Democratic Party Continues Voter Share Loss, GOP Not So Much

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – July 3, 2024

In addition to low voter turnout in the primary, June voter registration numbers continue to show voters abandoning both the Democratic and Republican Party with losses of the Democratic Party greater than losses seen in the GOP.  Among voters 18-34 years of age, Non-Partisan voter share is closing in on 50 percent, 60 percent when combined with minor party share.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,3900.39%30.17%-0.15%
R4,1210.72%28.70%-0.05%
NP10,9691.63%34.01%0.25%
IAP5350.61%4.38%-0.01%
LIB00.00%0.82%-0.01%
Other-200-0.51%1.92%-0.03%
Total not D or R  41.13%0.20%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,3080.49%32.50%-0.17%
R3,5480.99%24.93%-0.01%
NP8,6471.71%35.54%0.24%
IAP3390.56%4.22%-0.02%
LIB210.20%0.72%-0.01%
Other-116-0.38%2.09%-0.03%
Total not D or R  42.57%0.18%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4100.42%29.77%-0.14%
R7520.71%32.11%-0.06%
NP1,6241.64%30.44%0.22%
IAP1951.26%4.73%0.02%
LIB100.27%1.12%-0.01%
Other-46-0.76%1.83%-0.03%
Total not D or R  38.12%020%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D-328-0.84%16.42%-0.15%
R-179-0.16%47.11%-0.10%
NP6981.01%29.63%0.28%
IAP10.01%4.84%0.00%
LIB-31-1.29%1.01%-0.01%
Other-38-1.61%0.99%-0.02%
Total not D or R  36.47%0.25%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D4060.26%27.32%-0.25%
R9831.04%16.67%-0.02%
NP5,0621.86%48.26%0.33%
IAP2721.12%4.28%0.00%
LIB-1-0.01%1.19%-0.01%
Other-84-0.64%2.27%-0.04%
Total not D or R  56.01%0.28%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

35 – 54 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D7130.39%29.00%-0.15%
R1,1990.71%27.09%-0.05%
NP3,5831.62%35.73%0.25%
IAP1590.54%4.66%-0.02%
LIB220.34%1.04%-0.01%
Other-73-0.46%2.48%-0.03%
Total not D or R  43.91%0.19%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %
D2,3880.91%33.09%-0.07%
R2,9850.98%38.44%-0.03%
NP2,4721.41%22.62%0.13%
IAP3030.91%4.22%-0.02%
LIB70.22%0.39%0.00%
Other-23-0.23%1.24%-0.01%
Total not D or R  28.47%0.10%

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican211
NP040
IAP310
LIB202
Other400
Not D or R040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In CD1, CD3, and CD4 NP holds the top

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican1542
NP0210
IAP1434
LIB1308
Other2100
Not D or R0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 16 (76.19%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.

NP holds the top share in 10 districts (47.62%) SDs 2,5,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,21.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4200
Republican27114
NP0420
IAP2787
LIB23316
Other41  01
Not D or R0420

In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

In 33 (78.57%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in 21 districts (50%) ADs 2,5,8,9,11,12,14,15,16,18,20,21,24,27,28,29,30,34,35,41, and 42

Rural Counties

Party# Counties Lose Voter Share# Counties Gain Voter Share# Counties No Change
Democratic1230
Republican861
NP2130
IAP951
LIB1221
Other1050
Not D or R3111

Combined NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City

Average non-major party voter share counties is now 33.45 percent, an increase of 0.18% from May.

With primary election turnout below 20 percent, it does not appear many voters took advantage of same-day voter registration to vote in the partisan races. (The report is not yet available) Where party membership is not required to vote in the general election, can we expect major party voter share to fall even more?