By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – March 1, 2023
With the increase of active voters registered as Non-Partisan in February, the segment of active voters not registered to vote in either the Democratic or Republican Party is now the largest group of voters in two-thirds (66.67 percent) of all state legislative districts. That segment remains the largest bloc statewide, in Clark and Washoe county, and is now just under 52 percent among voters 18 – 34 years of age.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,253 | 0.21% | 32.16% | -0.13% |
| R | 1,027 | 0.19% | 29.71% | -0.13% |
| NP | 8,481 | 1.51% | 30.61% | 0.27% |
| IAP | 624 | 0.77% | 4.36% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 103 | 0.64% | 0.87% | 0.00% |
| Other | -20 | -0.05% | 2.28% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 38.13% | 0.26% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,317 | 0.29% | 34.90% | -0.15% |
| R | 911 | 0.27% | 25.80% | -0.12% |
| NP | 6,846 | 1.65% | 31.81% | 0.29% |
| IAP | 461 | 0.83% | 4.21% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 75 | 0.74% | 0.77% | 0.00% |
| Other | -15 | -0.05% | 2.50% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 39.30% | 0.27% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -41 | -0.04% | 31.58% | -0.09% |
| R | 20 | 0.02% | 33.06% | -0.07% |
| NP | 677 | 0.82% | 27.57% | 0.16% |
| IAP | 62 | 0.45% | 4.56% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 8 | 0.23% | 1.16% | 0.00% |
| Other | -4 | -0.06% | 2.05% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 35.35% | 0.16 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -23 | -0.06% | 17.47% | -0.10% |
| R | 96 | 0.09% | 47.48% | -0.19% |
| NP | 958 | 1.49% | 27.73% | 0.27% |
| IAP | 101 | 0.88% | 4.92% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 20 | 0.78% | 1.10% | 0.00% |
| Other | -1 | -0.03% | 1.30% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 35.05% | 0.28% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 167 | 0.11% | 30.50% | -0.21% |
| R | 62 | 0.07% | 17.64% | -0.13% |
| NP | 3,813 | 1.72% | 43.33% | 0.39% |
| IAP | 139 | 0.63% | 4.29% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 23 | 0.33% | 1.34% | -0.01% |
| Other | -47 | -0.31% | 2.90% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 51.86% | 0.34% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 528 | 0.20% | 34.28% | -0.09% |
| R | 668 | 0.23% | 39.06% | -0.09% |
| NP | 2,005 | 1.30% | 20.61% | 0.17% |
| IAP | 231 | 0.73% | 4.21% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 35 | 1.15% | 0.41% | 0.00% |
| Other | -1 | -0.01% | 1.42% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 26.66% | 0.17% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| LIB | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Other | 4 | 0 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In three (75%) of the districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| IAP | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| LIB | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| Other | 20 | 0 | 1 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 14 (66.67%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 42 | 0 |
| IAP | 10 | 23 | 9 |
| LIB | 11 | 9 | 22 |
| Other | 37 | 2 | 3 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 29 (66.67%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 13 | 1 | 1 |
| Republican | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| IAP | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| LIB | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| Other | 7 | 1 | 7 |
The voter share of those not registered to either the Democratic or Republican Party increased in 14 of the 15 rural counties with an average share of 33.10 percent (range 23.67 to 39.87)
On March 4, 2023, the Nevada Democratic Party will hold its state party leadership election. There has been a lot of media attention given to the friction between the current leadership and the challenging slate. I have to pose the question; could the result of the election have an impact on voter share in the coming month?