AB 126 to replace the major party caucuses with a presidential preference primary was introduced on Feb 15, 2021. The bill is sponsored by Assemblyman Jason Frierson, Assemblywoman Teresa Benitez-Thompson, and Assemblywoman Brittney Miller.
The primary will be used to “…determine the preferences of the registered voters of a major political party regarding the party’s nominee for President of the United States.” (Sec.1)
Delegates selected by the party to their national convention “…must reasonably reflect the results of the presidential preference primary election if one has been held for the party.” (Sec. 5)
The bill requires the primary to be the first nominating event in the among the 13 western states. (Sec. 43) It will actually be the first in the nation.
Clearly, the intent is for Nevada to have a major impact on the nomination process of both major political party presidential candidates.
Section 1 of the bill clearly states the winner should reflect the preference of the registered voters of each party. I’m sure the desire and priority of the party is for the party’s nominee to have the broadest support, to unite the party behind the candidate, and to avoid intra-party conflict during the nominating process.
Section 5 clearly directs the party to select delegates to their national convention who represent that preference.
However, given the timing of the primary and the potential for numerous candidates at that particular time in the process, Section 46 of the bill creates a high likelihood that the winner of the primary; the winner of the state’s national convention delegates, will actually be a candidate with a small plurality of primary votes not meeting the desired outcome of Section 1; “Such a registered voter may vote for only one qualified candidate on the ballot as the voter’s preference for the nominee for President of the United States for the party.”
The Nevada Democratic Party was highly successful in overcoming this potential outcome during the early voting process of the nominating caucus last February. Party members were allowed to rank their candidate preferences in order, ensuring, should their preferred candidate not be viable, their voice would still be heard. Party members who participated in caucus early voting overwhelmingly liked this system and found it easy. Using a similar process in a crowded primary field would ensure the goal or section 1 would be achieved.
Please contact Speaker Frierson; via email Jason.frierson@asm.state.nv.us or phone 775-684-8537 and urge him, in the name of party unity and cohesion, to allow party members to rank candidates in order of preference so the winner of the primary (and the state’s delegates) truly reflect the desire of a majority of party voters.
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
For a reason most likely associated with the challenges to the presidential election, voter registration data for December 2020 was delayed, posted on February 1, 2021 along with the January 2021 numbers. While the state saw a decline in the number of active registered voters both months, the voter share trends showed no signs of abating. Voters continued to leave both the Democratic and Republican Party across all tracked demographics, choosing to register as either Non-Partisan or in a minor political party. The tables below, which reflect the changes as of January 31, 2021 will also show the change for 2020.
With the start of the Nevada legislative session, it is also important to note that as of the end of January 2021, all state senate districts and 41 of the 42 state assembly districts now fall into our category of non-major party voter share being within five percent or exceeding the voter share of at least one of the major political parties.
State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
% Change for 2020
D
-14,307
-2.14%
36.43%
-0.21%
-1.66%
R
-14,730
-2.49%
32.05%
-0.30%
-0.90%
NP
-3,834
-0.87%
24.26%
0.17%
1.93%
IAP
-348
-0.42%
4.57%
0.05%
0.05%
LIB
-262
-1.47%
0.98%
0.00%
-0.04%
Other
4,530
17.25%
1.71%
0.28%
0.62%
Total not D or R
31.52%
0.50%
2.56%
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others. The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted as Non-Partisan.
Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
% Change for 2020
D
-13,210
-2.58%
39.70%
-0.23%
-2.02%
R
-11,213
-3.07%
28.15%
-0.31%
-0.61%
NP
-4,504
-1.41%
25.05%
0.15%
1.87%
IAP
-420
-0.75%
4.40%
0.06%
0.11%
LIB
-273
-2.44%
0.87%
0.00%
-0.05%
Other
3,808
19.77%
1.83%
0.33%
0.71%
Total not D or R
32.15%
0.54%
2.63%
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others. The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted as Non-Partisan
Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
% Change for 2020
D
-120
-0.11%
34.39%
-0.13%
-0.65%
R
-952
-0.87%
34.54%
-0.40%
-1.48%
NP
1,242
1.71%
23.47%
0.33%
1.65%
IAP
134
0.94%
4.60%
0.03%
4.57%
LIB
41
1.03%
1.28%
0.01%
1.28%
Other
496
10.15%
1.71%
0.15%
1.56%
Total not D or R
31.07%
0.52%
2.12%
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others. The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted as Non-Partisan
Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
% Change for 2020
D
-977
-2.04%
20.92%
-0.06%
-1.57%
R
-2,565
-2.22%
50.45%
-0.24%
-1.12%
NP
-572
-1.20%
20.96%
0.11%
2.55%
IAP
-62
-0.50%
5.44%
0.07%
0.07%
LIB
-30
-1.15%
1.14%
0.01%
0.01%
Other
226
10.73%
0.81%
0.12%
0.12%
Total not D or R
28.63%
0.31%
2.69%
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others. The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted as Non-Partisan
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
% Change for 2020
D
-6,068
-3.16%
37.20%
-0.30%
-1.66%
R
-3,747
-3.41%
21.19%
-0.23%
-0.73%
NP
-3,213
-1.91%
32.95%
0.16%
1.69%
IAP
-537
-2.21%
4.74%
0.01%
0.07%
LIB
-237
-2.85%
1.62%
-0.01%
-0.12%
Other
1,626
16.35%
2.31%
0.37%
0.75%
Total not D or R
41.61%
0.53%
2.40%
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others. The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted as Non-Partisan
55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
% Change for 2020
D
-3,906
-1.42%
37.12%
-0.12%
-1.13%
R
-6,160
-2.04%
40.39%
-0.39%
-0.54%
NP
443
0.36%
16.68%
0.24%
1.29%
IAP
314
1.01%
4.29%
0.09%
0.01%
LIB
10
0.31%
0.44%
0.01%
-0.03%
Other
1,176
17.51%
1.08%
0.17%
0.40%
Total not D or R
22.49%
0.51%
1.68%
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others. The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted as Non-Partisan
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
4
0
0
Non-Partisan
0
4
0
IAP
0
4
0
LIB
1
1
2
Other
0
4
0
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
21
0
0
Republican
21
0
0
Non-Partisan
1
20
0
IAP
3
18
0
LIB
8
9
4
Other
0
21
0
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
40
1
1
Republican
40
2
0
Non-Partisan
2
40
0
IAP
8
33
1
LIB
15
16
11
Other
0
42
0
In 41 districts (97.62%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over December.
With the legislative session set to act on issues that usually show a high degree of partisanship, will Democratic and Republican legislators keep voter affiliation in mind, especially when they tackle Constitutionally mandated redistricting in a special session immediately following adjournment of the regular session in June?
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
How can a candidate or candidates (in multi-winner races) win when more voters voted for other candidates? In what is commonly referred to as “first past the post” (FPTP) elections, the election method most commonly used throughout the United States, it happens all the time.
A widely held perception is that if the winner has the most votes that means they received a majority of votes. Most voters would be upset if they realized the winner or winners actually received less than a majority, sometimes far less.
During the 2020 election cycle; primary election in June and general election in November, 69 races in Nevada (20 general, 49 primary) were won by candidates who did not get a majority of the votes; more votes cast against them, or who, in multi-winner races, did not receive enough votes so that no other candidate could not have beaten them. The low number of votes needed to win is especially noticeable in local races. (See tables below)
If you believe this is wrong, that the winner of any election should always have the majority of votes or enough votes in a multi-winner race to not be able to be beaten, it can be changed. By allowing voters to vote for more than one candidate, marking their ballot in order of preference for each candidate; first choice, second choice, third choice, and so on, ranked choice voting (RCV) ensures only the candidate(s) receiving a majority of the votes or meeting the required threshold in multi-winner elections are elected.
What about those 69 races? The tables below show for both the general and primary election, the race, the number of seats being filled, the number of candidates, the percent of the vote received by the winner(s), and under RCV, the percentage needed to win. For seats where there was only one winner, this is 50 percent plus one vote. For multi-winner races the percentage required ensures no other candidate could have enough votes to win. Percentages in red met the RCV threshold meaning the candidate would have won if RCV had been used.
More information about this process and how you can get involved to ensure those we elect to represent us at all levels of government have the broadest support can be found here, here, and here.
General Election
Race
Number of Seats
Number of Candidates
Winner Percent of Vote Received
Percent Required to Win (+1)
CD 3
1
4
48.75
50
SD 5
1
3
48.75
50
Wells City Council
3
8
24.28 17.42 15.47
25
West Wendover City Council
2
4
29.1 28.24
33
Elko City Council
2
4
33.9 28.54
33
Crescent Valley Town Advisory Board
3
4
31.04 28.02 22.53
25
Winnemucca City Council
1
3
45.54
50
North Lyon County Fire District Director
3
6
22.18 19.28 16.16
25
Fernley Swimming Pool District Director
3
5
22.66 22.59 22.31
25
Mineral County Commission Seat B
1
3
41.71
50
Amargosa Valley Town Board
3
5
24.13 21.95 21.23
25
Lovelock Meadows Water District Trustee
2
4
33.61 28.56
33
Incline Village GED
3
6
21.88 20.96 19.85
25
Palomino Valley GID
3
6
22.53 20.76 17.85
25
Laughlin Town Advisory Board
5
10
13.12 12.9 12.39 11.09 10.14
17
Skyland GID
5
8
15.3 13.7 12.9 12.21 11.87
17
Topaz Ranch Estates GID
2
4
30.63 27.42
33
Indian Hills GID
3
4
30.27 27.32 24.52
25
Minden-Gardnerville Sanitation District
3
4
38.8 25.44 23.26
25
Round Hill GID
3
4
34.93 34.5 19.36
25
Primary Election
Race
Number of Seats
Number of Candidates
Winner Percent of Vote Received
Percent Required to Win (+1)
CD 1 Republican
1
4
35.65
50
CD 2 Democratic
1
7
48.9
50
CD 3 Republican
1
6
49.82
50
CD 4 Republican
1
8
34.75
50
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 11 Family Div
2
3
44.96 31.35
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 2
2
3
39.69 32.02
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 5
2
4
40.57 29.34
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 19
2
3
45.52 29.28
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 21
2
4
37.51 30.05
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 23
2
4
34.21 32.35
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept 24
2
5
32.13 23.41
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept I Family Div
2
3
42.37 32.13
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept M Family Div
2
4
32.51 28.24
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept T Family Div
2
3
46.2 32.37
33
District Court Judge Dist 8 Dept Z Family Div
2
4
40.86 24.01
33
AD 2 Democratic
1
4
35.76
50
AD 2 Republican
1
5
47.88
50
AD 5 Republican
1
3
49.6
50
AD 7 Democratic
1
3
38.27
50
AD 18 Democratic
1
4
39.43
50
AD 20 Democratic
1
4
46.47
50
AD 37 Republican
1
4
48.98
50
AD 40 Democratic
1
3
47.09
50
Board of Regents Dist 3
2
4
31.44 23.79
33
Board of Regents Dist 10
2
5
28.36 21.86
33
State Board of Education Dist 1
2
5
37.69 23.97
33
Carson City Board of Supervisors Ward 2
2
4
34.69 30.88
33
Clark County Commission Dist C Democratic
1
6
38.28
50
Clark County Commission Dist D Democratic
1
7
42.66
50
Clark County School District A
2
8
26.09 18.97
33
Clark County School District B
2
8
23.92 18.69
33
Clark County School District C
2
7
21.08 20.34
33
Clark County School District E
2
7
21.6 17.5
33
Indian Hills GID
4
5
30.97 20.95 18.46 15.29
20
Topaz Ranch Estates GID
4
4
22.51 16.27 15.5 14.75
20
Humboldt County Commission Seat A Republican
1
3
44.42
50
Humboldt County Commission Seat B Republican
1
5
38.56
50
Lander County Commission Dist 4 Republican
1
4
31.51
50
North Lyon County Fire District Dir
6
7
21.42 18.34 16.7 12.73 12.17 10.74
15
Fernley City Council Ward 2
2
4
31.86 30.7
33
Fernley City Council Ward 5
2
4
44.95 24.2
33
Nye County Commission Dist 1 Republican
1
5
27.25
50
Nye County Commission Dist 3 Republican
1
4
39.44
50
Nye County School District Area VI
2
4
43.79 23.5
33
Washoe County School District G
2
5
43.6 24.43
33
Palomino Valley GID
6
7
19.39 19.3 17.22 15.52 13.15 10.6
15
Reno City Council At Large
2
4
48 29.95
33
Sparks City Council Ward 3
2
5
44.49 19.27
33
Washoe County School District A
2
5
33.35 22.97
33
For Judicial races, if a candidate receives over 50 percent in the primary, they advance to the general election unopposed. If no candidate receives 50 percent, the top two advance to the general election
For Nonpartisan races, if a candidate receives over 50 percent in the primary, they are elected and do not appear on the general election ballot. If no candidate receives 50 percent, the top two advance to the general election
In the primary election for multi-seat races, if the number of candidates is more than twice the number of seats being contested, the number of candidates advancing to the general election is twice the number of seats available.
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
The general election is behind us; however, the partisan rhetoric continues. Also continuing, voters are abandoning both the Democratic and Republican Parties. Voter registration numbers for November, which include same-day registrations, saw the two major parties once again lose voter share across all tracked data points; statewide, Clark County, Washoe, County, the rural counties as a whole and individually, among voters 18 to 34 years of age and those 55 and older, in all Congressional districts, all state senate districts, and all but one state assembly district.
While all parties gain voters, growth in both the Democratic and Republican Party is over-shadowed by that of Non-Partisan and “other”.
Given the closeness of voter share in almost all legislative districts, the importance for candidates to gain the votes of those voters becomes key to victory. A comparison of election results and registration showed non-major party voters played a deciding role in five of the seven contested state senate races, eight of the 31 contested state assembly races, and in six of 20 contested county commission races.
State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
9,693
1.43%
36.93%
-0.36%
R
10,386
1.75%
32.29%
-0.21%
NP
17,448
4.05%
24.02%
0.38%
IAP
2,133
2.59%
4.52%
0.01%
LIB
507
2.84%
0.98%
0.00%
Other
4,028
20.80%
1.25%
0.19%
Total not D or R
30.78%
0.58
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan.
Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
8,184
1.56%
40.19%
-0.39%
R
6,917
1.87%
28.43%
-0.19%
NP
13,063
4.13%
24.85%
0.38%
IAP
1,552
2.76%
4.36%
0.01%
LIB
339
2.97%
0.89%
0.00%
Other
2,848
20.20%
1.28%
0.19%
Total not D or R
31.38%
0.58
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
1,181
1.10%
34.65%
-0.42%
R
1,547
1.43%
35.02%
-0.31%
NP
2,978
4.31%
23.04%
0.44%
IAP
303
2.17%
4.55%
-0.01%
LIB
108
2.78%
1.27%
0.01%
Other
966
26.55%
1.47%
0.28%
Total not D or R
30.33%
0.72
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
328
0.69%
21.14%
-0.25%
R
1,922
1.68%
50.93%
-0.10%
NP
1,407
3.10%
20.55%
0.24%
IAP
278
2.30%
5.44%
0.02%
LIB
60
2.36%
1.14%
0.01%
Other
214
13.16%
0.81%
0.08%
Total not D or R
27.94%
0.35
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
4,625
2.36%
37.84%
-0.48%
R
3,605
3.28%
21.46%
-0.08%
NP
7,772
4.71%
32.63%
0.33%
IAP
848
3.49%
4.75%
-0.01%
LIB
290
3.47%
1.63%
0.00%
Other
1,554
20.97%
1.69%
0.24%
Total not D or R
40.70%
0.56
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
2,056
0.74%
37.49%
-0.24%
R
2,695
0.89%
40.75%
-0.20%
NP
3,880
3.27%
16.33%
0.30%
IAP
523
1.69%
4.20%
0.01%
LIB
59
1.87%
0.43%
0.00%
Other
1,046
21.42%
0.79%
0.13%
Total not D or R
21.75%
0.44
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
4
0
0
Non-Partisan
0
4
0
IAP
0
2
2
LIB
0
2
2
Other
0
4
0
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
21
0
0
Republican
21
0
0
Non-Partisan
0
21
0
IAP
6
14
1
LIB
2
9
10
Other
1
20
0
In 20 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
42
0
0
Republican
41
1
0
Non-Partisan
0
42
0
IAP
12
23
7
LIB
8
18
16
Other
0
42
0
In 40 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over October.
Those who read this report each month know this is not unusual but rather the norm. Statewide the percent of voters not registered in one of the major parties is less than two percent shy of total GOP share. In Clark County that number is greater than GOP share. In the rural counties, in all but Carson City, either Non-Partisan or total not major party affiliated exceeds Democratic Party voter share. And among voters 18 to 34 years of age Non-Partisan share is greater than the percent of voters registered as Republican and the total not major party affiliated has the highest share.
What message is being perceived by the Democratic and Republican Party leadership given the multi-year trend? What, if anything, can the major parties do to reverse it? Or do they need to accept it and legislatively broaden the rules to ensure the voters in this continuously growing segment can have full participation?
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
With nearly 79,000 new active voters (including some of the approximately 14,000 who registered same day at the polls), October voter registration numbers show nothing new when it comes to voter share trends.
While the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share across the board, the Republican Party registered two bright spots, a gain in voter share in Clark County and among voters 18 to 34 years of age. Outside a near corresponding drop in Non-Partisan voter share in the 18 to 34-year-old group, Non-Partisan and minor parties continue their advance. Again, just how many Independent American Party and “other” with no party indicated should be added to the Non-Partisan total is an unanswered question but the informed assumption is many.
Another interesting occurrence is the continued Democratic Party loss of voter share in all Congressional and state legislative districts. With only one state senate district and three state assembly districts falling outside our five-percent difference between major party and non-major party voter share, will this have any impact on the upcoming legislative session even if the Democratic Party maintains its super-majority in the assembly and adds the senate?
State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
24,608
3.76%
37.30%
-0.28%
R
25,651
4.53%
32.50%
0.00%
NP
21,510
5.26%
23.64%
0.16%
IAP
4,932
6.38%
4.52%
0.08%
LIB
766
4.49%
0.98%
0.00%
Other
1,412
7.86%
1.06%
0.03%
Total not D or R
30.20%
0.27
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan.
Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
20,123
3.99%
40.58%
-0.36%
R
18,893
5.38%
28.62%
0.13%
NP
16,133
5.38%
24.47%
0.11%
IAP
3,838
7.33%
4.35%
0.10%
LIB
476
4.35%
0.88%
0.00%
Other
979
7.46%
1.09%
0.03%
Total not D or R
30.80%
0.24
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
3,523
3.40%
35.07%
-0.13%
R
3,345
3.19%
35.32%
-0.20%
NP
3,201
4.85%
22.60%
0.23%
IAP
662
4.99%
4.55%
0.05%
LIB
188
5.09%
1.27%
0.02%
Other
210
6.12%
1.19%
0.03%
Total not D or R
29.61%
0.33
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
962
2.05%
21.39%
-0.28%
R
3,413
3.08%
51.02%
-0.15%
NP
2,176
5.03%
20.31%
0.32%
IAP
432
3.70%
5.42%
0.02%
LIB
102
4.19%
1.14%
0.01%
Other
223
15.89%
0.73%
0.08%
Total not D or R
27.59%
0.43
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
11,465
6.22%
38.32%
-0.23%
R
8,334
8.20%
21.54%
0.27%
NP
9,975
6.43%
32.30%
-0.13%
IAP
2,041
9.17%
4.76%
0.10%
LIB
470
5.96%
1.63%
-0.01%
Other
490
7.08%
1.45%
0.00%
Total not D or R
40.14%
-0.04
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
5,887
2.16%
37.73%
-0.20%
R
8,159
2.77%
40.96%
0.03%
NP
3,781
3.29%
16.04%
0.09%
IAP
1,159
3.89%
4.19%
0.05%
LIB
59
1.90%
0.43%
0.00%
Other
371
8.22%
0.66%
0.03%
Total not D or R
21.31%
0.17
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
1
2
1
Non-Partisan
0
4
0
IAP
0
4
0
LIB
2
1
1
Other
0
4
0
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
21
0
0
Republican
7
14
0
Non-Partisan
3
18
0
IAP
0
20
1
LIB
9
9
3
Other
0
19
2
In 20 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
42
0
0
Republican
13
29
0
Non-Partisan
9
33
0
IAP
1
40
1
LIB
18
17
7
Other
2
37
3
In 39 districts (92.86%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over September.
As I write this, the polls have been open for 30 minutes. How many races will be decided by Non-Partisan and minor party voters? I’ll answer that question once the votes are finalized.
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
With a month remaining before election day, Nevada’s active voter registration rolls grew by over 60,000 during September. According to the data released by the secretary of state’s office, it appears many of these new voters are shunning the major parties opting to register as Non-Partisan or Other. What does this indicate for the general election, turnout and winners?
Once again, the Democratic Party lost voter share in all Congressional and state legislative districts. While the GOP recorded mostly loses in those as well, the party did gain in a small number of districts. Perhaps a bright spot for the GOP, they recorded a small gain in voter share among those 18 to 34 years of age, however over 40 percent of this age group are not affiliated with either major party.
In the state senate, there is now only one district, SD 15, where the percentage of Non-Partisans or those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party does not exceed or is within 5 percent of either major party. At the same time, the difference in the district between Democratic and Republican registration is less than one percent.
Remember too, some voter who do not want to affiliate with any party sometimes register to vote in the Independent American Party (IAP) assuming it is a party for independent voters and others register as “other” without indicating a minor party other than the IAP or Libertarian Party.
State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
15,059
2.35%
37.57%
-0.45%
R
18,136
3.31%
32.50%
-0.08%
NP
19,041
4.88%
23.48%
0.29%
IAP
3,347
4.52%
4.44%
0.04%
LIB
683
4.17%
0.98%
0.01%
Other
3,775
26.62%
1.03%
0.19%
Total not D or R
29.93%
0.53
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan.
Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
12,240
2.49%
40.94%
-0.52%
R
12,326
3.64%
28.49%
-0.04%
NP
14,094
4.93%
24.36%
0.27%
IAP
2,522
5.06%
4.25%
0.05%
LIB
458
4.37%
0.89%
0.01%
Other
3,185
32.05%
1.07%
0.23%
Total not D or R
30.57%
0.56
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
1,997
1.96%
35.19%
-0.32%
R
2,330
2.28%
35.52%
-0.22%
NP
3,027
4.81%
22.37%
0.41%
IAP
475
3.71%
4.50%
0.04%
LIB
129
3.62%
1.25%
0.01%
Other
338
10.93%
1.16%
0.08%
Total not D or R
29.29%
0.54
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
822
1.79%
21.67%
-0.32%
R
3,480
3.25%
51.17%
-0.03%
NP
1,920
4.65%
19.99%
0.26%
IAP
350
3.09%
5.40%
-0.01%
LIB
96
4.10%
1.13%
0.01%
Other
252
21.89%
0.65%
0.10%
Total not D or R
27.16%
0.36
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
6,442
3.62%
38.55%
-0.59%
R
5,343
5.55%
21.27%
0.07%
NP
8,615
5.88%
32.43%
0.21%
IAP
1,344
6.42%
4.66%
0.05%
LIB
444
5.97%
1.65%
0.01%
Other
1,466
26.88%
1.45%
0.25%
Total not D or R
40.18%
0.52
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
4,485
1.67%
37.93%
-0.25%
R
6,275
2.18%
40.93%
-0.06%
NP
3,892
3.51%
15.94%
0.18%
IAP
841
2.90%
4.14%
0.02%
LIB
60
1.97%
0.43%
0.00%
Other
855
23.37%
0.63%
0.11%
Total not D or R
21.14%
0.31
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
3
1
0
Non-Partisan
0
4
0
IAP
0
4
0
LIB
0
2
2
Other
0
4
0
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
21
0
0
Republican
14
6
1
Non-Partisan
0
21
0
IAP
2
19
0
LIB
4
10
7
Other
0
21
0
In 20 districts (95.24%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a gain of one over August
State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
42
0
0
Republican
29
12
1
Non-Partisan
0
42
0
IAP
2
37
3
LIB
8
21
13
Other
0
42
0
In 38 districts (90.48%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over August.
Unlike the primary election where party affiliation determines which candidates you can vote for, affiliation does not affect a voter’s choice in the general. However, it is the voters registered as Non-Partisan, IAP, Libertarian, or Other who will determine the outcome.
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
For the second consecutive month, the Democratic Party in August lost substantial voter share across all tracked demographics and in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts. The Republican Party fared slightly better losing share at a lower rate while recording slight increases in Clark County and among voters 18 to 24 years of age. Non-Partisan experienced gains comparable to Democratic loses. The big surprise was the gain by the smaller minor parties; double digit increases in raw number of voters and gain in voter share in all Congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts.
Non-Partisan voters now top 23 percent statewide while voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican close in on 30 percent (just under 40 percent for voters 18 to 34 years of age). Also remember, it is an accepted assumption that more than one-half of those registered in the Independent American Party (IAP) are really Non-Partisans who thought they were registering as independents not in a highly conservative party.
State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
9,274
1.47%
38.02%
-0.29%
R
11,441
2.13%
32.58%
-0.03%
NP
11,746
3.10%
23.19%
0.19%
IAP
1,933
2.68%
4.40%
0.02%
LIB
320
1.99%
0.97%
0.00%
Other
2,132
17.70%
0.84%
0.11%
Total not D or R
29.40%
0.32
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
7,998
1.65%
41.45%
-0.34%
R
8,386
2.54%
28.53%
0.02%
NP
8,873
3.20%
24.09%
0.17%
IAP
1,471
3.04%
4.20%
0.02%
LIB
221
2.15%
0.88%
0.00%
Other
1,720
20.93%
0.84%
0.13%
Total not D or R
30.01%
0.32
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
1,191
1.18%
35.52%
-0.26%
R
1,683
1.67%
35.74%
-0.09%
NP
1,849
3.03%
21.96%
0.24%
IAP
334
2.68%
4.47%
0.03%
LIB
70
2.00%
1.24%
0.00%
Other
262
9.26%
1.08%
0.07%
Total not D or R
28.75%
0.34
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
85
0.18%
21.99%
-0.26%
R
1,372
1.30%
51.20%
-0.03%
NP
1,024
2.54%
19.73%
0.23%
IAP
128
1.14%
5.41%
-0.01%
LIB
29
1.25%
1.12%
0.00%
Other
150
14.99%
0.55%
0.07%
Total not D or R
26.81%
0.29
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
3,074
1.76%
39.14%
-0.41%
R
2,834
3.03%
21.20%
0.04%
NP
4,790
3.38%
32.22%
0.17%
IAP
667
3.29%
4.60%
0.02%
LIB
186
2.57%
1.64%
0.00%
Other
944
20.93%
1.20%
0.18%
Total not D or R
39.66%
0.37
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other
55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
3,341
1.26%
38.18%
-0.14%
R
4,288
1.51%
40.99%
-0.05%
NP
2,619
2.42%
15.76%
0.12%
IAP
604
2.13%
4.12%
0.02%
LIB
33
1.10%
0.43%
0.00%
Other
468
14.67%
0.52%
0.06%
Total not D or R
20.83%
0.20
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
2
1
1
Non-Partisan
0
4
0
IAP
0
4
0
LIB
1
0
3
Other
0
4
0
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
21
0
0
Republican
11
9
1
Non-Partisan
0
21
0
IAP
3
18
0
LIB
9
5
7
Other
0
21
0
In 19 districts (90.48%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is a gain of one over July
State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
42
0
0
Republican
23
18
1
Non-Partisan
1
41
0
IAP
5
33
4
LIB
17
14
11
Other
0
42
0
In 37 districts (88.10%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over July and two from June.
With early voting starting in just over six weeks, what this will mean for candidates will be worth watching.
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
Did Bernie Sanders supporters follow through on their threat to leave the Democratic Party? That question has to be asked given that in July, according to numbers released by the Nevada secretary of state, Democratic Party voter share dropped across all demographics, in all Congressional districts, and in all state legislative districts. At the same time, the share of voters registered as Non-Partisan increased in the same groups, the only difference being in one state assembly district.
The Democratic Party was not alone. The Republican Party also saw a drop in voter share across all demographics; Congressional districts and state legislative districts, but not as severe. Minor parties also saw a slight increase in voter share. The shift in July also returned the Republican Party’s lead in Washoe County, if only by 138 voters; 0.05% in voter share.
State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
5,718
0.92%
38.31%
-0.24%
R
6,580
1.24%
32.61%
-0.10%
NP
10,992
2.99%
22.99%
0.32%
IAP
1,126
1.59%
4.38%
0.00%
LIB
446
2.86%
0.98%
0.01%
Other
271
2.30%
0.73%
0.01%
Total not D or R
29.08%
0.34
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
2,586
0.54%
41.79%
-0.28%
R
3,664
1.12%
28.51%
-0.03%
NP
6,774
2.51%
23.92%
0.30%
IAP
612
1.28%
4.18%
0.00%
LIB
198
1.97%
0.89%
0.01%
Other
49
0.60%
0.71%
0.00%
Total not D or R
29.70%
0.31
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
4,184
4.34%
35.77%
-0.31%
R
4,433
4.60%
35.82%
-0.22%
NP
4,143
7.28%
21.72%
0.41%
IAP
741
6.32%
4.43%
0.04%
LIB
279
8.68%
1.24%
0.04%
Other
236
9.10%
1.01%
0.04%
Total not D or R
28.41%
0.53
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
-1,052
-2.24%
22.25%
-0.21%
R
-1,517
-1.41%
51.23%
-0.05%
NP
75
0.19%
19.50%
0.29%
IAP
-227
-1.99%
5.42%
-0.04%
LIB
-31
-1.32%
1.12%
0.00%
Other
-14
-1.38%
0.48%
0.00%
Total not D or R
26.52%
0.25
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
2,508
1.46%
39.55%
-0.36%
R
1,760
1.92%
21.16%
-0.09%
NP
5,009
3.67%
32.05%
0.40%
IAP
555
2.82%
4.58%
0.02%
LIB
282
4.05%
1.64%
0.03%
Other
121
2.76%
1.02%
0.00%
Total not D or R
39.29%
0.45
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other
55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
1,361
0.52%
38.32%
-0.14%
R
2,212
0.78%
41.04%
-0.04%
NP
2,263
2.13%
15.64%
0.19%
IAP
241
0.86%
4.10%
0.00%
LIB
1
0.03%
0.43%
0.00%
Other
43
1.37%
0.46%
0.00%
Total not D or R
20.63%
0.19
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
4
0
0
Non-Partisan
0
4
0
IAP
0
1
3
LIB
0
2
2
Other
1
1
2
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
21
0
0
Republican
14
6
1
Non-Partisan
0
21
0
IAP
8
10
3
LIB
3
14
4
Other
8
6
7
In 18 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
42
0
0
Republican
31
10
1
Non-Partisan
1
41
0
IAP
16
20
6
LIB
8
26
8
Other
16
15
11
In 36 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over June.
If Bernie Sanders supporters did decide to leave the party, it should show in the August numbers.
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
What impact did voters automatically receiving their ballot in the mail have on their decision to vote? Only a statewide poll of voters will give us that answer.
What we do know is that over 98 percent of ballots were returned by mail or drop-off. More importantly is the fact that voter participation (turnout) was unprecedented.
State-Wide Turnout
Year
% Turnout
increase vs 2016
% increase vs 2016
increase vs 2018
% increase vs 2018
2020
30.16%
11.62%
62.68%
7.29%
31.82%
2016
18.54%
2018
22.91%
2020 Turnout by County
Total
Democratic
Republican
Other
Average
38.76%
41.00%
45.82%
21.97%
High
50.25% Humboldt
49.25% Douglas
59.09% Humboldt
30.47% Humboldt
Low
27.76 Clark
32.01% Clark
33.32% Clark
15.25% Clark
NOTE: Republican Party exceeded 50% turnout in Douglas, Humboldt, Lander, Storey, and White Pine Counties
Percent of Ballots Cast
Year
Democratic
Republican
Other
2020
43.40%
40.16%
15.81%
2016
42.81%
48.13%
9.05%
2018
44.47%
43.55%
11.99%
In 2020 races where we could track turnout:
Congressional
Race
# Contests
Avg
High
Low
Congressional
8
35.56%
40.81% CD2 – R
24.39% CD1 – R
State Senate
3
29.11%
32.52% SD18 – D
24.45% SD11 – R
State Assembly
26
31.24%
43.37% AD40 – D
19.35% AD14 – D
Judicial
24
24.51%
30.35% Dist 2 Dept 11
23.06% Dist 8 Fam Div Y
These percentages show similar increases to the statewide totals.
Will the general election show a similar increase in turnout or a return to normal; 75 – 80 percent? How will the voting method; continue all mail ballots or return to normal in-person voting impact turnout? We’ll know in four months.
By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
Was hoping to see the impact of same-day registration with the release of June voter registration numbers, but Washoe County was able to do their routine voter roll maintenance. This caused the overall number of active registered voters to decline leaving changes to voter share mixed.
State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
-3,378
-0.54%
38.55%
0.03%
R
-4,393
-0.82%
32.71%
-0.07%
NP
-1,067
-0.29%
22.67%
0.07%
IAP
-406
-0.57%
4.38%
0.00%
LIB
-252
-1.59%
0.96%
-0.01%
Other
-426
-3.49%
0.73%
-0.02%
Total not D or R
28.74%
0.05
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
4,803
1.01%
42.07%
-0.05%
R
2,754
0.85%
28.54%
-0.08%
NP
4,282
1.61%
23.62%
0.11%
IAP
721
1.53%
4.18%
0.02%
LIB
145
1.46%
0.88%
0.00%
Other
64
0.79%
0.71%
0.00%
Total not D or R
29.39%
0.13
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
-8,303
-7.93%
36.08%
0.16%
R
-7,734
-7.44%
36.04%
0.35%
NP
-6,157
-9.76%
21.31%
-0.34%
IAP
-1,194
-9.24%
4.39%
-0.04%
LIB
-423
-11.62%
1.20%
-0.04%
Other
-495
-16.03%
0.97%
-0.09%
Total not D or R
27.39%
-0.51
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
122
0.26%
22.45%
-0.12%
R
587
0.55%
51.27%
-0.12%
NP
808
2.05%
19.21%
0.24%
IAP
67
0.59%
5.46%
-0.01%
LIB
26
1.12%
1.12%
0.00%
Other
5
0.50%
0.48%
0.00%
Total not D or R
26.27%
0.23
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
-1,224
-0.71%
39.91%
0.15%
R
-1,997
-2.13%
21.25%
-0.23%
NP
-992
-0.72%
31.65%
0.11%
IAP
-128
-0.65%
4.56%
0.02%
LIB
-143
-2.01%
1.61%
-0.02%
Other
-209
-4.55%
1.02%
-0.04%
Total not D or R
38.84%
0.07
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other
55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
-1,162
-0.44%
38.47%
-0.01%
R
-1,327
-0.47%
41.09%
-0.02%
NP
-115
-0.11%
15.45%
0.05%
IAP
-171
-0.60%
4.10%
-0.01%
LIB
-38
-1.25%
0.44%
0.00%
Other
-88
-2.72%
0.46%
-0.01%
Total not D or R
20.44%
0.03
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
3
1
0
Non-Partisan
1
3
0
IAP
1
3
0
LIB
1
1
2
Other
1
0
3
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
16
4
1
Republican
17
4
0
Non-Partisan
4
17
0
IAP
6
13
2
LIB
8
6
7
Other
10
1
10
In 18 districts (85.71%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of two over last month.
State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
31
8
3
Republican
36
6
0
Non-Partisan
7
35
0
IAP
13
22
7
LIB
15
14
13
Other
23
7
12
In 35 districts (83.33%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
We may have to wait to see the impact of same-day voter registration until the August numbers are released as list maintenance is due to be performed by the remining 16 counties this month. In addition to this, how many voters who maintained party affiliation or affiliated with a party to vote in the primary will change to Non-Partisan as the partisan divisiveness appears to be growing?
