By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform – June 3, 2024
Early voting is underway in this year’s primary election, however, as has been the trend in recnt past primary elections, May voter registration numbers show no impact in voter registration trends. With that said, in addition to Non-Partisan posting the largest gains in both voter share and raw numbers, the Republican Party gained slightly among voters 18 to 34 years of age and held even in Clark County and among voters over 55 years of age.
Non-Partisan continues to be the largest voting group in the state, in Clark County, and among voters 18 to 34 and 35 to 54 years of age. Additionally when combined with minor party registration, it is the leading group in Washoe County and is just under 56 percent of voters 18 to 34.
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,741 | 0.45% | 30.32% | -0.08% |
| R | 3,961 | 0.69% | 28.75% | -0.01% |
| NP | 6,490 | 0.97% | 33.77% | 0.08% |
| IAP | 968 | 1.12% | 4.39% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 76 | 0.46% | 0.83% | 0.00% |
| Other | 2 | 0.01% | 1.95% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 40.93% | 0.09% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,470 | 0.53% | 32.67% | -0.08% |
| R | 2,744 | 0.77% | 24.94% | 0.00% |
| NP | 4,895 | 0.98% | 35.30% | 0.07% |
| IAP | 788 | 1.31% | 4.24% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 81 | 0.78% | 0.73% | 0.00% |
| Other | 19 | 0.06% | 2.12% | -0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 42.39% | 0.07% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 197 | 0.20% | 29.91% | -0.07% |
| R | 492 | 0.47% | 32.17% | 0.01% |
| NP | 654 | 0.66% | 30.22% | 0.07% |
| IAP | 100 | 0.65% | 4.71% | 0.01% |
| LIB | -2 | -0.05% | 1.12% | -0.01% |
| Other | -6 | -0.10% | 1.86% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 37.91% | 0.06% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties (See rural county table below district tables)
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 74 | 0.19% | 16.57% | -0.10% |
| R | 725 | 0.66% | 47.21% | -0.05% |
| NP | 941 | 1.38% | 29.35% | 0.18% |
| IAP | 80 | 0.71% | 4.84% | 0.00% |
| LIB | -3 | -0.12% | 1.02% | -0.01% |
| Other | -11 | -0.46% | 1.00% | -0.01% |
| Total not D or R | 36.22% | 0.16% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 564 | 0.36% | 27.57% | -0.12% |
| R | 920 | 0.98% | 16.69% | 0.03% |
| NP | 2,718 | 1.01% | 47.94% | 0.10% |
| IAP | 364 | 1.52% | 4.29% | 0.03% |
| LIB | 25 | 0.37% | 1.21% | -0.01% |
| Other | -73 | -0.56% | 2.31% | -0.03% |
| Total not D or R | 55.74% | 0.09% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
35 – 54 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 856 | 0.47% | 29.15% | -0.12% |
| R | 1,167 | 0.69% | 27.14% | -0.12% |
| NP | 2,523 | 1.15% | 35.48% | 0.22% |
| IAP | 371 | 1.29% | 4.68% | 0.02% |
| LIB | 49 | 0.75% | 1.16% | 0.11% |
| Other | 53 | 0.34% | 2.54% | 0.02% |
| Total not D or R | 43.72% | 0.13% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 2,388 | 0.91% | 33.16% | -0.03% |
| R | 2,985 | 0.98% | 38.47% | 0.00% |
| NP | 2,472 | 1.41% | 22.49% | 0.03% |
| IAP | 303 | 0.91% | 4.24% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 7 | 0.22% | 0.39% | 0.00% |
| Other | -23 | -0.23% | 1.26% | 0.00% |
| Total not D or R | 28.37% | 0.03% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| LIB | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Other | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Not D or R | 0 | 4 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party exceeds the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In CD1, CD3, and CD4 NP holds the top
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| Republican | 9 | 11 | 1 |
| NP | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| IAP | 1 | 15 | 5 |
| LIB | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Other | 19 | 0 | 2 |
| Not D or R | 1 | 20 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 16 (76.19%) of the 21 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters.
NP holds the top share in 10 districts (47.62%) SDs 2,5,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,21.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 37 | 4 | 1 |
| Republican | 14 | 22 | 6 |
| NP | 5 | 35 | 2 |
| IAP | 7 | 30 | 5 |
| LIB | 12 | 10 | 20 |
| Other | 37 | 0 | 5 |
| Not D or R | 6 | 36 | 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.
In 33 (78.57%) of the 42 districts the percentage of voters not registered as Democratic or Republican is the leading group of voters. NP holds the top share in 21 districts (50%) ADs 2,5,8,9,11,12,14,15,16,18,20,21,24,27,28,29,30,34,35,41, and 42
Rural Counties
| Party | # Counties Lose Voter Share | # Counties Gain Voter Share | # Counties No Change |
| Democratic | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| Republican | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| IAP | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| LIB | 8 | 2 | 5 |
| Other | 10 | 1 | 4 |
| Not D or R | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Combined NP / minor party is the largest group in Carson City
Average non-major party voter share counties is now 33.27 percent, an increase of 0.19% from April.
After one week of early voting, turnout is low. Will those voters not registered as either Democratic or Republican take advantage of same-day registration to vote in the partisan races? We will have to wait for the numbers at the end of this month.
Primary Election Appears Not To Impact Voter Share Trend
With early voting underway, it appears voters did not switch to a major party to participate in the partisan primaries leading up to the primary election.