Random Thoughts – Opinion

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – January 27, 2023

As we head in to the 2023 Nevada legislative session, I wanted to put out a few random thoughts.

November saw the first passage of Question 3, an amendment to the Nevada constitution that, if passed by the voters a second time in 2024, will replace our current closed primary system with a top-five nonpartisan open primary and ranked choice voting in the general election. Nevada voters are ready to take control of their elections again as evidenced by 53 percent of voters voting “yes”. Look for the campaign to focus on clarifying just how simple and easy the proposed Final Five Voting process is and how the process benefits all Nevadans.

What about the election just completed.

Just under 55 percent of active registered voters cast ballots. This is about average for mid-term elections, but disappointing given mail ballots were sent to all active voters. Since Nevada still maintains in-person voting, the question of cost benefit has to asked. Assembly Bill 321 (AB 321) approved by the legislature last session making the temporary system of mailing ballots to all active voters put in place for the 2020 election due to COVID did not include any money for voter education. The result was voter confusion as shown by the number of ballots that were either returned, rejected, or in need of correction (curing). It is important to note that prior to 2020, Nevada had no excuse absentee voting, anyone could request a mail ballot. In 2019 a major change that allowed a voter to be placed on a permanent list to receive a mail ballot for all elections instead of having to submit a new request for each election was enacted.

Mailing ballots to all voters has become a hot-button issue whether deservedly so or not. The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (M.I.T.) rated Nevada 13th following the 2020 election for election administration, meaning we are doing things right.

Perhaps going back to the pre-AB 321 process and using the money required to mail ballots to all, some $14 million, to address some of the valid issues; voter roll maintenance and voter education is worth considering.

The level of emotion connected with all mail ballots also inspired some counties to propose going back to hand-marked paper ballots and manual counting of the votes. This is allowed under current election statute (NRS293B.050). However, the legislature has ordered the secretary of state to change the voter registration and voter roll maintenance process to one controlled by the secretary of state instead of the individual counties (top-down instead of bottom-up) Instead of each county reporting to the secretary of state, the secretary of state would provide the data to the counties. Given this change, the state cannot risk having 17 different voting and tabulation processes. To keep the process standardized and therefor more efficient and accurate, something I believe is supported by both Democratic and Republican voters alike, the law allowing counties to use different methods needs to be changed so all counties use the same voting and tabulation methods.

Another hot-button issue is requiring voters to show valid identification to vote. Is this a solution looking for a problem? Yes. Does the issue impact the legislature from solving other, more   important issues? Yes. Is there a fix that could remove this issue and its effect on our political environment? Yes.

Polls suggest that most voters, whether a proponent of voter ID requirements or not, would not object to showing an ID to vote. The proposals being presented this session will include a wide variety of acceptable identification documents all centered around the documents required to be presented to register to vote. For those lacking any of the numerous acceptable identification county clerks or registrar of voters would provide a voting identification free of charge.

Because of the partisan emotion surrounding the issues of mail ballots and voter ID, it is unlikely bills presenting potential solutions will advance. Food for thought, shouldn’t we try to remove obstacles to progress rather than strengthening walls? What would happen if pragmatism won out over partisanship?

During this last election cycle, all election administration offices saw key people and staff leave. Going into 2023, both the Clark and Washoe county registrar of voters is new. The secretary of state and county election offices are trying to hire new staff and have them trained in time for the February 2024 presidential preference primary; there will be three elections in 2024. Educating voters to this fact will play a major role impacting turnout for the state primary in June. Hopefully the required funds will be approved by the legislature.

Random thoughts.

Non-Partisan and Minor Party Growth Ends 2022 on Familiar Ground

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 31, 2022

With December voter registration numbers, voters registered as Non-Partisan or in minor parties closed out 2022 not only expanding their lead with an average growth of almost two percent over the year; Non-Partisan voter share growth averaged over two and one-half percent, but elected a new governor, lieutenant governor, and controller.  

In addition to the three races mentioned above, voters not affiliated with either the Democratic or Republican Party impacted the margin of victory of many other races. NOTE: A breakout is included with this report.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D6320.10%32.39%-0.12%-1.54%
R4040.07%29.67%-0.12%-0.21%
NP7,5141.32%30.37%0.25%2.69%
IAP6720.82%4.35%0.01%-0.14%
LIB500.30%0.88%0.00%-0.07%
Other-174-0.39%2.34%-0.02%-0.73%
Total not D or R  37.94%0.24%1.75%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D5630.12%35.11%-0.16%-1.71%
R3650.10%25.77%-0.12%-0.22%
NP6,3141.49%31.56%0.29%2.93%
IAP5160.91%4.20%0.01%-0.13%
LIB540.51%0.78%0.00%-0.06%
Other-138-0.39%2.57%-0.02%-0.81%
Total not D or R  39.12%0.28%1.93%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D1870.19%31.66%-0.03%-0.90%
R2030.20%33.02%-0.03%0.19%
NP4210.49%27.48%0.05%1.49%
IAP1230.87%4.55%0.03%-0.07%
LIB50.14%1.17%0.00%-0.09%
Other-13-0.20%2.11%-0.01%-0.63%
Total not D or R  35.32%0.070.71%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D-118-0.28%17.65%-0.09%-1.48%
R-164-0.15%47.73%-0.17%-0.57%
NP7791.23%27.29%0.27%2.77%
IAP330.29%4.91%0.00%-0.30%
LIB-9-0.35%1.09%-0.01%-0.04%
Other-23-0.73%1.32%-0.01%-0.39%
Total not D or R  34.62%0.25%2.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D340.02%30.88%-0.18%-2.31%
R410.04%17.73%-0.10%-0.80%
NP3,1811.40%42.74%0.33%4.55%
IAP1220.53%4.30%0.00%-0.18%
LIB40.05%1.35%-0.01%-0.15%
Other-122-0.75%3.00%-0.04%-1.11%
Total not D or R  51.39%0.28%3.11%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %2021 – 2022 Voter Share Change
D1830.07%34.46%-0.09%-1.10%
R2600.09%39.10%-0.10%0.29%
NP1,8851.22%20.39%0.18%1.43%
IAP2800.88%4.19%0.02%-0.15%
LIB130.42%0.40%0.00%-0.03%
Other-10-0.09%1.46%-0.01%-3.89%
Total not D or R  26.44%0.19%0.81%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP040
LIB004
Other310

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2010
Republican2010
NP1200
IAP1182
LIB5313
Other2001

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 13 (61.90%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4020
Republican4110
NP2400
IAP23010
LIB12822
Other35  43

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 25 (59.53%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1140
Republican1320
NP2130
IAP780
LIB663
Other1014

As we head into the legislative session, it is important to note that in sixty percent of legislative districts, voters registered as neither Democratic nor Republican is the largest voting bloc. Are legislators aware of this and how will that awareness, or lack thereof, affect the legislative process?

Impact of Non-Major Party Voters on 2022 General Election

Column Definition:

Percent – Percent of vote received

Party – Political Party of candidate

Reg % Party voter share

Diff Reg – Difference in voter share of major party candidates

Diff Vote to Reg – Difference of vote received to party voter share

Margin of Win – Percent of vote received, winner to second place candidate

Diff Margin of Win to Diff Ref – Comparison of margin of win to difference in voter share

Impact of non-major party voters can be deducted by comparing difference in voter share to margin of win. Example, Republican Party voter share is almost three percent lower than Democratic Party share yet Joe Lombardo won the race for governor by one and one-half percent.

Governor
PercentPartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
BRIDGES, ED0.97%IAP4.31%-3.34%
DAVIS, BRANDON1.46%LP0.88%0.58%
LOMBARDO, JOE48.81%R29.84%-2.82%18.97%1.51%4.33%
SISOLAK, STEVE47.30%D32.66%14.64%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES1.46%
Lieutenant Governor
ANTHONY, STAVROS49.41%R29.84%-2.82%19.57%3.66%6.48%
CANO BURKHEAD, ELIZABETH “LISA”45.75%D32.66%13.09%
DELAP, JOHN “TREY”0.78%NP29.87%-29.09%
HOGE, WILLIAM0.83%IAP4.31%-3.48%
TACHIQUIN, JAVI “TRUJILLO”1.13%LP0.88%0.25%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES2.09%
State Controller
MATTHEWS, ANDY50.06%R29.84%-2.82%20.22%4.13%6.95%
PROFETA, JED W.1.52%LP0.88%0.64%
SPIEGEL, ELLEN45.93%D32.66%13.27%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES2.48%
United States Senator
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
PERCENT
CORTEZ MASTO, CATHERINE48.81%D32.66%2.82%16.15%0.77%-2.05%
LAXALT, ADAM PAUL48.04%R29.84%18.20%
LINDEMANN, BARRY0.79%NP29.87%-29.08%
RUBINSON, BARRY0.51%IAP4.31%-3.80%
SCOTT, NEIL0.63%LP0.88%-0.25%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES1.22%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 1
CAVANAUGH, KEN2.47%LP0.78%1.69%
ROBERTSON, MARK45.96%R25.67%20.29%
TITUS, DINA51.57%D35.60%9.93%15.97%5.61%-4.32%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 2
AMODEI, MARK E.59.73%R39.02%12.58%20.71%21.93%9.35%
BABER, DARRYL1.12%LP1.15%-0.03%
BEST, RUSSELL1.35%IAP4.63%-3.28%
KRAUSE, ELIZABETH MERCEDES37.80%D26.44%11.36%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 3
BECKER, APRIL48.02%R27.51%20.51%
LEE, SUSIE51.98%D33.37%5.86%18.61%3.96%-1.90%
U.S. Representative in Congress, District 4
HORSFORD, STEVEN A.52.42%D35.88%9.62%16.54%4.84%-4.78%
PETERS, SAM47.58%R26.26%21.32%
State Races
Secretary of State
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
AGUILAR, FRANCISCO “CISCO”48.95%
CRANE, ROSS0.87%LP0.88%-0.01%
HANSEN, JANINE1.72%IAP4.31%-2.59%
MARCHANT, JIM46.67%R29.84%16.83%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES1.79%
State Treasurer
CONINE, ZACH47.70%D32.66%2.82%15.04%1.70%-1.12%
ELLIOTT, BRYAN1.59%LP0.88%0.71%
FIORE, MICHELE46.00%R29.84%16.16%
HENDRICKSON, MARGARET1.94%IAP4.31%-2.37%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES2.77%
Attorney General
CHATTAH, SIGAL44.36%R29.84%14.52%
FORD, AARON D.52.25%D32.66%2.82%19.59%7.89%5.07%
NONE OF THESE CANDIDATES3.39%
State Senate, District 2
FLORES, EDGAR69.93%D44.02%31.64%25.91%39.86%8.22%
HENDERSON, LEO30.07%R12.38%17.69%
State Senate, District 8
LOOP, MARILYN DONDERO50.72%D32.72%2.94%18.00%1.44%-1.50%
PAULOS, JOEY49.28%R29.78%19.50%
State Senate, District 9
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
BROWN, TINA46.55%R
SCHEIBLE, MELANIE53.45%D34.71%9.95%18.74%6.90%-3.05%
State Senate, District 10
CUNNINGHAM, CHRIS3.64%LP0.87%2.77%
DONATE, FABIAN55.54%D36.99%16.84%18.55%14.72%-2.12%
GRAVIET, PHILIP40.82%R20.15%20.67%
State Senate, District 12
ARRINGTON, CHERLYN47.53%R27.59%19.94%
PAZINA, JULIE ANN52.47%D33.33%5.74%19.14%4.94%-0.80%
State Senate, District 13
BUEHLER, MATTHEW R.38.43%R23.25%15.18%
DALY, RICHARD “SKIP”61.57%D36.79%13.54%24.78%23.14%9.60%
State Senate, District 14
HANSEN, IRA100.00%R43.09%56.91%
State Senate, District 16
KRASNER, LISA60.35%R40.52%13.73%19.83%20.70%6.97%
SIMS, AARON39.65%D26.79%12.86%
State Senate, District 17
TITUS, ROBIN L.100.00%R49.02%50.98%
State Senate, District 20
FOUTZ, BRENT35.59%D24.79%10.80%
MILLS, BRANDON2.72%LP0.71%2.01%
STONE, JEFF61.69%R41.28%16.49%20.41%26.10%9.61%
State Senate, District 21
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
LARSEN, APRIL44.21%R
OHRENSCHALL, JAMES55.79%D40.30%19.62%15.49%11.58%-8.04%
State Assembly, District 1
BRINKLEY, GARLAND LEE42.60%R25.86%16.74%
MCATEE-MACRAE, PATRICK “MAC”2.58%NP28.40%-25.82%
MONROE-MORENO, DANIELE54.82%D38.44%12.58%16.38%12.22%-0.36%
State Assembly, District 2
BEDNARZ, JASON1.38%LP0.77%0.61%
CHRISTENSON, NICK44.28%D30.99%13.29%
KASAMA, HEIDI54.34%R32.72%1.73%21.62%10.06%8.33%
State Assembly, District 3
LEMACK, JOSHUA44.67%R23.94%20.73%
TORRES, SELENA ELIZABETH55.33%D37.79%13.85%17.54%10.66%-3.19%
State Assembly, District 4
BURNS, DARBY LEE37.38%LP0.88%36.50%
MCARTHUR, RICHARD62.62%R32.55%31.67%30.07%25.24%-6.43%
State Assembly, District 5
MILLER, BRITTNEY52.88%D34.63%8.11%18.25%7.39%-0.72%
MORGAN, RONALD1.64%LP0.76%0.88%
QUINN, KELLY45.49%R26.53%18.96%
State Assembly, District 6
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
RIOS, KATHRYN “KAT”18.57%R
SUMMERS-ARMSTRONG, SHONDRA81.43%D51.40%42.42%30.03%62.86%20.44%
State Assembly, District 7
MILLER, CAMERON HOMER “C.H.”63.45%D44.38%26.68%19.07%26.90%0.22%
PALMER, ANTHONY “TONY”36.55%R17.70%18.85%
State Assembly, District 8
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
LOGAN, JENANN44.07%R
NGUYEN, DUY55.93%D33.93%10.54%22.00%11.86%1.32%
State Assembly, District 9
FLEMING, RYAN PATRICK46.79%R26.34%20.45%
YEAGER, STEVE53.21%D32.95%6.61%20.26%6.42%-0.19%
State Assembly, District 10
HERNANDEZ, SANDIE “GISELA”41.81%R21.61%20.20%
NGUYEN, ROCHELLE58.19%D38.98%17.37%19.21%16.38%-0.99%
State Assembly, District 11
DURAN, BEATRICE “BEA”73.35%D44.54%33.19%28.81%46.70%13.51%
KRATTIGER, ERIC26.65%R11.35%15.30%
State Assembly, District 12
CARTER, II, MAX E.50.94%D38.01%12.98%12.93%1.88%-11.10%
LARSEN, FLEMMING49.06%R25.03%24.03%
State Assembly, District 13
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
HIBBETTS, BRIANR7.54%
RUCKER, WILL44.45%D30.42%14.03%
State Assembly, District 14
MOSCA, ERICA66.00%D43.05%27.58%22.95%32.00%4.42%
STAMPER, SHAWN34.00%R15.47%18.53%
State Assembly, District 15
BANG, STEVEN D.37.47%R16.41%21.06%
WATTS, HOWARD62.53%D38.21%21.80%24.32%25.06%3.26%
State Assembly, District 16
GONZALEZ, CECELIA53.86%D35.92%12.49%17.94%7.72%-4.77%
HOLDER, JESSE “JAKE”46.14%R23.43%22.71%
State Assembly, District 17
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
PAWLEY, III, EUGENE MICHAELR
THOMAS, CLARA “CLAIRE”65.52%D41.67%23.93%23.85%31.04%7.11%
State Assembly, District 18
CONSIDINE, VENICIA60.37%D39.51%19.89%20.86%20.74%0.85%
DECORTE, CHRISTINE39.63%R19.62%20.01%
State Assembly, District 19
YUREK, THADDEUS “TOBY”100.00%R42.78%57.22%
State Assembly, District 20
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
LAROW, JOSIAH L.LP
ORENTLICHER, DAVID59.44%D39.92%20.44%19.52%21.71%1.27%
VAUGHAN, STAN37.73%R19.48%18.25%
State Assembly, District 21
MARZOLA, ELAINE52.41%D33.39%4.69%19.02%4.82%0.13%
PETRICK, JON S.47.59%R28.70%18.89%
State Assembly, District 22
HARDY, MELISSA58.54%R34.21%4.99%24.33%17.08%12.09%
RAMOS, RICK41.46%D29.22%12.24%
State Assembly, District 23
BRICKFIELD, ELIZABETH39.60%D26.64%12.96%
GALLANT, DANIELLE58.87%R39.92%13.28%18.95%19.27%5.99%
MANLEY, MERCY1.53%LP0.72%0.81%
State Assembly, District 24
KING, DORZELL34.09%R20.84%13.25%
PETERS, SARAH65.91%D37.88%17.03%28.03%31.82%14.79%
State Assembly, District 25
KUMAR, SAM46.10%R32.74%13.36%
LA RUE HATCH, SELENA53.90%D35.17%2.43%18.73%7.80%5.37%
State Assembly, District 26
DELONG, RICH71.71%R40.02%12.47%31.69%43.42%30.95%
MITCHELL, REED28.29%D27.55%0.74%
State Assembly, District 27
PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
ORTIZ, CARMEN L.R
TAYLOR, ANGELA58.21%D35.92%10.44%22.29%16.42%5.98%
State Assembly, District 28
BROWN, CLINT32.58%R13.39%19.19%
D’SILVA, REUBEN67.42%D43.51%30.12%23.91%34.84%4.72%
State Assembly, District 29
COHEN, LESLEY ELIZABETH53.14%D33.72%6.63%19.42%6.28%-0.35%
KNIGHTLY, RHONDA46.86%R27.09%19.77%
State Assembly, District 30
ANDERSON, NATHA C.55.21%D35.71%10.07%19.50%13.77%3.70%
MCGEEIN, GARRETT3.36%LP1.14%2.22%
RODRIGUEZ-ELKINS, RICCI41.44%R25.64%15.80%
State Assembly, District 31
DICKMAN, JILL100.00%R40.27%59.73%
State Assembly, District 32
HANSEN, ALEXIS M.100.00%R46.23%53.77%
State Assembly, District 33
GARRARD, JOHN “DOC”19.13%D13.04%6.09%
GURR, BERT80.87%R52.52%39.48%28.35%61.74%22.26%
State Assembly, District 34
BILBRAY-AXELROD, SHANNON56.12%D37.56%13.38%18.56%12.24%-1.14%
BUTLER, STACY43.88%R24.17%19.71%
State Assembly, District 35
  PartyReg %Diff RegDiff Vote to RegMargin of winDiff margin of win -Diff reg
GORELOW, MICHELLE48.93%D
JONES, TIFFANY47.41%R28.03%19.38%
ROBINSON, MINDY3.66%LP0.84%2.82%
\
State Assembly, District 36
HAFEN, II, GREGORY T.100.00%R40.29%59.71%
State Assembly, District 37
BACKUS, SHEA50.49%D34.08%2.96%16.41%2.57%-0.39%
DEAVILLE, JACOB47.92%R31.11%16.81%
TEDOFF, MARC1.60%LP0.82%0.78%
State Assembly, District 38
KOENIG, GREGORY S.100.00%R47.24%52.76%
State Assembly, District 39
GRAY, KEN70.17%R50.52%31.54%19.65%40.34%8.80%
NOBLE, JANICE E.29.83%D18.98%10.85%
State Assembly, District 40
MCDANIEL, SHANNON C.37.96%D25.96%12.00%
O’NEILL, PHILIP “PK”58.81%R41.06%15.11%17.75%20.85%5.74%
TOLL, SAM3.23%LP1.22%2.01%
State Assembly, District 41
BODINE, PAUL46.07%R26.47%19.60%
JAUREGUI, SANDRA51.77%D33.28%6.81%18.49%5.70%-1.11%
MCNAMARA, SEAN2.16%LP0.87%1.29%
State Assembly, District 42
BROWN-MAY, TRACY56.65%D36.56%13.46%20.09%13.30%-0.16%
FACEY, EDWARD “EDDIE”43.35%R23.10%20.25%

Voters Split Tickets and Continue to Leave Major Parties in November

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – December 5, 2022

The general election last month brought Nevada a split government; three of the six Constitutional offices going to both the Democratic (treasurer, attorney general, secretary of state) and Republican Party (governor, lieutenant governor, comptroller) and the Democratic Party maintaining a super-majority in the assembly and a majority in the senate. Besides splitting their tickets, voters also continued to prefer to register to vote as members of neither major party.

Statewide, Non-Partisan voter share surpassed 30 percent increasing its lead over the GOP and just two (2) percent behind Democratic voter share. Among younger voters, Non-Partisan registration out-paces Democratic registration by 11 percent and Republican registration by 25 percent. In the rural counties, Non-Partisan registration is 10 percent higher than Democratic and is just four (4) percent behind Democratic share in both Clark and Washoe County. Voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican increased their lead as the largest bloc statewide, in Clark and Washoe County, and among voters 18 to 34 years of age.

The combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continued its dominance to where it is now the top voter share in over 50 percent of the state legislative districts (11 of 21 state senate; 52.38% and 24 of 42 state assembly; 57.14%)

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D11,3011.87%32.51%-0.15%
R11,9212.15%29.79%-0.05%
NP17,4923.16%30.12%0.24%
IAP2,3822.98%4.33%0.03%
LIB4212.58%0.88%0.00%
Other-371-0.82%2.36%-0.08%
Total not D or R  37.70%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8,7381.87%35.27%-0.21%
R8,6172.53%25.89%0.02%
NP13,3463.26%31.27%0.24%
IAP1,8593.40%4.19%0.04%
LIB2742.67%0.78%0.00%
Other-363-1.02%2.60%-0.09%
Total not D or R  38.84%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,2962.38%31.69%-0.08%
R2,2192.20%33.05%-0.14%
NP2,9543.57%27.43%0.25%
IAP3742.72%4.53%0.00%
LIB1022.86%1.17%0.00%
Other210.32%2.12%-0.05%
Total not D or R  35.25%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2670.65%17.74%-0.09%
R1,0850.98%47.91%-0.09%
NP1,1921.92%27.01%0.20%
IAP1491.31%4.91%0.01%
LIB451.78%1.10%0.01%
Other-29-0.92%1.34%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.36%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,2012.59%31.06%-0.12%
R3,1503.41%17.83%0.08%
NP7,3093.32%42.40%0.14%
IAP7713.46%4.30%0.02%
LIB1792.51%1.36%-0.01%
Other-150-0.91%3.04%-0.12%
Total not D or R  51.11%0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,0871.18%34.55%-0.16%
R4,2431.43%39.20%-0.08%
NP4,3312.88%20.22%0.24%
IAP7062.26%4.17%0.03%
LIB511.68%0.40%0.00%
Other-31-0.28%1.46%-0.03%
Total not D or R  26.25%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican112
NP040
IAP040
LIB004
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1191
NP0210
IAP1173
LIB4710
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 11 (52.38%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican22191
NP0420
IAP5334
LIB101715
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 23 (54.76%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1041
Republican1050
NP1140
IAP591
LIB375
Other1212

How did registration trends impact the election outcome? I’ll be writing about that as soon as the secretary of state posts the final turnout data.

As Early Voting Begins Non-Partisan Overtakes GOP in Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – November 3, 2022

As I write this the two weeks of early voting ends tomorrow and election day is five days away. While Non-Partisan voter share has exceed that of the Republican Party among voters 18 to 34 years of age for quite some time and more recently in Clark County, October voter registration now puts GOP voter share below Non-Partisan statewide for the first time.

The combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continued its dominance to where it is now the top voter share in over 50 percent of the state legislative districts (11 of 21 state senate; 52.38% and 23 of 42 state assembly; 54.76%)

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D12,6372.13%32.66%-0.21%
R10,4391.92%29.84%-0.25%
NP22,9374.32%29.87%0.44%
IAP1,9402.49%4.31%-0.01%
LIB4332.72%0.88%0.00%
Other-56-0.12%2.44%-0.07%
Total not D or R  37.50%0.36%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D8,7041.90%35.47%-0.21%
R5,9851.79%25.88%-0.18%
NP16,4404.19%31.03%0.50%
IAP1,1202.09%4.15%-0.02%
LIB2212.20%0.78%0.00%
Other-223-0.62%2.69%-0.08%
Total not D or R  38.65%0.40%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3723.62%31.77%-0.08%
R2,8132.87%33.19%-0.32%
NP4,2135.37%27.18%0.39%
IAP6144.67%4.52%0.03%
LIB1574.61%1.17%0.01%
Other1662.58%2.17%-0.03%
Total not D or R  35.04%0.39%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5611.38%17.83%-0.26%
R1,6411.50%48.00%-0.65%
NP2,2843.82%26.82%0.24%
IAP2061.85%4.90%-0.05%
LIB552.23%1.09%-0.01%
Other10.03%1.37%-0.04%
Total not D or R  34.17%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,9641.22%31.17%-0.03%
R1,1131.22%17.76%-0.02%
NP3,6671.69%42.26%0.15%
IAP2391.08%4.28%-0.01%
LIB761.08%1.37%0.00%
Other-258-1.54%3.16%-0.09%
Total not D or R  51.07%0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,1371.21%34.71%-0.04%
R3,7111.27%39.28%-0.03%
NP2,5041.69%19.97%0.07%
IAP5511.80%4.14%0.02%
LIB501.67%0.40%0.00%
Other140.12%1.49%-0.02%
Total not D or R  26.01%0.07%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP211
LIB112
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP1254
LIB867
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 11 (52.38%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4011
NP0420
IAP191112
LIB151314
Other41  01

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 23 (54.76%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican1410
NP1140
IAP744
LIB753
Other1032

How this translate into election results is anybody’s guess. Jon Ralston, CEO of the Nevada Independent, breaks down turnout here.

Heading to General Election Non-Partisan Voter Share Increase Continues

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – October 7, 2022

With one month to go before election day, both the Democratic and Republican Party continued to lose voter share in September while Non-Partisan gained not only voter share but led in raw number growth as well.  Combined Non-Partisan and minor party voter share continues to be the largest segment in the state, both Clark and Washoe county, and among voters 18 to 34 years of age (over 51 percent with 42 percent Non-Partisan). This pattern continues in all 17 counties and all legislative districts.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D6,4281.10%32.87%-0.09%
R4,6840.87%30.09%-0.15%
NP13,7332.66%29.43%0.37%
IAP1,1821.54%4.32%0.01%
LIB2421.55%0.88%0.00%
Other-1,830-4.03%2.42%-0.14%
Total not D or R  37.04%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D5,0721.12%35.68%-0.13%
R2,6790.81%26.06%-0.18%
NP10,4482.73%30.53%0.37%
IAP7781.47%4.17%0.00%
LIB1291.30%0.78%0.00%
Other-178-0.50%2.78%-0.06%
Total not D or R  38.26%0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,2411.35%31.85%-0.14%
R1,3751.42%33.52%-0.12%
NP2,0712.71%26.79%0.24%
IAP3312.58%4.49%0.03%
LIB842.53%1.16%0.01%
Other320.50%2.20%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.64%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1150.28%18.09%0.03%
R6300.58%48.65%0.21%
NP1,2142.07%26.57%0.50%
IAP730.66%4.95%0.03%
LIB291.19%1.10%0.01%
Other-1,684-54.04%0.64%-0.75%
Total not D or R  33.26%-0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,6401.67%31.20%-0.11%
R1,0071.11%17.77%-0.16%
NP6,2762.99%42.11%0.39%
IAP3691.70%4.29%-0.01%
LIB1081.56%1.37%-0.01%
Other-160-0.95%3.25%-0.10%
Total not D or R  51.02%0.27%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,3390.91%34.75%-0.06%
R2,1720.75%39.31%-0.13%
NP2,9632.04%19.90%0.19%
IAP3681.21%4.12%0.01%
LIB290.98%0.40%0.00%
Other380.34%1.51%-0.01%
Total not D or R  25.94%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP121
LIB013
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
NP0210
IAP1092
LIB6510
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 10 (47.62%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4110
NP0420
IAP18204
LIB111417
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 20 (47.62%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican1050
NP3120
IAP1023
LIB654
Other1104

As I write this, early voting begins in three weeks.

Voter Roll Maintenance Benefits Major Party Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – September 10, 2022

August was a voter roll maintenance month and with the decrease in total active registered voters, the both the Democratic and Republican Party benefited in voter share. That said, the share of active voters not registered in either major party (Non-Partisan and minor party) remains the largest voting bloc in the state, in both Clark and Washoe counites, and increased its majority among voters 18 to 34 years of age. The only category where this group is below 30 percent is among voters 55 years of age and older. Even in the rural counties the average voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican is at 32 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-12,067-2.02%32.96%0.05%
R-9,765-1.78%30.24%0.12%
NP-13,781-2.60%29.06%-0.13%
IAP-1,619-2.07%4.31%0.00%
LIB-466-2.89%0.88%-0.01%
Other-1,704-3.62%2.55%-0.04%
Total not D or R  36.80%-0.18%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-9,425-2.03%35.82%0.08%
R-6,071-1.79%26.24%0.12%
NP-10,767-2.74%30.16%-0.15%
IAP-1,182-2.19%4.17%0.00%
LIB-323-3.16%0.78%-0.01%
Other-1,411-3.78%2.83%-0.04%
Total not D or R  37.95%-0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,631-1.74%31.99%-0.01%
R-1,717-1.74%33.64%-0.01%
NP-1,277-1.64%26.55%0.02%
IAP-193-1.48%4.45%0.01%
LIB-65-1.92%1.15%0.00%
Other-119-1.82%2.23%0.00%
Total not D or R  34.38%0.03%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,011-2.43%18.07%-0.03%
R-1,977-1.78%48.44%0.23%
NP-1,737-2.88%26.07%-0.17%
IAP-244-2.16%4.92%0.00%
LIB-78-3.10%1.09%-0.01%
Other-174-5.29%1.39%-0.04%
Total not D or R  33.47%-0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,551-0.97%31.31%-0.13%
R-716-0.79%17.94%-0.04%
NP4100.20%41.72%0.31%
IAP-202-0.92%4.31%-0.02%
LIB-108-1.53%1.38%-0.01%
Other-633-3.61%3.35%-0.11%
Total not D or R  50.75%0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,344-1.29%34.81%-0.09%
R-3,098-1.06%39.44%-0.01%
NP-628-0.43%19.72%0.12%
IAP-233-0.76%4.12%0.01%
LIB-48-1.59%0.40%0.00%
Other-309-2.69%1.52%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.76%0.10%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic040
Republican040
NP400
IAP031
LIB400
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic5151
Republican2190
NP1731
IAP7104
LIB1137
Other2010

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.10%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic10311
Republican8340
NP3660
IAP16197
LIB20517
Other37  32

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 17 (40.48%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican951
NP3111
IAP1050
LIB654
Other1203

In my opinion, something I don’t usually express in this column, I don’t put much emphasis on changes that are due to voters being removed from the active rolls. Changes in September should give a better perspective on what to expect on election day.

Post Primary – Major Parties Return to Voter Share Loses While Non-Partisans Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – August 3, 2022

While more Democratic Party members migrate to the Republican Party, tracked by Jon Ralston CEO of the Nevada Independent voter registration numbers for July show a return to the normal trend; both major parties losing voter share while Non-Partisan gains. Washoe County was the only exception. In Washoe, the Democratic Party remained flat and the Republican Party registered an almost one-half of one percent gain. Voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican remains the largest voting block statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties. Non-Partisan remains the largest group among voters 18 to 34 years of age and when combined with minor party registration is above 50 percent. This group is also the largest voting segment in three of the four Congressional Districts, nine of the 21 state senate districts, and 18 of the 42 state assembly districts.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-9,353-1.54%32.91%-0.17%
R-8,702-1.56%30.12%-0.16%
NP2,2540.43%29.19%0.43%
IAP-1,088-1.37%4.31%-0.01%
LIB-468-2.82%0.89%-0.02%
Other-1,720-3.52%2.59%-0.07%
Total not D or R  36.97%0.33%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,535-0.33%35.74%-0.26%
R-1,760-0.52%26.12%-0.24%
NP9,0952.37%30.31%0.59%
IAP1730.32%4.17%0.00%
LIB-40-0.39%0.79%-0.01%
Other-986-2.58%2.88%-0.09%
Total not D or R  38.15%0.49%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,224-7.16%32.00%0.01%
R-6,148-5.88%33.65%0.47%
NP-7,132-8.41%26.53%-0.35%
IAP-1,137-8.04%4.44%-0.04%
LIB-396-10.47%1.16%-0.04%
Other-659-9.18%2.23%-0.05%
Total not D or R  34.36%-0.48%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-594-1.41%18.10%-0.15%
R-794-0.71%48.21%-0.07%
NP2910.48%26.24%0.28%
IAP-124-1.08%4.92%-0.03%
LIB-32-1.25%1.10%-0.01%
Other-75-2.23%1.43%-0.02%
Total not D or R  33.69%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,850-2.36%31.45%-0.34%
R-2,664-2.84%17.98%-0.28%
NP1,3190.63%41.40%0.80%
IAP-403-1.81%4.32%-0.02%
LIB-286-3.90%1.39%-0.04%
Other-874-4.75%3.46%-0.12%
Total not D or R  50.58%0.62%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,575-0.98%34.90%-0.08%
R-3,078-1.04%39.45%-0.11%
NP6660.46%19.60%0.24%
IAP-376-1.22%4.11%-0.02%
LIB-51-1.67%0.41%0.00%
Other-312-2.64%1.54%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.65%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP130
IAP202
LIB301
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1920
Republican1641
NP4170
IAP1722
LIB1452
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In nine (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3651
Republican3480
NP6360
IAP27123
LIB25107
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican951
NP3111
IAP1050
LIB654
Other1203

There is just under three months until early voting for the general election begins. If both the Democratic and Republican Party continue to lose voter share, how will that translate into election results?

Competitive Primary Races Lead to Slight GOP Voter Share Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – July 3, 2022

June was primary election month with the competitive and most visible races concentrated in the Republican primary. Because of this, voter registration numbers for June saw the Republican Party increasing voter share across the board with minor parties losing. Non-Partisan fluctuation was mixed. Voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican remains the largest voting block statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties. Non-Partisan remains the largest group among voters 18 to 34 years of age and when combined with minor party registration is hovering around 50 percent.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,5870.76%33.07%-0.06%
R12,1382.23%30.28%0.39%
NP2,6580.51%28.76%-0.12%
IAP-766-0.96%4.32%-0.08%
LIB-77-0.46%0.90%-0.01%
Other-1,635-3.24%2.66%-0.11%
Total not D or R  36.65%-0.32%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4,1190.89%35.99%-0.01%
R8,8992.69%26.35%0.45%
NP7440.19%29.73%-0.22%
IAP-537-0.99%4.17%-0.08%
LIB-67-0.65%0.79%-0.01%
Other-1,309-3.31%2.96%-0.13%
Total not D or R  37.65%-0.44%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4900.49%31.98%-0.16%
R1,5601.51%33.18%0.17%
NP1,3141.57%26.88%0.16%
IAP-97-0.68%4.48%-0.08%
LIB-2-0.05%1.20%-0.01%
Other-196-2.66%2.28%-0.09%
Total not D or R  34.84%-0.02%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-22-0.05%18.26%-0.17%
R1,6791.53%48.28%0.31%
NP6001.01%25.96%0.04%
IAP-132-1.14%4.95%-0.10%
LIB-8-0.31%1.10%-0.01%
Other-130-3.72%1.46%-0.07%
Total not D or R  33.47%-0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,2240.76%31.78%-0.08%
R1,8221.98%18.26%0.17%
NP2,4611.19%40.60%0.08%
IAP-29-0.13%4.34%-0.05%
LIB40.05%1.43%-0.01%
Other-376-2.00%3.58%-0.11%
Total not D or R  49.96%-0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,9640.76%34.98%-0.04%
R6,3992.21%39.56%0.51%
NP-427-0.29%19.36%-0.23%
IAP-590-1.87%4.13%-0.12%
LIB-57-1.83%0.41%-0.01%
Other-773-6.15%1.57%-0.12%
Total not D or R  25.47%-0.48%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican040
NP310
IAP400
LIB400
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1551
Republican0210
NP1650
IAP2100
LIB1830
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic28113
Republican0420
NP30120
IAP4101
LIB3318
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 17 (40.48%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican0150
NP681
IAP1410
LIB1023
Other1401

This primary election cycle saw a return to the trend of at least one major party gaining share. There are a few reasons that could have attributed to the increase in the Republican Party and loses in the Democratic Party: lack of competitive races, more interest in the Republican contests, or an element of strategic voting, attempting to influence the results having the perceived weakest candidate advance. It will be interesting to watch if, or how many voters switch their party affiliation back leading up to the general election.

SB 499 Strikes Again – Why We Need Final Five Voting

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 21, 2022

The primary election is over (results will be certified on June 24th) and once again we have partisan races in closed primaries determining the overall winner of the office. SB 499 strikes again.

SB 499 changed the way elections for partisan offices where only one major party fields candidates, no minor party or Non-Partisan candidates running for the position. Prior to this bill, if this condition presented itself the following applies:

  • If only two candidates were running both would automatically advance (no primary election) to the general election so all voters could make their choice known.
  • If three or more candidates were running the top two finishers in the primary would advance to the general election, again so all voters could cast a ballot.

Under SB 499, a primary is held and the winner of the primary advances to the general election unopposed. Since Nevada conducts closed primaries, only the members of the party of the candidates vote. Since primary election turnout is significantly lower than the general election, this means a small fraction of the party and an even smaller fraction of the district is determining the winner.

Since SB 499 became effective for the 2016 election, 12 state legislative races were determined in the closed primaries. This cycle we add four (4) more. If you add in county partisan races, the total is more than doubled.

DistrictParty% Party TurnoutWinner % of turnoutWinner % of party registrationWinner % of total district registration
SD 17Republican48.75%51.64%25.17%12.3%
AD 19Republican44.75%42.10%18.84%8.0%
AD 36Republican44.79%51.92%23.26%9.46%
AD 38Republican44.55%57.09%25.43%12.01%

I would think it will be difficult for any of these winners; they will be officially elected in November as long as they each receive at least one (1) vote, to claim they represent their constituents. Perhaps claiming they represent the majority of their party members who voted in the primary is sufficient. (Note in two of the races the winner did not receive the majority)

The state legislature has twice refused to reverse this change, returning to the process that allowed all voters in the district to have their voices heard and vote counted, in 2017 and again in 2019.

In all likelihood there will be a ballot initiative on the general election ballot in November 2022 that will correct this and provide all voters, regardless of party, the choice to vote for any candidate, regardless of political party in the primary and then have a louder voice in the general  election by allowing voters to vote for the five candidates for any office in order of their preference for each candidate.

GOP Posts Voter Share Gains; Unaffiliated Tops 50 Percent Among Younger Voters in Month Leading Up to Primary

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 2, 2022

Two notable changes in the May voter registration numbers. Republican Party voter share registered gains across the board and among voters 18 to 34 years of age, voter share of those not registered in either major party topped 50 percent. Non-Partisan voter share gained except among voters 55 years of age and older, holding basically even in Washoe County. Conversely, the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share in all sectors as do the minor parties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,5870.60%33.13%-0.08%
R6,9821.30%29.90%0.13%
NP5,2571.01%28.89%0.04%
IAP-14-0.02%4.40%-0.04%
LIB40.02%0.92%-0.01%
Other-413-0.81%2.77%-0.05%
Total not D or R  36.98%-0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3,3430.73%36.00%-0.08%
R4,7801.46%25.90%0.13%
NP4,2391.12%29.94%0.05%
IAP800.15%4.25%-0.03%
LIB100.10%0.81%-0.01%
Other-285-0.71%3.09%-0.05%
Total not D or R  38.09%-0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1880.19%32.14%-0.05%
R7910.77%33.00%0.14%
NP2340.28%26.73%-0.01%
IAP-84-0.59%4.56%-0.04%
LIB-6-0.16%1.21%-0.01%
Other-81-1.09%2.36%-0.03%
Total not D or R  34.86%-0.09%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See new rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D560.13%18.42%-0.15%
R1,4111.30%47.96%0.16%
NP7841.34%25.93%0.09%
IAP-10-0.09%5.05%-0.05%
LIB00.00%1.12%-0.01%
Other-47-1.33%1.53%-0.04%
Total not D or R  33.62%-0.01%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1060.69%31.86%-0.13%
R1,0731.18%18.09%0.02%
NP3,2421.60%40.53%0.20%
IAP1550.70%4.39%-0.02%
LIB170.23%1.44%-0.01%
Other-102-0.54%3.69%-0.06%
Total not D or R  50.06%0.11%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1820.46%35.02%-0.07%
R3,8841.36%39.04%0.27%
NP1550.11%19.59%-0.11%
IAP-237-0.75%4.24%-0.06%
LIB-22-0.70%0.42%-0.01%
Other-179-1.40%1.69%-0.04%
Total not D or R  25.94%-0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican040
NP040
IAP400
LIB220
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican0210
NP7140
IAP1920
LIB1218
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In eight (38.1%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3912
Republican2382
NP17232
IAP3543
LIB24810
Other41  10

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1410
Republican3120
NP5100
IAP1320
LIB825
Other1410

In Mineral County the combined voter share of Non-Partisan and minor party is greater than either the Democratic or Republican Party.

The gain in Republican Party voter share raises a question. Do voters want to see a competitive general election or is there a desire to ensure GOP candidates nominated are the weakest against Democratic opponents?