One Month Into Session Democratic Party Continues to Lose Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

One month into the 80th regular session of the Nevada legislature, the Democratic Party continued to lose voter share in February. The only exception was among those 18 to 34 years of age and in the rural counties.  

The Democratic Party’s 2019 Legislative Session Nevada Blueprint includes “Expand access to the ballot box.” We will be following several election-related bills that are designed to do just that. The question remains, however, will the party’s leadership follow the same path as in the 2017 session?

Here are the numbers.

State-Wide

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,917 0.31% 38.35% 0.00%
R 1,153 0.22% 33.36% -0.03%
NP 1,663 0.48% 22.03% 0.03%
IAP 382 0.48% 4.37% 0.01%
LIB 92 0.58% 1.01% 0.00%
Other -46 -0.33% 0.88% -0.01%
Total not D or R     28.29% 0.03

 Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Clark County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 2,092 0.45% 41.90% -0.04%
R 1,695 0.52% 29.25% -0.01%
NP 1,822 0.71% 22.93% 0.04%
IAP 435 0.76% 4.12% 0.01%
LIB 87 0.85% 0.92% 0.00%
Other 0 0.00% 0.87% 0.00%
Total not D or R     28.84% 0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Washoe County

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 3 0.00% 35.04% -0.06%
R 240 0.24% 36.89% 0.02%
NP 215 0.37% 21.17% 0.04%
IAP 42 0.47% 4.45% 0.01%
LIB 23 0.67% 1.27% 0.01%
Other -38 -1.16% 1.19% -0.02%
Total not D or R     28.08% 0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

Rural Counties

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D -178 -0.39% 22.86% 0.07%
R -782 -0.75% 51.69% -0.02%
NP -374 -1.03% 18.09% -0.06%
IAP -69 -0.61% 5.68% 0.01%
LIB -18 -0.79% 1.13% 0.00%
Other -8 -0.73% 0.55% 0.00%
Total not D or R     25.45% -0.05%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

18 – 34 Year Old

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 346 0.21% 38.70% 0.03%
R -142 -0.14% 22.71% -0.06%
NP 377 0.28% 31.00% 0.05%
IAP -4 0.08% 4.52% 0.00%
LIB 17 0.23% 1.73% 0.00%
Other -37 -0.63% 1.33% -0.01%
Total not D or R     38.58% 0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other

55+

Party Change in # Voters % Change % Voter Share Difference in Voter Share %
D 1,005 0.40% 38.64% -0.03%
R 1,184 0.44% 41.26% -0.01%
NP 679 0.69% 15.00% 0.03%
IAP 223 0.69% 4.13% 0.01%
LIB 31 1.06% 0.45% 0.00%
Other 5 0.14% 0.52% 0.00%
Total not D or R     20.10% 0.04%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 3 1 0
Republican 3 1 0
Non-Partisan 0 4 0
IAP 0 3 1
LIB 0 0 4
Other 2 0 2

CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 18 3 0
Republican 11 7 3
Non-Partisan 2 19 0
IAP 5 13 3
LIB 2 8 11
Other 9 1 11

In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party # Districts Lose Voter Share # Districts Gain Voter Share # Districts No Change
Democratic 33 7 2
Republican 19 20 3
Non-Partisan 8 31 3
IAP 10 27 5
LIB 8 16 18
Other 18 5 19

In 34 districts (81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

We show voter registration data broken down statewide, Clark County, Washoe County, the rural counties, those 18 to 34 and those 55 and older. Across all these demographics except for those over 55 the percentage of voter not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party is close to 30 percent; 20 percent for those over 55. For those 18 to 34, the percentage is close to 40 percent. Will the legislature acknowledge this continuing trend and pass the election bills presented to truly “expand access to the ballot box”? We’ll know in three months.

3 Replies to “One Month Into Session Democratic Party Continues to Lose Voter Share”

  1. I recently changed party affiliation from lifelong Democrat to Independent because I witnessed multiple irregularities during the last Democratic Primary Caucus to put the fix in for Hilary. I will NEVER take part in another sham Democratic Primary Caucus. WE MUST HAVE OPEN VOTING PRIMARIES!

    1. Carmen, If you are in Nevada there are some interesting discussions going on with the state Democratic Party. Hope to be able to provide details soon.
      Doug

    2. I too dropped the Democrap party in 2016…but I will be re-registering to vote FOR Bernie Sanders in 2020…but ONLY if he is the Nominee!!! Like Bernie said…we CAN’T transform the party from the outside…and I want an FDR type government that works FOR the people…NOT the 1% at the top!!!

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