Non-Partisan Continue To Close Gap On Democratic Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 5, 2023

Both the Democratic and Republican Party continued their voter share decline in May with Non-Partisan getting closer to over-taking the Democratic Party as the group with the greatest voter share. Voter roll maintenance in Humboldt, Lincoln, and Nye County helped the major parties in those counties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-216-0.04%32.00%-0.01%
R-2,889-0.52%29.22%-0.15%
NP3,4180.58%31.33%0.18%
IAP440.05%4.36%0.00%
LIB-53-0.32%0.87%0.00%
Other-374-0.89%2.23%-0.02%
Total not D or R  38.79%0.16%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D1,1780.25%34.38%-0.16%
R8340.24%25.41%-0.12%
NP7,1941.64%32.77%0.30%
IAP5470.96%4.23%0.01%
LIB530.51%0.77%0.00%
Other-46-0.14%2.44%-0.02%
Total not D or R  40.21%0.29%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2050.21%31.27%-0.12%
R2430.24%32.73%-0.12%
NP1,2411.46%28.23%0.24%
IAP1150.83%4.59%0.01%
LIB230.65%1.17%0.00%
Other-2-0.03%2.02%-0.01%
Total not D or R  36.00%0.24

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,599-4.03%17.84%0.21%
R-3,966-3.70%48.43%0.75%
NP-5,017-8.13%26.59%-0.85%
IAP-618-5.61%4.88%-0.02%
LIB-129-5.28%1.08%0.00%
Other-326-11.58%1.17%-0.08%
Total not D or R  33.72%-0.95%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-293-0.18%30.18%-0.06%
R-1,042-1.15%17.00%-0.20%
NP1,5600.67%44.42%0.29%
IAP140.06%4.26%0.00%
LIB-49-0.70%1.32%-0.01%
Other-164-1.09%2.82%-0.03%
Total not D or R  52.82%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-19-0.01%34.17%0.01%
R-885-0.30%38.74%-0.10%
NP6490.40%21.06%0.09%
IAP170.05%4.23%0.00%
LIB-19-0.61%0.40%0.00%
Other-87-0.81%1.40%-0.01%
Total not D or R  27.09%0.08%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic310
Republican400
NP130
IAP121
LIB130
Other400

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in CD3.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1920
Republican1920
NP2190
IAP5106
LIB6312
Other2100
    

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 15 (71.43%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in SDs 5,9,10, and 11

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3741
Republican3660
NP3390
IAP9249
LIB14820
Other38  22

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 28 (66.67%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in Ads 8,9,15,16,29,35, and 41

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1041
Republican951
NP4101
IAP753
LIB753
Other1122

The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 10 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 30.73 percent (decrease of 0.82% due to list maintenance in Humboldt, Lincoln, and Nye county.

The legislative session must end tonight by midnight. How will voters view the results and will that have any impact of voter registration trends?