With Early Voting Only Weeks Away Major Parties Continue to Lose Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – May 4, 2022

With early voting for the 2022 primary election just weeks away, both the Democratic and Republican Party as well as the minor parties lost voter share in April while Non-Partisan share gains showed no signs of abating. The combined voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican continues to be the leading segment of voters statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties while Non-Partisan continues as the leading group among voters 18 to 34 years of age topping 40 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,4290.58%33.21%-0.17%
R4,2120.79%29.76%-0.09%
NP11,2952.22%28.84%0.32%
IAP6820.86%4.44%-0.01%
LIB1400.85%0.92%0.00%
Other-146-0.29%2.82%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.02%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3700.74%36.09%-0.19%
R2,9150.90%25.77%-0.09%
NP8,9092.41%29.90%0.33%
IAP6741.26%4.29%0.00%
LIB1241.22%0.81%0.00%
Other-70-0.18%3.15%-0.05%
Total not D or R  38.14%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1790.18%32.19%-0.14%
R5480.54%32.86%-0.03%
NP1,1971.46%26.74%0.22%
IAP440.31%4.60%-0.01%
LIB40.11%1.22%-0.01%
Other-59-0.78%2.40%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.95%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-120-0.28%18.58%-0.20%
R7490.70%47.80%-0.04%
NP1,1892.07%25.83%0.32%
IAP-36-0.31%5.10%-0.06%
LIB120.47%1.13%0.00%
Other-17-0.48%1.56%-0.02%
Total not D or R  33.62%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D9940.62%31.99%-0.26%
R6960.77%18.07%-0.12%
NP5,2682.67%40.32%0.48%
IAP2471.13%4.41%-0.01%
LIB720.99%1.46%-0.01%
Other-109-0.57%3.75%-0.08%
Total not D or R  49.94%0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3190.51%35.09%-0.12%
R2,2710.80%38.77%-0.02%
NP2,4051.68%19.69%0.16%
IAP1870.59%4.30%-0.01%
LIB90.29%0.43%0.00%
Other-14-0.11%1.73%-0.02%
Total not D or R  26.15%0.13%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP202
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2010
NP0210
IAP1361
LIB9210
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican3651
NP0420
IAP20139
LIB131217
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican780
NP2130
IAP1410
LIB663
Other1221

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Older voters, those over 55 years of age appear to remain loyal to the major parties. However, those who have abandoned those two parties now comprise over 25 percent of those in this age group.

Nevadans will start going to the polls in just over three (3) weeks to cast votes in the primary election. Since a voter must be registered in one of the two major parties to vote in most of the races, will the major parties pick up share leading up to the election or will voters continue to reject the parties despite not being able to vote the full primary ballot?

Despite Voter Roll Maintenance Non-Partisan Continues Voter Share Gains

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – April 3, 2022

March was a voter roll maintenance month. With the normal decline of active registered voters and corresponding decline in voter share, Non-Partisan share seems immune, increasing share across all tracked demographics. The Republican Party also gained share statewide, in Clark county, and among voters 55 years of age and older.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-28,709-4.59%33.39%-0.26%
R-18,604-3.37%29.85%0.15%
NP-15,939-3.03%28.53%0.24%
IAP-3,743-4.50%4.45%-0.03%
LIB-939-5.38%0.93%-0.01%
Other-3,612-6.61%2.86%-0.08%
Total not D or R  36.76%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-28,151-5.84%36.28%-0.17%
R-17,825-5.22%25.87%0.05%
NP-17,376-4.49%29.56%0.28%
IAP-3,655-6.38%4.29%-0.05%
LIB-905-8.16%0.81%-0.02%
Other-3,451-7.95%3.19%-0.09%
Total not D or R  37.85%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-82-0.08%32.33%-0.14%
R1320.13%32.88%-0.07%
NP1,0531.30%26.52%0.25%
IAP350.25%4.61%0.00%
LIB-8-0.21%1.22%-0.01%
Other-84-1.11%2.43%-0.04%
Total not D or R  34.79%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-476-1.11%18.78%-0.11%
R-911-0.84%47.85%-0.14%
NP3840.67%25.51%0.31%
IAP-123-1.05%5.16%-0.03%
LIB-26-1.01%1.13%-0.01%
Other-77-2.12%1.58%-0.03%
Total not D or R  33.38%0.24%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-11,113-6.50%32.25%-0.47%
R-5,088-5.34%18.19%-0.04%
NP-7,144-3.49%39.84%0.68%
IAP-1,328-5.71%4.42%-0.03%
LIB-490-6.33%1.46%-0.02%
Other-1,724-8.33%3.83%-0.13%
Total not D or R  49.56%0.50%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,916-2.98%35.20%-0.17%
R-6,744-2.32%38.79%0.08%
NP-2,550-1.75%19.53%0.15%
IAP-1,018-3.13%4.31%-0.03%
LIB-115-3.54%0.43%0.00%
Other-570-4.28%1.74%-0.03%
Total not D or R  26.01%0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP310
IAP400
LIB400
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1380
NP0210
IAP1911
LIB1920
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4011
Republican23190
NP0420
IAP3633
LIB3516
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In two (50%) congressional, eight (38.1%) state senate, and 17 (40.48%) state assembly districts, the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1401
Republican1140
NP2130
IAP1050
LIB735
Other1212

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

Jon Ralston, CEO of the Nevada Independent continues to track the number of voters changing parties. In March, once again, more Democratic voters changed to Republican or Non-Partisan than their Republican counterparts. Also, among Non-Partisans changing party registration to a political party, more chose the Republican Party than the Democratic Party. How this trend, should it continue, impacts the results of the primary will be interesting to see.

Voters Not Registered As Democratic or Republican Increase Voter Share Lead in February

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 3, 2022

The percentage of voters not registered to vote in either the Democratic or Republican Party expanded its lead in February, according to the numbers from the secretary of state.  That group continues to be the largest block of voters statewide and in both Clark and Washoe county. Among voters 18 to 34 years of age, those registered as Non-Partisan remain the largest group and when combined with those registered in a minor party is nearing 50 percent.

Looking at Congressional and legislative districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican leads in two of the four Congressional districts, eight of the 21 state senate districts and 17 of the 42 state assembly districts.  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8560.14%33.65%-0.17%
R1,4560.26%29.71%-0.11%
NP9,2961.80%28.28%0.32%
IAP4560.55%4.48%0.00%
LIB1050.60%0.94%0.00%
Other-443-0.80%2.94%-0.04%
Total not D or R  36.64%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8390.17%36.45%-0.20%
R1,2070.35%25.82%-0.09%
NP7,0981.87%29.28%0.33%
IAP3760.66%4.33%0.00%
LIB700.63%0.84%0.00%
Other-254-0.58%3.28%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.73%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1450.15%32.47%-0.14%
R3040.30%32.95%-0.09%
NP1,2961.63%26.27%0.27%
IAP900.64%4.62%0.00%
LIB160.42%1.23%0.00%
Other-96-1.25%2.47%-0.05%
Total not D or R  34.58%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-128-0.30%18.89%-0.11%
R-55-0.05%47.99%-0.16%
NP9021.61%25.20%0.33%
IAP-10-0.09%5.18%-0.02%
LIB190.74%1.14%0.01%
Other-93-2.49%1.61%-0.05%
Total not D or R  33.12%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D310.02%32.72%-0.27%
R1140.12%18.23%-0.13%
NP4,2262.11%39.16%0.49%
IAP1280.55%4.45%-0.01%
LIB310.40%1.48%-0.01%
Other-192-0.92%3.96%-0.07%
Total not D or R  49.05%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4310.16%35.37%-0.11%
R8460.29%38.71%-0.07%
NP2,2161.55%19.38%0.21%
IAP1670.52%4.34%0.00%
LIB120.37%0.43%0.00%
Other-158-1.17%1.78%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.93%0.18%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2111
Republican310
NP040
IAP211
LIB013
Other211

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1470
Republican1560
NP1200
IAP1092
LIB9102
Other1551

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic27150
Republican27150
NP6351
IAP22182
LIB17178
Other32  91

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican105 
NP2130
IAP1032
LIB555
Other1203

Jon Ralston and the Nevada Independent look at the number of voters changing parties. While the numbers are interesting; more Democratic voters changing to Republican, they may become more meaningful as we get closer to the primary. Are voters changing parties in hopes to sway the nomination to a candidate least likely to win the general election? We’ll also be watching the voter share trend. Will the major parties gain voter share in the months leading up to June or during same-day registration or will fewer voters be eligible to vote since Nevada’s primary elections are closed to non-party members?    

2022 Starts With Non-Partisan Increasing Voter Share Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – February 5, 2022

As we start the election year of 2022, voter registration numbers for January, in spite of being a voter roll maintenance month, showed no change in the pattern of Non-Partisan voter share expanding its lead. Thanks to Nevada Independent CEO Jon Ralston, we also have a picture of movement between the major parties and Non-Partisan.  

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,321-0.53%33.81%-0.12%
R-2,068-0.37%29.82%-0.06%
NP4,3910.86%27.96%0.28%
IAP-240-0.29%4.49%-0.01%
LIB-153-0.87%0.94%-0.01%
Other-1,715-3.02%2.98%-0.09%
Total not D or R  36.37%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6120.13%36.64%-0.17%
R9960.29%25.91%-0.08%
NP6,4561.73%28.95%0.32%
IAP3170.56%4.33%0.00%
LIB660.60%0.84%0.00%
Other-564-1.28%3.32%-0.06%
Total not D or R  37.45%0.26%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,926-3.78%32.60%0.05%
R-3,447-3.29%33.04%0.21%
NP-3,237-3.90%26.00%0.00%
IAP-609-4.13%4.62%-0.01%
LIB-238-5.93%1.23%-0.03%
Other-1,037-11.87%2.51%-0.23%
Total not D or R  34.36%-0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7-0.02%19.00%-0.13%
R3830.35%48.15%-0.15%
NP1,1722.13%24.87%0.36%
IAP520.44%5.20%-0.01%
LIB190.75%1.13%0.00%
Other-114-2.97%1.65%-0.06%
Total not D or R  32.85%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,036-1.18%32.99%-0.20%
R-1,452-1.50%18.36%-0.18%
NP1,4100.71%38.67%0.49%
IAP-190-0.81%4.46%-0.01%
LIB-115-1.47%1.49%-0.01%
Other-554-2.58%4.03%-0.08%
Total not D or R  48.65%0.39%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-420-0.16%35.48%-0.08%
R-34-0.01%38.78%-0.03%
NP1,6691.18%19.17%0.21%
IAP270.08%4.34%0.00%
LIB20.06%0.43%0.00%
Other-695-4.90%1.81%-0.09%
Total not D or R  25.75%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican310
NP130
IAP112
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1821
Republican1650
NP2190
IAP1065
LIB867
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3570
Republican3741
NP4380
IAP21147
LIB161313
Other38  40

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

New district maps are in place. Any pending challenge must be resolved before candidate filing begins on March 7, 2022. The questions remains: Will voter share of the Democratic and Republican Party increase in the run-up to the June primary? To what extent ill voters decide to use same-day registration?

Candidates Win in Low Turnout Closed Primary Why We Need Final Five Voting – OPINION

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – January 15, 2021

Ever wonder how many votes it takes to win an election? If you are running for office in Nevada, not as many as you may think.

Since 2016, 23 candidates have been elected to either the state legislature or county-wide positions with as little as five percent (5%) of the voters in their district. If you are confused, wondering how this could happen or if in fact it is legal, continue reading.

Prior to 2015 if either only the Democratic or Republican Party had candidates for a partisan office; if Democratic candidates and no Republican, minor party, or Non-Partisan candidates, if Republican candidates and no Democratic, minor party, or Non-Partisan candidates, the top two candidates in the primary would go on the general election ballot so all voters could vote for their preferred candidate. Under our current election process this is the way it should be,

This changed during the 2015 legislative session. Under SB499, under the conditions outlined above, the winner of the primary (keep in mind Nevada uses closed primaries where only members of the party are allowed to vote), goes on the general election ballot unopposed. This means they were elected in the primary where less than 30 percent (30%) of party members bother to vote and non-party members; a clear majority of voters in any given district had no say.

If we look at the 2016, 2018, and 2020 election cycle, the 23 candidates that were elected with an average of 15 percent of the vote of party members and seven (7) percent of the vote of all voters in their district. This is not only unfair to voters but also to the winning candidate who hardly has a mandate of their constituents.

2016          
DistCandidateParty# CandidatesWinning voteTotal votesTotal Party RegT/OTotal Reg% Party% dist
SD4AtkiinsonD23,9265,89227,42421.48%66,82814.32%5.87%
AD13AndersonR31,7382,79614,25819.61%34,72112.19%5.01%
AD19EdwardsR21,9603,20312,15626.35%31,25616.12%6.27%
AD26KrasnerR23,4486,23220,32430.66%44,43916.97%7.76%
      Avg24.53% 14.90%6.23%
2018          
SD10CancelaD22,8544,72525,53318.51%52,31111.18%5.46%
AD24PetersD41,7803,78414,71925.71%32,59912.09%5.46%
AD33EllisonR24,1755,37517,05231.52%30,70124.48%13.60%
AD42AssefaD31,3992,52911,59021.82%24,87512.07%5.62%
ClK DAWolfsonD254,34797,306419,04223.22%996,37512.97%5.45%
Churchill ClkRotheryR22,2733,10713,26423.42%29,47117.14%7.71%
Douglas AssessorTholenR24,2228,22618,14745.33%33,45223.27%12.62%
Eureka ClkHoehneR226644469064.35%97438.55%27.31%    
Lincoln DAFrehnerR25028151,65449.27%2,77430.35%18.10%
Lyon TreasBryanR24,2495,38317,26831.17%34,34924.61%12.37%
Nye AdminStumneR23,2684,73513,28935.63%27,81324.59%11.75%
Pershing AssessorBasso-CeriniR24726881,31852.20%2,42435.81%19.47%
Storey DALangerR24588461,56254.16%3,08529.32%14.85%
White Pine ClkBaldwinR25531,0082,26844.44%4,48824.38%12.32%
      Avg24.16% 14.56%7.12%
           
2020          
SD7LangeD33,6729,59631,60530.36%68,93211.62%5.33%
AD19BlackR23,8036,23115,57040.02%40,05024.43%9.50%
AD20OrentlicherD42,2994,94715,21532.51%33,82115.11%6.80%
AD36HafenR24,8518,84122,26539.71%48,59421.79%9.98%
AD38TitusR26,7808,73622,43638.94%43,05730.22%15.75%
      Avg36.31% 20.63%9.47%
      overall Avg28.33% 16.70%7.61%

There were several county commission races impacted as well, however, because it is more difficult to find the voter registration data by district, they are not included.

Two attempts to correct this voter suppression measure were made, one during the 2017 legislative session (by the same sponsor of the original bill), the other during the 2019 session. The first bill did not get a hearing. The second bill passed the assembly but did not get a senate committee vote. Legislative majority in the three sessions involved: 2015 Republican, 2017 and 2019 Democratic.

Given the legislature does not want to reverse the voter suppression it has implemented, it is up to the voters. This is why passage of the Better Voting Nevada initiative, that will implement Final Five Voting (FFV) where the right of all voters to cast ballots in the primary regardless of party is guaranteed and then vote for the top five candidates indicating their ranked preference for each allowing voters to vote their conscience, is critical.

2021 – Non-Partisan and Minor Parties Register Significant Voter Share Growth While Major Parties Record Loses

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – January5, 2021

2021 witnessed significant voter share growth for Non-Partisan and minor parties while both the Democratic and Republican Party saw similar noteworthy loses. For the month of December 2021, the numbers continue to show the same trend. It is important to note that as in November, the voter share of those listed as “other” once again saw very minor declines. 

The perception is that the increase in Non-Partisan voters is almost totally due to automatic voter registration and the Department of Motor Vehicles. However, the secretary of state’s office reports the percent of new voter registrations defaulting to Non-Partisan is only 59 percent.

Another interesting fact is the number of major party voters changing parties or registering as Non-Partisan. Jon Ralston of the Nevada Independent tracks that movement here.

The Nevada legislature approved new district maps and the governor approved them in November. While a lawsuit has been filed challenging the maps, they are in effect until a judge rules otherwise. The by-district numbers for December appear to reflect the impact of the redrawn districts.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D1,6140.26%33.94%-0.18%-2.70%
R2,2930.42%29.88%-0.11%-2.47%
NP10,3672.07%27.68%0.35%3.59%
IAP6360.77%4.49%0.00%-0.02%
LIB1170.67%0.95%0.00%-0.03%
Other-709-1.23%3.07%-0.06%1.63%
Total not D or R  36.19%0.29%5.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D1,5000.31%36.82%-0.20%-3.11%
R1,5900.47%25.99%-0.10%-2.47%
NP7,9382.17%28.63%0.37%3.73%
IAP4600.82%4.34%0.00%0.00%
LIB930.86%0.84%0.00%-0.03%
Other-461-1.03%3.39%-0.06%1.89%
Total not D or R  37.19%029%5.58%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D1090.11%32.56%-0.13%-1.97%
R2890.28%32.83%-0.08%-2.11%
NP1,2261.50%25.99%0.25%2.86%
IAP1160.79%4.63%0.01%0.06%
LIB-1-0.02%1.26%-0.01%-0.02%
Other-120-1.36%2.74%-0.05%1.18%
Total not D or R  34.61%0.20%4.07%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D50.01%19.13%-0.13%-1.86%
R4140.38%48.30%-0.16%-2.39%
NP1,2032.24%24.51%0.37%3.67%
IAP600.52%5.21%-0.01%-0.20%
LIB251.00%1.13%0.00%-0.01%
Other-128-3.22%1.71%-0.07%0.79%
Total not D or R  32.57%0.29%4.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Change 2020 – 2021 by county

CountyDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
Carson City-1.86%-2.88%3.98%-0.05%-0.01%0.83%4.75%
Churchill-1.56%-1.97%3.10%-0.29%-0.03%0.75%3.53%
Douglas-1.30%-2.41%2.78%0.01%0.07%0.86%3.72%
Elko-1.27%-2.10%2.90%-0.07%-0.12%0.66%3.37%
Esmeralda-2.99%-4.89%8.77%-0.91%0.08%-0.06%7.88%
Eureka-0.46%-2.60%3.49%-0.64%-0.07%0.28%3.06%
Humboldt-0.66%-1.69%1.79%-0.01%-0.05%0.62%2.35%
lander-1.45%-2.14%3.32%-0.30%0.11%0.45%3.58%
Lincoln-2.49%0.58%1.69%-0.83%0.01%1.04%1.91%
Lyon-2.11%-3.08%4.53%-0.21%-0.02%0.89%5.19%
Mineral-2.79%-2.57%5.78%-0.68%-0.02%0.28%5.36%
Nye-3.24%-1.86%4.74%-0.49%-0.07%0.92%5.10%
Pershing-1.31%-2.62%3.59%-0.11%0.07%0.38%3.93%
Storey-1.52%-1.82%2.63%-0.23%0.15%0.78%3.34%
White Pine-1.98%-2.62%4.39%-0.26%0.02%0.45%4.60%

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change
D2540.15%33.19%-0.26%-4.31%
R2310.24%18.53%-0.13%-2.88%
NP4,4182.27%38.19%0.50%5.39%
IAP1490.64%4.47%-0.01%-0.25%
LIB440.57%1.50%-0.01%-0.12%
Other-224-1.03%4.12%-0.08%2.18%
Total not D or R  48.28%0.40%7.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2020 – 2021 Voter Share Change  
D6390.24%35.56%-0.12%-1.68%
R1,0090.35%38.81%-0.06%-1.97%
NP2,3131.69%18.96%0.23%2.52%
IAP2560.80%4.34%0.01%0.14%
LIB80.25%0.43%0.00%0.00%
Other-85-0.58%1.90%-0.05%4.44%
Total not D or R  25.63%0.19%3.65%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic220
Republican220
NP130
IAP220
LIB211
Other220

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Change 2020 – 2021

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
1-8.32%3.57%2.94%0.23%-0.03%1.60%4.75%
2-1.85%-2.20%3.04%0.00%-0.02%1.04%4.06%
3-0.68%-4.99%3.80%-0.13%-0.04%2.04%5.67%
4-2.14%-3.81%4.28%-0.11%-0.03%1.80%5.95%

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1470
Republican1470
NP3180
IAP8121
LIB885
Other1650

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Change 2020 – 2021

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
1-3.53%-2.33%3.83%-0.07%0.03%2.07%5.86%
2-6.79%-0.55%5.44%-0.09%-0.01%2.00%7.33%
3-6.46%1.49%3.24%-0.01%-0.01%1.76%4.97%
4-5.48%-0.55%4.21%-0.06%-0.05%1.93%6.03%
5-4.21%-0.71%3.11%0.08%-0.06%1.79%4.92%
6-1.92%-3.54%3.58%0.07%0.00%1.81%5.46%
7-2.18%-3.90%4.44%-0.16%-0.08%1.88%6.09%
8-1.77%-4.32%3.98%0.11%-0.06%2.07%6.09%
9-0.08%-4.91%3.17%-0.21%-0.10%2.12%4.98%
10-7.66%1.08%5.01%-0.20%-0.05%1.83%6.59%
11-7.72%1.81%3.47%0.26%0.02%2.15%5.91%
123.60%-11.17%5.37%-0.17%0.10%2.26%7.57%
13-3.10%-1.84%3.75%-0.01%-0.05%1.26%4.94%
14-1.62%-2.27%2.84%-0.03%0.02%1.06%3.89%
15-1.65%-2.12%2.55%0.04%-0.03%1.20%3.77%
16-1.51%-2.50%2.98%0.09%-0.01%0.94%4.01%
17-1.64%-2.63%3.54%-0.13%0.02%0.85%4.27%
18-1.60%-3.07%2.84%0.10%-0.04%1.77%4.67%
19-2.12%-2.56%3.86%-0.23%-0.06%1.11%4.68%
20-9.60%7.98%0.72%0.39%-0.16%0.67%1.62%
21-2.95%-2.91%3.98%0.08%-0.02%3.48%5.87%

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic28131
Republican23190
NP9321
IAP15225
LIB15198
Other32  100

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Change 2020 – 2021

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBONot D or R
1-2.92%-1.67%2.79%0.01%0.05%1.73%4.58%
2-0.98%-4.46%3.43%0.15%-0.06%1.92%5.44%
3-6.38%1.27%3.23%0.13%-0.02%1.77%5.11%
4-2.03%-1.92%2.24%0.06%-0.06%1.71%3.95%
5-2.10%-5.07%4.90%0.00%-0.06%2.33%7.17%
6-5.58%-0.62%4.43%-0.18%-0.04%1.98%6.20%
7-5.72%-0.18%4.01%0.06%-0.05%1.88%5.90%
8-4.69%-1.38%3.86%-0.03%0.01%2.24%6.08%
9-2.83%-2.85%3.73%-0.09%-0.02%2.07%5.68%
10-6.53%1.50%3.35%-0.11%-0.01%1.80%5.03%
11-6.84%-0.77%5.60%0.13%-0.06%1.94%7.61%
12-1.61%-3.60%3.60%-0.06%-0.09%1.76%5.21%
13-0.17%-5.33%3.61%0.04%-0.01%1.87%5.50%
14-5.39%-1.24%4.34%0.30%0.09%1.89%6.62%
15-7.64%-2.99%8.27%0.05%0.16%2.16%10.63%
16-7.54%4.93%1.81%-0.46%-0.23%1.49%2.61%
17-4.79%-1.80%4.37%-0.03%0.00%2.25%6.59%
18-3.38%-2.81%4.46%-0.15%-0.09%1.96%6.18%
19-7.63%4.30%2.27%0.12%-0.01%0.96%3.34%
20-0.71%-4.78%3.97%-0.16%-0.05%1.73%5.48%
21-3.11%-2.10%3.43%0.13%-0.05%1.69%5.20%
22-1.54%-3.72%3.37%0.05%0.02%1.82%5.26%
23-0.66%-1.76%2.63%0.31%-0.05%-0.48%2.42%
24-3.57%-1.46%4.02%-0.05%-0.07%1.13%5.04%
25-1.24%-2.22%2.21%0.15%0.01%1.09%3.46%
26-1.37%-2.28%2.48%0.16%-0.02%1.03%3.65%
27-2.17%-1.98%2.97%-0.09%-0.07%1.34%4.15%
28-6.71%-0.31%5.28%-0.35%0.04%2.05%7.03%
29-1.36%-5.04%4.50%-0.11%-0.01%2.02%6.39%
30-2.63%-2.25%3.51%0.02%-0.03%1.38%4.87%
31-1.80%-2.37%2.81%0.00%0.03%1.33%4.16%
32-1.47%-2.09%2.86%-0.06%0.01%0.75%3.56%
33-1.46%-1.74%2.87%-0.22%-0.10%0.65%3.20%
34-3.28%-1.93%3.43%-0.12%-0.03%1.93%5.22%
35-3.01%-1.78%2.48%0.19%-0.05%2.18%4.79%
36-2.04%-3.81%4.63%-0.22%-0.04%1.47%5.85%
37-0.51%-5.39%3.90%0.21%0.04%1.75%5.90%
38-1.85%-2.91%4.19%-0.23%-0.04%0.85%4.76%
39-1.51%-2.42%3.04%-0.04%0.07%0.85%3.92%
40-1.70%-2.75%3.60%0.01%0.01%0.84%4.45%
41-2.80%-3.22%3.68%0.04%-0.07%2.37%6.02%
42-5.11%-0.39%3.52%0.00%-0.10%2.07%5.49%

As we begin an election year, it will be interesting to see if interest in the closed primaries cause voters to register accordingly and switch back before the general election in November.

November Voter Registration Continues Trend As GOP Drops Below Thirty Percent

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 1, 2021

Voters continued to shun both the Democratic and Republican Party with both major parties once again losing voter share in November (the GOP fell below thirty percent), with the combined voter share of those registered as Non-Partisan and “other” remaining the largest segment of active voters.  However, November’s increase was solely accountable to Non-Partisan as the “other” category experienced a small decline in voter share across all tracked demographics.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3510.22%34.11%-0.16%
R1,6180.29%29.99%-0.12%
NP9,1151.85%27.33%0.31%
IAP6290.77%4.49%0.00%
LIB1230.71%0.95%0.00%
Other-342-0.59%3.13%-0.04%
Total not D or R  35.90%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,3650.29%37.02%-0.18%
R1,2770.38%26.09%-0.10%
NP6,9961.95%28.26%0.32%
IAP5280.95%4.34%0.01%
LIB760.70%0.84%0.00%
Other-192-0.43%3.45%-0.04%
Total not D or R  36.89%029%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2060.20%32.69%-0.14%
R4050.39%32.90%-0.08%
NP1,2761.59%25.74%0.24%
IAP1250.86%4.61%0.01%
LIB421.06%1.27%0.01%
Other-86-0.96%2.79%-0.04%
Total not D or R  34.41%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-220-0.51%19.26%-0.14%
R-64-0.06%48.46%-0.13%
NP8431.59%24.15%0.33%
IAP-24-0.21%5.22%-0.02%
LIB50.20%1.13%0.00%
Other-64-1.59%1.78%-0.03%
Total not D or R  32.28%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2000.12%33.45%-0.26%
R2280.24%18.66%-0.12%
NP4,1002.15%37.69%0.46%
IAP1680.73%4.49%-0.01%
LIB590.76%1.51%0.00%
Other-182-0.83%4.20%-0.07%
Total not D or R  47.88%0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6390.24%35.68%-0.11%
R1,0090.35%38.87%-0.08%
NP2,3131.69%18.73%0.21%
IAP2560.80%4.33%0.01%
LIB80.25%0.44%0.00%
Other-85-0.58%1.95%-0.02%
Total not D or R  25.45%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP022
LIB013
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP4107
LIB5412
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP0420
IAP81816
LIB131019
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

Opponents of the new district maps approved by the legislature highlighted the growing number of Non-Partisan voters during discussion, stressing that these voters will not be properly represented under the revised boundaries. While the maps were approved and signed by Governor Sisolak, their fate will lie in the court.

Rank Choice Voting is Good for Business – OPINION

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 4, 2021

Rank Choice Voting (RCV) is good for business and community economic development.  

Business thrives when owners can plan in advance for growth, or downturn. Lack of planning can cause disruption, loss of sales, and even the loss of the business itself. Our current political climate of hyper-partisanship does not allow business to plan as owners have no idea what regulations, taxes, or other events will be in place from one day to the next. As stated in the Harvard Business Review, the current political environment is the biggest impediment to economic growth in the nation. A follow-up report also states that if politics were a business, it would be failing.

If a business is fortunate enough to be able to grow, owners are looking to expand. This expansion often has the business looking to expand to other states where policies are business-friendly, and their employees can enjoy the best quality of life. In Nevada, both the LVGEA (Las Vegas Global Economic Alliance) and EDAWN (Economic Development Authority of Western Nevada) function with the purpose of attracting businesses to locate in the state.

In 2014 I posed the following question to the executive director of both organizations. Would the existence of a less toxic political environment be considered a plus? Given an overwhelming majority of Americans want their elected officials to solve the issues they face, collaborate on solutions (the word compromise is usually used but I prefer the word collaborate because there is a difference), and not refuse to even talk to one another, would a location whose political process fostered such action be preferred? Both answered “very possibly”.

Is RCV good for business? RCV:

  • Allows elected officials to work together without the fear of being “primaried”
  • Reduces attack ads due to the need for second or third choice votes
  • Allows voters to vote their conscience without fear that they are wasting their vote and that their vote counts
  • Expands opportunity for candidates from marginalized and / or under-represented populations
  • Because it fosters collaboration, allows businesses to plan with more certainty.
  • Provides employees, as voters, a sense that they are the focus of their elected officials, not a necessary inconvenience.

The economic impacts of RCV are not normally part of the conversation. Maybe they should be.

Redistricting is Upon Us With Non-Major Party Voters Expanding Their Lead

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 2, 2021

Before the end of this month, the governor will call the Nevada legislature into special session to draw and approve new Congressional and state legislative districts. The looming question is how will lawmakers factor in the largest share of voters, those not registered in either the Democratic or Republican Party. Party affiliation of voters is not a formal requirement and the legality of considering the party affiliation when drawing district lines has questioned. The United States Supreme Court has left that decision to the states.

October voter registration continued to see the decline of the major party and a continued surge in the number of Non-Partisan and minor party voters. The only demographic where the voter share of non-major party voters is less than 30 percent is among voters 55 years of age and older.

To provide a better look at the challenge being faced by the legislature, a by-district voter share analysis is included below.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,9790.32%34.27%-0.20%
R1,5140.28%30.10%-0.19%
NP9,7572.02%27.01%0.30%
IAP6940.86%4.49%0.00%
LIB1130.66%0.95%0.00%
Other2,1293.82%3.17%0.09%
Total not D or R  35.62%0.39%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,8090.38%37.20%-0.23%
R1,1310.34%26.20%-0.17%
NP7,3572.09%27.94%0.30%
IAP5250.95%4.33%0.00%
LIB880.82%0.84%0.00%
Other1,7223.99%3.49%0.10%
Total not D or R  36.60%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2990.29%32.83%-0.16%
R3360.32%32.98%-0.15%
NP1,3611.72%25.49%0.24%
IAP1340.93%4.60%0.01%
LIB180.46%1.26%0.00%
Other2953.41%2.83%0.07%
Total not D or R  34.19%0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-129-0.30%19.40%-0.16%
R470.04%48.59%-0.22%
NP1,0392.00%23.82%0.35%
IAP350.30%5.24%-0.01%
LIB70.28%1.13%0.00%
Other1122.85%1.82%0.04%
Total not D or R  32.01%0.38%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4170.24%33.71%-0.32%
R830.09%18.79%-0.21%
NP4,4492.39%37.23%0.44%
IAP1870.82%4.49%-0.02%
LIB270.35%1.51%-0.01%
Other8043.82%4.27%0.11%
Total not D or R  47.50%0.52%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,0400.40%35.80%-0.13%
R1,1890.42%38.95%-0.13%
NP2,4021.79%18.52%0.19%
IAP3151.00%4.32%0.01%
LIB351.10%0.44%0.00%
Other5023.57%1.98%0.05%
Total not D or R  25.25%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

With new district maps only weeks away, I am including the full by-district voter share breakout. Since one goal of redistricting is to keep districts “safe” also listed is the number of districts where either the Democratic or Republican Party has a majority (50%) along with the number of districts where the voter share is five percent or less and ten percent or less.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP103
LIB004
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBOtherTotal Not D or R
142.64%19.08%29.67%4.00%0.82%3.79%38.28%
228.13%38.47%24.92%4.78%1.24%2.46%33.40%
332.63%30.69%27.76%4.64%0.88%3.39%36.68%
436.52%28.73%26.37%4.36%0.81%3.21%34.75%
Majority District0      
5%1      
10%1      

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP1056
LIB6213
Other0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBOtherTotal Not D or R
142.35%22.05%27.10%4.03%0.77%3.70%35.60%
248.46%11.65%31.68%3.55%0.67%4.00%39.90%
342.40%19.88%29.08%3.95%0.84%3.85%37.72%
450.85%13.36%27.89%3.45%0.61%3.84%35.79%
534.60%29.44%27.16%4.67%0.93%3.21%35.96%
636.79%29.45%25.46%4.33%0.83%3.13%33.75%
740.18%21.76%29.14%4.21%0.91%3.80%38.06%
833.69%30.90%26.73%4.52%0.89%3.27%35.41%
934.05%27.02%29.73%4.44%0.87%3.90%38.93%
1042.35%17.45%31.17%4.32%0.96%3.74%40.19%
1138.26%22.25%30.54%4.13%0.83%3.99%39.49%
1227.60%38.13%25.91%5.05%0.80%2.50%34.27%
1338.63%23.44%28.88%4.54%1.30%3.22%37.94%
1426.03%41.42%24.16%4.74%1.20%2.45%32.55%
1534.00%32.74%24.69%4.54%1.23%2.81%33.26%
1628.37%39.02%24.24%4.85%1.26%2.28%32.62%
1718.68%49.67%23.42%5.19%1.22%1.84%31.65%
1831.34%34.61%25.36%4.73%0.95%3.01%34.05%
1919.34%47.37%24.71%5.26%0.99%2.33%33.28%
2032.20%31.03%27.71%4.69%0.89%3.48%36.77%
2141.09%22.66%28.16%3.81%0.67%3.61%36.25%
Majority District1
5%5
10%2

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP0420
IAP18186
LIB14820
Other1  410

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

DistrictDRNPIAPLIBOtherTotal Not D or R
140.47%24.85%26.15%4.25%0.78%3.50%34.68%
231.52%33.40%26.42%4.67%0.87%3.11%35.08%
343.00%19.62%28.94%3.88%0.85%3.71%37.38%
432.86%32.19%26.00%4.70%0.98%3.26%34.95%
536.19%28.02%27.08%4.35%0.90%3.45%35.79%
653.99%9.24%28.75%3.34%0.60%4.07%36.77%
748.32%16.68%27.21%3.53%0.61%3.65%35.00%
837.06%23.26%30.69%4.17%0.83%3.99%39.68%
934.68%26.50%29.62%4.39%0.86%3.95%38.82%
1041.76%20.16%29.22%4.02%0.84%4.00%38.08%
1148.74%11.11%31.94%3.67%0.71%3.83%40.15%
1238.05%26.84%27.05%3.92%0.68%3.46%35.11%
1329.62%37.35%24.62%4.76%0.92%2.73%33.03%
1446.03%15.86%29.96%3.63%0.67%3.85%38.11%
1544.29%17.84%29.39%4.23%0.84%3.40%37.87%
1640.31%17.05%33.04%4.42%1.08%4.10%42.64%
1744.27%19.20%28.06%3.81%0.76%3.90%36.53%
1840.83%20.38%29.98%4.12%0.85%3.84%38.79%
1928.45%36.04%27.28%4.80%0.75%2.67%35.51%
2039.49%23.23%28.24%4.31%0.97%3.77%37.28%
2135.20%28.88%27.06%4.75%0.90%3.22%35.92%
2230.26%35.11%26.00%4.82%0.84%2.97%34.63%
2326.94%39.74%24.86%5.24%0.84%2.38%33.32%
2441.15%19.80%30.10%4.38%1.36%3.21%39.04%
2531.88%37.16%22.75%4.49%1.16%2.57%30.96%
2629.26%37.96%24.37%4.66%1.27%2.49%32.78%
2736.64%27.25%27.09%4.59%1.32%3.11%36.11%
2848.20%12.14%31.44%3.45%0.63%4.15%39.67%
2934.10%29.91%27.24%4.60%0.95%3.20%36.00%
3036.26%26.84%27.74%4.68%1.24%3.23%36.90%
3131.08%34.92%25.02%4.80%1.29%2.89%34.01%
3220.20%48.93%23.17%4.68%1.09%1.94%30.87%
3314.07%54.51%23.87%5.03%0.99%1.52%31.41%
3438.89%25.29%27.12%4.25%0.93%3.51%35.82%
3533.46%27.51%29.82%4.48%0.88%3.85%39.03%
3622.76%42.75%25.25%5.40%0.99%2.85%34.49%
3734.93%33.15%23.98%4.40%0.74%2.79%31.92%
3816.41%48.80%26.01%5.59%1.27%1.92%34.80%
3920.54%50.39%21.29%4.85%1.17%1.76%29.08%
4027.26%40.33%24.07%5.08%1.24%2.01%32.41%
4134.11%27.01%29.40%4.56%0.95%3.97%38.88%
4239.86%20.91%30.33%4.09%0.82%3.99%39.23%
Majority District3
5%6
10%4

Adding to the challenge faced by legislators is that by the time of the general election in November of next year, the gap between those not affiliated with either of the major parties will most likely be significantly larger, placing the outcome of potentially many races in the hands of those voters. We should know the answers very soon.

Combined Non-Partisan and Minor Party Registration Extends Lead Over Major Parties – Dilemma for Redistricting

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – October 3, 2021

How will Nevada’s legislators address the expanding plurality of voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican when they meet to redraw Congressional and legislative district maps later this month or next? (See the bottom of this article for more details)

Despite being a voter roll maintenance month, September 2021 saw the combined number of voters registered to vote in Nevada as either Non-Partisan, in a minor party, or “other” extend their lead over both the Democratic and Republican Party. The only voter segment where this is not happening is among voters 55 years of age or older. Even in this group, however, both the Democratic and Republican Party are losing voter share, just not to the extent as other demographics.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-27,729-4.26%34.47%-0.31%
R-21,276-3.74%30.29%-0.11%
NP-11,816-2.39%26.72%0.28%
IAP-3,177-3.77%4.49%-0.02%
LIB-978-5.39%0.95%-0.02%
Other1,3402.46%3.08%0.18%
Total not D or R  35.24%0.42%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-23,669-4.74%37.43%-0.25%
R-17,530-4.97%26.37%-0.24%
NP-10,709-2.96%27.64%0.32%
IAP-2,649-4.59%4.33%-0.02%
LIB-755-6.59%0.84%-0.02%
Other1,0622.52%3.39%0.22%
Total not D or R  36.20%0.50%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-4,017-3.74%32.99%-0.13%
R-3,979-3.69%33.13%-0.11%
NP-2,307-2.84%25.26%0.14%
IAP-562-3.76%4.59%-0.02%
LIB-230-5.49%1.26%-0.03%
Other1631.92%2.76%0.14%
Total not D or R  33.88%0.23%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-43-0.10%19.56%-0.16%
R2330.22%48.82%-0.24%
NP1,2002.37%23.47%0.38%
IAP340.29%5.26%-0.02%
LIB70.28%1.13%0.00%
Other1153.02%1.77%0.04%
Total not D or R  31.63%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-11,257-6.14%34.03%-0.53%
R-6,314-6.17%18.99%-0.30%
NP-5,786-3.02%36.79%0.63%
IAP-1,313-5.44%4.51%-0.04%
LIB-558-6.77%1.52%-0.03%
Other3841.86%4.16%0.27%
Total not D or R  46.98%0.83%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,215-2.67%35.92%-0.16%
R-7,617-2.59%39.08%-0.15%
NP-1,398-1.03%18.33%0.22%
IAP-748-2.32%4.31%0.00%
LIB-88-2.69%0.44%0.00%
Other4143.03%1.92%0.10%
Total not D or R  25.00%0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP400
LIB400
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP1623
LIB2001
Other0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP0420
IAP2877
LIB3714
Other1410

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

With less than 35 percent of active registered voters being represented by the majority party in the legislature; less than 65 percent being represented by either party, how will the legislature use this data when developing district boundaries that will be in place for the next ten years? Political affiliation is not supposed to be part of the planning, but I think it would be naive to believe it does not enter into the equation.

Nevada’s population grew by 15 percent since the last census in 2010. At the same time, the number of active registered voters increased by 36 percent. *

  • Active Democratic registration decreased by 18 percent
  • Active Republican registration decreased by 17 percent
  • Active Non-Partisan registration increased by 69 percent
  • Active minor party and “other” registration increased by 50 percent
  • Active combined Non-Partisan, minor party, and “other” registration increased by 64 percent

*End December 2010 compared to end September 2021

When creating district boundaries, the goal is to have approximately the same number of people in each district, the “ideal population”. The tables below show the difference between the ideal population and the 2020 census. The most accepted method of reaching the ideal is to readjust the current boundaries to either add or subtract population. Another method would be to increase the number of districts, decreasing the ideal population. The Nevada Constitution allows the legislature to do this. The legislature could increase the total number of legislative districts to 75.

Congressional – Ideal population 776,154

District2020 CensusDiff from ideal% diff% Dem%Rep%NP% Not D or R
1702,822-73,332-9.45%42.93%19.22%29.32%37.85%
2758,820-17,334-2.23%28.28%38.64%24.66%33.08%
3855,52879,37410.23%32.80%30.89%27.50%36.31%
4787,44411,2901.45%36.76%28.92%26.04%34.32%

State Senate – Ideal population 147,839

District2020 CensusDiff from ideal% diff% Dem%Rep%NP% Not D or R
1165,54217,70311.97%42.68%22.19%26.76%35.13%
2128,419-19,420-13.14%48.87%11.71%31.29%39.42%
3132,412-15,427-10.44%42.68%20.01%28.73%37.31%
4141,147-6,692-4.53%51.20%13.42%27.56%35.38%
5134,488-13,351-9.03%34.80%29.64%26.87%35.56%
6134,456-13,383-9.05%36.96%29.61%25.23%33.44%
7143,026-4,813-3.26%40.48%21.92%28.81%37.60%
8135,709-12,130-8.20%33.91%31.09%26.45%35.00%
9204,52156,68238.34%34.22%27.18%29.50%38.60%
10137,808-10,031-6.79%42.67%17.59%30.79%39.73%
11145,009-2,830-1.91%38.49%22.43%30.24%39.08%
12159,06111,2227.59%27.76%38.34%25.61%33.89%
13143,585-4,254-2.88%38.85%23.56%28.59%37.59%
14144,479-3,360-2.27%26.16%41.58%23.93%32.26%
15144,172-3,667-2.48%34.17%32.89%24.47%32.94%
16150,7302,8911.96%28.51%39.18%23.98%32.31%
17138,343-9,496-6.42%18.85%49.86%23.10%31.29%
18154,0306,1914.19%31.50%34.80%25.11%33.70%
19158,78710,9487.41%19.47%47.67%24.32%32.86%
20161,48713,6489.23%32.36%31.27%27.40%36.37%
21147,403-436-0.29%41.33%22.79%27.86%35.88%

State Assembly – Ideal population 73,919

District2020 CensusDiff from ideal% diff% Dem%Rep%NP% Not D or R
178,6714,7526.43%40.88%25.29%25.60%33.83%
269,552-4,367-5.91%31.90%33.81%25.91%34.29%
367,382-6,537-8.84%43.68%19.89%28.22%36.43%
482,7478,82811.94%33.22%32.70%25.43%34.09%
566,157-7,762-10.50%36.66%28.42%26.58%34.92%
669,404-4,515-6.11%54.93%9.39%27.91%35.68%
771,743-2,176-2.94%48.98%16.85%26.52%34.18%
880,6296,7109.08%37.64%23.61%30.07%38.76%
999,76625,84734.97%35.23%26.88%29.04%37.89%
1065,030-8,889-12.03%42.39%20.43%28.51%37.18%
1160,829-13,090-17.71%49.69%11.32%30.95%38.99%
1281,8457,92610.72%38.45%27.31%26.43%34.24%
1371,283-2,636-3.57%29.80%37.82%24.19%32.38%
1465,558-8,361-11.31%46.68%16.17%29.26%37.15%
1569,581-4,338-5.87%44.89%18.21%28.67%36.90%
1668,227-5,692-7.70%41.06%17.47%32.11%41.47%
1786,87112,95217.52%45.08%19.53%27.23%35.39%
1875,5611,6422.22%41.45%20.77%29.18%37.77%
1977,3993,4804.71%28.90%36.63%26.41%34.47%
2067,465-6,454-8.73%40.09%23.48%27.75%36.43%
2160,849-13,070-17.68%35.58%29.25%26.58%35.17%
2276,5122,5933.51%30.52%35.58%25.42%33.90%
2381,6627,74310.47%27.10%40.27%24.39%32.63%
2469,813-4,106-5.55%41.80%19.94%29.46%38.26%
2574,2333140.42%32.05%37.42%22.49%30.53%
2679,9306,0118.13%29.53%38.20%23.97%32.27%
2769,939-3,980-5.38%36.94%27.51%26.75%35.54%
2867,590-6,329-8.56%49.10%12.33%30.63%38.57%
2973,639-280-0.38%34.57%30.31%26.68%35.12%
3073,772-147-0.20%36.50%27.23%27.36%36.27%
3176,2222,3033.12%31.28%35.27%24.65%33.45%
3268,257-5,662-7.66%20.47%49.27%22.64%30.26%
3367,861-6,058-8.20%14.27%54.90%23.20%30.84%
3467,878-6,041-8.17%39.34%25.72%26.56%34.93%
35104,75530,83641.72%33.81%27.94%29.43%38.25%
3690,92617,00723.01%23.20%43.33%24.45%33.47%
3766,578-7,341-9.93%35.20%33.43%23.63%31.37%
3869,274-4,645-6.28%16.73%49.33%25.23%33.94%
3969,069-4,850-6.56%20.84%50.69%20.76%28.47%
4070,800-3,119-4.22%27.53%40.75%23.39%31.72%
4184,97511,05614.96%34.65%27.58%28.68%37.77%
4264,380-9,539-12.90%40.54%21.35%29.57%38.10%

There is no doubt the attitude of voters as expressed by their party affiliation, or lack of, continues to change. The question is will the state legislature adjust for that. Will they develop fair maps without regard to political affiliation or will they take the position that those who have left the Democratic or Republican Party have given up their right to be represented for the next ten years?