By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
For the second month running, the Nevada Democratic Party has increased voter share while Republican Party share declines and Non-Partisan gains slow. This pattern is apparent in both voter share and rate of growth. While I believe it’s too early to declare a new trend, I think November numbers show growing interest in the upcoming Democratic presidential caucus.
State-Wide
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 4,204 | 0.71% | 38.28% | 0.05% |
R | 1,990 | 0.38% | 33.31% | -0.06% |
NP | 2,079 | 0.60% | 22.13% | 0.01% |
IAP | 595 | 0.86% | 4.45% | 0.01% |
LIB | 127 | 0.81% | 1.02% | 0.00% |
Other | -26 | -0.20% | 0.82% | -0.01% |
Total not D or R | 28.41% | 0.01 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Clark County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 3,607 | 0.80% | 41.94% | 0.04% |
R | 1,628 | 0.52% | 29.13% | -0.06% |
NP | 1,796 | 0.72% | 23.00% | 0.00% |
IAP | 529 | 1.17% | 4.21% | 0.02% |
LIB | 104 | 1.05% | 0.92% | 0.00% |
Other | -6 | -0.07% | 0.80% | -0.01% |
Total not D or R | 28.93% | 0.01 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Washoe County
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 672 | 0.69% | 35.14% | 0.05% |
R | 388 | 0.38% | 36.47% | -0.06% |
NP | 378 | 0.63% | 21.46% | 0.02% |
IAP | 83 | 0.66% | 4.51% | 0.00% |
LIB | 33 | 0.92% | 1.29% | 0.00% |
Other | -9 | -0.28% | 1.13% | -0.01% |
Total not D or R | 28.38% | 0.01 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
Rural Counties
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | -75 | -0.17% | 22.61% | -0.01% |
R | -26 | -0.03% | 51.82% | 0.05% |
NP | -95 | -0.26% | 18.24% | -0.03% |
IAP | -17 | -0.15% | 5.66% | 0.00% |
LIB | -10 | -0.44% | 1.14% | 0.00% |
Other | -11 | -1.04% | 0.53% | 0.00% |
Total not D or R | 25.57% | -0.03 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
18 – 34 Year Old
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 1,431 | 0.89% | 39.10% | 0.13% |
R | 70 | 0.08% | 22.21% | -0.11% |
NP | 587 | 0.46% | 31.12% | -0.03% |
IAP | 168 | 0.88% | 4.63% | 0.02% |
LIB | 54 | 0.76% | 1.73% | 0.00% |
Other | -35 | -0.70% | 1.20% | -0.02% |
Total not D or R | 38.69% | -0.03 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and other
55+
Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
D | 1,766 | 0.70% | 38.39% | 0.02% |
R | 1,597 | 0.59% | 41.34% | -0.03% |
NP | 678 | 0.68% | 15.13% | 0.00% |
IAP | 222 | 0.81% | 4.18% | 0.01% |
LIB | 31 | 1.03% | 0.46% | 0.00% |
Other | 18 | 0.54% | 0.51% | 0.00% |
Total not D or R | 20.27% | 0.01 |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Non-Partisan | 1 | 2 | 1 |
IAP | 0 | 2 | 2 |
LIB | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Other | 3 | 0 | 1 |
CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 (75 percent of the districts) continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Senate Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 4 | 17 | 0 |
Republican | 18 | 2 | 1 |
Non-Partisan | 6 | 13 | 2 |
IAP | 2 | 13 | 6 |
LIB | 3 | 8 | 10 |
Other | 9 | 0 | 12 |
In 16 districts (76.19%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
State Assembly Districts
Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
Democratic | 10 | 31 | 1 |
Republican | 38 | 3 | 1 |
Non-Partisan | 20 | 20 | 2 |
IAP | 8 | 29 | 5 |
LIB | 9 | 17 | 16 |
Other | 22 | 2 | 18 |
In 35 districts (83%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
Most monthly changes in voter share are in the low hundredths of a percent. Democratic Party gains of almost one-quarter of one percent with corresponding Republican loses over the past two months can not be ignored. We’ll look at annual changes next month.