Heading to General Election Non-Partisan Voter Share Increase Continues

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – October 7, 2022

With one month to go before election day, both the Democratic and Republican Party continued to lose voter share in September while Non-Partisan gained not only voter share but led in raw number growth as well.  Combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continues to be the largest segment in the state, both Clark and Washoe county, and among voters 18 to 34 years of age (over 51 percent with 42 percent Non-Partisan). This pattern continues in all 17 counties and all legislative districts.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6,4281.10%32.87%-0.09%
R4,6840.87%30.09%-0.15%
NP13,7332.66%29.43%0.37%
IAP1,1821.54%4.32%0.01%
LIB2421.55%0.88%0.00%
Other-1,830-4.03%2.42%-0.14%
Total not D or R  37.04%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5,0721.12%35.68%-0.13%
R2,6790.81%26.06%-0.18%
NP10,4482.73%30.53%0.37%
IAP7781.47%4.17%0.00%
LIB1291.30%0.78%0.00%
Other-178-0.50%2.78%-0.06%
Total not D or R  38.26%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,2411.35%31.85%-0.14%
R1,3751.42%33.52%-0.12%
NP2,0712.71%26.79%0.24%
IAP3312.58%4.49%0.03%
LIB842.53%1.16%0.01%
Other320.50%2.20%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.64%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1150.28%18.09%0.03%
R6300.58%48.65%0.21%
NP1,2142.07%26.57%0.50%
IAP730.66%4.95%0.03%
LIB291.19%1.10%0.01%
Other-1,684-54.04%0.64%-0.75%
Total not D or R  33.26%-0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,6401.67%31.20%-0.11%
R1,0071.11%17.77%-0.16%
NP6,2762.99%42.11%0.39%
IAP3691.70%4.29%-0.01%
LIB1081.56%1.37%-0.01%
Other-160-0.95%3.25%-0.10%
Total not D or R  51.02%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,3390.91%34.75%-0.06%
R2,1720.75%39.31%-0.13%
NP2,9632.04%19.90%0.19%
IAP3681.21%4.12%0.01%
LIB290.98%0.40%0.00%
Other380.34%1.51%-0.01%
Total not D or R  25.94%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP121
LIB013
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP1092
LIB6510
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 10 (47.62%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4110
NP0420
IAP18204
LIB111417
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 20 (47.62%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican1050
NP3120
IAP1023
LIB654
Other1104

As I write this, early voting begins in three weeks.

Voter Roll Maintenance Benefits Major Party Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – September 10, 2022

August was a voter roll maintenance month and with the decrease in total active registered voters, the both the Democratic and Republican Party benefited in voter share. That said, the share of active voters not registered in either major party (Non-Partisan and minor party) remains the largest voting bloc in the state, in both Clark and Washoe counites, and increased its majority among voters 18 to 34 years of age. The only category where this group is below 30 percent is among voters 55 years of age and older. Even in the rural counties the average voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican is at 32 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-12,067-2.02%32.96%0.05%
R-9,765-1.78%30.24%0.12%
NP-13,781-2.60%29.06%-0.13%
IAP-1,619-2.07%4.31%0.00%
LIB-466-2.89%0.88%-0.01%
Other-1,704-3.62%2.55%-0.04%
Total not D or R  36.80%-0.18%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-9,425-2.03%35.82%0.08%
R-6,071-1.79%26.24%0.12%
NP-10,767-2.74%30.16%-0.15%
IAP-1,182-2.19%4.17%0.00%
LIB-323-3.16%0.78%-0.01%
Other-1,411-3.78%2.83%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.95%-0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,631-1.74%31.99%-0.01%
R-1,717-1.74%33.64%-0.01%
NP-1,277-1.64%26.55%0.02%
IAP-193-1.48%4.45%0.01%
LIB-65-1.92%1.15%0.00%
Other-119-1.82%2.23%0.00%
Total not D or R  34.38%0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,011-2.43%18.07%-0.03%
R-1,977-1.78%48.44%0.23%
NP-1,737-2.88%26.07%-0.17%
IAP-244-2.16%4.92%0.00%
LIB-78-3.10%1.09%-0.01%
Other-174-5.29%1.39%-0.04%
Total not D or R  33.47%-0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,551-0.97%31.31%-0.13%
R-716-0.79%17.94%-0.04%
NP4100.20%41.72%0.31%
IAP-202-0.92%4.31%-0.02%
LIB-108-1.53%1.38%-0.01%
Other-633-3.61%3.35%-0.11%
Total not D or R  50.75%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,344-1.29%34.81%-0.09%
R-3,098-1.06%39.44%-0.01%
NP-628-0.43%19.72%0.12%
IAP-233-0.76%4.12%0.01%
LIB-48-1.59%0.40%0.00%
Other-309-2.69%1.52%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.76%0.10%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic040
Republican040
NP400
IAP031
LIB400
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic5151
Republican2190
NP1731
IAP7104
LIB1137
Other2010

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.10%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic10311
Republican8340
NP3660
IAP16197
LIB20517
Other37  32

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 17 (40.48%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican951
NP3111
IAP1050
LIB654
Other1203

In my opinion, something I don’t usually express in this column, I don’t put much emphasis on changes that are due to voters being removed from the active rolls. Changes in September should give a better perspective on what to expect on election day.

Post Primary – Major Parties Return to Voter Share Loses While Non-Partisans Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – August 3, 2022

While more Democratic Party members migrate to the Republican Party, tracked by Jon Ralston CEO of the Nevada Independent voter registration numbers for July show a return to the normal trend; both major parties losing voter share while Non-Partisan gains. Washoe County was the only exception. In Washoe, the Democratic Party remained flat and the Republican Party registered an almost one-half of one percent gain. Voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican remains the largest voting block statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties. Non-Partisan remains the largest group among voters 18 to 34 years of age and when combined with minor party registration is above 50 percent. This group is also the largest voting segment in three of the four Congressional Districts, nine of the 21 state senate districts, and 18 of the 42 state assembly districts.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-9,353-1.54%32.91%-0.17%
R-8,702-1.56%30.12%-0.16%
NP2,2540.43%29.19%0.43%
IAP-1,088-1.37%4.31%-0.01%
LIB-468-2.82%0.89%-0.02%
Other-1,720-3.52%2.59%-0.07%
Total not D or R  36.97%0.33%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,535-0.33%35.74%-0.26%
R-1,760-0.52%26.12%-0.24%
NP9,0952.37%30.31%0.59%
IAP1730.32%4.17%0.00%
LIB-40-0.39%0.79%-0.01%
Other-986-2.58%2.88%-0.09%
Total not D or R  38.15%0.49%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,224-7.16%32.00%0.01%
R-6,148-5.88%33.65%0.47%
NP-7,132-8.41%26.53%-0.35%
IAP-1,137-8.04%4.44%-0.04%
LIB-396-10.47%1.16%-0.04%
Other-659-9.18%2.23%-0.05%
Total not D or R  34.36%-0.48%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-594-1.41%18.10%-0.15%
R-794-0.71%48.21%-0.07%
NP2910.48%26.24%0.28%
IAP-124-1.08%4.92%-0.03%
LIB-32-1.25%1.10%-0.01%
Other-75-2.23%1.43%-0.02%
Total not D or R  33.69%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,850-2.36%31.45%-0.34%
R-2,664-2.84%17.98%-0.28%
NP1,3190.63%41.40%0.80%
IAP-403-1.81%4.32%-0.02%
LIB-286-3.90%1.39%-0.04%
Other-874-4.75%3.46%-0.12%
Total not D or R  50.58%0.62%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,575-0.98%34.90%-0.08%
R-3,078-1.04%39.45%-0.11%
NP6660.46%19.60%0.24%
IAP-376-1.22%4.11%-0.02%
LIB-51-1.67%0.41%0.00%
Other-312-2.64%1.54%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.65%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP130
IAP202
LIB301
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1920
Republican1641
NP4170
IAP1722
LIB1452
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In nine (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3651
Republican3480
NP6360
IAP27123
LIB25107
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican951
NP3111
IAP1050
LIB654
Other1203

There is just under three months until early voting for the general election begins. If both the Democratic and Republican Party continue to lose voter share, how will that translate into election results?

Competitive Primary Races Lead to Slight GOP Voter Share Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – July 3, 2022

June was primary election month with the competitive and most visible races concentrated in the Republican primary. Because of this, voter registration numbers for June saw the Republican Party increasing voter share across the board with minor parties losing. Non-Partisan fluctuation was mixed. Voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican remains the largest voting block statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties. Non-Partisan remains the largest group among voters 18 to 34 years of age and when combined with minor party registration is hovering around 50 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,5870.76%33.07%-0.06%
R12,1382.23%30.28%0.39%
NP2,6580.51%28.76%-0.12%
IAP-766-0.96%4.32%-0.08%
LIB-77-0.46%0.90%-0.01%
Other-1,635-3.24%2.66%-0.11%
Total not D or R  36.65%-0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,1190.89%35.99%-0.01%
R8,8992.69%26.35%0.45%
NP7440.19%29.73%-0.22%
IAP-537-0.99%4.17%-0.08%
LIB-67-0.65%0.79%-0.01%
Other-1,309-3.31%2.96%-0.13%
Total not D or R  37.65%-0.44%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4900.49%31.98%-0.16%
R1,5601.51%33.18%0.17%
NP1,3141.57%26.88%0.16%
IAP-97-0.68%4.48%-0.08%
LIB-2-0.05%1.20%-0.01%
Other-196-2.66%2.28%-0.09%
Total not D or R  34.84%-0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-22-0.05%18.26%-0.17%
R1,6791.53%48.28%0.31%
NP6001.01%25.96%0.04%
IAP-132-1.14%4.95%-0.10%
LIB-8-0.31%1.10%-0.01%
Other-130-3.72%1.46%-0.07%
Total not D or R  33.47%-0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,2240.76%31.78%-0.08%
R1,8221.98%18.26%0.17%
NP2,4611.19%40.60%0.08%
IAP-29-0.13%4.34%-0.05%
LIB40.05%1.43%-0.01%
Other-376-2.00%3.58%-0.11%
Total not D or R  49.96%-0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,9640.76%34.98%-0.04%
R6,3992.21%39.56%0.51%
NP-427-0.29%19.36%-0.23%
IAP-590-1.87%4.13%-0.12%
LIB-57-1.83%0.41%-0.01%
Other-773-6.15%1.57%-0.12%
Total not D or R  25.47%-0.48%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican040
NP310
IAP400
LIB400
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1551
Republican0210
NP1650
IAP2100
LIB1830
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic28113
Republican0420
NP30120
IAP4101
LIB3318
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 17 (40.48%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican0150
NP681
IAP1410
LIB1023
Other1401

This primary election cycle saw a return to the trend of at least one major party gaining share. There are a few reasons that could have attributed to the increase in the Republican Party and loses in the Democratic Party: lack of competitive races, more interest in the Republican contests, or an element of strategic voting, attempting to influence the results having the perceived weakest candidate advance. It will be interesting to watch if, or how many voters switch their party affiliation back leading up to the general election.

SB 499 Strikes Again – Why We Need Final Five Voting

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 21, 2022

The primary election is over (results will be certified on June 24th) and once again we have partisan races in closed primaries determining the overall winner of the office. SB 499 strikes again.

SB 499 changed the way elections for partisan offices where only one major party fields candidates, no minor party or Non-Partisan candidates running for the position. Prior to this bill, if this condition presented itself the following applies:

  • If only two candidates were running both would automatically advance (no primary election) to the general election so all voters could make their choice known.
  • If three or more candidates were running the top two finishers in the primary would advance to the general election, again so all voters could cast a ballot.

Under SB 499, a primary is held and the winner of the primary advances to the general election unopposed. Since Nevada conducts closed primaries, only the members of the party of the candidates vote. Since primary election turnout is significantly lower than the general election, this means a small fraction of the party and an even smaller fraction of the district is determining the winner.

Since SB 499 became effective for the 2016 election, 12 state legislative races were determined in the closed primaries. This cycle we add four (4) more. If you add in county partisan races, the total is more than doubled.

DistrictParty% Party TurnoutWinner % of turnoutWinner % of party registrationWinner % of total district registration
SD 17Republican48.75%51.64%25.17%12.3%
AD 19Republican44.75%42.10%18.84%8.0%
AD 36Republican44.79%51.92%23.26%9.46%
AD 38Republican44.55%57.09%25.43%12.01%

I would think it will be difficult for any of these winners; they will be officially elected in November as long as they each receive at least one (1) vote, to claim they represent their constituents. Perhaps claiming they represent the majority of their party members who voted in the primary is sufficient. (Note in two of the races the winner did not receive the majority)

The state legislature has twice refused to reverse this change, returning to the process that allowed all voters in the district to have their voices heard and vote counted, in 2017 and again in 2019.

In all likelihood there will be a ballot initiative on the general election ballot in November 2022 that will correct this and provide all voters, regardless of party, the choice to vote for any candidate, regardless of political party in the primary and then have a louder voice in the general  election by allowing voters to vote for the five candidates for any office in order of their preference for each candidate.

GOP Posts Voter Share Gains; Unaffiliated Tops 50 Percent Among Younger Voters in Month Leading Up to Primary

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 2, 2022

Two notable changes in the May voter registration numbers. Republican Party voter share registered gains across the board and among voters 18 to 34 years of age, voter share of those not registered in either major party topped 50 percent. Non-Partisan voter share gained except among voters 55 years of age and older, holding basically even in Washoe County. Conversely, the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share in all sectors as do the minor parties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,5870.60%33.13%-0.08%
R6,9821.30%29.90%0.13%
NP5,2571.01%28.89%0.04%
IAP-14-0.02%4.40%-0.04%
LIB40.02%0.92%-0.01%
Other-413-0.81%2.77%-0.05%
Total not D or R  36.98%-0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3430.73%36.00%-0.08%
R4,7801.46%25.90%0.13%
NP4,2391.12%29.94%0.05%
IAP800.15%4.25%-0.03%
LIB100.10%0.81%-0.01%
Other-285-0.71%3.09%-0.05%
Total not D or R  38.09%-0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1880.19%32.14%-0.05%
R7910.77%33.00%0.14%
NP2340.28%26.73%-0.01%
IAP-84-0.59%4.56%-0.04%
LIB-6-0.16%1.21%-0.01%
Other-81-1.09%2.36%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.86%-0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D560.13%18.42%-0.15%
R1,4111.30%47.96%0.16%
NP7841.34%25.93%0.09%
IAP-10-0.09%5.05%-0.05%
LIB00.00%1.12%-0.01%
Other-47-1.33%1.53%-0.04%
Total not D or R  33.62%-0.01%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1060.69%31.86%-0.13%
R1,0731.18%18.09%0.02%
NP3,2421.60%40.53%0.20%
IAP1550.70%4.39%-0.02%
LIB170.23%1.44%-0.01%
Other-102-0.54%3.69%-0.06%
Total not D or R  50.06%0.11%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1820.46%35.02%-0.07%
R3,8841.36%39.04%0.27%
NP1550.11%19.59%-0.11%
IAP-237-0.75%4.24%-0.06%
LIB-22-0.70%0.42%-0.01%
Other-179-1.40%1.69%-0.04%
Total not D or R  25.94%-0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican040
NP040
IAP400
LIB220
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican0210
NP7140
IAP1920
LIB1218
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3912
Republican2382
NP17232
IAP3543
LIB24810
Other41  10

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican3120
NP5100
IAP1320
LIB825
Other1410

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

The gain in Republican Party voter share raises a question. Do voters want to see a competitive general election or is there a desire to ensure GOP candidates nominated are the weakest against Democratic opponents?

With Early Voting Only Weeks Away Major Parties Continue to Lose Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – May 4, 2022

With early voting for the 2022 primary election just weeks away, both the Democratic and Republican Party as well as the minor parties lost voter share in April while Non-Partisan share gains showed no signs of abating. The combined voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican continues to be the leading segment of voters statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties while Non-Partisan continues as the leading group among voters 18 to 34 years of age topping 40 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,4290.58%33.21%-0.17%
R4,2120.79%29.76%-0.09%
NP11,2952.22%28.84%0.32%
IAP6820.86%4.44%-0.01%
LIB1400.85%0.92%0.00%
Other-146-0.29%2.82%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.02%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3700.74%36.09%-0.19%
R2,9150.90%25.77%-0.09%
NP8,9092.41%29.90%0.33%
IAP6741.26%4.29%0.00%
LIB1241.22%0.81%0.00%
Other-70-0.18%3.15%-0.05%
Total not D or R  38.14%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1790.18%32.19%-0.14%
R5480.54%32.86%-0.03%
NP1,1971.46%26.74%0.22%
IAP440.31%4.60%-0.01%
LIB40.11%1.22%-0.01%
Other-59-0.78%2.40%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.95%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-120-0.28%18.58%-0.20%
R7490.70%47.80%-0.04%
NP1,1892.07%25.83%0.32%
IAP-36-0.31%5.10%-0.06%
LIB120.47%1.13%0.00%
Other-17-0.48%1.56%-0.02%
Total not D or R  33.62%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D9940.62%31.99%-0.26%
R6960.77%18.07%-0.12%
NP5,2682.67%40.32%0.48%
IAP2471.13%4.41%-0.01%
LIB720.99%1.46%-0.01%
Other-109-0.57%3.75%-0.08%
Total not D or R  49.94%0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3190.51%35.09%-0.12%
R2,2710.80%38.77%-0.02%
NP2,4051.68%19.69%0.16%
IAP1870.59%4.30%-0.01%
LIB90.29%0.43%0.00%
Other-14-0.11%1.73%-0.02%
Total not D or R  26.15%0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP202
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2010
NP0210
IAP1361
LIB9210
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican3651
NP0420
IAP20139
LIB131217
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican780
NP2130
IAP1410
LIB663
Other1221

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Older voters, those over 55 years of age appear to remain loyal to the major parties. However, those who have abandoned those two parties now comprise over 25 percent of those in this age group.

Nevadans will start going to the polls in just over three (3) weeks to cast votes in the primary election. Since a voter must be registered in one of the two major parties to vote in most of the races, will the major parties pick up share leading up to the election or will voters continue to reject the parties despite not being able to vote the full primary ballot?

Despite Voter Roll Maintenance Non-Partisan Continues Voter Share Gains

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – April 3, 2022

March was a voter roll maintenance month. With the normal decline of active registered voters and corresponding decline in voter share, Non-Partisan share seems immune, increasing share across all tracked demographics. The Republican Party also gained share statewide, in Clark county, and among voters 55 years of age and older.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-28,709-4.59%33.39%-0.26%
R-18,604-3.37%29.85%0.15%
NP-15,939-3.03%28.53%0.24%
IAP-3,743-4.50%4.45%-0.03%
LIB-939-5.38%0.93%-0.01%
Other-3,612-6.61%2.86%-0.08%
Total not D or R  36.76%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-28,151-5.84%36.28%-0.17%
R-17,825-5.22%25.87%0.05%
NP-17,376-4.49%29.56%0.28%
IAP-3,655-6.38%4.29%-0.05%
LIB-905-8.16%0.81%-0.02%
Other-3,451-7.95%3.19%-0.09%
Total not D or R  37.85%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-82-0.08%32.33%-0.14%
R1320.13%32.88%-0.07%
NP1,0531.30%26.52%0.25%
IAP350.25%4.61%0.00%
LIB-8-0.21%1.22%-0.01%
Other-84-1.11%2.43%-0.04%
Total not D or R  34.79%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-476-1.11%18.78%-0.11%
R-911-0.84%47.85%-0.14%
NP3840.67%25.51%0.31%
IAP-123-1.05%5.16%-0.03%
LIB-26-1.01%1.13%-0.01%
Other-77-2.12%1.58%-0.03%
Total not D or R  33.38%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-11,113-6.50%32.25%-0.47%
R-5,088-5.34%18.19%-0.04%
NP-7,144-3.49%39.84%0.68%
IAP-1,328-5.71%4.42%-0.03%
LIB-490-6.33%1.46%-0.02%
Other-1,724-8.33%3.83%-0.13%
Total not D or R  49.56%0.50%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,916-2.98%35.20%-0.17%
R-6,744-2.32%38.79%0.08%
NP-2,550-1.75%19.53%0.15%
IAP-1,018-3.13%4.31%-0.03%
LIB-115-3.54%0.43%0.00%
Other-570-4.28%1.74%-0.03%
Total not D or R  26.01%0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP310
IAP400
LIB400
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1380
NP0210
IAP1911
LIB1920
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4011
Republican23190
NP0420
IAP3633
LIB3516
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In two (50%) congressional, eight (38.1%) state senate, and 17 (40.48%) state assembly districts, the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1401
Republican1140
NP2130
IAP1050
LIB735
Other1212

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Jon Ralston, CEO of the Nevada Independent continues to track the number of voters changing parties. In March, once again, more Democratic voters changed to Republican or Non-Partisan than their Republican counterparts. Also, among Non-Partisans changing party registration to a political party, more chose the Republican Party than the Democratic Party. How this trend, should it continue, impacts the results of the primary will be interesting to see.

Voters Not Registered As Democratic or Republican Increase Voter Share Lead in February

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 3, 2022

The percentage of voters not registered to vote in either the Democratic or Republican Party expanded its lead in February, according to the numbers from the secretary of state.  That group continues to be the largest block of voters statewide and in both Clark and Washoe county. Among voters 18 to 34 years of age, those registered as Non-Partisan remain the largest group and when combined with those registered in a minor party is nearing 50 percent.

Looking at Congressional and legislative districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican leads in two of the four Congressional districts, eight of the 21 state senate districts and 17 of the 42 state assembly districts.  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8560.14%33.65%-0.17%
R1,4560.26%29.71%-0.11%
NP9,2961.80%28.28%0.32%
IAP4560.55%4.48%0.00%
LIB1050.60%0.94%0.00%
Other-443-0.80%2.94%-0.04%
Total not D or R  36.64%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8390.17%36.45%-0.20%
R1,2070.35%25.82%-0.09%
NP7,0981.87%29.28%0.33%
IAP3760.66%4.33%0.00%
LIB700.63%0.84%0.00%
Other-254-0.58%3.28%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.73%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1450.15%32.47%-0.14%
R3040.30%32.95%-0.09%
NP1,2961.63%26.27%0.27%
IAP900.64%4.62%0.00%
LIB160.42%1.23%0.00%
Other-96-1.25%2.47%-0.05%
Total not D or R  34.58%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-128-0.30%18.89%-0.11%
R-55-0.05%47.99%-0.16%
NP9021.61%25.20%0.33%
IAP-10-0.09%5.18%-0.02%
LIB190.74%1.14%0.01%
Other-93-2.49%1.61%-0.05%
Total not D or R  33.12%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D310.02%32.72%-0.27%
R1140.12%18.23%-0.13%
NP4,2262.11%39.16%0.49%
IAP1280.55%4.45%-0.01%
LIB310.40%1.48%-0.01%
Other-192-0.92%3.96%-0.07%
Total not D or R  49.05%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4310.16%35.37%-0.11%
R8460.29%38.71%-0.07%
NP2,2161.55%19.38%0.21%
IAP1670.52%4.34%0.00%
LIB120.37%0.43%0.00%
Other-158-1.17%1.78%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.93%0.18%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2111
Republican310
NP040
IAP211
LIB013
Other211

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1470
Republican1560
NP1200
IAP1092
LIB9102
Other1551

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic27150
Republican27150
NP6351
IAP22182
LIB17178
Other32  91

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican105 
NP2130
IAP1032
LIB555
Other1203

Jon Ralston and the Nevada Independent look at the number of voters changing parties. While the numbers are interesting; more Democratic voters changing to Republican, they may become more meaningful as we get closer to the primary. Are voters changing parties in hopes to sway the nomination to a candidate least likely to win the general election? We’ll also be watching the voter share trend. Will the major parties gain voter share in the months leading up to June or during same-day registration or will fewer voters be eligible to vote since Nevada’s primary elections are closed to non-party members?    

2022 Starts With Non-Partisan Increasing Voter Share Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – February 5, 2022

As we start the election year of 2022, voter registration numbers for January, in spite of being a voter roll maintenance month, showed no change in the pattern of Non-Partisan voter share expanding its lead. Thanks to Nevada Independent CEO Jon Ralston, we also have a picture of movement between the major parties and Non-Partisan.  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,321-0.53%33.81%-0.12%
R-2,068-0.37%29.82%-0.06%
NP4,3910.86%27.96%0.28%
IAP-240-0.29%4.49%-0.01%
LIB-153-0.87%0.94%-0.01%
Other-1,715-3.02%2.98%-0.09%
Total not D or R  36.37%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6120.13%36.64%-0.17%
R9960.29%25.91%-0.08%
NP6,4561.73%28.95%0.32%
IAP3170.56%4.33%0.00%
LIB660.60%0.84%0.00%
Other-564-1.28%3.32%-0.06%
Total not D or R  37.45%0.26%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,926-3.78%32.60%0.05%
R-3,447-3.29%33.04%0.21%
NP-3,237-3.90%26.00%0.00%
IAP-609-4.13%4.62%-0.01%
LIB-238-5.93%1.23%-0.03%
Other-1,037-11.87%2.51%-0.23%
Total not D or R  34.36%-0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7-0.02%19.00%-0.13%
R3830.35%48.15%-0.15%
NP1,1722.13%24.87%0.36%
IAP520.44%5.20%-0.01%
LIB190.75%1.13%0.00%
Other-114-2.97%1.65%-0.06%
Total not D or R  32.85%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,036-1.18%32.99%-0.20%
R-1,452-1.50%18.36%-0.18%
NP1,4100.71%38.67%0.49%
IAP-190-0.81%4.46%-0.01%
LIB-115-1.47%1.49%-0.01%
Other-554-2.58%4.03%-0.08%
Total not D or R  48.65%0.39%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-420-0.16%35.48%-0.08%
R-34-0.01%38.78%-0.03%
NP1,6691.18%19.17%0.21%
IAP270.08%4.34%0.00%
LIB20.06%0.43%0.00%
Other-695-4.90%1.81%-0.09%
Total not D or R  25.75%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican310
NP130
IAP112
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1821
Republican1650
NP2190
IAP1065
LIB867
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3570
Republican3741
NP4380
IAP21147
LIB161313
Other38  40

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

New district maps are in place. Any pending challenge must be resolved before candidate filing begins on March 7, 2022. The questions remains: Will voter share of the Democratic and Republican Party increase in the run-up to the June primary? To what extent ill voters decide to use same-day registration?