Decrease in Active Voters in Washoe and Rural Counties Impacts Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – August 3, 2024

A loss of active voters in Washoe and the rural counties July, possibly caused by voter roll maintenance, allowed both the Democratic and Republican Party to gain voter share with Non-Partisan losing share. The same did not hold true statewide, in Clark County, and across the age demographics with both major parties continuing to lose voter share and Non-Partisan gaining. The Independent American Party also registered slight gains in voter share. How much of that was voters believing they were registering as independent (Non-Partisan) is unknown.

That did not alter the party standings; Non-Partisan continues to be the leading group of voters statewide, in Clark County, and among voters 18 to 54 years of age with the combined share of Non-Partisan and minor parties leading in Washoe. Those voters also continue to dominate in legislative districts. Non-Partisan is the largest bloc in over 50 percent of both state senate and assembly districts. When combined with minor party share, the share leads in just under 80 percent in the state senate and over 80 percent in the assembly.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2840.05%30.10%-0.08%
R9480.16%28.66%-0.04%
NP4,0060.58%34.11%0.10%
IAP1,1021.25%4.42%0.04%
LIB-2-0.01%0.82%0.00%
Other-333-0.86%1.90%-0.02%
Total not D or R  41.24%0.12%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,7230.58%32.33%-0.17%
R3,3660.93%24.89%-0.04%
NP8,0641.57%35.70%0.17%
IAP1,5282.50%4.28%0.06%
LIB1701.62%0.73%0.00%
Other-22-0.07%2.07%-0.02%
Total not D or R  42.78%0.21%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-1,953-1.98%29.79%0.02%
R-1,682-1.58%32.27%0.15%
NP-2,469-2.45%30.32%-0.12%
IAP-319-2.04%4.73%0.00%
LIB-125-3.39%1.10%-0.02%
Other-235-3.89%1.79%-0.03%
Total not D or R  37.94%-0.17%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-486-1.26%16.43%0.01%
R-736-0.66%47.41%0.30%
NP-1,589-2.28%29.34%-0.30%
IAP-107-0.94%4.85%0.02%
LIB-47-1.98%1.00%-0.01%
Other-76-3.27%0.97%-0.02%
Total not D or R  36.16%-0.31%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2540.16%27.21%-0.12%
R8680.91%16.72%0.05%
NP1,9510.71%48.32%0.06%
IAP5242.14%4.35%0.07%
LIB-36-0.53%1.18%-0.01%
Other-192-1.48%2.22%-0.05%
Total not D or R  56.07%0.07%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2800.15%28.92%-0.08%
R3510.21%27.03%-0.06%
NP1,6440.73%35.84%0.11%
IAP4551.55%4.71%0.05%
LIB360.55%1.04%0.00%
Other-82-0.52%2.45%-0.02%
Total not D or R  44.05%0.14%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,3880.91%33.06%-0.03%
R2,9850.98%38.41%-0.03%
NP2,4721.41%22.67%0.05%
IAP3030.91%4.23%0.02%
LIB70.22%0.39%0.00%
Other-23-0.23%1.23%-0.01%
Total not D or R  28.53%0.06%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican310
NP130
IAP040
LIB112
Other400
Not D or R130

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In CD1, CD3, and CD4 NP holds the top

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic1560
Republican11100
NP5151
IAP1182
LIB867
Other1812
Not D or R5151

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 16 (76.19%) of the 21 districts, an increase of one, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in 11 districts (52.38%) SDs 2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,21.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic3291
Republican20220
NP12300
IAP2364
LIB151215
Other3462
Not D or R11310

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 34 (80.95%) of the 42 districts; and increase of one, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in 23 districts (54.76%), an increase of two,

ADs 2,4,5,8,9,11,12,14,15,16,17,18,20,21,24,27,28,29,30,34,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic591
Republican5100
NP951
IAP2130
LIB843
Other1221
Not D or R1140

Combined NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City

Average non-major party voter share counties is now 33.29 percent.

With an announced major voter roll maintenance adjustment still pending in Clark County, we will have to wait to see how that impacts voter share going forward.