2020 Ends, 2021 And The Legislative Session Begins; Major Parties Still Losing Voter Share

By Doug Goodman -Founder & Executive Director Nevadans for Election Reform

For a reason most likely associated with the challenges to the presidential election, voter registration data for December 2020 was delayed, posted on February 1, 2021 along with the January 2021 numbers. While the state saw a decline in the number of active registered voters both months, the voter share trends showed no signs of abating. Voters continued to leave both the Democratic and Republican Party across all tracked demographics, choosing to register as either Non-Partisan or in a minor political party. The tables below, which reflect the changes as of January 31, 2021 will also show the change for 2020.

With the start of the Nevada legislative session, it is also important to note that as of the end of January 2021, all state senate districts and 41 of the 42 state assembly districts now fall into our category of non-major party voter share being within five percent or exceeding the voter share of at least one of the major political parties.

State-Wide

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-14,307-2.14%36.43%-0.21%-1.66%
R-14,730-2.49%32.05%-0.30%-0.90%
NP-3,834-0.87%24.26%0.17%1.93%
IAP-348-0.42%4.57%0.05%0.05%
LIB-262-1.47%0.98%0.00%-0.04%
Other4,53017.25%1.71%0.28%0.62%
Total not D or R  31.52%0.50%2.56%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan. 

Clark County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-13,210-2.58%39.70%-0.23%-2.02%
R-11,213-3.07%28.15%-0.31%-0.61%
NP-4,504-1.41%25.05%0.15%1.87%
IAP-420-0.75%4.40%0.06%0.11%
LIB-273-2.44%0.87%0.00%-0.05%
Other3,80819.77%1.83%0.33%0.71%
Total not D or R  32.15%0.54%2.63%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

Washoe County

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-120-0.11%34.39%-0.13%-0.65%
R-952-0.87%34.54%-0.40%-1.48%
NP1,2421.71%23.47%0.33%1.65%
IAP1340.94%4.60%0.03%4.57%
LIB411.03%1.28%0.01%1.28%
Other49610.15%1.71%0.15%1.56%
Total not D or R  31.07%0.52%2.12%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

Rural Counties

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-977-2.04%20.92%-0.06%-1.57%
R-2,565-2.22%50.45%-0.24%-1.12%
NP-572-1.20%20.96%0.11%2.55%
IAP-62-0.50%5.44%0.07%0.07%
LIB-30-1.15%1.14%0.01%0.01%
Other22610.73%0.81%0.12%0.12%
Total not D or R  28.63%0.31%2.69%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

18 – 34 Year Old

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-6,068-3.16%37.20%-0.30%-1.66%
R-3,747-3.41%21.19%-0.23%-0.73%
NP-3,213-1.91%32.95%0.16%1.69%
IAP-537-2.21%4.74%0.01%0.07%
LIB-237-2.85%1.62%-0.01%-0.12%
Other1,62616.35%2.31%0.37%0.75%
Total not D or R  41.61%0.53%2.40%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

55+

PartyChange in # Voters% Change% Voter ShareDifference in Voter Share %% Change for 2020
D-3,906-1.42%37.12%-0.12%-1.13%
R-6,160-2.04%40.39%-0.39%-0.54%
NP4430.36%16.68%0.24%1.29%
IAP3141.01%4.29%0.09%0.01%
LIB100.31%0.44%0.01%-0.03%
Other1,17617.51%1.08%0.17%0.40%
Total not D or R  22.49%0.51%1.68%  

Other includes Green Party, Natural Law Party, and others.
The large increase is due to a change in how voters who do not
indicate a minor party are counted. Prior to August they were counted
as Non-Partisan

By district voter share changes.

Congressional Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic400
Republican400
Non-Partisan040
IAP040
LIB112
Other040

In all Congressional districts (100 percent of the districts) the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic2100
Republican2100
Non-Partisan1200
IAP3180
LIB894
Other0210

In all 21 districts (100%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Assembly Districts

Party# Districts Lose Voter Share# Districts Gain Voter Share# Districts No Change
Democratic4011
Republican4020
Non-Partisan2400
IAP8331
LIB151611
Other0420

In 41 districts (97.62%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over December.

With the legislative session set to act on issues that usually show a high degree of partisanship, will Democratic and Republican legislators keep voter affiliation in mind, especially when they tackle Constitutionally mandated redistricting in a special session immediately following adjournment of the regular session in June?