Non-Partisan Less Than One-Quarter of One Percent From Overtaking Democratic As Top Voter Group

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – July 4, 2023

Did the Nevada Legislature’s regular and two special sessions have an impact on voter registration? Difficult to say. However, the June voter registration numbers could allow for a reasonable assumption. Non-Partisan voter share gained almost one-half of one percent on Democratic voter share and is now less than one-quarter of one percent (0.24%) away from over-taking the Democratic Party as the leading group of active voters in the state.

Except in the rural counties, Non-Partisan was the only group to gain share. In the rurals, all parties gained, however, Non-Partisan led the way more than doubling the Republican gain. 

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-779-0.13%31.84%-0.16%
R2780.05%29.12%-0.09%
NP7,3861.25%31.60%0.28%
IAP3850.47%4.37%0.00%
LIB40.02%0.86%0.00%
Other-302-0.72%2.20%-0.02%
Total not D or R  39.04%0.26%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,113-0.24%34.18%-0.21%
R-758-0.22%25.26%-0.15%
NP5,0411.13%33.02%0.25%
IAP1000.17%4.22%-0.01%
LIB-14-0.13%0.76%0.00%
Other-296-0.89%2.41%-0.03%
Total not D or R  40.42%0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2130.22%31.17%-0.10%
R3270.33%32.66%-0.07%
NP9681.12%28.39%0.16%
IAP1421.01%4.59%0.01%
LIB50.14%1.17%0.00%
Other-18-0.29%2.02%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.17%0.16

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1210.32%17.87%0.02%
R7090.69%48.68%0.24%
NP1,3772.43%27.19%0.60%
IAP1431.37%4.94%0.06%
LIB130.56%1.09%0.00%
Other120.48%1.17%0.00%
Total not D or R  34.39%0.66%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-954-0.60%29.92%-0.26%
R-231-0.26%16.91%-0.09%
NP2,8091.20%44.83%0.41%
IAP100.04%4.25%-0.01%
LIB-23-0.33%1.31%-0.01%
Other-200-1.35%2.77%-0.05%
Total not D or R  53.17%0.34%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D3010.12%34.05%-0.11%
R5930.20%38.64%-0.10%
NP2,3331.45%21.27%0.21%
IAP2700.83%4.25%0.02%
LIB110.36%0.40%0.00%
Other-48-0.45%1.38%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.30%0.22%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
NP040
IAP121
LIB103
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2010
NP0210
IAP8103
LIB9102
Other2010
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,9,10,11,12

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican4200
NP1410
IAP19185
LIB161115
Other36  42

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 29 (69.05%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in Ads 8,9,15,16,29,35, and 41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1311
Republican1410
NP1140
IAP582
LIB654
Other735

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 14 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 31.06 percent.

If the trend continues; being a multi-year trend there is no reason to believe it won’t, will the Democratic Party relinquish its voter share lead this month? Will the party fall below 30 percent voter share before next year’s state primary in June?