2020 Ends, 2021 And The Legislative Session Begins; Major Parties Still Losing Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

For a reason most likely associated with the challenges to the presidential election, voter registration data for December 2020 was delayed, posted on February 1, 2021 along with the January 2021 numbers. While the state saw a decline in the number of active registered voters both months, the voter share trends showed no signs of abating. Voters continued to leave both the Democratic and Republican Party across all tracked demographics, choosing to register as either Non-Partisan or in a minor political party. The tables below, which reflect the changes as of January 31, 2021 will also show the change for 2020.

With the start of the Nevada legislative session, it is also important to note that as of the end of January 2021, all state senate districts and 41 of the 42 state assembly districts now fall into our category of non-major party voter share being within five percent or exceeding the voter share of at least one of the major political parties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-14,307-2.14%36.43%-0.21%-1.66%
R-14,730-2.49%32.05%-0.30%-0.90%
NP-3,834-0.87%24.26%0.17%1.93%
IAP-348-0.42%4.57%0.05%0.05%
LIB-262-1.47%0.98%0.00%-0.04%
Other4,53017.25%1.71%0.28%0.62%
Total not D or R  31.52%0.50%2.56%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan. 

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-13,210-2.58%39.70%-0.23%-2.02%
R-11,213-3.07%28.15%-0.31%-0.61%
NP-4,504-1.41%25.05%0.15%1.87%
IAP-420-0.75%4.40%0.06%0.11%
LIB-273-2.44%0.87%0.00%-0.05%
Other3,80819.77%1.83%0.33%0.71%
Total not D or R  32.15%0.54%2.63%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-120-0.11%34.39%-0.13%-0.65%
R-952-0.87%34.54%-0.40%-1.48%
NP1,2421.71%23.47%0.33%1.65%
IAP1340.94%4.60%0.03%4.57%
LIB411.03%1.28%0.01%1.28%
Other49610.15%1.71%0.15%1.56%
Total not D or R  31.07%0.52%2.12%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-977-2.04%20.92%-0.06%-1.57%
R-2,565-2.22%50.45%-0.24%-1.12%
NP-572-1.20%20.96%0.11%2.55%
IAP-62-0.50%5.44%0.07%0.07%
LIB-30-1.15%1.14%0.01%0.01%
Other22610.73%0.81%0.12%0.12%
Total not D or R  28.63%0.31%2.69%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-6,068-3.16%37.20%-0.30%-1.66%
R-3,747-3.41%21.19%-0.23%-0.73%
NP-3,213-1.91%32.95%0.16%1.69%
IAP-537-2.21%4.74%0.01%0.07%
LIB-237-2.85%1.62%-0.01%-0.12%
Other1,62616.35%2.31%0.37%0.75%
Total not D or R  41.61%0.53%2.40%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-3,906-1.42%37.12%-0.12%-1.13%
R-6,160-2.04%40.39%-0.39%-0.54%
NP4430.36%16.68%0.24%1.29%
IAP3141.01%4.29%0.09%0.01%
LIB100.31%0.44%0.01%-0.03%
Other1,17617.51%1.08%0.17%0.40%
Total not D or R  22.49%0.51%1.68%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
Non-Partisan040
IAP040
LIB112
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
Non-Partisan1200
IAP3180
LIB894
Other0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4011
Republican4020
Non-Partisan2400
IAP8331
LIB151611
Other0420

In 41 districts (97.62%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over December.

With the legislative session set to act on issues that usually show a high degree of partisanship, will Democratic and Republican legislators keep voter affiliation in mind, especially when they tackle Constitutionally mandated redistricting in a special session immediately following adjournment of the regular session in June?

Candidates Win While Other Candidates Receive More Total Votes

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

How can a candidate or candidates (in multi-winner races) win when more voters voted for other candidates? In what is commonly referred to as “first past the post” (FPTP) elections, the election method most commonly used throughout the United States, it happens all the time.

A widely held perception is that if the winner has the most votes that means they received a majority of votes. Most voters would be upset if they realized the winner or winners actually received less than a majority, sometimes far less.

During the 2020 election cycle; primary election in June and general election in November, 69 races in Nevada (20 general, 49 primary) were won by candidates who did not get a majority of the votes; more votes cast against them, or who, in multi-winner races, did not receive enough votes so that no other candidate could not have beaten them. The low number of votes needed to win is especially noticeable in local races. (See tables below)

If you believe this is wrong, that the winner of any election should always have the majority of votes or enough votes in a multi-winner race to not be able to be beaten, it can be changed. By allowing voters to vote for more than one candidate, marking their ballot in order of preference for each candidate; first choice, second choice, third choice, and so on, ranked choice voting (RCV) ensures only the candidate(s) receiving a majority of the votes or meeting the required threshold in multi-winner elections are elected.

What about those 69 races? The tables below show for both the general and primary election, the race, the number of seats being filled, the number of candidates, the percent of the vote received by the winner(s), and under RCV, the percentage needed to win. For seats where there was only one winner, this is 50 percent plus one vote. For multi-winner races the percentage required ensures no other candidate could have enough votes to win. Percentages in red met the RCV threshold meaning the candidate would have won if RCV had been used.

More information about this process and how you can get involved to ensure those we elect to represent us at all levels of government have the broadest support can be found here, here, and here.

General Election

RaceNumber of SeatsNumber of CandidatesWinner Percent of Vote ReceivedPercent Required to Win (+1)
CD 31448.7550
SD 51348.7550    
Wells City Council3824.28
17.42
15.47
25
West Wendover City Council2429.1
28.24
33
Elko City Council2433.9
28.54
33
Crescent Valley Town Advisory Board3431.04
28.02

22.53
25
Winnemucca City Council1345.5450
North Lyon County Fire District Director3622.18
19.28
16.16
25      
Fernley Swimming Pool District Director3522.66
22.59
22.31
25
Mineral County Commission Seat B1341.7150
Amargosa Valley Town Board3524.13
21.95
21.23
25
Lovelock Meadows Water District Trustee2433.61
28.56
33
Incline Village GED3621.88
20.96
19.85
25
Palomino Valley GID3622.53
20.76
17.85
25
Laughlin Town Advisory Board51013.12
12.9
12.39
11.09
10.14  
17
Skyland GID5815.3
13.7
12.9
12.21
11.87
17
Topaz Ranch Estates GID2430.63
27.42
33
Indian Hills GID3430.27
27.32

24.52
25
Minden-Gardnerville Sanitation District3438.8
25.44

23.26
25
Round Hill GID3434.93
34.5

19.36
25

Primary Election

RaceNumber of SeatsNumber of CandidatesWinner Percent of Vote ReceivedPercent Required to Win (+1)
CD 1 Republican1435.6550
CD 2 Democratic1748.950
CD 3 Republican1649.8250
CD 4 Republican1834.7550
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 11 Family Div2344.96
31.35
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 22339.69
32.02
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 52440.57
29.34
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 192345.52
29.28
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 212437.51
30.05
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 232434.21
32.35
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 242532.13
23.41
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept I Family Div2342.37
32.13
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept M Family Div2432.51
28.24
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept T Family Div2346.2
32.37
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept Z Family Div2440.86
24.01
33
AD 2 Democratic1435.7650
AD 2 Republican1547.8850
AD 5 Republican1349.650
AD 7 Democratic1338.2750
AD 18 Democratic1439.4350
AD 20 Democratic1446.4750
AD 37 Republican1448.9850
AD 40 Democratic1347.0950
Board of Regents Dist 32431.44
23.79
33
Board of Regents Dist 102528.36
21.86
33
State Board of Education Dist 12537.69
23.97
33
Carson City Board of Supervisors Ward 22434.69
30.88
33
Clark County Commission Dist C Democratic1638.2850
Clark County Commission Dist D Democratic1742.66  50    
Clark County School District A2826.09
18.97
33
Clark County School District B2823.92
18.69
33
Clark County School District C2721.08
20.34
33
Clark County School District E2721.6
17.5
33
Indian Hills GID4530.97
20.95

18.46
15.29
20
Topaz Ranch Estates GID4422.51
16.27
15.5
14.75
 20
Humboldt County Commission Seat A Republican1344.4250
Humboldt County Commission Seat B Republican1538.5650    
Lander County Commission Dist 4 Republican        1431.5150
North Lyon County Fire District Dir6721.42
18.34
16.7

12.73
12.17
10.74
15
Fernley City Council Ward 22431.86
30.7
33
Fernley City Council Ward 52444.95
24.2
33
Nye County Commission Dist 1 Republican1527.2550
Nye County Commission Dist 3 Republican1439.4450
Nye County School District Area VI2443.79
23.5
33
Washoe County School District G2543.6
24.43
33
Palomino Valley GID6719.39
19.3
17.22
15.52

13.15
10.6
15
Reno City Council At Large2448
29.95
33
Sparks City Council Ward 32544.49
19.27
33
Washoe County School District A2533.35
22.97
33

For Judicial races, if a candidate receives over 50 percent in the primary, they advance to the general election unopposed. If no candidate receives 50 percent, the top two advance to the general election

For Nonpartisan races, if a candidate receives over 50 percent in the primary, they are elected and do not appear on the general election ballot. If no candidate receives 50 percent, the top two advance to the general election

In the primary election for multi-seat races, if the number of candidates is more than twice the number of seats being contested, the number of candidates advancing to the general election is twice the number of seats available.

General Election and Same-Day Voter Registration Continues Trend – Major Parties Lose Voter Share, Non-Partisan and Other Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

The general election is behind us; however, the partisan rhetoric continues. Also continuing, voters are abandoning both the Democratic and Republican Parties. Voter registration numbers for November, which include same-day registrations, saw the two major parties once again lose voter share across all tracked data points; statewide, Clark County, Washoe, County, the rural counties as a whole and individually, among voters 18 to 34 years of age and those 55 and older, in all Congressional districts, all state senate districts, and all but one state assembly district.

While all parties gain voters, growth in both the Democratic and Republican Party is over-shadowed by that of Non-Partisan and “other”.

Given the closeness of voter share in almost all legislative districts, the importance for candidates to gain the votes of those voters becomes key to victory. A comparison of election results and registration showed non-major party voters played a deciding role in five of the seven contested state senate races, eight of the 31 contested state assembly races, and in six of 20 contested county commission races.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D9,6931.43%36.93%-0.36%
R10,3861.75%32.29%-0.21%
NP17,4484.05%24.02%0.38%
IAP2,1332.59%4.52%0.01%
LIB5072.84%0.98%0.00%
Other4,02820.80%1.25%0.19%
Total not D or R  30.78%0.58

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan. 

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8,1841.56%40.19%-0.39%
R6,9171.87%28.43%-0.19%
NP13,0634.13%24.85%0.38%
IAP1,5522.76%4.36%0.01%
LIB3392.97%0.89%0.00%
Other2,84820.20%1.28%0.19%
Total not D or R  31.38%0.58

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1811.10%34.65%-0.42%
R1,5471.43%35.02%-0.31%
NP2,9784.31%23.04%0.44%
IAP3032.17%4.55%-0.01%
LIB1082.78%1.27%0.01%
Other96626.55%1.47%0.28%
Total not D or R  30.33%0.72

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3280.69%21.14%-0.25%
R1,9221.68%50.93%-0.10%
NP1,4073.10%20.55%0.24%
IAP2782.30%5.44%0.02%
LIB602.36%1.14%0.01%
Other21413.16%0.81%0.08%
Total not D or R  27.94%0.35

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,6252.36%37.84%-0.48%
R3,6053.28%21.46%-0.08%
NP7,7724.71%32.63%0.33%
IAP8483.49%4.75%-0.01%
LIB2903.47%1.63%0.00%
Other1,55420.97%1.69%0.24%
Total not D or R  40.70%0.56

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,0560.74%37.49%-0.24%
R2,6950.89%40.75%-0.20%
NP3,8803.27%16.33%0.30%
IAP5231.69%4.20%0.01%
LIB591.87%0.43%0.00%
Other1,04621.42%0.79%0.13%
Total not D or R  21.75%0.44

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
Non-Partisan040
IAP022
LIB022
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
Non-Partisan0210
IAP6141
LIB2910
Other1200

In 20 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4110
Non-Partisan0420
IAP12237
LIB81816
Other0420

In 40 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over October.

Those who read this report each month know this is not unusual but rather the norm. Statewide the percent of voters not registered in one of the major parties is less than two percent shy of total GOP share. In Clark County that number is greater than GOP share. In the rural counties, in all but Carson City, either Non-Partisan or total not major party affiliated exceeds Democratic Party voter share. And among voters 18 to 34 years of age Non-Partisan share is greater than the percent of voters registered as Republican and the total not major party affiliated has the highest share.

What message is being perceived by the Democratic and Republican Party leadership given the multi-year trend? What, if anything, can the major parties do to reverse it? Or do they need to accept it and legislatively broaden the rules to ensure the voters in this continuously growing segment can have full participation?

October Run Up to Election Day Sees Large Voter Registration Increase; Democratic Party Continues to Lose Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

With nearly 79,000 new active voters (including some of the approximately 14,000 who registered same day at the polls), October voter registration numbers show nothing new when it comes to voter share trends.

While the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share across the board, the Republican Party registered two bright spots, a gain in voter share in Clark County and among voters 18 to 34 years of age. Outside a near corresponding drop in Non-Partisan voter share in the 18 to 34-year-old group, Non-Partisan and minor parties continue their advance. Again, just how many Independent American Party and “other” with no party indicated should be added to the Non-Partisan total is an unanswered question but the informed assumption is many.

Another interesting occurrence is the continued Democratic Party loss of voter share in all Congressional and state legislative districts. With only one state senate district and three state assembly districts falling outside our five-percent difference between major party and non-major party voter share, will this have any impact on the upcoming legislative session even if the Democratic Party maintains its super-majority in the assembly and adds the senate?

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D24,6083.76%37.30%-0.28%
R25,6514.53%32.50%0.00%
NP21,5105.26%23.64%0.16%
IAP4,9326.38%4.52%0.08%
LIB7664.49%0.98%0.00%
Other1,4127.86%1.06%0.03%
Total not D or R  30.20%0.27

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan. 

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D20,1233.99%40.58%-0.36%
R18,8935.38%28.62%0.13%
NP16,1335.38%24.47%0.11%
IAP3,8387.33%4.35%0.10%
LIB4764.35%0.88%0.00%
Other9797.46%1.09%0.03%
Total not D or R  30.80%0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,5233.40%35.07%-0.13%
R3,3453.19%35.32%-0.20%
NP3,2014.85%22.60%0.23%
IAP6624.99%4.55%0.05%
LIB1885.09%1.27%0.02%
Other2106.12%1.19%0.03%
Total not D or R  29.61%0.33

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D9622.05%21.39%-0.28%
R3,4133.08%51.02%-0.15%
NP2,1765.03%20.31%0.32%
IAP4323.70%5.42%0.02%
LIB1024.19%1.14%0.01%
Other22315.89%0.73%0.08%
Total not D or R  27.59%0.43

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D11,4656.22%38.32%-0.23%
R8,3348.20%21.54%0.27%
NP9,9756.43%32.30%-0.13%
IAP2,0419.17%4.76%0.10%
LIB4705.96%1.63%-0.01%
Other4907.08%1.45%0.00%
Total not D or R  40.14%-0.04

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5,8872.16%37.73%-0.20%
R8,1592.77%40.96%0.03%
NP3,7813.29%16.04%0.09%
IAP1,1593.89%4.19%0.05%
LIB591.90%0.43%0.00%
Other3718.22%0.66%0.03%
Total not D or R  21.31%0.17

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican121
Non-Partisan040
IAP040
LIB211
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican7140
Non-Partisan3180
IAP0201
LIB993
Other0192

In 20 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican13290
Non-Partisan9330
IAP1401
LIB18177
Other2373

In 39 districts (92.86%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over September.

As I write this, the polls have been open for 30 minutes. How many races will be decided by Non-Partisan and minor party voters? I’ll answer that question once the votes are finalized.

Non-Partisan and Minor Parties Continue Surge As Major Parties Continue To Lose Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

With a month remaining before election day, Nevada’s active voter registration rolls grew by over 60,000 during September. According to the data released by the secretary of state’s office, it appears many of these new voters are shunning the major parties opting to register as Non-Partisan or Other. What does this indicate for the general election, turnout and winners?

Once again, the Democratic Party lost voter share in all Congressional and state legislative districts. While the GOP recorded mostly loses in those as well, the party did gain in a small number of districts. Perhaps a bright spot for the GOP, they recorded a small gain in voter share among those 18 to 34 years of age, however over 40 percent of this age group are not affiliated with either major party.

In the state senate, there is now only one district, SD 15, where the percentage of Non-Partisans or those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party does not exceed or is within 5 percent of either major party. At the same time, the difference in the district between Democratic and Republican registration is less than one percent.

Remember too, some voter who do not want to affiliate with any party sometimes register to vote in the Independent American Party (IAP) assuming it is a party for independent voters and others register as “other” without indicating a minor party other than the IAP or Libertarian Party.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D15,0592.35%37.57%-0.45%
R18,1363.31%32.50%-0.08%
NP19,0414.88%23.48%0.29%
IAP3,3474.52%4.44%0.04%
LIB6834.17%0.98%0.01%
Other3,77526.62%1.03%0.19%
Total not D or R  29.93%0.53

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan.  

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D12,2402.49%40.94%-0.52%
R12,3263.64%28.49%-0.04%
NP14,0944.93%24.36%0.27%
IAP2,5225.06%4.25%0.05%
LIB4584.37%0.89%0.01%
Other3,18532.05%1.07%0.23%
Total not D or R  30.57%0.56

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,9971.96%35.19%-0.32%
R2,3302.28%35.52%-0.22%
NP3,0274.81%22.37%0.41%
IAP4753.71%4.50%0.04%
LIB1293.62%1.25%0.01%
Other33810.93%1.16%0.08%
Total not D or R  29.29%0.54

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8221.79%21.67%-0.32%
R3,4803.25%51.17%-0.03%
NP1,9204.65%19.99%0.26%
IAP3503.09%5.40%-0.01%
LIB964.10%1.13%0.01%
Other25221.89%0.65%0.10%
Total not D or R  27.16%0.36

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6,4423.62%38.55%-0.59%
R5,3435.55%21.27%0.07%
NP8,6155.88%32.43%0.21%
IAP1,3446.42%4.66%0.05%
LIB4445.97%1.65%0.01%
Other1,46626.88%1.45%0.25%
Total not D or R  40.18%0.52

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,4851.67%37.93%-0.25%
R6,2752.18%40.93%-0.06%
NP3,8923.51%15.94%0.18%
IAP8412.90%4.14%0.02%
LIB601.97%0.43%0.00%
Other85523.37%0.63%0.11%
Total not D or R  21.14%0.31

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.

The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not

indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted

as Non-Partisan

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican310
Non-Partisan040
IAP040
LIB022
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1461
Non-Partisan0210
IAP2190
LIB4107
Other0210

In 20 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a gain of one over August

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican29121
Non-Partisan0420
IAP2373
LIB82113
Other0420

In 38 districts (90.48%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over August.

Unlike the primary election where party affiliation determines which candidates you can vote for, affiliation does not affect a voter’s choice in the general. However, it is the voters registered as Non-Partisan, IAP, Libertarian, or Other who will determine the outcome.

Democratic Party Loses Voter Share Across the Board; Non-Partisan and Minor Parties Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

For the second consecutive month, the Democratic Party in August lost substantial voter share across all tracked demographics and in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts. The Republican Party fared slightly better losing share at a lower rate while recording slight increases in Clark County and among voters 18 to 24 years of age. Non-Partisan experienced gains comparable to Democratic loses. The big surprise was the gain by the smaller minor parties; double digit increases in raw number of voters and gain in voter share in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts.

Non-Partisan voters now top 23 percent statewide while voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican close in on 30 percent (just under 40 percent for voters 18 to 34 years of age). Also remember, it is an accepted assumption that more than one-half of those registered in the Independent American Party (IAP) are really Non-Partisans who thought they were registering as independents not in a highly conservative party.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D9,2741.47%38.02%-0.29%
R11,4412.13%32.58%-0.03%
NP11,7463.10%23.19%0.19%
IAP1,9332.68%4.40%0.02%
LIB3201.99%0.97%0.00%
Other2,13217.70%0.84%0.11%
Total not D or R  29.40%0.32

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D7,9981.65%41.45%-0.34%
R8,3862.54%28.53%0.02%
NP8,8733.20%24.09%0.17%
IAP1,4713.04%4.20%0.02%
LIB2212.15%0.88%0.00%
Other1,72020.93%0.84%0.13%
Total not D or R  30.01%0.32

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1911.18%35.52%-0.26%
R1,6831.67%35.74%-0.09%
NP1,8493.03%21.96%0.24%
IAP3342.68%4.47%0.03%
LIB702.00%1.24%0.00%
Other2629.26%1.08%0.07%
Total not D or R  28.75%0.34

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D850.18%21.99%-0.26%
R1,3721.30%51.20%-0.03%
NP1,0242.54%19.73%0.23%
IAP1281.14%5.41%-0.01%
LIB291.25%1.12%0.00%
Other15014.99%0.55%0.07%
Total not D or R  26.81%0.29

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,0741.76%39.14%-0.41%
R2,8343.03%21.20%0.04%
NP4,7903.38%32.22%0.17%
IAP6673.29%4.60%0.02%
LIB1862.57%1.64%0.00%
Other94420.93%1.20%0.18%
Total not D or R  39.66%0.37

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3411.26%38.18%-0.14%
R4,2881.51%40.99%-0.05%
NP2,6192.42%15.76%0.12%
IAP6042.13%4.12%0.02%
LIB331.10%0.43%0.00%
Other46814.67%0.52%0.06%
Total not D or R  20.83%0.20

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican211
Non-Partisan040
IAP040
LIB103
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1191
Non-Partisan0210
IAP3180
LIB957
Other0210

In 19 districts (90.48%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a gain of one over July

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican23181
Non-Partisan1410
IAP5334
LIB171411
Other0420

In 37 districts (88.10%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over July and two from June.

With early voting starting in just over six weeks, what this will mean for candidates will be worth watching.

Did Bernie Supporters Leave the Democratic Party

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Did Bernie Sanders supporters follow through on their threat to leave the Democratic Party? That question has to be asked given that in July, according to numbers released by the Nevada secretary of state, Democratic Party voter share dropped across all demographics, in all Congressional districts, and in all state legislative districts. At the same time, the share of voters registered as Non-Partisan increased in the same groups, the only difference being in one state assembly district.

The Democratic Party was not alone. The Republican Party also saw a drop in voter share across all demographics; Congressional districts and state legislative districts, but not as severe. Minor parties also saw a slight increase in voter share. The shift in July also returned the Republican Party’s lead in Washoe County, if only by 138 voters; 0.05% in voter share. 

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5,7180.92%38.31%-0.24%
R6,5801.24%32.61%-0.10%
NP10,9922.99%22.99%0.32%
IAP1,1261.59%4.38%0.00%
LIB4462.86%0.98%0.01%
Other2712.30%0.73%0.01%
Total not D or R  29.08%0.34

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,5860.54%41.79%-0.28%
R3,6641.12%28.51%-0.03%
NP6,7742.51%23.92%0.30%
IAP6121.28%4.18%0.00%
LIB1981.97%0.89%0.01%
Other490.60%0.71%0.00%
Total not D or R  29.70%0.31

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,1844.34%35.77%-0.31%
R4,4334.60%35.82%-0.22%
NP4,1437.28%21.72%0.41%
IAP7416.32%4.43%0.04%
LIB2798.68%1.24%0.04%
Other2369.10%1.01%0.04%
Total not D or R  28.41%0.53

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,052-2.24%22.25%-0.21%
R-1,517-1.41%51.23%-0.05%
NP750.19%19.50%0.29%
IAP-227-1.99%5.42%-0.04%
LIB-31-1.32%1.12%0.00%
Other-14-1.38%0.48%0.00%
Total not D or R  26.52%0.25

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,5081.46%39.55%-0.36%
R1,7601.92%21.16%-0.09%
NP5,0093.67%32.05%0.40%
IAP5552.82%4.58%0.02%
LIB2824.05%1.64%0.03%
Other1212.76%1.02%0.00%
Total not D or R  39.29%0.45

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3610.52%38.32%-0.14%
R2,2120.78%41.04%-0.04%
NP2,2632.13%15.64%0.19%
IAP2410.86%4.10%0.00%
LIB10.03%0.43%0.00%
Other431.37%0.46%0.00%
Total not D or R  20.63%0.19

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
Non-Partisan040
IAP013
LIB022
Other112

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1461
Non-Partisan0210
IAP8103
LIB3144
Other867

In 18 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican31101
Non-Partisan1410
IAP16206
LIB8268
Other161511

In 36 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over June.

If Bernie Sanders supporters did decide to leave the party, it should show in the August numbers.

2020 Primary Election – Record-Breaking Turnout

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

What impact did voters automatically receiving their ballot in the mail have on their decision to vote? Only a statewide poll of voters will give us that answer.

What we do know is that over 98 percent of ballots were returned by mail or drop-off. More importantly is the fact that voter participation (turnout) was unprecedented.

State-Wide Turnout

Year% Turnoutincrease vs 2016% increase vs 2016increase vs 2018% increase vs 2018
202030.16%11.62%62.68%7.29%31.82%
201618.54% 
201822.91% 

2020 Turnout by County

 TotalDemocraticRepublicanOther
Average38.76%41.00%45.82%21.97%
High50.25% Humboldt49.25% Douglas59.09% Humboldt30.47% Humboldt
Low27.76 Clark32.01% Clark33.32% Clark15.25% Clark

NOTE: Republican Party exceeded 50% turnout in Douglas, Humboldt, Lander, Storey, and White Pine Counties

Percent of Ballots Cast

YearDemocraticRepublicanOther
202043.40%40.16%15.81%
201642.81%48.13%9.05%
201844.47%43.55%11.99%

In 2020 races where we could track turnout:

Congressional

Race# ContestsAvgHighLow
Congressional835.56%40.81% CD2 – R24.39% CD1 – R
State Senate329.11%32.52% SD18 – D24.45% SD11 – R
State Assembly2631.24%43.37% AD40 – D19.35% AD14 – D
Judicial2424.51%30.35% Dist 2  Dept 1123.06% Dist 8 Fam Div Y

These percentages show similar increases to the statewide totals.

Will the general election show a similar increase in turnout or a return to normal; 75 – 80 percent? How will the voting method; continue all mail ballots or return to normal in-person voting impact turnout? We’ll know in four months.

Washoe Does Maintenance; Voter Share Changes Mixed, Impact of Same-Day Registration

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Was hoping to see the impact of same-day registration with the release of June voter registration numbers, but Washoe County was able to do their routine voter roll maintenance. This caused the overall number of active registered voters to decline leaving changes to voter share mixed.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,378-0.54%38.55%0.03%
R-4,393-0.82%32.71%-0.07%
NP-1,067-0.29%22.67%0.07%
IAP-406-0.57%4.38%0.00%
LIB-252-1.59%0.96%-0.01%
Other-426-3.49%0.73%-0.02%
Total not D or R  28.74%0.05

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,8031.01%42.07%-0.05%
R2,7540.85%28.54%-0.08%
NP4,2821.61%23.62%0.11%
IAP7211.53%4.18%0.02%
LIB1451.46%0.88%0.00%
Other640.79%0.71%0.00%
Total not D or R  29.39%0.13

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-8,303-7.93%36.08%0.16%
R-7,734-7.44%36.04%0.35%
NP-6,157-9.76%21.31%-0.34%
IAP-1,194-9.24%4.39%-0.04%
LIB-423-11.62%1.20%-0.04%
Other-495-16.03%0.97%-0.09%
Total not D or R  27.39%-0.51

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1220.26%22.45%-0.12%
R5870.55%51.27%-0.12%
NP8082.05%19.21%0.24%
IAP670.59%5.46%-0.01%
LIB261.12%1.12%0.00%
Other50.50%0.48%0.00%
Total not D or R  26.27%0.23

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,224-0.71%39.91%0.15%
R-1,997-2.13%21.25%-0.23%
NP-992-0.72%31.65%0.11%
IAP-128-0.65%4.56%0.02%
LIB-143-2.01%1.61%-0.02%
Other-209-4.55%1.02%-0.04%
Total not D or R  38.84%0.07

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,162-0.44%38.47%-0.01%
R-1,327-0.47%41.09%-0.02%
NP-115-0.11%15.45%0.05%
IAP-171-0.60%4.10%-0.01%
LIB-38-1.25%0.44%0.00%
Other-88-2.72%0.46%-0.01%
Total not D or R  20.44%0.03

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican310
Non-Partisan130
IAP130
LIB112
Other103

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1641
Republican1740
Non-Partisan4170
IAP6132
LIB867
Other10110

In 18 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of two over last month.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3183
Republican3660
Non-Partisan7350
IAP13227
LIB151413
Other23712

In 35 districts (83.33%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

We may have to wait to see the impact of same-day voter registration until the August numbers are released as list maintenance is due to be performed by the remining 16 counties this month. In addition to this, how many voters who maintained party affiliation or affiliated with a party to vote in the primary will change to Non-Partisan as the partisan divisiveness appears to be growing?

GOP Posts Voter Share Gains in Lead-Up to Primary

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

Given what has happened in recent months, voter registration numbers for May show something different. The Republican Party not only posted voter share gains across all tracked demographics; the Democratic Party and Non-Partisan lost share while minor parties held even, they also led in rate of raw voter increase

.  Given that May is the lead-up month to the state and local primary election, is this an indication of interest in some of the legislative races? As of June 1st, the Republican Party also leads in turnout, 19 percent to 17 percent. Or, to play devil’s advocate, could some strategic voting be happening?  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,3540.38%38.52%-0.04%
R3,8700.73%32.78%0.08%
NP1,3890.38%22.60%-0.03%
IAP2960.42%4.38%0.00%
LIB520.33%0.97%0.00%
Other30.02%0.75%0.00%
Total not D or R  28.70%-0.03

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,2310.47%42.12%-0.04%
R2,5040.78%28.62%0.06%
NP1,3260.50%23.51%-0.02%
IAP2990.64%4.16%0.00%
LIB410.42%0.88%0.00%
Other160.20%0.72%0.00%
Total not D or R  29.26%-0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1430.14%35.92%-0.03%
R3440.33%35.69%0.04%
NP1130.18%21.65%-0.01%
IAP160.12%4.43%0.00%
LIB110.30%1.25%0.00%
Other-3-0.10%1.06%0.00%
Total not D or R  28.39%-0.01

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-20-0.04%22.57%-0.11%
R1,0220.97%51.39%0.26%
NP-50-0.13%18.97%-0.11%
IAP-19-0.17%5.47%-0.03%
LIB00.00%1.11%0.00%
Other-10-0.98%0.49%-0.01%
Total not D or R  26.04%-0.15

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3210.19%39.76%-0.06%
R6640.71%21.48%0.08%
NP3430.25%31.53%-0.02%
IAP760.38%4.54%0.00%
LIB50.07%1.63%0.00%
Other10.02%1.05%0.00%
Total not D or R  38.76%-0.02

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,2870.49%38.47%-0.03%
R2,1010.75%41.11%0.08%
NP3420.32%15.40%-0.04%
IAP830.29%4.10%-0.01%
LIB70.23%0.44%0.00%
Other-10-0.31%0.47%0.00%
Total not D or R  20.42%-0.05

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican040
Non-Partisan301
IAP112
LIB004
Other103

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1920
Republican1182
Non-Partisan1542
IAP678
LIB759
Other9210

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3561
Republican6342
Non-Partisan25116
IAP14217
LIB171015
Other17322

In 35 districts (83.33%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

We are into the final week of early voting. Indications are that use of same-day registration is light and probably won’t impact voter share in June. What will be interesting to see is the turnout by party and whether the favorites win or there are some dark-horse surprises.