Candidates Have Filed – We Shouldn’t Have to “Settle”

The candidates for all federal state, and local offices up for election this year have filed to run. The number of candidates for any particular office range from one to 23 (CD 3). Click here for the full list. Of course, all voters will not have a voice in who their choices are in the general election and due to a change made by the 2015 state legislature, over 50 percent of voters will not have any say, even in the general election, in who represents them in six races.

Because primary election participation averages less than 20 percent, approximately seven percent of all voters will decide who the rest of the voters get to choose from in the general election and in the six races mentioned above, decide the winner.

Having our choices made by others then having to “settle” is the nature of not only our current electoral process but our current political environment. Yes, eligible registered voters should actually vote. Yes, a voter could register to vote in either the Republican or Democratic Party to be eligible to vote in the primary. But the partisan divisiveness and intra-party bickering has driven voters away from not only the parties but from participation. This is the problem. Party membership is not growing. Nearly 30 percent of active registered voters in Nevada are not registered to vote in either the Republican or Democratic Party. Over 20 percent are registered as Non-Partisan. This percentage increases every month. The numbers are 10 percent higher among those 18 to 34 years of age and the growth is occurring not only state-wide but individually in Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, among 18 to 34-year olds, among those 55 and over, and in most congressional, state senate, and state assembly districts.

Because of the dwindling number of voters participating in the nomination process, those making the decision for all voters are usually the small, highly partisan, and most vocal party loyalists. Campaigns are largely attack ads and candidates are rewarded with nomination for remaining steadfast in party dogma and holding to an inflexible position, not willing to collaborate and reach consensus with those holding different opinions. Often this position carries over to legislating, maintaining an environment where solutions remain elusive.

During the general election campaign, there may be an attempt to discuss issues and solutions because candidates must appeal to a wider array of voters (this should be the norm not the exception), however, negativity overshadows genuine discussion of the issues as there is no reason to show a willingness to reach consensus with the “other side”. What if this wasn’t the way it needed to be?

What would this election look like if it was conducted according to the Greater Choice – Greater Voice initiative? Imagine:

  • Having to vote only once in the general election
  • Having a choice among all candidates
  • Not having to settle but actually vote your conscience, vote for the candidate you truly prefer without being considered a “spoiler” vote
  • Voting not only for your first choice, but your second and third, knowing your vote will still count if your first choice is eliminated, just as we make many choices on any given day
  • Candidates debating the issues and possible solutions rather than just attacking their opponent
  • Elected officials having to collaborate, work together to reach consensus and solve problems rather than being rewarded for maintaining the hyper-partisan divisiveness
  • The state saving $3 – $4 million each election cycle
  • All this while maintaining political parties’ first amendment right of association

Think of the election results if all voters could choose their top three candidates in each race from all; 17 running for governor, 15 running for U.S. Senate, 23 running to represent Congressional District 3. What about the state legislature races where there are three, four, five, or six candidates or the local races with similar numbers? Imagine all voters having a real choice.

Governor First Choice Second Choice Third Choice
Russell Best Independent American
Jared Fisher Republican
Stanleigh “Stan” Lusak Republican
Henry Thorns Democrat
William “Bill” Boyd Republican
Dan Schwartz Republican
Jared Lord Libertarian
Stephanie Carlisle Republican
Asheesh Dewan Democrat
Steve Sisolak Democrat
Chris Giunchigliani Democrat
Adam Paul Laxalt Republican
David Jones Democrat
Ryan Bundy No political party
Frederick L. Conquest Republican
Edward F. Dundas Republican
John Bonaventura Democrat

With all candidates vying for all votes, a real discussion of the issues would have to take place. Those serious but lesser known candidates would have a greater chance of being heard. No candidate would be marginalized unless they chose to be.

When discussion of the issues is limited to those candidates who, because of existing name recognition, get media attention, ideas and potential solutions from other candidates are only disseminated by the individual campaigns to the extent possible, rarely making it into the main discussion. By opening the entire election process to all voters, all serious candidates have a chance to be heard. Many of these lesser-known candidates are concerned with the direction of government and the lack of real problem-solving. They are concerned with the direction their political party is headed. Some are first-time candidates who have the passion to make a difference and have decided the best way to do that is to run for office. Yet because of the process, their voices are not heard. We have no idea what we are missing. Is a front-runner also missing an idea they had never considered but which may appeal to them?

Take another look at the list of candidates. Answer the following questions:

  • Without thinking of their chances to win the primary, which candidate is my favorite?
  • Will I vote for this candidate even if they do not have any chance of winning?
  • If you answered “yes” to the above question, do you consider your vote to be a spoiler?
  • If you answered “no” to the above question, why not?
  • If you answered “no” would you have ranked that candidate as your first choice and other candidates second and third choice if that was allowed?
  • Would you be upset if your vote went to your second choice if your first choice was eliminated?
  • Do you think being able to rank candidates; ranking three from all candidates, gives you a greater voice in the election?

 

 

Republican Ground Game is Working But Will it Result in Votes

The voter registration numbers for February 2018 are out.

For the past few months the national Republican Party has been aggressive in targeting Nevada to increase voter registration in the party. Using an extensive data-driven process, the effort is paying off. Whether this will result in increased GOP turnout in the primary election and votes for GOP candidates in November will have to be seen. However, with the Democratic Party continuing to lose voter share across all tracked demographics, the GOP must feel energized.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,316 0.41 38.57 -0.09
R 4,239 0.86 33.59 0.07
NP 2,310 0.74 21.36 0.02
Other 580 0.61 6.49 0.00
Total not D or R     27.85 0.02

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.66/0.00%; Lib 0.94/0.00%; other 5 parties 0.11/-0.01%

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,249 0.29 42.15 -0.08
R 2,270 0.75 29.37 0.08
NP 1,165 0.51 22.35 0.01
Other 199 0.31 6.14 -0.01
Total not D or R     28.49 0.00

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.36/0.00%  Lib 0.72/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.18/-0.01%

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 175 0.20 35.14 -0.01
R 209 0.22 37.66 0.00
NP 143 0.28 20.06 0.01
Other 228 1.28 7.14 0.07
Total not D or R     27.20 0.08

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.23/0.00%; Lib 0.31/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.09 / 0.00%

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 892 2.03 23.58 -0.03
R 1,760 1.85 51.21 -0.16
NP 1,002 3.08 17.70 0.16
Other 348 2.51 7.51 0.03
Total not D or R     25.21 0.19

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 2.30/0.01%; Lib 2.87/0.01%; other 5 parties 3.94/0.01%

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 581 0.39 38.38 -0.14
R 1,255 1.41 23.37 0.15
NP 867 0.75 30.24 0.00
Other 201 0.65 8.01 -0.01
Total not D or R     38.25 -0.01

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.89/0.01%; Lib 0.78/0.00%; other 5 parties -0.07/-0.01%

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,016 0.42 39.20 -0.08
R 1885 0.75 40.74 0.06
NP 671 0.73 14.81 0.02
Other 207 0.64 5.26 0.01
Total not D or R     20.07 0.03

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters / voter share: IAP 0.64/0.00%; Lib 0.89/0.00%; other 5 parties 0.40/0.00%

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 4 0 0
Republican 1 3 0
Non-Partisan 1 3 0
Other 2 1 1

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 19 2 0
Republican 2 18 1
Non-Partisan 4 12 5
Other 9 9 3

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 37 4 1
Republican 5 36 1
Non-Partisan 10 26 6
Other 23 13 1

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

As we are now three months away from the primary election that will determine the choices all voters must select from in November, the composition and size of the primary election turnout will be critical. If the new Republican voters turn out, will they be more moderate than the current Republican base? If the Democratic Party continues to lose voter share, how will that impact the progressive candidates?

Candidate filing opens on March 6th. Most candidates have already announced. Several races have multiple candidates. Even with the GOP posting voter share gains, nearly one-third of voters are not affiliated with either major party. Only a small number of voters are choosing the candidates for all voters with many then settling for the lesser of two evils in general election. What would the results be if all voters had a choice of all candidates in November?