By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform
Less than three percent now remains until those not registered to vote as either Democratic or Republican become the largest voting bloc in Nevada. That group is already the largest bloc among voters 18 to 34 years of age by over seven percent. The voter registration numbers for April 2021 continue to show no change to this trend.
Just how strong is this change in voter party preference? This table shows the voter share as of April 2011, 2016, and 2021. Note the change from 2016 to 2021 is more than double the change from 2011 to 2016.
| Party | 2011 | 2016 | Diff | 2021 | Diff |
| D | 42.09% | 40.08% | -2.01% | 35.78% | -4.30% |
| R | 36.38% | 35.02% | -1.36% | 31.27% | -3.75% |
| NP | 15.82% | 18.93% | +3.11% | 25.13% | +6.20% |
| Other | 5.71% | 5.98% | +0.27% | 7.82% | +1.84% |
| Total Not D or R | 21.53% | 24.91% | +3.38% | 32.95% | +8.04% |
Here are the March to April 2021 changes
State-Wide
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -1,183 | -0.18% | 35.78% | -0.23% |
| R | -2,311 | -0.41% | 31.27% | -0.27% |
| NP | 8,006 | 1.79% | 25.13% | 0.33% |
| IAP | 158 | 0.19% | 4.55% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 44 | 0.25% | 0.97% | 0.00% |
| Other | 3,574 | 9.42% | 2.29% | 0.19% |
| Total not D or R | 32.95% | 0.51% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Clark County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | 20 | 0.00% | 38.83% | -0.32% |
| R | -154 | -0.04% | 27.44% | -0.24% |
| NP | 7,367 | 2.26% | 25.97% | 0.36% |
| IAP | 328 | 0.59% | 4.40% | -0.01% |
| LIB | 114 | 1.03% | 0.87% | 0.00% |
| Other | 2,948 | 10.18% | 2.49% | 0.21% |
| Total not D or R | 33.73% | 0.56% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Washoe County
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -29 | -0.03% | 33.89% | -0.18% |
| R | -71 | -0.07% | 33.91% | -0.19% |
| NP | 1,158 | 1.53% | 24.19% | 0.24% |
| IAP | 101 | 0.69% | 4.62% | 0.01% |
| LIB | 15 | 0.37% | 1.29% | 0.00% |
| Other | 434 | 6.94% | 2.10% | 0.13% |
| Total not D or R | 32.21% | 0.38% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
Rural Counties
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -1,174 | -2.63% | 20.34% | -0.17% |
| R | -2,086 | -1.90% | 50.29% | -0.05% |
| NP | -519 | -1.12% | 21.51% | 0.15% |
| IAP | -271 | -2.30% | 5.38% | -0.03% |
| LIB | -85 | -3.41% | 1.13% | -0.02% |
| Other | 192 | 7.04% | 1.37% | 0.11% |
| Total not D or R | 29.38% | 0.21% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
18 – 34 Year Old
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -530 | -0.29% | 36.17% | -0.35% |
| R | -1,066 | -1.02% | 20.33% | -0.35% |
| NP | 3,653 | 2.14% | 34.19% | 0.49% |
| IAP | -28 | -0.12% | 4.65% | -0.04% |
| LIB | -2 | -0.02% | 1.59% | -0.01% |
| Other | 1,396 | 9.76% | 3.08% | 0.25% |
| Total not D or R | 43.50% | 0.69% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
55+
| Party | Change in # Voters | % Change | % Voter Share | Difference in Voter Share % |
| D | -379 | -0.14% | 36.70% | -0.15% |
| R | -581 | -0.20% | 39.84% | -0.18% |
| NP | 1,887 | 1.52% | 17.26% | 0.21% |
| IAP | 86 | 0.27% | 4.31% | 0.00% |
| LIB | 12 | 0.38% | 0.44% | 0.00% |
| Other | 894 | 9.20% | 1.45% | 0.12% |
| Total not D or R | 23.46% | 0.33% |
Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, other or not specified.
By district voter share changes.
Congressional Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| NP | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| IAP | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| LIB | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Other | 0 | 4 | 0 |
In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party EXCEEDS the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. Non-Partisan exceeds the Republican Party in one (1) district; the combined total exceeds both major parties in one (1) district.
State Senate Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 20 | 0 | 1 |
| NP | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| IAP | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| LIB | 4 | 6 | 11 |
| Other | 0 | 21 | 0 |
In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. In 18 districts (86%), 5 Democratic, 13 Republican, the number exceeds. Of those, Non-Partisan EXCEEDS Democratic registration in two (2) districts and Republican registration in nine (9) districts.
State Assembly Districts
| Party | # Districts Lose Voter Share | # Districts Gain Voter Share | # Districts No Change |
| Democratic | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| NP | 1 | 41 | 0 |
| IAP | 26 | 10 | 6 |
| LIB | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| Other | 0 | 42 | 0 |
In all 42 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. In 38 districts (90%) the number; 12 Democratic, 26 Republican, the number exceeds. Of those, Non-Partisan registration EXCEEDS Republican in 18 districts.
A Republican-sponsored bill (SB121) to address this growing shift in the political landscape was denied a hearing by Democratic leadership.