Post Primary – Major Parties Return to Voter Share Loses While Non-Partisans Gain

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – August 3, 2022

While more Democratic Party members migrate to the Republican Party, tracked by Jon Ralston CEO of the Nevada Independent voter registration numbers for July show a return to the normal trend; both major parties losing voter share while Non-Partisan gains. Washoe County was the only exception. In Washoe, the Democratic Party remained flat and the Republican Party registered an almost one-half of one percent gain. Voter share of those not registered as either Democratic or Republican remains the largest voting block statewide and in Clark and Washoe counties. Non-Partisan remains the largest group among voters 18 to 34 years of age and when combined with minor party registration is above 50 percent. This group is also the largest voting segment in three of the four Congressional Districts, nine of the 21 state senate districts, and 18 of the 42 state assembly districts.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-9,353-1.54%32.91%-0.17%
R-8,702-1.56%30.12%-0.16%
NP2,2540.43%29.19%0.43%
IAP-1,088-1.37%4.31%-0.01%
LIB-468-2.82%0.89%-0.02%
Other-1,720-3.52%2.59%-0.07%
Total not D or R  36.97%0.33%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,535-0.33%35.74%-0.26%
R-1,760-0.52%26.12%-0.24%
NP9,0952.37%30.31%0.59%
IAP1730.32%4.17%0.00%
LIB-40-0.39%0.79%-0.01%
Other-986-2.58%2.88%-0.09%
Total not D or R  38.15%0.49%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-7,224-7.16%32.00%0.01%
R-6,148-5.88%33.65%0.47%
NP-7,132-8.41%26.53%-0.35%
IAP-1,137-8.04%4.44%-0.04%
LIB-396-10.47%1.16%-0.04%
Other-659-9.18%2.23%-0.05%
Total not D or R  34.36%-0.48%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-594-1.41%18.10%-0.15%
R-794-0.71%48.21%-0.07%
NP2910.48%26.24%0.28%
IAP-124-1.08%4.92%-0.03%
LIB-32-1.25%1.10%-0.01%
Other-75-2.23%1.43%-0.02%
Total not D or R  33.69%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-3,850-2.36%31.45%-0.34%
R-2,664-2.84%17.98%-0.28%
NP1,3190.63%41.40%0.80%
IAP-403-1.81%4.32%-0.02%
LIB-286-3.90%1.39%-0.04%
Other-874-4.75%3.46%-0.12%
Total not D or R  50.58%0.62%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-2,575-0.98%34.90%-0.08%
R-3,078-1.04%39.45%-0.11%
NP6660.46%19.60%0.24%
IAP-376-1.22%4.11%-0.02%
LIB-51-1.67%0.41%0.00%
Other-312-2.64%1.54%-0.03%
Total not D or R  25.65%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP130
IAP202
LIB301
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1920
Republican1641
NP4170
IAP1722
LIB1452
Other2100

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In nine (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3651
Republican3480
NP6360
IAP27123
LIB25107
Other42  00

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 18 (42.86%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1500
Republican951
NP3111
IAP1050
LIB654
Other1203

There is just under three months until early voting for the general election begins. If both the Democratic and Republican Party continue to lose voter share, how will that translate into election results?