53% | 0.02% |
| NP | 8,873 | 3.20% | 24.09% | 0.17% |
| IAP | 1,471 | 3.04% | 4.20% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 221 | 2.15% | 0.88% | 0.00% |
| Other | 1,720 | 20.93% | 0.84% | 0.13% |
| Total not D or R | 30.01% | 0.32 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,191 | 1.18% | 35.52% | -0.26% |
| R | 1,683 | 1.67% | 35.74% | -0.09% |
| NP | 1,849 | 3.03% | 21.96% | 0.24% |
| IAP | 334 | 2.68% | 4.47% | 0.03% |
| LIB | 70 | 2.00% | 1.24% | 0.00% |
| Other | 262 | 9.26% | 1.08% | 0.07% |
| Total not D or R | 28.75% | 0.34 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Rural Counties
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 85 | 0.18% | 21.99% | -0.26% |
| R | 1,372 | 1.30% | 51.20% | -0.03% |
| NP | 1,024 | 2.54% | 19.73% | 0.23% |
| IAP | 128 | 1.14% | 5.41% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 29 | 1.25% | 1.12% | 0.00% |
| Other | 150 | 14.99% | 0.55% | 0.07% |
| Total not D or R | 26.81% | 0.29 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 3,074 | 1.76% | 39.14% | -0.41% |
| R | 2,834 | 3.03% | 21.20% | 0.04% |
| NP | 4,790 | 3.38% | 32.22% | 0.17% |
| IAP | 667 | 3.29% | 4.60% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 186 | 2.57% | 1.64% | 0.00% |
| Other | 944 | 20.93% | 1.20% | 0.18% |
| Total not D or R | 39.66% | 0.37 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 3,341 | 1.26% | 38.18% | -0.14% |
| R | 4,288 | 1.51% | 40.99% | -0.05% |
| NP | 2,619 | 2.42% | 15.76% | 0.12% |
| IAP | 604 | 2.13% | 4.12% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 33 | 1.10% | 0.43% | 0.00% |
| Other | 468 | 14.67% | 0.52% | 0.06% |
| Total not D or R | 20.83% | 0.20 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Non-Partisan | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| LIB | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Other | 0 | 4 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 11 | 9 | 1 |
| Non-Partisan | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| IAP | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| LIB | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| Other | 0 | 21 | 0 |
In 19 districts (90.48%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a gain of one over July
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 23 | 18 | 1 |
| Non-Partisan | 1 | 41 | 0 |
| IAP | 5 | 33 | 4 |
| LIB | 17 | 14 | 11 |
| Other | 0 | 42 | 0 |
In 37 districts (88.10%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over July and two from June.
With early voting starting in just over six weeks, what this will mean for candidates will be worth watching.
Hi Doug:
Thanks for the monthly update. I’m surprised that the Democrats continue to lose ground in northern Nevada.
Clint Koble
Voter share loss is across the board; northern NV, southern NV, the rurals. Looks like they are going NP
I believe it is because of the party’s refusal to either acknowledge the progressive wing of the party or embrace Medicare for All and the Green New Deal, both of which are highly popular among voters, especially young voters.