By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – October 3, 2024
Voter registration numbers for September showed something interesting, something I do not remember seeing right before a general election since I have been doing these reports. Non-Partisan voter share dropped among voters 18 to 34 years of age as well as in Washoe County, and the rurals.
Among the group of younger voters, Non-Partisan share decreased 0.30%. At the same time GOP share in that group increased 0.20%. In Washoe County, NP share fell 0.28% while minor party (other) gained 0.27% and in the rural counties, NP down 0.35%, minor party up 0.22%.
Though these changes are noteworthy, they did not impact the standing of Non-Partisan as the largest voting group in the state.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 8,801 | 1.51% | 30.04% | -0.02% |
| R | 9,071 | 1.60% | 29.08% | 0.01% |
| NP | 9,141 | 1.40% | 33.60% | -0.05% |
| IAP | 1,488 | 1.72% | 4.47% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 136 | 0.86% | 0.81% | -0.01% |
| Other | 1,684 | 4.42% | 2.01% | 0.06% |
| Total not D or R | 40.89% | 0.01% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 6,862 | 1.52% | 32.33% | -0.04% |
| R | 6,244 | 1.78% | 25.31% | 0.03% |
| NP | 8,683 | 1.77% | 35.33% | 0.04% |
| IAP | 873 | 1.45% | 4.32% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 89 | 0.89% | 0.71% | -0.01% |
| Other | 157 | 0.56% | 2.00% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 42.36% | 0.00% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 1,301 | 1.35% | 29.76% | 0.03% |
| R | 1,108 | 1.06% | 32.19% | -0.06% |
| NP | 304 | 0.31% | 29.83% | -0.28% |
| IAP | 352 | 2.29% | 4.80% | 0.05% |
| LIB | 19 | 0.54% | 1.08% | -0.01% |
| Other | 961 | 14.30% | 2.34% | 0.27% |
| Total not D or R | 38.05% | 0.03% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 638 | 1.68% | 16.50% | 0.04% |
| R | 1,719 | 1.57% | 47.55% | 0.05% |
| NP | 154 | 0.23% | 28.39% | -0.35% |
| IAP | 263 | 2.35% | 4.92% | 0.04% |
| LIB | 28 | 1.22% | 1.00% | 0.00% |
| Other | 566 | 17.28% | 1.65% | 0.22% |
| Total not D or R | 35.95% | -0.09% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 3,191 | 2.16% | 27.13% | 0.04% |
| R | 3,017 | 3.24% | 17.28% | 0.20% |
| NP | 3,589 | 1.37% | 47.59% | -0.30% |
| IAP | 497 | 2.06% | 4.42% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 43 | 0.67% | 1.16% | -0.02% |
| Other | 659 | 5.14% | 2.42% | 0.07% |
| Total not D or R | 55.59% | -0.25% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
35 – 54 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,855 | 1.63% | 28.80% | -0.02% |
| R | 3,028 | 1.82% | 27.42% | 0.03% |
| NP | 3,315 | 1.54% | 35.41% | -0.06% |
| IAP | 486 | 1.68% | 4.77% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 82 | 1.29% | 1.04% | 0.00% |
| Other | 560 | 3.67% | 2.56% | 0.05% |
| Total not D or R | 43.78% | -0.01% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,388 | 0.91% | 33.01% | -0.03% |
| R | 2,985 | 0.98% | 38.55% | -0.06% |
| NP | 2,472 | 1.41% | 22.48% | 0.03% |
| IAP | 303 | 0.91% | 4.27% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 7 | 0.22% | 0.38% | 0.00% |
| Other | -23 | -0.23% | 1.31% | 0.04% |
| Total not D or R | 28.45% | 0.08% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Republican | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| NP | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| IAP | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LIB | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 4 | 0 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In CD1, CD3, and CD4 NP holds the top
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 10 | 8 | 3 |
| Republican | 8 | 11 | 2 |
| NP | 9 | 11 | 1 |
| IAP | 9 | 8 | 4 |
| LIB | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| Other | 13 | 7 | 1 |
| Not D or R | 10 | 11 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 16 (76.19%) of the 21 districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in 10 districts (47.62%) SDs 2,5,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,21.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 23 | 17 | 2 |
| Republican | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| NP | 18 | 22 | 2 |
| IAP | 19 | 21 | 2 |
| LIB | 24 | 4 | 14 |
| Other | 25 | 14 | 3 |
| Not D or R | 17 | 24 | 1 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 33 (78.57%) of the 42 districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in 22 districts (52.38%),
ADs 2,5,8,9,11,12,14,15,16,18,20,21,24,27,28,29,30,34,35,37,41, and 42
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| Republican | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| NP | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| LIB | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| Other | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Combined NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City
Average non-major party voter share counties is now 33.22 percent.
Do these changes in Non-Partisan voter share give any indication of how those voters will vote or what the impact on election results will be? October numbers may give us a better idea.