Despite Routine List Maintenance Trends Continues

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

With July comes routine voter registration list maintenance. But despite an overall decline in active registered voters, the trend of major party voter share loses and Non-Partisan voter share gains continued.  Gains and loses were not “across the board” as often is the case, but that does not take away from the fact voters are still not being drawn to either the Democratic or Republican Party.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -1,026 -0.17% 38.09% 0.02%
R -1,801 -0.34% 33.51% -0.04%
NP -619 -0.18% 22.13% 0.01%
IAP -111 -0.16% 4.41% 0.00%
LIB -36 -0.23% 1.01% 0.00%
Other -61 -0.45% 0.85% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.41% 0.01

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 520 0.11% 41.78% 0.00%
R 190 0.06% 29.28% -0.02%
NP 424 0.17% 23.03% 0.01%
IAP 110 0.24% 4.15% 0.01%
LIB 40 0.40% 0.92% 0.00%
Other -27 -0.30% 0.83% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.94% 0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -1,330 -1.37% 34.96% 0.04%
R -1,600 -1.56% 36.82% -0.03%
NP -920 -1.55% 21.31% -0.01%
IAP -202 -1.63% 4.47% -0.01%
LIB -66 -1.86% 1.28% 0.00%
Other -27 -0.84% 1.17% 0.01%
Total not D or R     28.22% -0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -216 -0.47% 22.50% -0.02%
R -391 -0.37% 51.70% 0.00%
NP -123 -0.33% 18.38% 0.01%
IAP -19 -0.16% 5.73% 0.01%
LIB -10 -0.43% 1.15% 0.00%
Other -7 -0.63% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.81% 0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 625 0.38% 38.45% 0.00%
R 234 0.24% 22.72% -0.03%
NP 584 0.44% 31.22% 0.02%
IAP 137 0.71% 4.60% 0.02%
LIB 27 0.37% 1.74% 0.00%
Other -16 -0.30% 1.27% -0.01%
Total not D or R     38.82% 0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -291 -0.12% 38.40% 0.02%
R -611 -0.22% 41.40% -0.03%
NP -108 -0.11% 15.08% 0.01%
IAP -21 -0.08% 4.15% 0.00%
LIB 17 0.57% 0.45% 0.00%
Other -16 -0.47% 0.52% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.20% 0.01%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 2 2 0
Republican 2 1 1
Non-Partisan 1 3 0
IAP 0 2 2
LIB 0 0 4
Other 1 0 3

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 6 12 3
Republican 12 5 4
Non-Partisan 6 14 1
IAP 3 10 8
LIB 4 7 10
Other 6 14 1

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 18 18 6
Republican 25 12 5
Non-Partisan 16 23 3
IAP 11 24 7
LIB 12 16 14
Other 13 6 23

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

As campaign season heats up and the Democratic Party narrows its field of presidential candidates the question remains; will voters decide to affiliate with the party to take part in the nomination process? Also, what will the impact be on Republican Party voter share with the decision to forgo the traditional caucus and allow the party central committee to pledge all delegates to President Trump? As the saying goes, “stayed tuned”.

Legislative Session Ends – Major Party Voter Share Down

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Last month we asked if the political maneuvering during the legislative session would drive voter share of the major political parties down. Based on the voter registration numbers for June 2019 just released by the secretary of state, that could be the case.  

Across all tracked demographics; Statewide, Clark County, Washoe County, rural counties, among younger and older voters, both the Democratic and Republican Party lost voter share. The only exception, the Democratic Party held steady among those 18 to 34 years of age. At the same time, Non-Partisan gained share among all demographics and the minor parties (Independent American, Libertarian, and others) were mixed, either holding steady or gaining.

Raw growth was not any kinder to the major parties. Their percentage of growth lagged behind Non-Partisan and the minor parties. The highest rate of growth was seen by the Independent American and Libertarian parties.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,073 0.52% 38.06% -0.01%
R 2,054 0.39% 33.55% -0.06%
NP 2,785 0.81% 22.11% 0.06%
IAP 602 0.88% 4.41% 0.01%
LIB 153 0.97% 1.01% 0.00%
Other 16 0.12% 0.86% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.39% 0.07

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,708 0.60% 41.78% -0.02%
R 1,526 0.48% 29.30% -0.05%
NP 2,245 0.91% 23.02% 0.06%
IAP 483 1.08% 4.15% 0.02%
LIB 124 1.26% 0.92% 0.01%
Other 7 0.08% 0.83% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.92% 0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 318 0.33% 34.92% -0.02%
R 299 0.29% 36.85% -0.03%
NP 350 0.59% 21.32% 0.05%
IAP 61 0.49% 4.47% 0.01%
LIB 14 0.40% 1.28% 0.01%
Other 2 0.06% 1.17% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.24% 0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 47 0.10% 22.52% -0.04%
R 229 0.22% 51.69% -0.03%
NP 190 0.51% 18.37% 0.04%
IAP 58 0.50% 5.72% 0.01%
LIB 15 0.65% 1.15% 0.00%
Other 7 0.63% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.79% 0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,019 0.63% 38.45% 0.00%
R 327 0.34% 22.75% -0.07%
NP 1,090 0.83% 31.20% 0.06%
IAP 210 1.10% 4.58% 0.02%
LIB 53 0.73% 1.74% 0.00%
Other -8 -0.15% 1.27% -0.01%
Total not D or R     38.80% 0.07%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,213 0.48% 38.38% -0.02%
R 1,291 0.48% 41.43% -0.03%
NP 783 0.80% 15.07% 0.04%
IAP 199 0.73% 4.15% 0.01%
LIB 25 0.85% 0.45% 0.00%
Other 15 0.44% 0.52% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.194% 0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 4 0 0
Republican 4 0 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 4 0
LIB 0 2 2
Other 1 0 3

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 16 4 1
Republican 18 1 2
Non-Partisan 2 19 0
IAP 1 16 4
LIB 3 8 10
Other 7 0 14

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 28 11 3
Republican 35 4 3
Non-Partisan 4 36 2
IAP 4 31 7
LIB 8 21 13
Other 14 3 25

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

We are now entering the presidential election cycle. The Democratic Party held their first candidate debate. Automatic voter registration approved by the voters in 2018 will be implemented. Beginning with early voting next year, voters will be able to register to vote or update their voter registration when they go to the polls to vote; same-day voter registration signed into law by Governor Sisolak. We don’t know how both these programs will impact voter registration or turnout. We will be watching.

Did the Legislative Session Drive Major Party Voter Share Down

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

The 80th regular session of the Nevada legislature ends today, June 3rd and looking at the voter registration numbers for May just released, voters may have been paying attention to the political maneuvering.

Statewide, in Clark County, in Washoe County, in the rurals, among younger and older voters, not only did the major parties lose voter share, they lagged behind Non-Partisan and the minor parties in rate of growth. The major parties also continued to lose voter share across Congressional state senate, and state assembly districts while Non-Partisan and the minor parties increased.

While this trend in nothing new, have to wonder if voters have been watching whether the new Democratic majority would work with the Republican minority or try to force their legislative priorities through.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 5,542 0.94% 38.08% -0.03%
R 4,633 0.89% 33.60% -0.05%
NP 4,619 1.36% 22.06% 0.07%
IAP 896 1.32% 4.40% 0.01%
LIB 242 1.56% 1.01% 0.01%
Other 31 0.23% 0.86% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.32% 0.08

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 4,827 1.08% 41.81% -0.03%
R 3,102 0.99% 29.35% -0.05%
NP 3,581 1.47% 22.96% 0.07%
IAP 676 1.54% 4.13% 0.02%
LIB 174 1.80% 0.91% 0.01%
Other 28 0.31% 0.84% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.85% 0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %  
D 562 0.58% 34.93% -0.06%
R 737 0.73% 36.88% -0.01%
NP 633 1.09% 21.27% 0.07%
IAP 108 0.88% 4.47% 0.01%
LIB 42 1.20% 1.28% 0.01%
Other -2 -0.06% 1.17% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.18% 0.08%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 153 0.33% 22.56% -0.09%
R 794 0.76% 51.72% 0.01%
NP 405 1.10% 18.32% 0.06%
IAP 112 0.97% 5.71% 0.01%
LIB 26 1.13% 1.14% 0.00%
Other 5 0.45% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.72% 0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 540 0.34% 38.45% -0.01%
R 163 0.17% 22.82% -0.04%
NP 751 0.58% 31.14% 0.07%
IAP 79 0.41% 4.56% 0.00%
LIB 19 0.26% 1.74% 0.00%
Other -33 -0.61% 1.28% -0.01%
Total not D or R     38.72% 0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,220 0.89% 38.40% -0.02%
R 2,291 0.85% 41.46% -0.03%
NP 1,194 1.23% 15.03% 0.04%
IAP 301 1.12% 4.14% 0.01%
LIB 29 0.99% 0.45% 0.00%
Other 34 1.01% 0.52% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.14% 0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 3 1 0
Republican 4 0 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 4 0
LIB 0 4 0
Other 3 0 1

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 16 3 2
Republican 16 3 2
Non-Partisan 2 19 0
IAP 2 15 4
LIB 2 12 7
Other 12 1 8

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 30 10 2
Republican 31 8 3
Non-Partisan 4 38 0
IAP 6 30 6
LIB 7 20 15
Other 24 2 16

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Unless something unforeseen happens, state legislators will be heading home tomorrow June 4th. The next election will see same-day voter registration allowed and perhaps an increase in the use of absentee ballots. Automatic voter registration will have been implemented. How this will impact voter registration trends is something we will have to wait to find out.

What’s Going On In The Democratic Party

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

What’s going on in the Democratic Party? As we enter the last 30 days of the legislative session, something is causing the Party to continue to lose voter share across all tracked demographics while Non-Partisan and the Republican Party continue to gain.

In the figures for April 2019 voter registration just released by the secretary of state, the Democratic Party lost voter share state-wide, in Clark County, in Washoe County, in the rural counties, among those 18 – 34 years of age, and among those 55 and older. The Party also lost voter share in all Congressional and state senate districts and 36 of the 42 state assembly districts. Meanwhile, the Republican Party gained share in all but the rural counties (it remained even) and Non-Partisan gained except in Washoe County where it remained even. Gains for both were similarly lopsided towards gains in all legislative chambers. The Democratic Party also posted the lowest rate of growth across all tracked demographics.  

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,175 0.37% 38.11% -0.04%
R 2,607 0.50% 33.65% 0.01%
NP 2,196 0.65% 21.99% 0.04%
IAP 427 0.64% 4.38% 0.01%
LIB 115 0.75% 1.00% 0.00%
Other -10 -0.07% 0.87% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.24% 0.05

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,970 0.44% 41.84% -0.06%
R 2,000 0.64% 29.40% 0.02%
NP 1,842 0.76% 22.89% 0.04%
IAP 330 0.76% 4.11% 0.01%
LIB 85 0.89% 0.91% 0.00%
Other -6 -0.07% 0.85% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.71% 0.00%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 166 0.17% 34.99% -0.02%
R 267 0.26% 36.89% 0.01%
NP 136 0.23% 21.20% 0.00%
IAP 56 0.46% 4.46% 0.01%
LIB 13 0.37% 1.27% 0.00%
Other -10 -0.31% 1.18% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.11% 0.00%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 39 0.09% 22.65% -0.06%
R 340 0.33% 51.71% 0.00%
NP 218 0.60% 18.26% 0.05%
IAP 41 0.36% 5.69% 0.00%
LIB 17 0.75% 1.14% 0.00%
Other 6 0.55% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.64% 0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 735 0.46% 38.46% -0.05%
R 600 0.63% 22.87% 0.01%
NP 892 0.69% 31.07% 0.03%
IAP 157 0.83% 4.56% 0.01%
LIB 71 0.99% 1.74% 0.01%
Other -37 -0.68% 1.30% -0.02%
Total not D or R     38.67% 0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 991 0.40% 38.42% -0.05%
R 1,575 0.59% 41.49% 0.03%
NP 627 0.65% 14.99% 0.02%
IAP 151 0.57% 4.13% 0.00%
LIB 32 1.11% 0.45% 0.00%
Other 10 0.30% 0.52% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.09% 0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 4 0 0
Republican 0 2 2
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 3 1
LIB 0 1 3
Other 1 0 3

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 21 0 0
Republican 8 9 4
Non-Partisan 2 17 2
IAP 4 12 5
LIB 1 6 14
Other 8 0 13

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 36 2 4
Republican 14 24 4
Non-Partisan 5 34 3
IAP 8 25 9
LIB 6 18 18
Other 21 3 18

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

The multi-year trend shows no sign of changing. The question is, will the presidential election cycle generate enough interest for the Democratic Party, or will the nomination battle have the opposite effect of turning voters away?

Routine List Maintenance Benefits GOP Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Besides all the activity in the state legislature, March brings the first routine maintenance of the voter rolls. This process usually results in a loss of active registered voters across all categories along with a corresponding change in voter share.

In March, according to the figures released by the secretary of state, the Republican Party emerged in good shape, gaining voter share across most demographics tracked while the Democratic Party, Non-Partisan, and minor parties experienced mostly a drop in share.   

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -25,539 -4.17% 38.16% -0.19%
R -15,270 -2.87% 33.64% 0.28%
NP -14,113 -4.02% 21.95% -0.07%
IAP -3,928 -3.59% 4.38% 0.00%
LIB -715 -4.44% 1.00% -0.01%
Other -706 -5.01% 0.87% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.20% -0.09

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -25,929 -5.51% 41.90% 0.00%
R -16,693 -5.08% 29.38% 0.13%
NP -14,996 -5.82% 22.85% -0.08%
IAP -4,157 -5.82% 4.11% -0.01%
LIB -753 -7.27% 0.91% -0.02%
Other -711 -7.29% 0.85% -0.02%
Total not D or R     28.71% -0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 197 0.21% 35.01% -0.02%
R 256 0.25% 36.88% -0.01%
NP 247 0.43% 21.20% 0.03%
IAP 46 0.37% 4.45% 0.00%
LIB 8 0.23% 1.27% 0.00%
Other -7 -0.22% 1.18% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.11% 0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 193 0.42% 22.71% -0.15%
R 1,167 1.13% 51.71% 0.02%
NP 636 1.77% 18.21% 0.12%
IAP 141 1.25% 5.69% 0.01%
LIB 30 1.33% 1.13% 0.00%
Other 12 1.10% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.58% 0.13

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -8,878 -5.26% 38.51% -0.19%
R -4,171 -4.21% 22.86% 0.14%
NP -6,342 -4.69% 31.04% 0.04%
IAP -1,542 -4.26% 4.55% 0.03%
LIB -355 -4.70% 1.73% 0.00%
Other -345 -5.95% 1.31% -0.02%
Total not D or R     38.63% 0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -7,218 -2.83% 38.47% -0.17%
R -5,200 -1.91% 41.46% 0.20%
NP -2,554 -2.58% 14.97% -0.03%
IAP -825 -2.37% 4.13% 0.00%
LIB -64 -2.17% 0.45% 0.00%
Other -114 -3.29% 0.52% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.07% -0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 4 0 0
Republican 0 4 0
Non-Partisan 3 1 0
IAP 2 2 0
LIB 3 0 1
Other 4 0 0

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 15 4 2
Republican 2 19 0
Non-Partisan 12 7 2
IAP 11 5 5
LIB 11 0 10
Other 16 2 3

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 26 14 2
Republican 5 33 4
Non-Partisan 27 13 2
IAP 20 15 7
LIB 26 9 7
Other 27 5 10

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Months when voter roll maintenance is performed are not indicative of any registration trend. Who is moved to inactive or removed from the rolls is based on criteria that is not based on any party affiliation. We will have to wait until next month to see if a new trend will develop or we return to major party loses and Non-Partisan gains.

One Month Into Session Democratic Party Continues to Lose Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

One month into the 80th regular session of the Nevada legislature, the Democratic Party continued to lose voter share in February. The only exception was among those 18 to 34 years of age and in the rural counties.  

The Democratic Party’s 2019 Legislative Session Nevada Blueprint includes “Expand access to the ballot box.” We will be following several election-related bills that are designed to do just that. The question remains, however, will the party’s leadership follow the same path as in the 2017 session?

Here are the numbers.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,917 0.31% 38.35% 0.00%
R 1,153 0.22% 33.36% -0.03%
NP 1,663 0.48% 22.03% 0.03%
IAP 382 0.48% 4.37% 0.01%
LIB 92 0.58% 1.01% 0.00%
Other -46 -0.33% 0.88% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.29% 0.03

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,092 0.45% 41.90% -0.04%
R 1,695 0.52% 29.25% -0.01%
NP 1,822 0.71% 22.93% 0.04%
IAP 435 0.76% 4.12% 0.01%
LIB 87 0.85% 0.92% 0.00%
Other 0 0.00% 0.87% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.84% 0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3 0.00% 35.04% -0.06%
R 240 0.24% 36.89% 0.02%
NP 215 0.37% 21.17% 0.04%
IAP 42 0.47% 4.45% 0.01%
LIB 23 0.67% 1.27% 0.01%
Other -38 -1.16% 1.19% -0.02%
Total not D or R     28.08% 0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -178 -0.39% 22.86% 0.07%
R -782 -0.75% 51.69% -0.02%
NP -374 -1.03% 18.09% -0.06%
IAP -69 -0.61% 5.68% 0.01%
LIB -18 -0.79% 1.13% 0.00%
Other -8 -0.73% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.45% -0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 346 0.21% 38.70% 0.03%
R -142 -0.14% 22.71% -0.06%
NP 377 0.28% 31.00% 0.05%
IAP -4 0.08% 4.52% 0.00%
LIB 17 0.23% 1.73% 0.00%
Other -37 -0.63% 1.33% -0.01%
Total not D or R     38.58% 0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,005 0.40% 38.64% -0.03%
R 1,184 0.44% 41.26% -0.01%
NP 679 0.69% 15.00% 0.03%
IAP 223 0.69% 4.13% 0.01%
LIB 31 1.06% 0.45% 0.00%
Other 5 0.14% 0.52% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.10% 0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 3 1 0
Republican 3 1 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 3 1
LIB 0 0 4
Other 2 0 2

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 18 3 0
Republican 11 7 3
Non-Partisan 2 19 0
IAP 5 13 3
LIB 2 8 11
Other 9 1 11

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 33 7 2
Republican 19 20 3
Non-Partisan 8 31 3
IAP 10 27 5
LIB 8 16 18
Other 18 5 19

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

We show voter registration data broken down statewide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, those 18 to 34 and those 55 and older. Across all these demographics except for those over 55 the percentage of voter not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party is close to 30 percent; 20 percent for those over 55. For those 18 to 34, the percentage is close to 40 percent. Will the legislature acknowledge this continuing trend and pass the election bills presented to truly “expand access to the ballot box”? We’ll know in three months.

After Democratic Election Wave Party Continues to Lose Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

 The Democratic Party experienced a large ballot box victory in November, yet as 2019 begins, the party continues to experience a decline in voter share. The voter registration data for January 2019 just released by the secretary of state shows the Democratic Party losing voter share across all demographics tracked. At the same time Non-Partisan and minor party registration increased share and the GOP was mixed. The same holds true for the rate of growth; the number of new voters registering in each category.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,374 0.39% 38.35% -0.04%
R 2,283 0.43% 33.39% -0.02%
NP 2,416 0.70% 21.99% 0.05%
IAP 619 0.80% 4.36% 0.01%
LIB 121 0.76% 1.01% 0.00%
Other -52 -0.37% 0.89% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.25% 0.05

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,400 0.52% 41.94% -0.07%
R 2,323 0.72% 29.26% 0.01%
NP 2,261 0.89% 22.89% 0.05%
IAP 589 1.16% 4.11% 0.02%
LIB 105 1.03% 0.92% 0.00%
Other -42 -0.43% 0.87% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.80% 0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 38 0.04% 35.10% -0.02%
R 45 0.04% 36.87% -0.02%
NP 140 0.24% 21.13% 0.03%
IAP 47 0.34% 4.43% 0.01%
LIB 15 0.44% 1.27% 0.00%
Other -9 -0.27% 1.20% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.04% 0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -64 -0.14% 22.78% -0.01%
R -85 -0.08% 51.71% 0.00%
NP 15 0.04% 18.15% 0.02%
IAP -17 -0.15% 5.68% 0.00%
LIB 1 0.04% 1.13% 0.00%
Other -1 -0.09% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.51% 0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,802 1.08% 38.67% -0.03%
R 1,266 1.29% 22.78% 0.03%
NP 1,549 1.16% 30.96% 0.00%*
IAP 390 1.56%* 4.53% 0.02%*
LIB 106 1.43% 1.73% 0.00%
Other -19 -0.32% 1.34% -0.02%
Total not D or R     38.55% 0.00%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

  • Given this demographic, were these voters believing they were registering as “independent”; should have registered as Non-Partisan?

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 489 0.19% 38.67% -0.05%
R 860 0.32% 41.27% 0.00%
NP 587 0.60% 14.97% 0.04%
IAP 215 0.72% 4.12% 0.02%
LIB 19 0.66% 0.44% 0.00%
Other 2 0.06% 0.53% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.06% 0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 4 0 0
Republican 2 2 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 3 1
LIB 0 0 4
Other 3 0 1

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 18 0 3
Republican 9 9 3
Non-Partisan 1 19 1
IAP 2 15 4
LIB 1 8 12
Other 1 19 1

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 37 3 2
Republican 22 18 2
Non-Partisan 4 36 2
IAP 10 30 2
LIB 6 14 22
Other 22 1 19

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Nearly 30 percent of voters in Nevada are currently not registered to vote in either the Democratic or Republican Party; just under 40 percent for those between the ages of 18 and 34.

During the November election, voters passed automatic voter registration. The necessary action to implement this process has begun. It is more than likely this process will dramatically increase the percent of voters registered as Non-Partisan, potentially making that category the largest segment of voters. A bill to allow same-day voter registration has been filed for consideration during this legislative session. If that passes, the impact on party and Non-Partisan voter share may or may not be significant. However, given the long-term trend the assumption must be it will follow along the same lines. The question then becomes are these voters systemically excluded or does Nevada ensure all voters have the opportunity to participate fully in the election process?

Growth of Non-Partisan Voters Highlights 2017 – 2018 Comparison

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

December was a month for routine voter list maintenance, so while the month to month trend showed mostly downward movement, the real story is the change that occurred during the full year. Bottom line, 2018 belonged to Non-Partisans.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share % 2017 – 2018 % Voter Share Change
D -1,682 -0.28% 38.39% -0.02% -0.32
R -630 -0.12% 33.41% 0.04% -0.09
NP -1,067 -0.31% 21.95% -0.02% 0.64
IAP -261 0.02% 4.35% 0.01% -0.07
LIB -25 -0.16% 1.00% 0.00% 0.03
Other -249 -1.72% 0.90% -0.01% -0.20
Total not D or R     28.20% -0.02% 0.40

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share % 2017 – 2018 % Voter Share Change
D -2,295 -0.49% 42.01% 0.03% -0.29
R -1,578 -0.48% 29.25% 0.02% 0.00
NP -1,925 -0.75% 22.85% -0.04% 0.54
IAP -515 -0.48% 4.09% 0.00% -0.05
LIB -74 -0.72% 0.92% 0.00% 0.04
Other -224 -2.24% 0.88% -0.02% -0.24
Total not D or R     28.74% -0.06% 0.28

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share % 2017 – 2018 % Voter Share Change
D 401 0.42% 35.12% -0.02% -0.04
R 339 0.34% 36.89% -0.05% -0.80
NP 430 0.75% 21.10% 0.06% 1.08
IAP 107 0.91% 4.42% 0.02% -0.11
LIB 32 0.94% 1.26% 0.01% 0.01
Other -34 -1.02% 1.21% -0.02% -0.14
Total not D or R     27.99% 0.08% 0.83

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share % 2017 – 2018 % Voter Share Change
D 212 0.47% 22.80% -0.05% -0.85
R 609 0.59% 51.71% -0.06% 0.35
NP 428 1.19% 18.13% 0.09% 0.61
IAP 121 1.07% 5.68% 0.02% -0.13
LIB 17 0.76% 1.13% 0.00% 0.05
Other 9 0.83% 0.55% 0.00% -0.03
Total not D or R     25.49% 0.11% 0.51

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share % 2017 – 2018 % Voter Share Change
D -1,176 -0.70% 38.70% 0.02% 0.11
R -693 -0.70% 22.75% 0.01% -0.41
NP -1,059 -0.79% 30.96% -0.01% 0.73
IAP -311 -0.66% 4.51% 0.00% -0.03
LIB -22 -0.30% 1.72% 0.01% 0.03
Other -159 -2.64% 1.36% -0.03% -0.43
Total not D or R     38.55% -0.03% 0.30

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share % 2017 – 2018 % Voter Share -Change
D 50 0.02% 38.72% -0.05% -0.60
R 525 0.19% 41.28% 0.02% 0.61
NP 228 0.23% 14.93% 0.01% 0.16
IAP 91 0.40% 4.10% 0.01% -0.09
LIB 6 0.21% 0.44% 0.00% -0.01
Other -23 -0.66% 0.53% 0.00% -0.07
Total not D or R     20.00% 0.02% -0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 1 2 1
Republican 1 2 1
Non-Partisan 3 1 0
IAP 0 2 2
LIB 1 0 3
Other 4 0 0

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 6 13 2
Republican 11 8 2
Non-Partisan 12 7 2
IAP 3 11 7
LIB 5 6 10
Other 18 1 2

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 13 26 3
Republican 22 18 2
Non-Partisan 23 16 3
IAP 12 23 7
LIB 13 12 17
Other 32 1 9

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a gain of one over November.

As we get ready to start the 2019 legislative session, will the voter registration trend have any impact of the tone of the session? Will voters continue to be dissolutioned by the two major parties? How will the veto-proof majority in one chamber and near veto-proof in the other impact the rhetoric? We’ll know in a couple of months.

Post-Election Voter Registration Mirrors Election Results

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

 Given the Democratic Party dominance in the general election, it is not surprising to see November 2018 voter registration mirror the election results; Democratic and Non-Partisan gains and GOP loses.

Except for the rural counties. The Democratic Party gained voter share while the Republican Party experienced significant loses. This trend shows not only in tracked demographics but also across state congressional and legislative districts. And while the number of active registered voters in Nevada increased by 25,000, the Republican Party saw a much lower rate of growth than either the Democratic Party or Non-Partisan.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 10,975 1.83 38.41 0.09
R 6,068 1.16 33.37 -0.15
NP 6,297 1.84 21.96 0.05
IAP 1,727 1.77 4.34 0.01
LIB 310 1.99 1.00 0.00
Other 220 1.55 0.91 0.00
Total not D or R     28.21 0.06

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 9,883 2.16 41.98 0.09
R 4,757 1.48 29.22 -0.13
NP 5,195 2.08 22.89 0.03
IAP 1365 2.12 4.09 0.01
LIB 242 2.42 0.92 0.00
Other 176 1.79 0.90 0.00
Total not D or R     28.80 0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 835 0.88 35.14 0.01
R 537 0.54 36.93 -0.11
NP 684 1.21 21.04 0.08
IAP 209 1.14 4.40 0.01
LIB 43 1.28 1.26 0.01
Other 31 0.94 1.23 0.00
Total not D or R     27.93 0.10

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 257 0.57 22.85 -0.06
R 774 0.76 51.77 -0.03
NP 418 1.18 18.04 0.07
IAP 115 1.03 5.66 0.01
LIB 25 1.12 1.13 0.00
Other 13 1.21 0.55 0.00
Total not D or R     25.38 0.08

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,807 2.32 38.68 0.13
R 1,403 1.44 22.74 -0.12
NP 2,551 1.93 30.97 -0.01
IAP 604 2.08 4.50 0.01
LIB 126 1.72 1.72 0.00
Other 79 1.33 1.39 -0.01
Total not D or R     38.58 -0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3,249 1.30 38.77 0.03
R 2,776 1.04 41.25 -0.08
NP 1,415 1.47 14.91 0.04
IAP 496 1.52 4.09 0.01
LIB 47 1.65 0.44 0.00
Other 47 1.37 0.53 0.00
Total not D or R     19.98 0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 0 4 0
Republican 4 0 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 4 0
LIB 0 4 0
Other 0 0 4

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 5 15 1
Republican 21 0 0
Non-Partisan 4 15 2
IAP 3 11 7
LIB 1 9 11
Other 4 2 15

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 11 28 3
Republican 40 1 1
Non-Partisan 10 32 0
IAP 10 22 10
LIB 5 17 20
Other 11 12 19

In 33 districts (7857%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Non-Partisan voters are now 22 percent of active registered voters with 28 percent not registered as either Democratic or Republican. In the largest voting bloc, Baby Boomers, 20 percent are not affiliated with either major party, 15 percent Non-Partisan and among those between the ages of 18 and 34, these number are 39 percent and 31 percent respectfully. Only five percent separate the Democratic and Republican Party statewide and in what was once a solid GOP county, Washoe, less than two percent separate the two major parties; 28 percent are not affiliated with either party with 21 percent Non-Partisan.

Nevada voters just approved automatic voter registration. Now whenever an eligible person does business at the Department of Motor Vehicles they will be automatically registered to vote or if they are already registered their registration will be updated (if needed) unless they specifically say “no”. Because of the way the process is written, the number of Non-Partisan voters is expected to rise significantly. Only time will tell but will Non-Partisans become the largest segment of voters by 2020?

 

 

 

Non-Partisan Voters Carry the Election for Democratic Candidates

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Over 900,000 Nevadans cast ballots during the general election of 2018; 62 percent of active registered voters. While the Democratic Party is claiming their voter outreach efforts led to victory and the Republican Party is trying to figure out what went wrong; some party leaders are going as far as to claim voter fraud, the outcome of the election, either margin of victory or determining which candidate won, clearly was dependent on the votes of the Non-Partisan voter.

There’s no question that Democratic voters learned their lesson from 2014 when state-wide turnout was only 45.5 percent and the Republican party won all state constitutional offices along with control of both houses of the state legislature. This time, Democratic candidates won all but one constitutional office and the party extended its majority earned in 2016 in both chambers of the legislature; a veto-proof majority in the assembly

Turnout is a major factor in the outcome of any election. However, with both the Democratic and Republican Party each holding less than 40 percent share of active voters (38.32 and 33.52 percent respectively) it is the 28.15 percent (21.91 percent Non-Partisan and 6.24 percent minor party), not registered to either major party that determined the outcome of many races. This is important not only because both the Democratic and Republican Party, with very minor exception, lose voter share each month while Non-Partisan voter share increases but also because voters passed Automatic Voter Registration (AVR). Because voters are automatically registered as Non-Partisan unless they specify a political party, the percentage of Non-Partisan voters will most likely increase, perhaps significantly.

In 16 races, Non-Partisan voters clearly determined the winner

Position Winner Difference in Party Registration Percent Non-Partisan Margin of Victory Percent vote over Party Registration
Secretary of State R D +4.8% 21.9% 0.65% R: 15.4%

D: 10%

Treasurer: D D +4.8% 21.9% 0.64% D: 9.3%

R: 13.4%

Attorney General: D D +4.8% 21.9% 0.48% D: 8.9%

R: 13.2%

 

Position Winner Difference in Party Registration Percent Non-Partisan Margin of Victory Percent vote over Party Registration
Congressional District 3 D D +1.6% 22.8% 9.01% D: 15.4%

R: 8%

State Senate District 8 D D +1%  21.9% 3.18% D: 15.9%

R: 12.7%

State Senate District 20 R R +0.58% 22.4% 3.18% D: 15.9%

R: 12.7%

State Assembly District 2: R R +4.47% 22% 3.84% R: 13.5%

D: 14.1%

State Assembly District 4: D R +0.07% 21.5% 0.38% D: 12.8%

R: 12.4%

State Assembly District 12: D D +13.84% 22.2% 10.93% D: 10.8%

R: 13.7%

State Assembly District 31: D R +5.79% 19.7% 3.8% D 18.1%

R: 8.5%

State Assembly District 37 D D +0.6% 20.4% 0.42% D: 12.9%

R: 13.1%

In Washoe County, all partisan county-wide races were determined by Non-Partisan. In the county, the Republican Party holds a 1.93 percent advantage over the Democratic Party (37.05% to 35.12%) Non-Partisan has 20.96% voter share, minor parties 6.87 (27.83 percent not affiliated with either major party. Important to note that even though Washoe County voted more Democratic, for county-wide offices, Non-Partisans went more for Republican incumbents

Position Winner Difference in Party Registration Percent Non-Partisan Margin of Victory Percent vote over Party Registration
Assessor: R R +1.93% 21% 0.30% R: 13.1%

D: 14.7%

Public Administrator: R R +1.93% 21% 5.7% R: 15.8%

D: 12%

Recorder: D R +1.93% 21% 4.06% D: 16.9%

R: 10.9%

Treasurer: R R +1.93% 21% 5.6% R: 15.7%

D: 12%

Clerk: R R +1.93% 21% 10.7% R: 18.3%

D: 9.5%

In most other races, the Non-Partisan vote did not materially impact the outcome of the race. In those races, the Non-Partisan vote either slightly decreased the margin of victory but well within the winning party registration advantage or increased the margin of victory.

What made Non-Partisans favor the Democratic candidates this election? Was their vote a vote against President Trump? Did the Democratic Party do a better job of addressing the issues that they consider important? Was it a reaction to the lack of specifics in the campaigns? It could be these or other things. The one thing I believe is certain, the Democratic Party can not assume Non-Partisan voters will always be in their corner.