By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – January 12, 2025
2024 was not a good year for the Nevada Democratic Party as the final month of the year capped out a year of voter share decline. When compared to 2023, the Nevada Democratic Party was the only group to lose voter share statewide. The Republican Party, Non-Partisan, and minor parties as a group all registered a year over year gain. The results were similar, with a few exceptions, across the counties and tracked demographics.
Looking at the past five years, 2020 through 2024, the Democratic Party is down almost nine percent, the GOP down just under four while Non-Partisan has gained 11 percent and combined NP and minor parties shows a 12 percent gain.
If we go back to when the major parties were evenly split sharing over 80 percent of voter share (2000) they have both lost 12 percent voter share. Non-Partisan meanwhile has picked up 19 percent; 24 percent when adding in minor parties.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2023 – 2024 Voter Share Change |
| D | -20 | 0.00% | 29.72% | -0.12% | -1.16% |
| R | 1,688 | 0.27% | 29.53% | -0.04% | 0.78% |
| NP | 5,120 | 0.73% | 33.31% | 0.11% | 0.25% |
| IAP | 472 | 0.49% | 4.56% | 0.00% | 0.17% |
| LIB | 22 | 0.13% | 0.78% | 0.00% | -0.07% |
| Other | 1,097 | 2.54% | 2.10% | 0.04% | 0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 40.75% | 0.15% | 0.37% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2023 – 2024 Voter Share Change |
| D | -132 | -0.03% | 31.90% | -0.12% | -1.33% |
| R | 550 | 0.14% | 25.87% | -0.05% | 0.98% |
| NP | 4,760 | 0.90% | 35.24% | 0.19% | 0.61% |
| IAP | 328 | 0.49% | 4.40% | 0.01% | 0.18% |
| LIB | 17 | 0.16% | 0.69% | 0.00% | -0.05% |
| Other | -224 | -0.77% | 1.89% | -0.02% | -0.38% |
| Total not D or R | 42.23% | 0.18% | 0.35% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2023 – 2024 Voter Share Change |
| D | -41 | -0.04% | 29.71% | -0.11% | -0.79% |
| R | 358 | 0.32% | 32.43% | -0.01% | 0.21% |
| NP | 14 | 0.01% | 28.99% | -0.09% | -0.49% |
| IAP | 52 | 0.31% | 4.89% | 0.00% | 0.19% |
| LIB | -12 | -0.33% | 1.04% | -0.01% | -0.10% |
| Other | 796 | 8.60% | 2.93% | 0.22% | 0.98% |
| Total not D or R | 37.86% | 0.12% | 0.58% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2023 – 2024 Voter Share Change |
| D | 153 | 0.38% | 16.27% | -0.06% | -0.82% |
| R | 780 | 0.66% | 48.07% | -0.06% | 0.75% |
| NP | 346 | 0.52% | 27.42% | -0.07% | -1.15% |
| IAP | 92 | 0.75% | 5.02% | 0.00% | 0.15% |
| LIB | 17 | 0.71% | 0.98% | 0.00% | -0.07% |
| Other | 525 | 10.58% | 2.23% | 0.20% | 1.14% |
| Total not D or R | 35.66% | 0.13% | 0.07% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2023 – 2024 Voter Share Change |
| D | -580 | -0.35% | 27.17% | -0.18% | -1.33% |
| R | 253 | 0.22% | 18.80% | -0.01% | 2.26% |
| NP | 1,606 | 0.58% | 45.86% | 0.13% | -1.08% |
| IAP | 51 | 0.18% | 4.54% | -0.01% | 0.32% |
| LIB | -1,816 | -27.28% | 0.79% | -0.30% | -0.47% |
| Other | 521 | 3.45% | 2.56% | 0.08% | 0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 53.74% | -0.10% | -1.22% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
35 – 54 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2023 – 2024 Voter Share Change |
| D | 125 | 0.07% | 28.33% | -0.12% | -1.40% |
| R | 601 | 0.32% | 27.99% | -0.05% | 0.82% |
| NP | 2,023 | 0.87% | 35.24% | 0.13% | 0.51% |
| IAP | 187 | 0.59% | 4.84% | 0.00% | 0.18% |
| LIB | 44 | 0.65% | 1.02% | 0.00% | -0.04% |
| Other | 300 | 1.78% | 2.58% | 0.03% | -0.08% |
| Total not D or R | 43.68% | 0.16% | 0.58% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % | 2023 – 2024 Voter Share Change |
| D | 2,388 | 0.91% | 32.71% | -0.08% | -0.70% |
| R | 2,985 | 0.98% | 38.62% | -0.05% | 0.29% |
| NP | 2,472 | 1.41% | 22.57% | 0.09% | 0.32% |
| IAP | 303 | 0.91% | 4.35% | 0.01% | 0.06% |
| LIB | 7 | 0.22% | 0.38% | 0.00% | -0.03% |
| Other | -23 | -0.23% | 1.38% | 0.03% | 0.06% |
| Total not D or R | 28.67% | 0.13% | 0.42% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share / 2024 Loss | # Districts Gain Voter Share / 2024 Gain | # Districts No Change / 2024 No Change |
| Democratic | 4 / 4 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
| Republican | 3 / 0 | 0 / 4 | 0 / 1 |
| NP | 1 / 1 | 3 / 3 | 0 / 0 |
| IAP | 0 / 0 | 1 / 4 | 3 / 0 |
| LIB | 0 / 4 | 0 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
| Other | 3 / 3 | 1 / 1 | 0 / 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 / 0 | 4 / 4 | 0 / 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In CD1, CD3, and CD4 (75%) NP holds the top
NOTE: Number for current month / Number for year over year
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share / 2024 Loss | # Districts Gain Voter Share / 2024 Gain | # Districts No Change / 2024 No Change |
| Democratic | 21 / 21 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
| Republican | 19 / 1 | 1 / 20 | 1 / 0 |
| NP | 6 / 6 | 15 / 15 | 0 / 0 |
| IAP | 6 / 0 | 9 / 21 | 6 / 0 |
| LIB | 4 / 20 | 1 / 1 | 16 / 0 |
| Other | 15 / 15 | 6 / 6 | 0 / 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 / 4 | 21 / 17 | 0 / 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 16 (76.19%) of the 21 districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in 11 districts (52.38%) SDs 2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,21.
NOTE: Number for current month / Number for year over year
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share / 2024 Loss | # Districts Gain Voter Share / 2024 Gain | # Districts No Change / 2024 No Change |
| Democratic | 42 / 42 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
| Republican | 38 / 3 | 2 / 39 | 2 / 0 |
| NP | 11 / 11 | 31 / 31 | 0 / 0 |
| IAP | 9 / 2 | 19 / 38 | 14 / 2 |
| LIB | 15 / 38 | 6 / 3 | 21 / 1 |
| Other | 30 / 20 | 12 / 13 | 0 / 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 / 4 | 42 / 38 | 0 / 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 32 (76.19%) of the 42 districts, the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in 19 districts (45.24%),
ADs 3,5,8,9,11,12,14,15,16,18,20,21,28,29,30,34,35,41, and 42
NOTE: Number for current month / Number for year over year
Rural Counties
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share / 2024 Loss | # Districts Gain Voter Share / 2024 Gain | # Districts No Change / 2024 No Change |
| Democratic | 11 / 15 | 4 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
| Republican | 12 / 4 | 3 / 11 | 0 / 0 |
| NP | 6 / 11 | 8 / 4 | 1 / 0 |
| IAP | 7 / 3 | 7 / 12 | 1 / 0 |
| LIB | 6 / 10 | 3 / 2 | 6 / 3 |
| Other | 3 / 1 | 11 / 14 | 1 / 0 |
| Not D or R | 1 / 6 | 14 / 9 | 0 / 0 |
Combined NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City
Average non-major party voter share counties is now 33.31 percent.
The 2025 session of the Nevada legislature begins in three weeks. Will members be cognizant of this dynamic or will there be partisan digging in on major issues?